Dynamic Bayesian estimation of displacement parameters of continuous curve box based on Novozhilov theory

The finite strip controlling equation of pinned curve box was deduced on basis of Novozhilov theory and with flexibility method, and the problem of continuous curve box was resolved. Dynamic Bayesian error function of displacement parameters of continuous curve box was found. The corresponding formulas of dynamic Bayesian expectation and variance were derived. After the method of solving the automatic search of step length was put forward, the optimization estimation computing formulas were also obtained by adapting conjugate gradient method. Then the steps of dynamic Bayesian estimation were given in detail. Through analysis of a classic example, the criterion of judging the precision of the known information is gained as well as some other important conclusions about dynamic Bayesian stochastic estimation of displacement parameters of continuous curve box.     

多室弯箱力学参数的非线性动态Markov优化识别研究

对于多室弯箱结构,基于误差理论建立了多室弯箱力学参数的非线性动态Markov误差函数和方差计算公式,并根据正交函数系理论推导了固体壳单元计算列式;利用直接优化理论研究了多室弯箱力学参数的动态识别方法,其中最优步长采用一维自动寻优方案确定。同时给出了多室弯箱力学参数的非线性动态Markov优化识别的具体步骤,并研制了相应的计算程序。研究结果表明:基于正交函数系理论构造的固体壳单元是正确的;动态误差函数能同时考虑多位移考察点和多量测次数的系统响应信息;直接理论用于多室弯箱力学参数的非线性Markov优化识别时表现出良好的数值稳定性和收敛性,具有较高的计算效率。     

基于共轭梯度法带隔板连续薄壁直箱位移参数的动态Bayes估计

推导了简支薄壁直箱有限条元控制方程,并结合柔度理论解决了带隔板连续薄壁直箱的超静定问题.基于Bayes定理,建立了带隔板连续薄壁直箱位移参数的动态Bayes误差函数,推导了相应的位移参数计算公式,并应用共轭梯度法研究了带隔板连续薄壁直箱位移参数的动态Bayes估计方法,同时给出了连续薄壁直箱位移参数的具体估计步骤,编制了相应的计算程序.通过典型算例分析可知,联合有限条元法和共轭梯度法进行带隔板连续薄壁直箱位移参数的动态Bayes估计是可行的,只需利用若干测点位移印能同时进行多参数估计,且先验信息合理时,迭代过程稳定地收敛于位移参数实际值.