Asymptotic Expansions for Large Deviation Probabilities of Noncentral Generalized Chi-Square Distributions

Asymptotic expansions for large deviation probabilities are used to approximate the cumulative distribution functions of noncentral generalized chi-square distributions, preferably in the far tails. The basic idea of how to deal with the tail probabilities consists in first rewriting these probabilities as large parameter values of the Laplace transform of a suitably defined function f_k; second making a series expansion of this function, and third applying a certain modification of Watson's lemma. The function f_k is deduced by applying a geometric representation formula for spherical measures to the multivariate domain of large deviations under consideration. At the so-called dominating point, the largest main curvature of the boundary of this domain tends to one as the large deviation parameter approaches infinity. Therefore, the dominating point degenerates asymptotically. For this reason the recent multivariate asymptotic expansion for large deviations in Breitung and Richter (1996, J. Multivariate Anal.58, 1–20) does not apply. Assuming a suitably parametrized expansion for the inverse g⁻¹ of the negative logarithm of the density-generating function, we derive a series expansion for the function f_k. Note that low-order coefficients from the expansion of g⁻¹ influence practically all coefficients in the expansion of the tail probabilities. As an application, classification probabilities when using the quadratic discriminant function are discussed.     

On large deviations for sums of random vectors in Rk

The paper deals with limit theorems for probabilities of large deviations for sums of independent identically distributed random vectors. We give more detailed bounds for the remainder in von Bahr's limit theorem. New asymptotic formulas for probabilities of large deviations on the outside of balls are established.     

A unified approach to the large deviations for small perturbations of random evolution equations

LetX ^ɛ = {X ^ɛ (t ; 0 ⩽t ⩽ 1 } (ɛ > 0) be the processes governed by the following stochastic differential equations:

Another approach to asymptotic expansions for Euler’s approximations of semigroups

In [2], optimal bounds for the remainder terms in asymptotic expansions for Euler’s approximations of semigroups were derived. The approach was based on applications of the Fourier-Laplace transforms, which allowed one to reduce the problem to estimation of error terms in the Law of Large Numbers. In this paper, we propose an alternative (direct) approach based on application of certain integro-differential identities (the so-called multiplicative representations of differences). Such identities were introduced by Bentkus [3] and applied (see Bentkus and Paulauskas [4]) to derive the optimal convergence rates in Chernoff-type lemmas and Euler’s approximations of semigroups. Published in Lietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys, Vol. 46, No. 2, pp. 267–284, April–June, 2006.     

Three-term asymptotic expansions for the moments of the random walk with triangular distributed interference of chance

In this study, a semi-Markovian random walk with a discrete interference of chance (X(t)) is considered and under some weak assumptions the ergodicity of this process is discussed. The exact formulas for the first four moments of ergodic distribution of the process X(t) are obtained when the random variable ζ₁, which is describing a discrete interference of chance, has a triangular distribution in the interval [s, S] with center (S + s)/2. Based on these results, the asymptotic expansions with three-term are obtained for the first four moments of the ergodic distribution of X(t), as a ≡ (S − s)/2 → ∞. Furthermore, the asymptotic expansions for the variance, skewness and kurtosis of the ergodic distribution of the process X(t) are established. Finally, by using Monte Carlo experiments it is shown that the given approximating formulas provide high accuracy even for small values of parameter a.     

长尾宽上限相依的不同分布的随机变量和的精确大偏差

研究了服从长尾分布族上的随机变量和的精确大偏差问题,其中假设代表索赔额的随机变量序列是一列宽上限相依的、不同分布的随机变量序列。在给定一些假设条件下,得到了部分和与随机和的两种一致渐近结论。     

Asymptotic expansions for the distribution of the crossing number of a strip by a Markov-modulated random walk

We obtain complete asymptotic expansions for the distribution of the crossing number of a strip in n steps by sample paths of a random walk defined on a finite Markov chain. We assume that the Cramér condition holds for the distribution of jumps and the width of the strip grows with n. The method consists in finding factorization representations of the moment generating functions of the distributions under study, isolating the main terms in the asymptotics of the representations, and inverting those main terms by the modified saddle-point method.     

Asymptotic Expansion of the Distribution Density Function for the Sum of Random Variables in the Series Scheme in Large Deviation Zones

The work is designated for obtaining asymptotic expansions and determination of structures of the remainder terms that take into consideration large deviations both in the Cramer zone and Linnik power zones for the distribution density function of sums of independent random variables in a triangular array scheme. The result was obtained using general Lemma 6.1 of Saulis and Statuleviius in Limit Theorems for Large Deviations (Kluwer, 1991) and joining the methods of characteristic functions and cumulants. The work extends the theory of sums of random variables and in a special case, improves S. A.Book's results on sums of random variables with weights.     

Error bounds for asymptotic expansions of the distribution of the MLE in a GMANOVA model

Summary In this paper we obtain asymptotic expansions for the distribution function and the density function of a linear combination of the MLE in a GMANOVA model, and for the density function of the MLE itself. We also obtain certain error bounds for the asymptotic expansions.     

Multiscale asymptotic expansions and numerical algorithms for the wave equations of second order with rapidly oscillating coefficients

In this paper, we discuss the multiscale analysis and numerical algorithms for the wave equations of second order with rapidly oscillating coefficients. The formal multiscale asymptotic expansions of the solutions for these problems in four specific cases are presented. Higher order corrector methods are constructed and associated explicit convergence rates are obtained in some cases. A multiscale numerical method and a symplectic geometric scheme are introduced. Finally, some numerical results and unsolved problems are presented, and these numerical results support strongly the convergence theorem of this paper.     

An extension of the Hoeffding inequality to unbounded random variables

Let S = X ₁ + ⋯ + X _n be a sum of independent random variables such that 0 ⩽ X _k ⩽ 1 for all k. Write p = E S/n and q = 1 − p. Let 0 < t < q. In this paper, we extend the Hoeffding inequality [16, Theorem 1]

Large deviations of the first passage time for a random walk with semiexponentially distributed jumps

Suppose that ξ, ξ(1), ξ(2), ... are independent identically distributed random variables such that ?ξ is semiexponential; i.e., $P( - \xi \geqslant t) = e^{ - t^\beta L(t)} $ is a slowly varying function as t → ∞ possessing some smoothness properties. Let E ξ = 0, D ξ = 1, and S(k) = ξ(1) + ? + ξ(k). Given d > 0, define the first upcrossing time η ₊(u) = inf{k ≥ 1: S(k) + kd > u} at nonnegative level u ≥ 0 of the walk S(k) + kd with positive drift d > 0. We prove that, under general conditions, the following relation is valid for $u = (n) \in \left[ {0, dn - N_n \sqrt n } \right]$ : 0.1 $P(\eta + (u) > n) \sim \frac{{E\eta + (u)}}{n}P(S(n) \leqslant x) as n \to \infty $ , where x = u ? nd < 0 and an arbitrary fixed sequence N _n not exceeding $d\sqrt n $ tends to ∞. The conditions under which we prove (0.1) coincide exactly with the conditions under which the asymptotic behavior of the probability P(S(n) ≤ x) for $x \leqslant - \sqrt n $ was found in [1] (for $x \in \left[ { - \sqrt n ,0} \right]$ it follows from the central limit theorem).     

A central limit theorem for normalized products of random matrices

This note concerns the asymptotic behavior of a Markov process obtained from normalized products of independent and identically distributed random matrices. The weak convergence of this process is proved, as well as the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem. This work was supported by the PSF Organization under Grant No. 2005-7-02, and by the Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología under Grants 25357 and 61423.