A ruin model with random income and dependence between claim sizes and claim intervals

In this paper,we consider a generalization of the classical ruin model,where the income is random and the distribution of the time between two claim occurrences depends on the previous claim size.This model is more appropriate than the classical ruin model.Explicit expression for the generating function of the Gerber-Shiu expected discounted penalty function are derived.A similar model is discussed.Finally,the result are showed by two examples.     

On a risk model with random incomes and dependence between claim sizes and claim intervals

In this paper, we construct a risk model with a dependence setting where there exists a specific structure among the time between two claim occurrences, premium sizes and claim sizes. Given that the premium size is exponentially distributed, both the Laplace transforms and defective renewal equations for the expected discounted penalty functions are obtained. Exact representations for the solutions of the defective renewal equations are derived through an associated compound geometric distribution. When the claims are subexponentially distributed, the asymptotic formulae for ruin probabilities are obtained. Finally, when the individual premium sizes have rational Laplace transforms, the Laplace transforms for the expected discounted penalty functions are obtained.     

A perturbed risk model with dependence between premium rates and claim sizes

This paper considers a dependent risk model with diffusion for the surplus of an insurer, in which a current premium rate will be adjusted after a claim occurs and the adjusted rate is determined by the amount of the claim. At the same time, the diffusion is changed correspondingly. Using Rouché’s theorem, we first derive the closed-form solution for the Laplace transform of the survival probability in the dependent risk model. Then, using the Laplace transform, we derive a defective renewal equation satisfied by the survival probability. For the exponential claim sizes, we present the explicit recursion expression for the survival probability, by which we can exactly solve the survival probability step-by-step. We also illustrate the influence of the model parameters in the dependent risk model on the survival probability by numerical examples.     

Ultimate ruin probability in the Sparre Andersen model with dependent claim sizes and claim occurrence times

In this paper we relax the independence assumption of claim sizes and claim occurrence times in the Sparre Andersen model. We consider two different classes of bivariate distributions to model claim occurrence and claim sizes. We obtain explicit expressions for the ultimate ruin probability using the well known Wiener-Hopf factorization.     

Gerber-Shiu analysis in a perturbed risk model with dependence between claim sizes and interclaim times

In this paper, we consider a compound Poisson risk model perturbed by a Brownian motion. We construct the bivariate cumulative distribution function of the claim size and interclaim time by Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern copula. The integro-differential equations and the Laplace transforms for the Gerber-Shiu functions are obtained. We also show that the Gerber-Shiu functions satisfy some defective renewal equations. For exponential claims, some explicit expressions are obtained, and numerical examples for the ruin probabilities are also given.     

Ruin measures for a compound Poisson risk model with dependence based on the Spearman copula and the exponential claim sizes

This paper is devoted to an extension to the classical compound risk model. We relax the independence assumption of claim amounts and interclaim times. The dependent structure between these random variables is described by the Spearman copula. We study the Laplace transform of the discounted penalty function and we give the explicit expression of it for the exponential claim size.     

Asymptotic behaviour of the finite-time ruin probability under subexponential claim sizes

The paper deals with the Sparre Andersen risk model. We study the tail behaviour of the finite-time ruin probability, Ψ(x,t), in the case of subexponential claim sizes as initial risk reserve x tends to infinity. The asymptotic formula holds uniformly for t in a corresponding region and reestablishes a formula of Tang [Tang, Q., 2004a. Asymptotics for the finite time ruin probability in the renewal model with consistent variation. Stochastic Models 20, 281–297] obtained for the class of claim distributions having consistent variation.     

On the ruin time distribution for a Sparre Andersen process with exponential claim sizes

We derive a closed-form (infinite series) representation for the distribution of the ruin time for the Sparre Andersen model with exponentially distributed claims. This extends a recent result of Dickson et al. [Dickson, D.C.M., Hughes, B.D., Zhang, L., 2005. The density of the time to ruin for a Sparre Andersen process with Erlang arrivals and exponential claims. Scand. Actuar. J., 358–376] for such processes with Erlang inter-claim times. The derivation is based on transforming the original boundary crossing problem to an equivalent one on linear lower boundary crossing by a spectrally positive Lévy process. We illustrate our result in the cases of gamma, mixed exponential and inverse Gaussian inter-claim time distributions.     

On a risk model with stochastic premiums income and dependence between income and loss

Labbé and Sendova (2009) [9] consider a compound Poisson risk model with stochastic premiums income. In this paper, we extend their model by assuming that there exists a specific dependence structure among the claim sizes, interclaim times and premium sizes. Assume that the distributions of the premium sizes and interclaim times are controlled by the claim sizes. When the individual premium sizes are exponentially distributed, the Laplace transforms and defective renewal equations for the (Gerber-Shiu) discounted penalty functions are obtained. When the individual premium sizes have rational Laplace transforms, we show that the Laplace transforms for the discounted penalty functions can also be obtained.     

