一类变保费率风险模型的Gerber-Shiu惩罚函数

本文考虑变保费风险模型,假设保费率是随时间变化的,研究了其Gerber-Shiu惩罚函数.通过无穷小方法给出 Gerber-Shiu惩罚函数所满足的积分一微分方程;在指数索赔下,给出其破产时赤字的数学期望及破产时的拉普拉斯变换.     

混合指数更新模型下平均折现惩罚函数

本文讨论了以混合指数分布为点间间距的更新风险模型下平均折现惩罚函数, 在简单条件下, 利用Dickson and Hipp (2001)中引入的变换方法, 得到了平均折现惩罚函数的Laplace变换的精确表达式.     

改进后的复合Poisson-Geometric风险模型Gerber-Shiu折现惩罚函数

在考虑到因保费收入和通货膨胀等随机干扰的影响,以及将多余资本用于投资来提高赔付能力的基础上,文章对复合Poisson-Geometric风险模型做进一步推广,建立以保费收入服从复合Poisson过程,理赔量服从复合Poisson-Geometric过程的带投资的干扰风险模型,针对该风险模型,应用全期望公式,推导了Gerber-Shiu折现惩罚函数满足的更新方程,进而得到了在破产时盈余惩罚期望,破产赤字和破产概率满足的更新方程.并以保费额和索赔额均服从指数分布为例,给出破产概率满足的微分方程.以及通过数值例子,分析了初始准备金额,投资金额及保费额等对保险公司最终破产概率的影响.结论为经营者或决策者对各种金融或保险风险进行定量分析和预测提供了理论依据.     

关于红利-惩罚等式的相关结果

本文研究了在一类马氏相关更新风险模型中的红利-惩罚等式的问题.推导了在常数红利边界下,折扣惩罚函数满足的方程,利用解微分-积分方程的方法,更简洁的推出了红利-惩罚等式相关的结果,推广了文献[1]的结论.     

复合二项风险模型下破产概率的Po11azek-Khinchin公式

本文考虑复合二项风险模型破产概率问题,首先通过研究Gerber-Shiu折现惩罚函数,运用概率论的分析方法得到了其所满足的瑕疵更新方程,再结合离散更新方程理论研究了其渐近性质,最后,运用概率母函数的方法得到了与经典的Gramér-Lundberg模型类似的破产概率Pollazek-Khinchin公式.     

Lvy运动干扰的经典风险模型的Gerber-Shiu函数

通过一个弱收敛方法,本文首次以拉普拉斯变换的形式给出α-稳定Levy运动干扰的经典风险模型的Gerber-Shiu期望折扣惩罚函数(G-S函数).用同样的方法,也获得了这个风险模型的最终破产概率作为本文结果的补充.作为检验,这个风险过程的最终破产概率实际上是G-S函数的特殊情形.     

Erlang(2)扩散风险模型的Gerber-Shiu期望折现惩罚函数

将由布朗运动刻画的随机干扰项加入到Erlang(2)风险模型中,在模型中引入了由Gerber和Shiu定义的期望折现惩罚函数,并给出了这类模型的Gerber-Shiu函数所满足的积分微分方程.     

一类离散时间相依风险模型的期望贴现惩罚函数

研究了一类具有相依结构的离散时间更新风险过程,通过索赔额与随机阈值的比较,风险过程在两个级别中相互转换。得到了期望贴现惩罚函数的概率生成函数满足的分析表达式以及零初值时惩罚函数的解析表达式。最后,得到了期望贴现惩罚函数所满足的瑕疵更新方程。     

一类离散时间带随机收入风险模型的带壁分红问题

我们给出了一类离散时间的具有随机收入的非寿险风险模型,研究了该模型的常数壁分红问题.得到了该模型破产发生时Gerber-Shiu折扣惩罚函数.考虑了破产时的期望,有限时间破产概率.最后我们给出了一个例.     

具有红利边界的Erlang（2）风险模型

给出了具有边界红利策略的Erlang（2）风险模型,在此红利策略下,若保险公司的盈余在红利线以下时不支付红利,否则红利以低于保费率的常速率予以支付．对于该模型,本文推导了Gerber-Shiu折现惩罚函数所满足的两个积分－微分方程和更新方程．     

Constant dividend barrier in a risk model with interclaim-dependent claim sizes

The risk model with interclaim-dependent claim sizes proposed by Boudreault et al. [Boudreault, M., Cossette, H., Landriault, D., Marceau, E., 2006. On a risk model with dependence between interclaim arrivals and claim sizes. Scand. Actur. J., 265-285] is studied in the presence of a constant dividend barrier. An integro-differential equation for some Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty functions is derived. We show that its solution can be expressed as the solution to the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function in the same risk model with the absence of a barrier and a combination of two linearly independent solutions to the associated homogeneous integro-differential equation. Finally, we analyze the expected present value of dividend payments before ruin in the same class of risk models. An homogeneous integro-differential equation is derived and then solved. Its solution can be expressed as a different combination of the two fundamental solutions to the homogeneous integro-differential equation associated to the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function.     

