基于动态VaR约束与随机波动率模型的最优投资策略

研究Stein-Stein随机波动率模型下带动态VaR约束的最优投资组合选择问题. 假设投资者的目标是最大化终端财富的期望幂效用,可投资于无风险资产和一种风险资产, 风险资产的价格过程由Stein-Stein随机波动率模型刻画. 同时, 投资者期望能在投资过程中利用动态VaR约束控制所面对的风险.运用Bellman动态规划方法和Lagrange乘子法, 得到了该约束问题最优策略的解析式及特殊情形下最优值函数的解析式; 并通过理论分析和数值算例, 阐述了动态VaR约束与随机波动率对最优投资策略的影响.     

Optimal retirement with borrowing constraints and forced unemployment risk

In this paper, we study optimal retirement in a two-dimensional incomplete market caused by borrowing constraints and forced unemployment risk. We show that the two aspects jointly affect an individual’s optimal consumption, investment, and retirement strategies. In contrast to the complete market case, the endogenously determined wealth threshold for retirement is significantly affected by the two-dimensional market incompleteness, resulting in a lower wealth threshold. We also discuss a possible unemployment insurance scheme for the borrowing-constrained individual to respond to the shocks of forced unemployment.     

考虑红利支付与提前退休的最优投资组合

研究了在经济代理人通过不可逆退休时间选择来调整劳动时间框架下的最优消费和投资问题,主要考虑风险资产派发红利的情形.运用随机控制方法,求解使得消费-闲暇预期效用最大化的最优策略.最优投资组合及最优退休时刻表明,代理人在为提前退休积累财富的同时,也能最佳享受消费和闲暇所带来的快乐.     

Optimal control of a finite dam with a sample path constraint

In this paper, we discuss the 2-stage output procedure of a finite dam under the condition that water must be released by a fixed time. From this standpoint, the reservoir model we consider is subject to a sample path constraint and has a more general cost function than the earlier contributions. We analytically derive explicit formulas for the long-run average and the expected total discounted costs for an infinite time span and numerically calculate the optimal control policy. Finally, the optimal policy is compared with one by Zuckerman [1] and the effect of the fixed release time is discussed further.     

Optimal control of semilinear parabolic systems with state constraint

The aim of this work is to obtain the existence of optimal solution and maximum principle for optimal control problem with pointwise type state constraint governed by semilinear parabolic systems with certain polynomial-like nonlinearity. Application to optimal control problems of the phase transition system is given.     

Optimal insurance under the insurer’s risk constraint

In this paper, we impose the insurer’s risk constraint on Arrow’s optimal insurance model. The insured aims to maximize his/her expected utility of terminal wealth, under the constraint that the insurer wishes to control the expected loss of his/her terminal wealth below some prespecified level. We solve the problem, and it is shown that when the insurer’s risk constraint is binding, the solution to the problem is not linear, but piecewise linear deductible. Moreover, it can be shown that the insured’s optimal expected utility will increase if the insurer increases his/her risk tolerance.     

Optimal consumption and portfolio policies with the consumption habit constraints and the terminal wealth downside constraints

In this paper, we consider the optimal consumption and portfolio policies with the consumption habit constraints and the terminal wealth downside constraints, that is, here the consumption rate is greater than or equal to some nonnegative process, and the terminal wealth is no less than some positive constant. Using the martingale approach, we get the optimal consumption and portfolio policies.     

Annuitization and asset allocation with borrowing constraint

We generalize the result of Yaari (1965) on annuitization with borrowing constraint. We show that inability to borrow against future labor income has a significant influence on an individual’s consumption and asset allocation strategies. We also show that there exists a certain threshold of wealth for annuitization. We find that the wealth threshold is lower in the presence of borrowing constraint than in its absence, implying the individual’s earlier retirement.     

Optimal control of fluid dynamic systems with state constraint of pointwise type

The aim of this work is to obtain the maximum principle by spike perturbation for the optimal control problem with pointwise type state constraint governed by 3-dimensional fluid dynamic systems.     

Optimal dividend payments under a time of ruin constraint: Exponential claims

We consider the optimal dividends problem under the Cramér–Lundberg model with exponential claim sizes subject to a constraint on the expected time of ruin. We introduce the dual problem and show that the complementary slackness conditions are satisfied, thus there is no duality gap. Therefore the optimal value function can be obtained as the point-wise infimum of auxiliary value functions indexed by Lagrange multipliers. We also present a series of numerical examples.     

