随机结构系统基于可靠性的优化设计

提出了以梁板（薄板）为基体的随机结构系统（即结构元件的面积、长度、弹性模量和强度等均为随机变量）在随机载荷作用下,基于可靠性的优化设计方法．给出了随机结构系统安全余量和系统可靠性指标的敏度表达式;给出最佳矢量型算法．首先是用改进的一次二阶矩和随机有限元法求出安全余量的可靠性指标的表达式,然后用概率网络估算(PNET)法求出系统失效概率的公式,对该式两边求导得出了系统可靠性指标的敏度表达式,进而用最佳矢量型算法进行优化设计．在优化迭代过程中,采用梯度步和最佳矢量步相结合的方法进行计算．最后给出了一个算例,说明该方法计算效率高,收敛稳定,适合工程应用．     

A hybrid conjugate finite-step length method for robust and efficient reliability analysis

The robustness and efficiency of the first-order reliability method (FORM) are the important issues in the structural reliability analysis. In this paper, a hybrid conjugate search direction with finite-step length is proposed to improve the efficiency and robustness of FORM, namely hybrid conjugate finite-step length (CFSL-H). The conjugate scalar factor in CFSL-H is adaptively updated using two conjugate methods with a dynamic participation factor. The accuracy, efficiency and robustness of the CFSL-H are illustrated through the nonlinear explicit and structural implicit limit state functions with normal and non-normal random variables. The results illustrated that the proposed CFSL-H algorithm is more robust, efficient and accurate than the modified existing FORM algorithms for complex structural problems.     

Three-term conjugate approach for structural reliability analysis

In this paper, a nonlinear conjugate structural first-order reliability method is proposed using three-term conjugate discrete map-based sensitivity analysis to enhance convergence properties as stable results and efficient computational burden of nonlinear reliability problems. The concept of finite-step length strategy is incorporated into this method to enhance the stability of the iterative formula for highly nonlinear limit state function, while three-term conjugate search direction combining with a finite-step size is utilized to enhance the efficiency of the sensitivity vector in the proposed iterative reliability formula. The proposed three-term discrete conjugate search direction is developed based on the sufficient descent condition to provide the stable results, theoretically. The efficiency and robustness of the proposed three-term conjugate formula are investigated through several nonlinear/ complex structural examples and are compared with several modified existing iterative formulas. Comparative results illustrate that the three-term conjugate-based finite step length formula provides superior efficiency and robustness than other studied methods.     

Establishment of non-negative constraint method as a robust and efficient first-order reliability method

In structural reliability analysis, computation of reliability index or probability of failure is the main purpose. The Hasofer–Lind and Rackwitz–Fiessler (HL-RF) method is a widely used method in the category of first-order reliability methods (FORM). However, this method cannot be trusted for highly nonlinear limit state functions. Two proposed methods of this paper replace the original real valued constraint of FORM with a non-negative constraint, in all steps and during the whole procedure. First, the non-negative constraint is directly used to construct a non-negative Lagrange function and a search direction vector. Then, the first- and second-order Taylor approximation of the non-negative constraint are employed to compute step sizes of the first and second proposed methods, respectively. Contribution of the non-negative constraint and the effective approach of determining step sizes have led to the efficient computation of reliability index in nonlinear problems. The robustness and efficiency of two proposed methods are shown in various mathematical and structural examples of the literature.     

Stochastic multi-scale finite element based reliability analysis for laminated composite structures

This paper proposes a novel multi-scale approach for the reliability analysis of composite structures that accounts for both microscopic and macroscopic uncertainties, such as constituent material properties and ply angle. The stochastic structural responses, which establish the relationship between structural responses and random variables, are achieved using a stochastic multi-scale finite element method, which integrates computational homogenisation with the stochastic finite element method. This is further combined with the first- and second-order reliability methods to create a unique reliability analysis framework. To assess this approach, the deterministic computational homogenisation method is combined with the Monte Carlo method as an alternative reliability method. Numerical examples are used to demonstrate the capability of the proposed method in measuring the safety of composite structures. The paper shows that it provides estimates very close to those from Monte Carlo method, but is significantly more efficient in terms of computational time. It is advocated that this new method can be a fundamental element in the development of stochastic multi-scale design methods for composite structures.     