复合Poisson-Geometic风险下带投资和障碍分红的Gerber-shiu函数

文章考虑了复合Poisson-Geometic风险下带投资和障碍分红的Gerber-shiu函数问题,运用全期望公式得到了复合Poisson-Geometic风险下带投资和障碍分红的函数所满足的更新方程。并在指数分布的假设下,得到了带投资和障碍分红的保险公司的破产概率的显式表达,最后通过数值算例分析了风险模型的几个关键参数对破产概率的影响,验证了文章结果的合理性,同时也给保险公司的资金管理提出了指导意见。结果表明:充足的初始准备金、较低的赔付门槛、较高收益率的风险资产都是降低破产风险的重要策略。     

On the renewal risk model under a threshold strategy

In this paper, we consider the renewal risk process under a threshold dividend payment strategy. For this model, the expected discounted dividend payments and the Gerber–Shiu expected discounted penalty function are investigated. Integral equations, integro-differential equations and some closed form expressions for them are derived. When the claims are exponentially distributed, it is verified that the expected penalty of the deficit at ruin is proportional to the ruin probability.     

On the Gerber-Shiu Function and Optimal Dividend Strategy for a Thinning Risk Model

In this paper, the risk model under constant dividend barrier strategy is studied, in which the premium income follows a compound Poisson process and the arrival of the claims is a p-thinning process of the premium arrival process. The integral equations with boundary conditions for the expected discounted aggregate dividend payments and the expected discounted penalty function until ruin are derived. In addition, the explicit expressions for the Laplace transform of the ruin time and the expected aggregate discounted dividend payments until ruin are given when the individual stochastic premium amount and claim amount are exponentially distributed. Finally, the optimal barrier is presented under the condition of maximizing the expectation of the difference between discounted aggregate dividends until ruin and the deficit at ruin.     

绝对破产下具有贷款利息及常数分红界的扰动复合Poisson风险模型

该文研究了绝对破产下具有贷款利息及常数分红界的扰动复合Poisson风险模型,得到了折现分红总量的均值函数,及其矩母函数以及此模型的期望折现罚金函数(Gerber-Shiu函数)满足的积分-微分方程及边值条件,并求出了某些特殊情形下的具体表达式.     

一类具有新红利界限的Erlang(2)风险模型

考虑到保险公司的实际运作中红利的发放率要比保费的收取率小,将一类新的红利政策引入Erlang(2)风险模型,利用更新论证,得到并求解了此模型下罚金折现期望函数所满足的微积分方程.最后通过数值例子,分析了红利界限与初始盈余对破产概率的影响.     

Statistical estimation for some dividend problems under the compound Poisson risk model

In this paper, we consider some dividend problems in the classical compound Poisson risk model under a constant barrier dividend strategy. Suppose that the Poisson intensity for the claim number process and the distribution for the individual claim sizes are both unknown. We use the COS method to study the statistical estimation for the expected present value of dividend payments before ruin and the expected discounted penalty function. The convergence rates under large sample setting are derived. Some simulation results are also given to show effectiveness of the estimators under finite sample setting.     

The Perturbed Compound Poisson Risk Process with Investment and Debit Interest

In this paper, we study absolute ruin questions for the perturbed compound Poisson risk process with investment and debit interests by the expected discounted penalty function at absolute ruin, which provides a unified means of studying the joint distribution of the absolute ruin time, the surplus immediately prior to absolute ruin time and the deficit at absolute ruin time. We first consider the stochastic Dirichlet problem and from which we derive a system of integro-differential equations and the boundary conditions satisfied by the function. Second, we derive the integral equations and a defective renewal equation under some special cases, then based on the defective renewal equation we give two asymptotic results for the expected discounted penalty function when the initial surplus tends to infinity for the light-tailed claims and heavy-tailed claims, respectively. Finally, we investigate some explicit solutions and numerical results when claim sizes are exponentially distributed.     

The Sparre Andersen Risk Process with Investment and Debit Interest

In this paper, we study absolute ruin problems for the Sparre Andersen risk process with generalized Erlang()-distributed inter-claim times, investment and debit interest. We first give a system of integro-differential equations with certain boundary conditions satisfied by the expected discounted penalty function at absolute ruin. Second, we obtain a defective renewal equation under some special cases, then based on the defective renewal equation we derive two asymptotic results for the expected discounted penalty function when the initial surplus tends to infinity for the light-tailed claims and heavy-tailed claims, respectively. Finally, we investigate some explicit solutions and numerical results for generalized Erlang(2) inter-claim times and exponential claims.     

Constant Dividend Barrier in a Risk Model with a Generalized Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern Copula

In this paper, we consider the classical surplus process with a constant dividend barrier and a dependence structure between the claim amounts and the inter-claim times. We derive an integro-differential equation with boundary conditions. Its solution is expressed as the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function in the absence of a dividend barrier plus a linear combination of a finite number of linearly independent particular solutions to the associated homogeneous integro-differential equation. Finally, we obtain an explicit solution when the claim amounts are exponentially distributed and we investigate the effects of dependence on ruin quantities.