A naïve approach for solving MCDM problems: the GUESS method

We present a simple multiple criteria decision making solution technique called the GUESS method. This method has been used in MCDM experiments where different solution methods have been compared. The GUESS method is an interactive solution method designed to be used with continuous multiple criteria decision problems. It is based on a class of solution methods called reference point methods whereby the decision maker generates a sequence of solutions based on a sequence of guesses or aspiration vectors. In this paper we explain the basic concepts of the GUESS method and describe the algorithm of the solution method. An illustrative example is provided, along with a discussion of the method from a behavioural decision making perspective.     

Interactive outranking approaches for multicriteria decision-making problems with imprecise information

PROMETHEE is a powerful method, which can solve many multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) problems. It involves sophisticated preference modelling techniques but requires too much a priori precise information about parameter values (such as criterion weights and thresholds). In this paper, we consider a MCDM problem where alternatives are evaluated on several conflicting criteria, and the criterion weights and/or thresholds are imprecise or unknown to the decision maker (DM). We build robust outranking relations among the alternatives in order to help the DM to rank the alternatives and select the best alternative. We propose interactive approaches based on PROMETHEE method. We develop a decision aid tool called INTOUR, which implements the developed approaches.     

Research on AHP with interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets and its application in multi-criteria decision making problems

This paper investigates an approach for multi-criterion decision making (MCDM) problems with interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy preference relations (IVIFPRs). Based on the novel interval score function, some extended concepts associated with IVIFPRs are defined, including the score matrix, the approximate optimal transfer matrix and the possibility degree matrix. By using these new matrixes, a prioritization method for IVIFPRs is proposed. Then, we investigate an interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy AHP method for multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) problems. In the end, a numerical example is provided to illustrate the application of the proposed approach.     

Extended VIKOR method in comparison with outranking methods

The VIKOR method was developed to solve MCDM problems with conflicting and noncommensurable (different units) criteria, assuming that compromising is acceptable for conflict resolution, the decision maker wants a solution that is the closest to the ideal, and the alternatives are evaluated according to all established criteria. This method focuses on ranking and selecting from a set of alternatives in the presence of conflicting criteria, and on proposing compromise solution (one or more). The VIKOR method is extended with a stability analysis determining the weight stability intervals and with trade-offs analysis. The extended VIKOR method is compared with three multicriteria decision making methods: TOPSIS, PROMETHEE, and ELECTRE. A numerical example illustrates an application of the VIKOR method, and the results by all four considered methods are compared.     

Multicriteria decision-making method using the Dice similarity measure based on the reduct intuitionistic fuzzy sets of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets

This paper proposes the concept of the reduct intuitionistic fuzzy sets of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IVIFSs) with respect to adjustable weight vectors and the Dice similarity measure based on the reduct intuitionistic fuzzy sets to explore the effects of optimism, neutralism, and pessimism in decision making. Then a decision-making method with the pessimistic, optimistic, and neutral schemes desired by the decision maker is established by combining adjustable weight vectors and the Dice similarity measure for IVIFSs. The proposed decision-making method is more flexible and adjustable in practical problems and can determine the ranking order of alternatives and the optimal one(s), so that it can overcome the difficulty of the ranking order and decision making when there exist the same measure values of some alternatives in some cases. This adjustable feature can provide the decision maker with more selecting schemes and actionable results for the decision-making analysis. Finally, two illustrative examples are employed to show the feasibility of the proposed method in practical applications.     

Nonessential objectives within network approaches for MCDM

In Gal and Hanne [Eur. J. Oper. Res. 119 (1999) 373] the problem of using several methods to solve a multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) problem with linear objective functions after dropping nonessential objectives is analyzed. It turned out that the solution does not need be the same when using various methods for solving the system containing the nonessential objectives or not. In this paper we consider the application of network approaches for multicriteria decision making such as neural networks and an approach for combining MCDM methods (called MCDM networks). We discuss questions of comparing the results obtained with several methods as applied to the problem with or without nonessential objectives. Especially, we argue for considering redundancies such as nonessential objectives as a native feature in complex information processing. In contrast to previous results on nonessential objectives, the current paper focuses on discrete MCDM problems which are also denoted as multiple attribute decision making (MADM).     

Modeling subjective evaluation for fuzzy group multicriteria decision making

This paper presents a new fuzzy multicriteria decision making (MCDM) approach for evaluating decision alternatives involving subjective judgements made by a group of decision makers. A pairwise comparison process is used to help individual decision makers make comparative judgements, and a linguistic rating method is used for making absolute judgements. A hierarchical weighting method is developed to assess the weights of a large number of evaluation criteria by pairwise comparisons. To reflect the inherent imprecision of subjective judgements, individual assessments are aggregated as a group assessment using triangular fuzzy numbers. To obtain a cardinal preference value for each decision alternative, a new fuzzy MCDM algorithm is developed by extending the concept of the degree of optimality to incorporate criteria weights in the distance measurement. An empirical study of aircraft selection is presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the approach.     