An Outer Approximations Approach to Reliability-Based Optimal Design of Structures

We present a new formulation of the problem of minimizing the initial cost of a structure subject to a minimum reliability requirement, expressed in terms of the so-called design points of the first-order reliability theory, i.e., points on limit-state surfaces that are nearest to the origin in a transformed standard normal space, as well as other deterministic constraints. Our formulation makes it possible to use outer approximations algorithms for the solution of such optimal design problems, eliminating some of the major objections associated with treating them as bilevel optimization problems. A numerical example is presented that illustrates the reliability and efficiency of the algorithm.     

Novel reliability-based optimization method for thermal structure with hybrid random,interval and fuzzy parameters

In this paper, novel reliability-based optimization model and method are proposed for thermal structure design with random, interval and fuzzy uncertainties in material properties, external loads and boundary conditions. Random variables are used to quantify the probabilistic uncertainty with sufficient sample data; whereas, interval variables and fuzzy variables are adopted to model the non-probabilistic uncertainty associated with objective limited information and subjective expert opinions, respectively. Using the interval ranking strategy, the level-cut limit state function is precisely quantified to represent the safety state. The eventual safety possibility is derived based on multiple integral, where the cut levels of different fuzzy variables are considered to be independent. Then a hybrid reliability-based optimization model is established with considerable computational cost caused by three-layer nested loop. To improve the computational efficiency, a subinterval vertex method is presented to replace the inner-loop and middle-loop. Comparing numerical results with traditional reliability model, a mono-objective example and a multi-objective example are provided to demonstrate the feasibility of proposed method for hybrid reliability analysis and optimization in practical engineering.     

Time-variant reliability-based structural optimization using sorm

Structural optimization under time-invariante reliability constraints is sufficiently well known. The same problem under time-dependent loads and resistances has not yet found satisfying solutions. Recently, a new attempt has been made where structural reliability is determined by the outcrossing approach in the context of first-order reliability methodology (FORM). In the paper an algorithm is designed with which outcrossing rates determined by asymptotic second-order reliability methods (SORM) can be used as constraints in structural optimization. The method is developed for two different types of stationary load models, rectangular wave renewal processes and Gaussian processes, respectively. An example application demonstrates the new methodology     

Enriched self-adjusted performance measure approach for reliability-based design optimization of complex engineering problems

For reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of practical structural/mechanical problems under highly nonlinear constraints, it is an important characteristic of the performance measure approach (PMA) to show robustness and high convergence rate. In this study, self-adjusted mean value is used in the PMA iterative formula to improve the robustness and efficiency of the RBDO-based PMA for nonlinear engineering problems based on dynamic search direction. A novel merit function is applied to adjust the modified search direction in the enriched self-adjusted mean value (ESMV) method, which can control the instability and value of the step size for highly nonlinear probabilistic constraints in RBDO problems. The convergence performance of the enriched self-adjusted PMA is illustrated using four nonlinear engineering problems. In particular, a complex engineering example of aircraft stiffened panel is used to compare the RBDO results of different reliability methods. The results demonstrate that the proposed self-adjusted steepest descent search direction can improve the computational efficiency and robustness of the PMA compared to existing modified reliability methods for nonlinear RBDO problems.     

Two basic problems in reliability-based structural optimization

Optimization of structures with respect to performance, weight or cost is a well-known application of mathematical optimization theory. However optimization of structures with respect to weight or cost under probabilistic reliability constraints or optimization with respect to reliability under cost/weight constraints has been subject of only very few studies. The difficulty in using probabilistic constraints or reliability targets lies in the fact that modern reliability methods themselves are formulated as a problem of optimization. In this paper two special formulations based on the so-called first-order reliability method (FORM) are presented. It is demonstrated that both problems can be solved by a one-level optimization problem, at least for problems in which structural failure is characterized by a single failure criterion. Three examples demonstrate the algorithm indicating that the proposed formulations are comparable in numerical effort with an approach based on semi-infinite programming but are definitely superior to a two-level formulation.     

