Cramér-von Mises tests for independence

In this paper recent results of Gregory [(1977)Ann. Statist.5 110–123] are used to obtain the asymptotic null distribution of a weighted Cramér-von Mises type test for independence. We use approximate Bahadur slopes to find good weight functions for certain alternatives. Some percentage points of the asymptotic distribution are given.     

Asymptotic expansions of test statistics for dimensionality and additional information in canonical correlation analysis when the dimension is large

This paper examines asymptotic expansions of test statistics for dimensionality and additional information in canonical correlation analysis based on a sample of size N=n+1 on two sets of variables, i.e.,  and . These problems are related to dimension reduction. The asymptotic approximations of the statistics have been studied extensively when dimensions p₁ and p₂ are fixed and the sample size N tends to infinity. However, the approximations worsen as p₁ and p₂ increase. This paper derives asymptotic expansions of the test statistics when both the sample size and dimension are large, assuming that and have a joint (p₁+p₂)-variate normal distribution. Numerical simulations revealed that this approximation is more accurate than the classical approximation as the dimension increases.     

A martingale decomposition for quadratic forms of Markov chains (with applications)

We develop a martingale-based decomposition for a general class of quadratic forms of Markov chains, which resembles the well-known Hoeffding decomposition of U$U$-statistics of i.i.d. data up to a reminder term. To illustrate the applicability of our results, we discuss how this decomposition may be used to studying the large-sample properties of certain statistics in two problems: (i) we examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series, and (ii) we derive an asymptotic linear representation and limiting distribution of U$U$-statistics with varying kernels in time series. We also discuss simplified examples of interest in statistics and econometrics.     

A product Pearson-type VII density distribution

The Pearson-type VII distributions (containing the Student's t$t$ distributions) are becoming increasing prominent and are being considered as competitors to the normal distribution. Motivated by real examples in decision sciences, Bayesian statistics, probability theory and Physics, a new Pearson-type VII distribution is introduced by taking the product of two Pearson-type VII pdfs. Various structural properties of this distribution are derived, including its cdf, moments, mean deviation about the mean, mean deviation about the median, entropy, asymptotic distribution of the extreme order statistics, maximum likelihood estimates and the Fisher information matrix. Finally, an application to a Bayesian testing problem is illustrated.     

Affine-invariant aligned rank tests for the multivariate general linear model with VARMA errors

We develop optimal rank-based procedures for testing affine-invariant linear hypotheses on the parameters of a multivariate general linear model with elliptical VARMA errors. We propose a class of optimal procedures that are based either on residual (pseudo-)Mahalanobis signs and ranks, or on absolute interdirections and lift-interdirection ranks, i.e., on hyperplane-based signs and ranks. The Mahalanobis versions of these procedures are strictly affine-invariant, while the hyperplane-based ones are asymptotically affine-invariant. Both versions generalize the univariate signed rank procedures proposed by Hallin and Puri (J. Multivar. Anal. 50 (1994) 175), and are locally asymptotically most stringent under correctly specified radial densities. Their AREs with respect to Gaussian procedures are shown to be convex linear combinations of the AREs obtained in Hallin and Paindaveine (Ann. Statist. 30 (2002) 1103; Bernoulli 8 (2002) 787) for the pure location and purely serial models, respectively. The resulting test statistics are provided under closed form for several important particular cases, including multivariate Durbin-Watson tests, VARMA order identification tests, etc. The key technical result is a multivariate asymptotic linearity result proved in Hallin and Paindaveine (Asymptotic linearity of serial and nonserial multivariate signed rank statistics, submitted).     

Second order optimality for estimators in time series regression models

We consider the second order asymptotic properties of an efficient frequency domain regression coefficient estimator proposed by Hannan [Regression for time series, Proc. Sympos. Time Series Analysis (Brown Univ., 1962), Wiley, New York, 1963, pp. 17-37]. This estimator is a semiparametric estimator based on nonparametric spectral estimators. We derive the second order Edgeworth expansion of the distribution of . Then it is shown that the second order asymptotic properties are independent of the bandwidth choice for residual spectral estimator, which implies that has the same rate of convergence as in regular parametric estimation. This is a sharp contrast with the general semiparametric estimation theory. We also examine the second order Gaussian efficiency of . Numerical studies are given to confirm the theoretical results.     

