Extension of the TOPSIS method for decision making problems under interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy environment

TOPSIS is one of the well-known methods for multiple attribute decision making (MADM). In this paper, we extend the TOPSIS method to solve multiple attribute group decision making (MAGDM) problems in interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy environment in which all the preference information provided by the decision-makers is presented as interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrices where each of the elements is characterized by interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy number (IVIFNs), and the information about attribute weights is partially known. First, we use the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy hybrid geometric (IIFHG) operator to aggregate all individual interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrices provided by the decision-makers into the collective interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix, and then we use the score function to calculate the score of each attribute value and construct the score matrix of the collective interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix. From the score matrix and the given attribute weight information, we establish an optimization model to determine the weights of attributes, and construct the weighted collective interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix, and then determine the interval-valued intuitionistic positive-ideal solution and interval-valued intuitionistic negative-ideal solution. Based on different distance definitions, we calculate the relative closeness of each alternative to the interval-valued intuitionistic positive-ideal solution and rank the alternatives according to the relative closeness to the interval-valued intuitionistic positive-ideal solution and select the most desirable one(s). Finally, an example is used to illustrate the applicability of the proposed approach.     

Enhanced-interval linear programming

An enhanced-interval linear programming (EILP) model and its solution algorithm have been developed that incorporate enhanced-interval uncertainty (e.g., A^±, B^± and C^±) in a linear optimization framework. As a new extension of linear programming, the EILP model has the following advantages. Its solution space is absolutely feasible compared to that of interval linear programming (ILP), which helps to achieve insight into the expected-value-oriented trade-off between system benefits and risks of constraint violations. The degree of uncertainty of its enhanced-interval objective function (EIOF) would be lower than that of ILP model when the solution space is absolutely feasible, and the EIOF’s expected value could be used as a criterion for generating the appropriate alternatives, which help decision-makers obtain non-extreme decisions. Moreover, because it can be decomposed into two submodels, EILP’s computational requirement is lower than that of stochastic and fuzzy LP models. The results of a numeric example further indicated the feasibility and effectiveness of EILP model. In addition, EI nonlinear programming models, hybrid stochastic or fuzzy EILP models as well as risk-based trade-off analysis for EI uncertainty within decision process can be further developed to improve its applicability.     

多属性决策的组合赋权优化方法

针对多属性决策中属性权重的确定问题，提出了一种主观权重与客观权重的集成方法。对每个决策属性，将各个决策者给出的主观权重和客观权重作为样本点，采用规划的方法来集成主观权重和客观权重，使决策结果更加可靠、可信。     

An intelligent-agent-based fuzzy group decision making model for financial multicriteria decision support: The case of credit scoring

Credit risk analysis is an active research area in financial risk management and credit scoring is one of the key analytical techniques in credit risk evaluation. In this study, a novel intelligent-agent-based fuzzy group decision making (GDM) model is proposed as an effective multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) tool for credit risk evaluation. In this proposed model, some artificial intelligent techniques, which are used as intelligent agents, are first used to analyze and evaluate the risk levels of credit applicants over a set of pre-defined criteria. Then these evaluation results, generated by different intelligent agents, are fuzzified into some fuzzy opinions on credit risk level of applicants. Finally, these fuzzification opinions are aggregated into a group consensus and meantime the fuzzy aggregated consensus is defuzzified into a crisp aggregated value to support final decision for decision-makers of credit-granting institutions. For illustration and verification purposes, a simple numerical example and three real-world credit application approval datasets are presented.     

A practical prioritization by multi-level group decision support

Military capability is proposed to be defined according to the DYNPOT scoring method. Multiobjective resource allocation of shared resources by group decision-making can combine analytic and qualitative modeling. Recently it has been pointed out that the goal programming model is superior to other models though it remained to be answered how to take into account hierarchy of decision makers (and objectives) (Stummer and Vetschera in Cent Eur J Oper Res 11:3–260, 2003). In this article it is tried to present, that the quantitative model can be easily adapted to the qualitative STT/QFD model of objectives of top-level group of decision-makers. The subsequent phases of the qualitative and the analytic solution of a multiobjective cooperative resource allocation problem can be applied within the group decision-making framework of defence requirements capability-based planning.     

蕴含系分析法

针对决策科学中的策略集生成问题,提出蕴含系分析法.该方法基于蕴含系的概念与性质所建立,用于诊断问题形成的根本原因、发掘与问题相关的潜在与隐含因素、搜索求解问题的切入点,提供了一种分析问题和引导问题求解策略生成的形式化方法.     