Handling forecasting problems using fuzzy time series

In [6–9], Song et al. proposed fuzzy time-series models to deal with forecasting problems. In [10], Sullivan and Woodall reviewed the first-order time-invariant fuzzy time series model and the first-order time-variant model proposed by Song and Chissom [6–8], where the models are compared with each other and with a time-invariant Markov model using linguistic labels with probability distributions. In this paper, we propose a new method to forecast university enrollments, where the historical enrollments of the University of Alabama shown in [7,8] are used to illustrate the forecasting process. The average forecasting errors and the time complexity of these methods are compared. The proposed method is more efficient than the ones presented in [7, 8, 10] due to the fact that the proposed method simplifies the arithmetic operation process. Furthermore, the average forecasting error of the proposed method is smaller than the ones presented in [2, 7, 8].     

A hybrid self-adjusted mean value method for reliability-based design optimization using sufficient descent condition

Due to the efficiency and simplicity, advanced mean value (AMV) method is widely used to evaluate the probabilistic constraints in reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problems. However, it may produce unstable results as periodic and chaos solutions for highly nonlinear performance functions. In this paper, the AMV is modified based on a self-adaptive step size, named as the self-adjusted mean value (SMV) method, where the step size for reliability analysis is adjusted based on a power function dynamically. Then, a hybrid self-adjusted mean value (HSMV) method is developed to enhance the robustness and efficiency of iterative scheme in the reliability loop, where the AMV is combined with the SMV on the basis of sufficient descent condition. Finally, the proposed methods (i.e. SMV and HSMV) are compared with other existing performance measure approaches through several nonlinear mathematical/structural examples. Results show that the SMV and HSMV are more efficient with enhanced robustness for both convex and concave performance functions.     

多变量、多约束连续或离散的非线性规划的一个通用算法

利用目标函数对约束函数关于设计变量的一阶微分或差分之比,给出了一个求解非线性规划的通用算法．不论变量和约束有多少,也不论变量是连续的还是离散的,这一算法都比较有效,尤其对离散非线性规划更有效．该方法是一种搜索法,勿需解任何数学方程,只需要计算函数值以及函数对变量的偏微分或差分值．许多数值例题和运筹学中一些经典问题,如1) 一、二维的背包问题;2) 一、二维资源分配问题;3) 复合系统工作可靠性问题;4) 机器负荷问题等,经用此法求解验证均较传统方法更有效和可靠．该方法的主要优点是:1) 不受问题的规模限制;2) 只要在可行域（集）内存在目标函数和约束函数及其一阶导数或差分的值,肯定可以搜索到最优的解,没有不收敛和不稳定的问题．     

Decoupled reliability-based geotechnical design of deep excavations of soil with spatial variability

This paper presents a general decoupled method for reliability-based geotechnical design that takes into account the spatial variability of soil properties. In this method, reliability analyses that require a lot of computational resources are decoupled from the optimization procedure by approximating the failure probability function globally. Failure samples are iteratively generated over the entire design space so that their global distribution information can be extracted to construct the failure probability function. The method is computationally efficient, is flexible to implement, and is well suited for geotechnical problems that may involve sophisticated models. A design example of two-dimensional deep excavation against basal heave is discussed for Singapore marine clay where the density and normalized undrained shear strength of soil mass are modeled as random fields. Results demonstrate that the proposed method works well in practice and is advantageous over the coupled or locally decoupled reliability-based geotechnical design methods.     

An efficient inexact symmetric Gauss–Seidel based majorized ADMM for high-dimensional convex composite conic programming

In this paper, we propose an inexact multi-block ADMM-type first-order method for solving a class of high-dimensional convex composite conic optimization problems to moderate accuracy. The design of this method combines an inexact 2-block majorized semi-proximal ADMM and the recent advances in the inexact symmetric Gauss–Seidel (sGS) technique for solving a multi-block convex composite quadratic programming whose objective contains a nonsmooth term involving only the first block-variable. One distinctive feature of our proposed method (the sGS-imsPADMM) is that it only needs one cycle of an inexact sGS method, instead of an unknown number of cycles, to solve each of the subproblems involved. With some simple and implementable error tolerance criteria, the cost for solving the subproblems can be greatly reduced, and many steps in the forward sweep of each sGS cycle can often be skipped, which further contributes to the efficiency of the proposed method. Global convergence as well as the iteration complexity in the non-ergodic sense is established. Preliminary numerical experiments on some high-dimensional linear and convex quadratic SDP problems with a large number of linear equality and inequality constraints are also provided. The results show that for the vast majority of the tested problems, the sGS-imsPADMM is 2–3 times faster than the directly extended multi-block ADMM with the aggressive step-length of 1.618, which is currently the benchmark among first-order methods for solving multi-block linear and quadratic SDP problems though its convergence is not guaranteed.     

