Global stability of multi-group SEIR epidemic models with distributed delays and nonlinear transmission

The dynamics of multi-group SEIR epidemic models with distributed and infinite delay and nonlinear transmission are investigated. We derive the basic reproduction number R₀ and establish that the global dynamics are completely determined by the values of R₀: if R₀≤1, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; if R₀>1, then there exists a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally asymptotically stable. Our results contain those for single-group SEIR models with distributed and infinite delays. In the proof of global stability of the endemic equilibrium, we exploit a graph-theoretical approach to the method of Lyapunov functionals. The biological significance of the results is also discussed.     

Global stability of multi-group epidemic models with distributed delays

We investigate a class of multi-group epidemic models with distributed delays. We establish that the global dynamics are completely determined by the basic reproduction number R₀. More specifically, we prove that, if R₀?1, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; if R₀>1, then there exists a unique endemic equilibrium and it is globally asymptotically stable. Our proof of global stability of the endemic equilibrium utilizes a graph-theoretical approach to the method of Lyapunov functionals.     

Global analysis of a multi-group animal epidemic model with indirect infection and time delay

The transmission mechanism of some animal diseases is complex because of the multiple transmission pathways and multiple-group interactions, which lead to the limited understanding of the dynamics of these diseases transmission. In this paper, a delay multi-group dynamic model is proposed in which time delay is caused by the latency of infection. Under the biologically motivated assumptions, the basic reproduction number $R_0$ is derived and then the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium is analyzed by Lyapunov functionals and a graph-theoretic approach as for time delay. The results show the global properties of equilibria only depend on the basic reproductive number $R_0$: the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if $R_0\leq 1$; if $R_0>1$, the endemic equilibrium exists and is globally asymptotically stable, which implies time delay span has no effect on the stability of equilibria. Finally, some specific examples are taken to illustrate the utilization of the results and then numerical simulations are used for further discussion. The numerical results show time delay model may experience periodic oscillation behaviors, implying that the spread of animal diseases depends largely on the prevention and control strategies of all sub-populations.     

Global stability for a discrete epidemic model for disease with immunity and latency spreading in a heterogeneous host population

In this paper, we propose a discrete epidemic model for disease with immunity and latency spreading in a heterogeneous host population, which is derived from the continuous case by using the well-known backward Euler method and by applying a Lyapunov function technique, which is a discrete version of that in the paper by Prüss et al. [J. Prüss, L. Pujo-Menjouet, G.F. Webb, R. Zacher, Analysis of a model for the dynamics of prions, Discrete Contin. Dyn. Syst. Ser. B 6 (2006) 225-235]. It is shown that the global dynamics of this discrete epidemic model with latency are fully determined by a single threshold parameter.     

Global dynamics of a Vector‐Borne disease model with two delays and nonlinear transmission rate

In this paper, we investigate a Vector‐Borne disease model with nonlinear incidence rate and 2 delays: One is the incubation period in the vectors and the other is the incubation period in the host. Under the biologically motivated assumptions, we show that the global dynamics are completely determined by the basic reproduction number R₀. The disease‐free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R₀≤1; when R₀>1, the system is uniformly persistent, and there exists a unique endemic equilibrium that is globally asymptotically. Numerical simulations are conducted to illustrate the theoretical results.     

Global stability of a delayed SIRS epidemic model with a non-monotonic incidence rate

In this paper, we investigate a disease transmission model of SIRS type with latent period τ?0 and the specific nonmonotone incidence rate, namely, . For the basic reproduction number R₀>1, applying monotone iterative techniques, we establish sufficient conditions for the global asymptotic stability of endemic equilibrium of system which become partial answers to the open problem in [Hai-Feng Huo, Zhan-Ping Ma, Dynamics of a delayed epidemic model with non-monotonic incidence rate, Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul. 15 (2010) 459-468]. Moreover, combining both monotone iterative techniques and the Lyapunov functional techniques to an SIR model by perturbation, we derive another type of sufficient conditions for the global asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium.     

Global behavior and permanence of SIRS epidemic model with time delay

In this paper an autonomous SIRS epidemic model with time delay is studied. The basic reproductive number R₀ is obtained which determines whether the disease is extinct or not. When the basic reproductive number is greater than 1, it is proved that the disease is permanent in the population, and explicit formula are obtained by which the eventual lower bound of the fraction of infectious individuals can be computed. Throughout the total paper, we mainly use the technique of Lyapunov functional to establish the global stability of the infection-free equilibrium and the local stability of the endemic equilibrium but need another sufficient condition.     

Global stability of an SIS epidemic model with delays

In this paper, we consider the global dynamics of the S(E)IS model with delays denoting an incubation time. By constructing a Lyapunov functional, we prove stability of a disease‐free equilibrium E₀ under a condition different from that in the recent paper. Then we claim that R₀≤1 is a necessary and sufficient condition under which E₀ is globally asymptotically stable. We also propose a discrete model preserving positivity and global stability of the same equilibria as the continuous model with distributed delays, by means of discrete analogs of the Lyapunov functional.     