The supplier selection problem of a manufacturing company using the weighted multi-choice goal programming and MINMAX multi-choice goal programming

This paper presents two methods of decision making, Weighted multi-choice goal programming (MCGP) and MINMAX MCGP. With the proposed Weighted MCGP method, decision makers can set different weights w_i for each goal with linguistic terms, such as high, average and low, which can be transformed into trapezoidal fuzzy numbers. Meanwhile, with the proposed MINMAX MCGP method, this study also let decision makers set the satisfaction membership function for each goal according to their preference in order to eliminate the effect of different scales in each goal.This paper also investigates the relationship between Weighted multi-choice goal programming and MINMAX multi-choice goal programming. According to the sensitivity analysis, decision makers can get the solution with the minimum aggregate deviation for all multiple goals from the Weighted multi-choice goal programming. Meanwhile, decision makers can get the solution with the most balanced solution between all multiple goals from the MINMAX multi-choice goal programming method. The weight variable is introduced to the above two methods to provide decision-makers with a mechanism to evaluate the discrepancy between the maximum aggregate achievement and the most balanced solution, enabling decision-makers to reach the preferable decision for their situation. A real-world problem of supplier selection by the purchasing and sales managers of a manufacturing company is used to illustrate the differing solutions given by the two models.     

群决策中成员意见的分歧特征及判断准则研究

群决策过程中各成员的评价在决策初始存在分歧,对这些分歧进行一致性分析是群决策过程的一个关键步骤,不剔除与群体意见偏离较远的决策者的评价信息就进行群体意见集结,可能会得出不符合客观实际的结论;讨论了群决策中成员意见的分歧特征,提出了成员评价的集中性和相似性概念;定义了群决策过程中判断个人意见是否与群体意见一致的判断准则,即集中性指标和相似性指标.     

Correlation coefficient of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets and its application to multiple attribute group decision making problems

In this paper, we investigate the group decision making problems in which all the information provided by the decision-makers is presented as interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrices where each of the elements is characterized by interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy number (IVIFN), and the information about attribute weights is partially known. First, we use the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy hybrid geometric (IIFHG) operator to aggregate all individual interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrices provided by the decision-makers into the collective interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix, and then we use the score function to calculate the score of each attribute value and construct the score matrix of the collective interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix. From the score matrix and the given attribute weight information, we establish an optimization model to determine the weights of attributes, and then we use the obtained attribute weights and the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy weighted geometric (IIFWG) operator to fuse the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy information in the collective interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix to get the overall interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy values of alternatives, and then rank the alternatives according to the correlation coefficients between IVIFNs and select the most desirable one(s). Finally, a numerical example is used to illustrate the applicability of the proposed approach.     

Extension of the VIKOR method for group decision making with interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy information

The aim of this paper is to extend the VIKOR method for multiple attribute group decision making in interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy environment, in which all the preference information provided by the decision-makers is presented as interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrices where each of the elements is characterized by interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy number, and the information about attribute weights is partially known, which is an important research field in decision science and operation research. First, we use the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy hybrid geometric operator to aggregate all individual interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrices provided by the decision-makers into the collective interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix, and then we use the score function to calculate the score of each attribute value and construct the score matrix of the collective interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix. From the score matrix and the given attribute weight information, we establish an optimization model to determine the weights of attributes, and then determine the interval-valued intuitionistic positive-ideal solution and interval-valued intuitionistic negative-ideal solution. We use the different distances to calculate the particular measure of closeness of each alternative to the interval-valued intuitionistic positive-ideal solution. According to values of the particular measure, we rank the alternatives and then select the most desirable one(s). Finally, a numerical example is used to illustrate the applicability of the proposed approach.     

基于均衡接近度的不确定型的统计决策方法及其应用

灰熵是离散序列均衡程度的测度,灰色关联度是参考序列和比较序列之间接近程度的测度.该方法将灰色关联度和均衡度合成为均衡接近度,并以此作为决策准则,提出了一种不确定型的统计决策的量化计算方法,从而避免了低层次多因素权重确定的主观性,使决策模型更加合理.通过将该决策方法在华油燃气公司决策中进行应用,为该公司选择了最优决策方案,使其获得了较好的经济效益.     

基于偏好和动态直觉的产学研合作伙伴选择群决策分析

针对产学研合作伙伴选择的有限理性和偏好特性,基于直觉模糊多属性决策理论和相对熵理论,构建产学研合作伙伴选择群决策模型。运用动态直觉模糊加权几何算子(DIFWG)集成合作伙伴不同时段的个人准则决策矩阵,实现对产学研合作伙伴持续性的评价;运用直觉模糊有序加权平均算子(IFOWA)集成不同决策者的决策矩阵和偏好矩阵,并利用决策者对合作伙伴的主观偏好与对合作伙伴各准则的客观评价之间差距的极小化,基于加权平均思想,求取评价准则的客观权重;然后,引入相对熵求取评价对象理想的最优权重解,依据该解对各合作伙伴进行排序并选择;最终通过实证研究说明了该方法的有效性和可行性,充分利用直觉模糊理论,实现了产学研合作伙伴的“群偏好—多时段—群决策”的全面评价。     