A fuzzy-stochastic OWA model for robust multi-criteria decision making

All realistic Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) problems face various kinds of uncertainty. Since the evaluations of alternatives with respect to the criteria are uncertain they will be assumed to have stochastic nature. To obtain the uncertain optimism degree of the decision maker fuzzy linguistic quantifiers will be used. Then a new approach for fuzzy-stochastic modeling of MCDM problems will be introduced by merging the stochastic and fuzzy approaches into the OWA operator. The results of the new approach, entitled FSOWA, give the expected value and the variance of the combined goodness measure for each alternative. Robust decision depends on the combined goodness measures of alternatives and also on the variations of these measures under uncertainty. In order to combine these two characteristics a composite goodness measure will be defined. The theoretical results will be illustrated in a watershed management problem. By using this measure will give more sensitive decisions to the stakeholders whose optimism degrees are different than that of the decision maker. FSOWA can be used for robust decision making on the competitive alternatives under uncertainty.     

Fuzzy Mathematical Programming: A Unified Approach Based On Fuzzy Relations

Fuzzy mathematical programming problems (FMP) form a subclass of decision - making problems where preferences between alternatives are described by means of objective function(s) defined on the set of alternatives. The formulation a FMP problem associated with the classical MP problem is presented. Then the concept of a feasible solution and optimal solution of FMP problem are defined. These concepts are based on generalized equality and inequality fuzzy relations. Among others we show that the class of all MP problems with (crisp) parameters can be naturally embedded into the class of FMP problems with fuzzy parameters. We also show that the feasible and optimal solutions being fuzzy sets are convex under some mild assumptions.     

A study of high-level managerial decision processes, with implications for MCDM research

We study six real-world major strategic decisions and discuss the role that analytic Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) models could play in helping decision makers structure and solve such problems. We have interviewed successful and well-educated managers who had access to quantitative decision models, but did not use them as part of their decision process. Our approach is a clinical one that takes a close look at the decision processes. We believe that the normative MCDM framework is oversimplified and does not always fit well with complex, real-world organizational decision processes. This may be one reason why decision tools are not used more widely for solving high-level decision problems. We believe that it would be worthwhile to revise some of the MCDM mainstream postulates and practices to make existing models and tools more suitable for practical purposes. The MCDM mainstream research has until today focused on the choice among alternatives. One should realize that MCDM models could also be used in creating alternatives, in assessing the importance of criteria, in providing the decision makers with “post-commitment support”, and as part of a devil's advocate approach.     

区间犹豫模糊ELECTRE多属性决策方法及应用

近年来,多属性决策问题一直是广大学者研究的重点,然而基于ELECTRE方法的区间犹豫模糊多属性决策问题的研究并不多见。因此,结合区间犹豫模糊集的信息表达优势和ELECTRE方法的思想,提出了一种区间犹豫模糊ELECTRE(IVHF ELECTRE)多属性决策新方法。首先构造了区间犹豫模糊决策矩阵,引入得分函数和可能度的概念,构造属性优势集和属性劣势集。然后通过设定阈值得到综合优先判定矩阵,从而得到各方案间的优先顺序。为了进一步得到各方案的整体排序,引入TOPSIS方法,通过计算各方案与正负理想点的相对距离来构造综合优先矩阵,从而得到各方案的总体排序。最后通过具体实例验证了该方法的可行性和合理性。     

Extensions of the multicriteria analysis with pairwise comparison under a fuzzy environment

Multicriteria decision-making (MCDM) problems often involve a complex decision process in which multiple requirements and fuzzy conditions have to be taken into consideration simultaneously. The existing approaches for solving this problem in a fuzzy environment are complex. Combining the concepts of grey relation and pairwise comparison, a new fuzzy MCDM method is proposed. First, the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used to construct fuzzy weights of all criteria. Then, linguistic terms characterized by L–R triangular fuzzy numbers are used to denote the evaluation values of all alternatives versus subjective and objective criteria. Finally, the aggregation fuzzy assessments of different alternatives are ranked to determine the best selection. Furthermore, this paper uses a numerical example of location selection to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method. The study results show that this method is an effective means for tackling MCDM problems in a fuzzy environment.     

模糊多属性群体决策模糊距离折中比值法及应用

为解决复杂条件下的模糊多属性群体决策问题,利用模糊距离的概念,提出了模糊距离折中比值法(FCRM)。在FCRM中,属性权重和定性属性评估值由语言变量和三角模糊数描述,并用模糊距离度量模糊数之间的距离。FCRM的决策原则是所选择的最优解在尽可能地贴近正理想解的同时尽可能地远离负理想解,同时充分考虑多个决策者的主观态度。文中详细阐述了FCRM的决策过程,通过实例将其应用于军事航线优选问题并与其他相关方法进行了比较分析,证实了该方法的有效性。     

Strong reciprocity and strong consistency in pairwise comparison matrix with fuzzy elements

The decision making problem considered in this paper is to rank n alternatives from the best to the worst, using the information given by the decision maker in the form of an \(n\times n\) pairwise comparison matrix. Here, we deal with pairwise comparison matrices with fuzzy elements. Fuzzy elements of the pairwise comparison matrix are applied whenever the decision maker is not sure about the value of his/her evaluation of the relative importance of elements in question. We investigate pairwise comparison matrices with elements from abelian linearly ordered group (alo-group) over a real interval. The concept of reciprocity and consistency of pairwise comparison matrices with fuzzy elements have been already studied in the literature. Here, we define stronger concepts, namely the strong reciprocity and strong consistency of pairwise comparison matrices with fuzzy intervals as the matrix elements (PCF matrices), derive the necessary and sufficient conditions for strong reciprocity and strong consistency and investigate their properties as well as some consequences to the problem of ranking the alternatives.     