Robust regression function estimation

A robust estimator of the regression function is proposed combining kernel methods as introduced for density estimation and robust location estimation techniques. Weak and strong consistency and asymptotic normality are shown under mild conditions on the kernel sequence. The asymptotic variance is a product from a factor depending only on the kernel and a factor similar to the asymptotic variance in robust estimation of location. The estimation is minimax robust in the sense of Huber (1964). Robust estimation of a location parameter. Ann. Math. Statist.33 73–101.     

High-dimensional asymptotic expansions for the distributions of canonical correlations

This paper examines asymptotic distributions of the canonical correlations between and with q≤p, based on a sample of size of N=n+1. The asymptotic distributions of the canonical correlations have been studied extensively when the dimensions q and p are fixed and the sample size N tends toward infinity. However, these approximations worsen when q or p is large in comparison to N. To overcome this weakness, this paper first derives asymptotic distributions of the canonical correlations under a high-dimensional framework such that q is fixed, m=n−p→∞ and c=p/n→c₀∈[0,1), assuming that and have a joint (q+p)-variate normal distribution. An extended Fisher’s z-transformation is proposed. Then, the asymptotic distributions are improved further by deriving their asymptotic expansions. Numerical simulations revealed that our approximations are more accurate than the classical approximations for a large range of p,q, and n and the population canonical correlations.     

On some nonparametric tests for profile analysis of several multivariate samples

For profile analysis of independent samples from several multivariate populations, a nonparametric analog of the hypothesis of parallelism of population profiles is formulated. A class of asymptotically distribution-free statistics is offered to test this hypothesis. These are based on generalized U statistics and are in some sense modifications of statistics offered previously by one of the authors for testing the homogeneity hypothesis. Consistency of these statistics is established for suitable alternatives and also asymptotic power is investigated.     

Explicit Formulas and Asymptotic Expansions for Certain Mean Square of Hurwitz Zeta-Functions: III

The main object of this paper is the mean square I _h (s) of higher derivatives of Hurwitz zeta functions (s, ). We shall prove asymptotic formulas for I _h (1/2 + it) as t + with the coefficients in closed expressions (Theorem 1). We also prove a certain explicit formula for I _h (1/2 + it) (Theorem 2), in which the coefficients are, in a sense, not explicit. However, one merit of this formula is that it contains sufficient information for obtaining the complete asymptotic expansion for I _h (1/2 + it) when h is small. Another merit is that Theorem 1 can be strengthened with the aid of Theorem 2 (see Theorem 3). The fundamental method for the proofs is Atkinson's dissection argument applied to the product (u, )(v, ) with the independent complex variables u and v.     

Asymptotic dimension of finitely presented groups

We prove that if a finitely presented group is one-ended, then its asymptotic dimension is greater than . It follows that a finitely presented group of asymptotic dimension is virtually free.

     

Bootstrap,wild bootstrap,and asymptotic normality

Summary We show for an i.i.d. sample that bootstrap estimates consistently the distribution of a linear statistic if and only if the normal approximation with estimated variance works. An asymptotic approach is used where everything may depend onn. The result is extended to the case of independent, but not necessarily identically distributed random variables. Furthermore it is shown that wild bootstrap works under the same conditions as bootstrap.This work has been supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Sonderforschungsbereich 123 Stochastische Mathematische Modelle     

Testing the stability of the functional autoregressive process

The functional autoregressive process has become a useful tool in the analysis of functional time series data. It is defined by the equation , in which the observations X_n and errors ε_n are curves, and is an operator. To ensure meaningful inference and prediction based on this model, it is important to verify that the operator does not change with time. We propose a method for testing the constancy of against a change-point alternative which uses the functional principal component analysis. The test statistic is constructed to have a well-known asymptotic distribution, but the asymptotic justification of the procedure is very delicate. We develop a new truncation approach which together with Mensov’s inequality can be used in other problems of functional time series analysis. The estimation of the principal components introduces asymptotically non-negligible terms, which however cancel because of the special form of our test statistic (CUSUM type). The test is implemented using the R package fda, and its finite sample performance is examined by application to credit card transaction data.     

