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1.
In this paper, we study the strategic R&D collaboration by introducing a virtual player to reveal cooperative incentives and keeping investment share and market share independent of each other. Not consistently with the traditional opinions, we show that the superiority of the R&D cartel is due to the coexistence of cooperation and competition when spillovers are exogenous. Moreover, we conclude that high R&D input share must be reflected implicitly by high market share, and that firms’ R&D decisions vary with firms’ specific characteristics when spillovers is endogenous.  相似文献   

2.
Maintaining a rich research and development (R&D) pipeline is the key to remaining competitive in many industrial sectors. Due to its nature, R&D activities are subject to multiple sources of uncertainty, the modeling of which is compounded by the ability of the decision maker to alter the underlying process. In this paper, we present a multi-stage stochastic programming framework for R&D pipeline management, which demonstrates how essential considerations can be modeled in an efficient manner including: (i) the selection and scheduling of R&D tasks with general precedence constraints under pass/fail uncertainty, and (ii) resource planning decisions (expansion/contraction and outsourcing) for multiple resource types. Furthermore, we study interdependencies between tasks in terms of probability of success, resource usage and market impact. Finally, we explore risk management approaches, including novel formulations for value at risk and conditional value at risk.  相似文献   

3.
The objective of this article is to propose a framework for analysis of the relationships between the four perspectives of the balanced scorecard (BSC) of Kaplan and Norton. To this end, several different models of efficiency have been developed, utilising data envelopment analysis (DEA). Each of the variables has been extracted from a model of the BSC for research and development (R&D) activities. A study has been carried out with 90 companies to illustrate a case of this analysis.  相似文献   

4.
We examine how a licensor can optimally design licensing contracts for multi-phase R&D projects when he does not know the licensee’s project valuation, leading to adverse selection, and cannot enforce the licensee’s effort level, resulting in moral hazard. We focus on the effect of the phased nature typical of such projects, and compare single-phase and multi-phase contracts. We determine the optimal values for the upfront payment, milestone payments and royalties, and the optimal timing for outlicensing. Including multiple milestones and accompanying payments can be an effective way of discriminating between licensees holding different valuations, without having to manipulate the royalty rate, which induces licensees to invest less, resulting in lower project values and socially suboptimal solutions. Interestingly, we also find that multiple milestone payments are beneficial even when the licensor is risk-averse, contrary to standard contract theory results, which recommend that only an upfront payment should be used. In terms of licensing timing, we show that the optimal time depends on the licensor’s risk aversion, the characteristics of the licensee and the project value.  相似文献   

5.
This note is concerned with the question if and when to carry out marketing operations that are aimed at completely reducing marketing uncertainties surrounding the value of a stationary R&D project at its technical completion. It is shown that the benefits arising from thise operations can be measured via the EVPI (the expected value of perfect information). In addition, it is observed that the timing of these operations should only be considered at the beginning of the project's life. Finally, a sensitivity analysis with respect to the statistical properties of the EVPI is performed.  相似文献   

6.
This paper examines issues related to various decision-based analytic approaches to sequential choice of projects, with special motivation from and application in the pharmaceutical industry. In particular, the Pearson index and Gittins index are considered as key strategic decision-making tools for the selection of R&D projects. It presents a proof of optimality of the Pearson index based on the Neyman–Pearson lemma. Emphasis is also given to how a project manager may differentiate between the two indices based on concepts from statistical decision theory. This work demonstrates and justifies the correct use of the Pearson index.  相似文献   

7.
Let {Z t ,t≥1} be a sequence of trials taking values in a given setA={0, 1, 2,...,m}, where we regard the value 0 as failure and the remainingm values as successes. Let ε be a (single or compound) pattern. In this paper, we provide a unified approach for the study of two joint distributions, i.e., the joint distribution of the numberX n of occurrences of ε, the numbers of successes and failures inn trials and the joint distribution of the waiting timeT r until ther-th occurrence of ε, the numbers of successes and failures appeared at that time. We also investigate some distributions as by-products of the two joint distributions. Our methodology is based on two types of the random variablesX n (a Markov chain imbeddable variable of binomial type and a Markov chain imbeddable variable of returnable type). The present work develops several variations of the Markov chain imbedding method and enables us to deal with the variety of applications in different fields. Finally, we discuss several practical examples of our results. This research was partially supported by the ISM Cooperative Research Program (2002-ISM·CRP-2007).  相似文献   

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