Optimal selling strategy with a large block of stock

In this paper, we develop an optimal stock selling strategy with the stochastic upper bound of selling rate over an infinite time horizon. Moreover, the temporary and permanent price impact are considered. We treat the problem by using a fluid model. In the model that the number of shares is treated as fluid (continuous) and the overall liquidation is dictated by the rates of selling over time. The goal is to maximize the overall return under state constraints. The corresponding value function with the selling strategies is shown to be continuous and the unique viscosity solution to the associated HJB equation. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the result.     

Optimal variance stopping with linear diffusions

We study the optimal stopping problem of maximizing the variance of an unkilled linear diffusion. Especially, we demonstrate how the problem can be solved as a convex two-player zero-sum game, and reveal quite surprising application of game theory by doing so. Our main result shows that an optimal solution can, in a general case, be found among stopping times that are mixtures of two hitting times. This and other revealed phenomena together with suggested solution methods could be helpful when facing more complex non-linear optimal stopping problems. The results are illustrated by a few examples.     

Optimal stopping in a search for a vertex with full degree in a random graph

We consider the following on-line decision problem. The vertices of a realization of the random graph G(n,p) are being observed one by one by a selector. At time m, the selector examines the mth vertex and knows the graph induced by the m vertices that have already been examined. The selector’s aim is to choose the currently examined vertex maximizing the probability that this vertex has full degree, i.e. it is connected to all other vertices in the graph. An optimal algorithm for such a choice (in other words, optimal stopping time) is given. We show that it is of a threshold type and we find the threshold and its asymptotic estimation.     

Optimal investment in development projects

We consider investments in development projects within competitive environments where the “winner takes everything”. Under stationary uncertainty, it is optimal to start investing immediately at full capacity and continue until exhausting the allocated budget. For non-stationary environments, active investment, possibly deferred, will always be at full capacity; an example demonstrates that further tractable structure may not be available.     

Knight不确定下考虑保险和退休的最优消费-投资和遗产问题研究

研究在Knight不确定环境下,考虑投资者遗产和保险,在三种不同借款约束下的最优消费与投资问题.借助于倒向随机微分方程（BsDE）理论求出了投资者最优消费和投资策略的显式表达式.最后结合数值分析,给出含糊与含糊态度对最优消费和投资决策的影响.     

基于Stein-Stein波动率和动态VaR约束下DC型养老基金的最优投资策略

研究了确定缴费型养老基金在退休前累积阶段的最优资产配置问题.假设养老基金管理者将养老基金投资于由一个无风险资产和一个价格过程满足Stein-Stein随机波动率模型的风险资产所构成的金融市场.利用随机最优控制方法,以最大化退休时刻养老基金账户相对财富的期望效用为目标,分别获得了无约束情形和受动态VaR (Value at Risk)约束情形下该养老基金的最优投资策略,并获得相应最优值函数的解析表达形式.最后通过数值算例对相关理论结果进行数值验证并考察了最优投资策略关于相关参数的敏感性.     

Optimal stopping in a fuzzy environment

The problem under consideration is that of optimally controlling and stopping either a deterministic or a stochastic system in a fuzzy environment. The optimal decision is the sequence of controls that maximizes the membership function of the intersection of the fuzzy constraints and a fuzzy goal. The fuzzy goal is a fuzzy set in the cartesian product of the state space with the set of possible stopping times. Dynamic programming is applied to yield a numerical solution. This approach yields an algorithm that corrects a result of Kacprzyk.     

基于随机波动的企业的最优组合投资策略

Merton的投资模型拓展到随机波动模型.在典型的动态规划中,投资问题中的值函数一般用Bellman方程的粘滞解表示.本文通过指数变换把偏微分方程转变成一个半线性的抛物线方程,并证明了其值函数连续解的存在性,在此基础上给出了企业的最优组合投资策略及一个投资的例子.     

Optimal UMP test for parameter in the exponential family

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一类投资时点问题的最优停止模型及其等待时间

针对收益流与一次性投入沉淀成本均不确定的一类风险项目,为使其预期总的贴现净收益最大,提出了寻找项目最优投资时点的最优停止模型.这种方法不依赖于金融市场的完备性及市场无套利.借助于高切原理,通过求解一个自由边界问题,得到模型的候选解.运用最优停止理论证明了其的确为最优解,从而显式地给出了该类风险项目的最优投资时点.进一步,显式给出了到达最优时点的平均等待时间.