Asymptotic normal distribution of multidimensional statistics of dependent random variables

A central limit theorem for multidimensional processes in the sense of [9], [10] is proved. In particular the asymptotic normal distribution of a sum of dependent random functions of m variables defined on the positive part of the integral lattice is established by the method of moments. The results obtained can be used, for example, in proving the asymptotic normality of different statistics of n₀-dependent random variables as well as to determine the asymptotic behaviour of the resultant of reflected waves of telluric type.     

Signed-rank tests for location in the symmetric independent component model

The so-called independent component (IC) model states that the observed p-vector X is generated via X=ΛZ+μ, where μ is a p-vector, Λ is a full-rank matrix, and the centered random vector Z has independent marginals. We consider the problem of testing the null hypothesis H₀:μ=0 on the basis of i.i.d. observations X₁,…,X_n generated by the symmetric version of the IC model above (for which all ICs have a symmetric distribution about the origin). In the spirit of [M. Hallin, D. Paindaveine, Optimal tests for multivariate location based on interdirections and pseudo-Mahalanobis ranks, Annals of Statistics, 30 (2002), 1103-1133], we develop nonparametric (signed-rank) tests, which are valid without any moment assumption and are, for adequately chosen scores, locally and asymptotically optimal (in the Le Cam sense) at given densities. Our tests are measurable with respect to the marginal signed ranks computed in the collection of null residuals , where is a suitable estimate of Λ. Provided that is affine-equivariant, the proposed tests, unlike the standard marginal signed-rank tests developed in [M.L. Puri, P.K. Sen, Nonparametric Methods in Multivariate Analysis, Wiley & Sons, New York, 1971] or any of their obvious generalizations, are affine-invariant. Local powers and asymptotic relative efficiencies (AREs) with respect to Hotelling’s T² test are derived. Quite remarkably, when Gaussian scores are used, these AREs are always greater than or equal to one, with equality in the multinormal model only. Finite-sample efficiencies and robustness properties are investigated through a Monte Carlo study.     

Progressive Type II censored order statistics for multivariate observations

For a sequence of independent and identically distributed random vectors , i=1,2,…,n, we consider the conditional ordering of these random vectors with respect to the magnitudes of , where N is a p-variate continuous function defined on the support set of X₁ and satisfying certain regularity conditions. We also consider the Progressive Type II right censoring for multivariate observations using conditional ordering. The need for the conditional ordering of random vectors exists for example, in reliability analysis when a system has n independent components each consisting of p arbitrarily dependent and parallel connected elements. Let the vector of life lengths for the ith component of the system be , where denotes the life length of the jth element of the ith component. Then the first failure in the system occurs at time , and for this case . In this paper we introduce the conditionally ordered and Progressive Type II right-censored conditionally ordered statistics for multivariate observations and to study their distributional properties.     

Asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimate in the first order autoregressive process

Summary In this paper we obtain an asymptotic expansion of the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) based onT observations from the first order Gaussian process up to the term of orderT ⁻¹. The expansion is used to compare with a generalized estimate including the least square estimate (LSE) , based on the asymptotic probabilities around the true value of the estimates up to the terms of orderT ⁻¹. It is shown that (or the modified MLE ) is better than (or the modified estimate ). Further, we note that does not attain the bound for third order asymptotic median unbiased estimates.     

Local asymptotic normality of a sequential model for marked point processes and its applications

This paper deals with statistical inference problems for a special type of marked point processes based on the realization in random time intervals [0,_u]. Sufficient conditions to establish the local asymptotic normality (LAN) of the model are presented, and then, certain class of stopping times _u satisfying them is proposed. Using these stopping rules, one can treat the processes within the framework of LAN, which yields asymptotic optimalities of various inference procedures. Applications for compound Poisson processes and continuous time Markov branching processes (CMBP) are discussed. Especially, asymptotically uniformly most powerful tests for criticality of CMBP can be obtained. Such tests do not exist in the case of the non-sequential approach. Also, asymptotic normality of the sequential maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the Malthusian parameter of CMBP can be derived, although the non-sequential MLE is not asymptotically normal in the supercritical case.