Some issues in mathematical modelling of multiple criteria decision-making problems

Models for analyzing and solving multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM) problems are difficult to evaluate and compare, because they are intended for diverse orderings of a set of feasible alternatives. These models are based on a variety of assumptions about the decision maker's preferences and use different types of preference information. In this paper, a conceptual framework is developed for evaluating and comparing discrete alternative MCDM models available for a given decision situation. The procedure employed in the framework guides the user through an analysis of the decision situation making it possible for a decision maker or analyst to select the most appropriate MCDM model from among several alternative feasible models.     

A new decision support model in multi-criteria decision making with intuitionistic fuzzy sets based on risk preferences and criteria reduction

In this paper, we propose a new model for decision support to address the ‘large decision table’ (eg, many criteria) challenge in intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IFSs) multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problems. This new model involves risk preferences of decision makers (DMs) based on the prospect theory and criteria reduction. First, we build three relationship models based on different types of DMs’ risk preferences. By building different discernibility matrices according to relationship models, we find useful criteria for IFS MCDM problems. Second, we propose a technique to obtain weights through discernibility matrix. Third, we also propose a new method to rank and select the most desirable choice(s) according to weighted combinatorial advantage values of alternatives. Finally, we use a realistic voting example to demonstrate the practicality and effectiveness of the proposed method and construct a new decision support model for IFS MCDM problems.     

Evidential reasoning based preference programming for multiple attribute decision analysis under uncertainty

Multiple attribute decision analysis (MADA) problems having both quantitative and qualitative attributes under uncertainty can be modelled and analysed using the evidential reasoning (ER) approach. Several types of uncertainty such as ignorance and fuzziness can be consistently modelled in the ER framework. In this paper, both interval weight assignments and interval belief degrees are considered, which could be incurred in many decision situations such as group decision making. Based on the existing ER algorithm, several pairs of preference programming models are constructed to support global sensitivity analysis based on the interval values and to generate the upper and lower bounds of the combined belief degrees for distributed assessment and also the expected values for ranking of alternatives. A post-optimisation procedure is developed to identify non-dominated solutions, examine the robustness of the partial ranking orders generated, and provide guidance for the elicitation of additional information for generating more desirable assessment results. A car evaluation problem is examined to show the implementation process of the proposed approach.     

Satisfactory solution concepts and their relations for Stochastic Multiobjective Programming problems

This work deals with the concept of satisfactory solution for Stochastic Multiobjective Programming (SMP) problems. Based on previous literature, we will introduce different concepts of satisfactory solutions for SMP problems, define a new concept of solution (where the decision maker (DM) sets his/her preferences in terms of two aspiration levels for the stochastic objective and two probabilities to reach those levels), and establish some relationship between these concepts. The results will aim at featuring these concepts and determine the differences between them. Moreover, the paper proposes a new step by step procedure to exchange information between the analyst and DM prior to solving the problem. Thus, the DM will be able to choose the transformation criterion for each stochastic objective and the aspiration level.     

基于概率测度的不确定语言多属性决策方法及应用

针对具有不确定语言信息的多属性决策问题,给出了一种基于语言概率测度的决策分析方法。阐述了不确定语言变量的概念,提出了一种用于处理不确定语言变量的语言概率有序加权平均（linguistic probabilistic ordered weighted averaging,LPOWA）算子。采用LPOWA算子将不确定语言转化为二元语义,再通过ETOWA算子得到每个方案的综合评价值,进而可得到所有方案的排序结果。利用LPOWA算子和ETOWA算子,对辽宁省风险投资企业进行评估和优选。理论分析和计算结果表明：该方法简洁可行,便于应用。     

An Experimental Evaluation of Interactive MCDM Methods and the Decision Making Process

Increasingly, it is becoming recognized that interactive solution methods should provide not only a solution to a multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) problem, but also the opportunity for decision makers to learn about their own preferences. In this paper, we describe an experiment that examines three MCDM solution methods and the process of converging on a final solution. Twenty-four management students participated in the experiment and were required to solve two completely different MCDM problems. Within this experimental framework, we examined the use of a two-stage approach to decision making. Both quantitative and qualitative results are presented. Preferences among the different solution methods vary significantly. Several conclusions are drawn concerning the desirable features of interactive MCDM solution methods.