基于决策者风险偏好大数据分析的大群体应急决策方法

针对重大突发事件应急决策大群体成员的风险偏好复杂难测问题,提出了一种新的基于决策者风险偏好大数据分析的大群体应急决策方法。首先专家群体对突发事件进行快速响应,生成若干应急预案及其风险属性信息;其次,社会公众通过网络等渠道参与到应急决策中来并形成决策大群体,给出不同预案的偏好值;然后,利用证据推理算法得出公众对各预案的风险效用值,将预案风险效用值与预案偏好值加权组合,得到各个预案的大群体决策者的风险偏好值;最后,基于风险偏好值,利用大数据分析技术对大群体的风险偏好进行聚类识别,从中筛选出风险中立者组成新的应急决策群体,再次聚类得出应急决策群体的成员组成结构,以此为基础计算决策者权重和应急预案的最终效用值,得应急预案排序结果。最后通过算例分析验证了方法的有效性和可行性。     

Approach to group decision making based on determining the weights of experts by using projection method

The aim of this paper is to present a new approach for determining weights of experts in the group decision making problems. Group decision making has become a very active research field over the last decade. Especially, the investigation to determine weights of experts for group decision making has attracted great interests from researchers recently and some approaches have been developed. In this paper, the weights of experts are determined in the group decision environment via projection method. First of all, the average decision of all individual decisions is defined as the ideal decision. After that, the weight of expert is determined by the projection of individual decision on the ideal decision. By using the weights of experts, all individual decisions are aggregate into a collective decision. Then an ideal solution of alternatives of the collective decision, expressed by a vector, is determined. Further, the preference order of alternatives are ranked in accordance with the projections of alternatives on the ideal solution. Comparisons with an extended TOPSIS method are also made. Finally, an example is provided to illustrate the developed approach.     

二层决策问题的灵敏度分析(2)

二层决策系统包含着两个最优化决策问题,其中上层决策问题的目标值是由下层决策的解所隐含地确定的.本文研究了二层决策问题的另一方面的灵敏度分析问题,讨论了上层决策者的价值系数发生变化而二层决策问题的最优解不变所产生的灵敏度分析问题.为了确定二层决策问题价值系数发生变化的范围,首先我们给出了灵敏度分析的基本方法,结合“k th-best”算法我们又给出了灵敏度分析的操作步骤.在所确定的变化范围内,价值系数的变化,不会引起二层决策问题的全局最优解的变化,从而为决策者提供了相对稳定的决策方案.最后我们给出了数值实例,它表明本文所给出的灵敏度分析的方法是正确的.     

On the inventory model with continuous and discrete lead time,backorders and lost sales

A well-established global supply chain system plays an important role in an enterprise’s strategic management, and an effective just-in-time system is a critical success factor for a global supply chain system. The advantages and benefits of just-in-time are associated with controlling the lead time. In this paper, we propose an approach to overcome the drawback of traditional methods for improving the continuous and discrete lead time with mixture of backorders and lost sales, by which only a local optimal solution can be obtained. In addition, the proposed model allows decision-makers to add suitable constraints to their model in accordance with their actual business environments. Finally, in order to demonstrate the accuracy and effectiveness of the suggested model, a real-life case, some numerical examples and sensitivity analysis are also included.     

Weighting method for bi-level linear fractional programming problems

In this paper we consider the solution of a bi-level linear fractional programming problem (BLLFPP) by weighting method. A non-dominated solution set is obtained by this method. In this article decision makers (DMs) provide their preference bounds to the decision variables that is the upper and lower bounds to the decision variables they control. We convert the hierarchical system into scalar optimization problem (SOP) by finding proper weights using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) so that objective functions of both levels can be combined into one objective function. Here the relative weights represent the relative importance of the objective functions.     

A Semi-Markov decision problem for proactive and reactive transshipments between multiple warehouses

Lateral transshipments are an effective strategy to pool inventories. We present a Semi-Markov decision problem formulation for proactive and reactive transshipments in a multi-location continuous review distribution inventory system with Poisson demand and one-for-one replenishment policy. For a two-location model we state the monotonicity of an optimal policy. In a numerical study, we compare the benefits of proactive and different reactive transshipment rules. The benefits of proactive transshipments are the largest for networks with intermediate opportunities of demand pooling and the difference between alternative reactive transshipment rules is negligible.     

Supporting Learning in Evolving Dynamic Environments

In dynamic decision environments such as direct sales, customer support, and electronically mediated bargaining, decision makers execute sequences of interdependent decisions under time pressure. Past decision support systems have focused on substituting for decision makers' cognitive deficits by relieving them of the need to explicitly account for sequential dependencies. However, these systems themselves are fragile to change and, further, do not enhance decision makers' own adaptive capacities. This study presents an alternative strategy that defines information systems requirements in terms of enhancing decision makers' adaptation. In so doing, the study introduces a simulation model of how decision makers learn patterns of sequential dependency. When a system was used to manage workflows in a way predicted by the model to enhance learning, decision makers in a bargaining experiment learned underlying patterns of sequential dependencythat helped them adapt to new situations. This result is rare if not unique in the study of dynamic decision environments. It indicates that a shift, away from substituting for short-term deficits and toward enhancing pattern learning, can substantially improve the effectiveness of decision support in dynamic environments. Based on the specific findings in this study, this shift has important implications for designing information system workflows and potential future applications in interface design.