Constant dividend barrier in a risk model with interclaim-dependent claim sizes

The risk model with interclaim-dependent claim sizes proposed by Boudreault et al. [Boudreault, M., Cossette, H., Landriault, D., Marceau, E., 2006. On a risk model with dependence between interclaim arrivals and claim sizes. Scand. Actur. J., 265-285] is studied in the presence of a constant dividend barrier. An integro-differential equation for some Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty functions is derived. We show that its solution can be expressed as the solution to the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function in the same risk model with the absence of a barrier and a combination of two linearly independent solutions to the associated homogeneous integro-differential equation. Finally, we analyze the expected present value of dividend payments before ruin in the same class of risk models. An homogeneous integro-differential equation is derived and then solved. Its solution can be expressed as a different combination of the two fundamental solutions to the homogeneous integro-differential equation associated to the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function.     

Mixed poisson processes and the probability of ruin

In the Poisson case there is a well known formula that relates the probability of ruin to the distribution function of aggregate claims. It is shown how this formula can be generalized to the mixed Poisson case.     

On ruin probability and aggregate claim representations for Pareto claim size distributions

We generalize an integral representation for the ruin probability in a Crámer-Lundberg risk model with shifted (or also called US-)Pareto claim sizes, obtained by Ramsay (2003), to classical Pareto(a) claim size distributions with arbitrary real values a>1 and derive its asymptotic expansion. Furthermore an integral representation for the tail of compound sums of Pareto-distributed claims is obtained and numerical illustrations of its performance in comparison to other aggregate claim approximations are provided.     

A note on the perturbed compound poisson risk model with a threshold dividend strategy

In this paper, we consider the Perturbed Compound Poisson Risk Model with a threshold dividend strategy （PCT）. Integro-differential equations （IDE） for its Cerber-Shiu functions and dividend payments function are stated. We maily focus on deriving the boundary conditions to solve these equations.     

Dividend payments in the perturbed compound poisson risk model with liquid reserve and interest

考虑一类资产盈余具有流动储备金和利率的带干扰的复合泊松风险模型的分红问题,得到了累积分红现值的矩母函数,n阶原点矩所满足的积分-微分方程及边界条件,并给出了索赔额为指数分布时相应积分-微分方程解的具体表达式.     

Finite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics in the compound discrete-time risk model

In this paper, we consider the compound discrete-time risk model which is a modification of the classical discrete-time (compound binomial) risk model. In this model, the claims in each fixed subsequent time interval arrive independently, and their number is random. We find the asymptotics of finite-horizon ruin probability in such a model for a subclass of heavy-tailed claim sizes and claim numbers.     

A random review replacement model for a system subject to compound poisson shocks

We present a transform–free analysis of the following model. The state of the system is initially 0 and thereafter increases jumpwise due to compound Poisson shocks. Each shock increases the state by a random amount. The system is inspected at random points in time. If the state is above a threshold at an inspection, the system is replaced, otherwise no action is taken. Each replacement instantaneously brings the state back to 0. (Existing models assume either exponential interinspection times or discrete shock magnitudes.) This model can be applied to reliability, inventory, and queueing problems.Interpretations are given throughout to make the results easier to understand and to apply     

Approximation formulae for compound poisson processes for a kind of claim distributions having a prescribed asymptotic behavior

The present contribution deals with an approximation for the compound Poisson process for large values of the operational time. Two cases are dealt with, according to the existence of the third or second moment of the individual claim distribution. The special feature of this claim distribution is its behavior for large values, i.e.,

$\text{f}{}_{\mathrm{Y}}\text{(y) ≈}\text{a}{}_0\text{y}\text{+}\text{a}{}_1\text{y}{}^2\text{+ ? +}\text{a}{}_{\mathrm{k}}\text{y}{}^{\mathrm{k}}\text{+ ?, (y → ∞)}$

. In these cases, an Edgeworth-like approximation is given.     

Asymptotics for tail probability of total claim amount with negatively dependent claim sizes and its applications

In this paper, we obtain the asymptotics for the tail probability of the total claim amount with negatively dependent claim sizes in two cases: in the first case, the distribution tail of the claim number is dominatedly varying; in the second case, the distribution of the claim number is in the maximum domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution, and the claim sizes are light-tailed. In both cases, we assume that the claim sizes are nondegenerate negatively dependent and identically distributed random variables and that the claim number is not necessarily independent of the claim sizes. As applications, we derive asymptotics for the finite-time ruin probabilities in some dependent compound renewal risk models with constant interest rate.     

Moments of discounted aggregate claim costs until ruin in a Sparre Andersen risk model with general interclaim times

In the context of a Sparre Andersen risk model with arbitrary interclaim time distribution, the moments of discounted aggregate claim costs until ruin are studied. Our analysis relies on a novel generalization of the so-called discounted density which further involves a moment-based component. More specifically, while the usual discounted density contains a discount factor with respect to the time of ruin, we propose to incorporate powers of the sum until ruin of the discounted (and possibly transformed) claims into the density. Probabilistic arguments are applied to derive defective renewal equations satisfied by the moments of discounted aggregate claim costs until ruin. Detailed examples concerning the discounted aggregate claims and the number of claims until ruin are studied upon assumption on the claim severities. Numerical illustrations are also given at the end.