Global stability of multigroup epidemic model with group mixing and nonlinear incidence rates

In this paper, we introduce a basic reproduction number for a multigroup SEIR model with nonlinear incidence of infection and nonlinear removal functions between compartments. Then, we establish that global dynamics are completely determined by the basic reproduction number R₀. It shows that, the basic reproduction number R₀ is a global threshold parameter in the sense that if it is less than or equal to one, the disease free equilibrium is globally stable and the disease dies out; whereas if it is larger than one, there is a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally stable and thus the disease persists in the population. Finally, two numerical examples are also included to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed result.     

Threshold dynamics for a cholera epidemic model with periodic transmission rate

A cholera epidemic model with periodic transmission rate is presented. The basic reproduction number is defined. It is shown that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the cholera eventually disappears if the basic reproduction number is less than one. And if the basic reproduction number is greater than one, there exists a positive periodic solution which is globally asymptotically stable. Numerical simulations are provided to illustrate analytical results.     

Global properties for virus dynamics model with mitotic transmission and intracellular delay

In this paper we study the basic model of viral infections with mitotic transmission and intracellular delay discrete. The delay corresponds to the time between infection of uninfected cells and the emission of virus on a cellular level. By means of Volterra-type Lyapunov functionals, we provide the global stability for this model. Let η be the number of virus produced per infected cell. If ηcrit, the critical number, satisfies η?ηcrit, then the virus-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable. On the contrary if η>ηcrit, then the infected steady state is globally asymptotically stable if a sufficient condition is satisfied.     

Global Dynamics of a Multi-group SEIR Epidemic Model with Infection Age

National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 12022113),Henry Fok Foundation for Young Teachers, China (No. 171002), Outstanding Young Talents Support Plan of Shanxi Province, Science and Engineering Research Board (SERB for short), India(No. ECR/2017/002786), UGC-BSR Research Start-Up-Grant, India (No. F.30-356/2017(BSR)), and Senior Research Fellowship from the Council of Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR for short),India (No. 09/1131(0006)/2017-EMR-I).     

Global dynamics of a multistage SIR model with distributed delays and nonlinear incidence rate

In this paper, a multistage susceptible‐infectious‐recovered model with distributed delays and nonlinear incidence rate is investigated, which extends the model considered by Guo et al. [H. Guo, M. Y. Li and Z. Shuai, Global dynamics of a general class of multistage models for infectious diseases, SIAM J. Appl. Math., 72 (2012), 261–279]. Under some appropriate and realistic conditions, the global dynamics is completely determined by the basic reproduction number R₀. If R₀≤1, then the infection‐free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease dies out in all stages. If R₀>1, then a unique endemic equilibrium exists, and it is globally asymptotically stable, and hence the disease persists in all stages. The results are proved by utilizing the theory of non‐negative matrices, Lyapunov functionals, and the graph‐theoretical approach. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Global dynamics of multi‐group dengue disease model with latency distributions

In this paper, by incorporating latencies for both human beings and female mosquitoes to the mosquito‐borne diseases model, we investigate a class of multi‐group dengue disease model and study the impacts of heterogeneity and latencies on the spread of infectious disease. Dynamical properties of the multi‐group model with distributed delays are established. The results showthat the global asymptotic stability of the disease‐free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium depends only on the basic reproduction number. Our proofs for global stability of equilibria use the classical method of Lyapunov functions and the graph‐theoretic approach for large‐scale delay systems. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Global behavior of a multi-group SIS epidemic model with age structure

We study global dynamics of a system of partial differential equations. The system is motivated by modelling the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases in a population with multiple groups and age-dependent transition rates. Existence and uniqueness of a positive (endemic) equilibrium are established under the quasi-irreducibility assumption, which is weaker than irreducibility, on the function representing the force of infection. We give a classification of initial values from which corresponding solutions converge to either the disease-free or the endemic equilibrium. The stability of each equilibrium is linked to the dominant eigenvalue s(A), where A is the infinitesimal generator of a “quasi-irreducible” semigroup generated by the model equations. In particular, we show that if s(A)<0 then the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable; if s(A)>0 then the unique endemic equilibrium is globally stable.     

带有非线性传染率的传染病模型

对一类带有非线性传染率的SEIS传染病模型,找到了其基本再生数.借助动力系统极限理论,得到当基本再生数小于1时,无病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的,且疾病最终灭绝.当基本再生数大于1时,无病平衡点是不稳定的,而唯一的地方病平衡点是局部渐近稳定的.应用Fonda定理,得到当基本再生数大于1时疾病一致持续存在.