Close formation flight of swarm unmanned aerial vehicles via metric-distance brain storm optimization

Close formation flight of swarm unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) has drawn much attention from scholars due to its significant importance in many aspects. In this paper, we focus on an advanced controller design for swarm UAV close formation based on a novel bio-inspired algorithm, i.e., metric-distance brain storm optimization (MDBSO). The proposed method utilizes the brain storm optimization (BSO) which has been extensively adopted in complicated systems with great performances and modifies its basic operators to formulate the formation flight controller design. The original clustering operator in BSO is replaced by a fresh clustering method based on metric distances, while the individual updating operator utilizes Lévy distribution to extend search steps to fit into the metric searching regions. Then the proposed algorithm is applied to optimize the benchmark controller in swarm UAV close formation to enhance the tracking performances under complicated circumstances. Simulation results demonstrate that our approach is more superior in stable configuration of swarm UAV close formations by comparing with several generic methods.     

基于改进自适应混沌控制的逆可靠度分析方法

自适应混沌控制方法是一种高效、稳健的逆可靠度分析方法,但在求解强非线性凹功能函数时,计算效率仍然有待提高,且可能会陷入局部最优.通过对混沌控制因子更新策略进行改进,提出了基于改进自适应混沌控制的逆可靠度分析方法.数值算例分析表明:该方法能够有效地改善混沌控制因子自适应选取时的合理性,具有更好的收敛性和更高的计算效率,为结构可靠度分析和可靠度优化问题提供了更加高效、稳健的求解途径.     

结构模糊可靠性分析方法的泛灰求解

针对现有的基于区间求解结构模糊可靠度方法的缺陷,提出了一种新的求解结构模糊可靠度方法.该方法利用泛灰数描述与结构基本变量概率分布相关的不确定参数,并将这些泛灰数引入到结构模糊可靠度计算中,得出了较为精确的结构可靠度计算结果.数值算例表明,该方法得到的结构可靠度区间更窄,实现了利用较少的信息量得到较精确的可靠度计算结果,相比传统的结构模糊可靠度计算方法能提供更多、更精确的关于结构安全程度的有用信息.     

Quantile regression with group lasso for classification

Applications of regression models for binary response are very common and models specific to these problems are widely used. Quantile regression for binary response data has recently attracted attention and regularized quantile regression methods have been proposed for high dimensional problems. When the predictors have a natural group structure, such as in the case of categorical predictors converted into dummy variables, then a group lasso penalty is used in regularized methods. In this paper, we present a Bayesian Gibbs sampling procedure to estimate the parameters of a quantile regression model under a group lasso penalty for classification problems with a binary response. Simulated and real data show a good performance of the proposed method in comparison to mean-based approaches and to quantile-based approaches which do not exploit the group structure of the predictors.     

Case Studies for a First-Order Robust Nonlinear Programming Formulation

In this paper, we conduct three case studies to assess the effectiveness of a recently proposed first-order method for robust nonlinear programming [Zhang, Y.: J. Optim. Theory Appl. 132, 111–124 (2007)]. Three robust nonlinear programming problems were chosen from the literature using the criteria that results calculated using other methods must be available and the problems should be realistic, but fairly simple. Our studies show that the first-order method produced reasonable solutions when the level of uncertainty was small to moderate. In addition, we demonstrate a method for leveraging a theoretical result to eliminate constraint violations. Since the first-order method is relatively inexpensive in comparison to other robust optimization techniques, our studies indicate that, under moderate uncertainty, the first-order approach may be more suitable than other methods for large problems. The authors recognize funding from NSF Grants DMS-0405831 and DMS-0240058.