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1.
We propose a deterministic model to study the impact of environmental pollution on the dynamics of cholera. We consider both human to human and human‐environment‐human transmission modes in our model. We obtain the expression for the basic reproduction number of the proposed model. The study of our model reveals that environmental pollution plays a significant role in the spread of cholera and should not be ignored. Although various dimensions of cholera has been studied using mathematical models but scanty efforts have been made to understand impact of environmental pollution on this disease. Through this study, we try to bridge this gap.  相似文献   

2.
主要讨论一类具有非线性出生率和饱和恢复率的SEIRS传染病模型的后向分支.当R_01时,存在无病平衡点,且局部渐近稳定;考虑R_0及R_0~c的关系,得到地方病平衡点存在的条件.当R_1~*1,R_0=1时,系统出现后向分支,若R_1~*1,R_0=1,系统出现前向分支.  相似文献   

3.
通过假设被感染者恢复后不具有免疫力,但易感性不同于未被感染过的易感者,建立了一类带有双线性传染率的传染病模型,发现该模型对一定参数会发生后向分支,找到了相应的阈值,完整分析了该模型的动力学性态.  相似文献   

4.
This paper is concerned with the existence and stability of steady states for a prey-predator system with cross difusion of quasilinear fractional type.We obtain a sufcient condition for the existence of positive steady state solutions by applying bifurcation theory and a detailed priori estimate.In virtue of the principle of exchange of stability,we prove the stability of local bifurcating solutions near the bifurcation point.  相似文献   

5.
This paper is concerned with the existence and stability of steady states for a prey-predator system with cross diffusion of quasilineax fractional type. We obtain a sufficient condition for the existence of positive steady state solutions by applying bifurcation theory and a detailed priori estimate. In virtue of the principle of exchange of stability, we prove the stability of local bifurcating solutions near the bifurcation point.  相似文献   

6.
将治愈率以及饱和感染率引入基本的HIV病理模型,构建一个改进的HIV病理模型.利用微分动力系统的相关理论,证明改进模型中无病平衡点和染病平衡点的全局渐近稳定性,然后执行相关的数值模拟以验证所得结论.研究结果表明:在饱和感染率的条件下,HIV感染进程变缓;同时提高治愈率能有效地控制HIV感染.  相似文献   

7.
具有饱和治疗函数与密度制约的SIS传染病模型的后向分支   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
讨论了一个具有饱和治疗函数以及出生率和死亡率均具有密度制约的SIS传染病模型,其中总人口的变化满足Logistic方程,治疗项采用一个连续可微的函数,描述在医疗条件有限的情况下患病者的治疗被耽误的影响.研究发现当患病者的治疗被耽误的影响较强时,模型将出现后向分支,因此基本再生数R_0=1不再是疾病是否消亡的阈值.另外还得到无病平衡点和地方平衡点全局稳定的充分条件.  相似文献   

8.
建立了医疗资源影响下的考虑疾病具有潜伏期的一类传染病模型,并分析了模型的动力学性态.发现疾病流行与否由基本再生数和医院病床数共同决定,并得到了病床数的阈值条件.当基本再生数R_0大于1时,系统只存在惟一正平衡点,且通过构造Dulac函数证明了正平衡点只要存在一定是全局渐近稳定的;当R_01,我们得到系统存在两个正平衡点及无正平衡点的条件,且只有当医院的病床数小于阈值时,系统会经历后向分支.因此,可根据实际情况使医院病床的投入量不低于阈值条件,不仅有利于疾病的控制而且不会出现医疗资源过剩的现象.  相似文献   

9.
    
An epidemic model with standard incidence rate and saturated treatment function of infectious individuals is proposed to understand the effect of the capacity for treatment of infective individuals on the disease spread. The treatment function in this paper is a continuous and differential function which exhibits the effect of delayed treatment when the rate of treatment is lower and the number of infected individuals is getting larger. It is proved that the existence and stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria for the model are not only related to the basic reproduction number but also to the capacity for treatment of infective individuals. And a backward bifurcation is found when the capacity is not enough. By computing the first Lyapunov coefficient, we can determine the type of Hopf bifurcation, i.e., subcritical Hopf bifurcation or supercritical Hopf bifurcation. We also show that under some conditions the model undergoes Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation. Finally, numerical simulations are given to support some of the theoretical results.  相似文献   

10.
在传染病模型建模中,采用合理的非线性发生率所得到的动力学性态与实际更加接近,并且在实际的疾病防治过程中,由于受到医院各种医疗资源的影响,染病类的恢复率也会有一定的限制.建立了具有非线性发生率和恢复率函数的SIS传染病模型并分析了其动力学性态,分析这个模型,得到了无病平衡点和地方病平衡点的存在性和稳定性的条件,以及出现Hopf分支的条件.通过数值模拟,给出系统随两个分支参数变化的分支曲线图及系统的相图.  相似文献   

11.
本文中,我们考虑一类带有扩散和时滞的捕食与被捕食系统.我们分析了系统的非负不变性,边界平衡点性质,全局渐近稳定性及永久持续生存性.在这一系统中,当时滞由0变到ro时,系统在平衡点附近发生Hopf分支.即当r增加通过临界值ro时,从正平衡点分支出周期解.  相似文献   

12.
    
We consider an epidemic model for the dynamics of an infectious disease that incorporates a nonlinear function h(I), which describes the recovery rate of infectious individuals. We show that in spite of the simple structure of the model, a backward bifurcation may occur if the recovery rate h(I) decreases and the velocity of the recovery rate is below a threshold value in the beginning of the epidemic. These functions would represent a weak reaction or slow treatment measures because, for instance, of limited allocation of resources o sparsely distributed populations. This includes commonly used functionals, as the monotone saturating Michaelis–Menten, and non monotone recovery rates, used to represent a recovery rate limited by the increasing number of infected individuals. We are especially interested in control policies that can lead to recovery functions that avoid backward bifurcation. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

13.
建立了一类易感者及染病者均有常数输入,疾病具有垂直传染以及一般形式饱和接触率的SIRI传染病模型,分别研究了p=0,0相似文献   

14.
该文建立和分析了一类具有媒体报道效应和有限医疗资源的传染病动力学模型,定义了疾病的基本再生数,分析了平衡点的存在性和稳定性,给出了系统发生前向分支、后向分支和Hopf分支的条件。通过数值模拟发现:提高媒体报道的信息覆盖率或医院对病人的最大容纳量,可以显著降低疾病流行的峰值或稳态时的感染人数;随着参数变化,系统不仅可能会产生后向分支或前向分支,还可能会出现鞍结点分支、Hopf 分支以及地方病平衡点稳定性随参数变化而变化等动力学行为。  相似文献   

15.
赵汇涛 《数学杂志》2016,36(1):191-198
本文研究了一类比率依赖的捕食者-食饵模型的Hopf分支问题,运用吴建宏等人利用等变拓扑度理论建立起的一般泛函微分方程的全局分支理论,得到了由系统的正平衡点分支出来的周期解的全局存在性,最后利用数值模拟验证了理论分析的正确性.  相似文献   

16.
    
Considering the biodegradation pathway of Microcystins, in this paper, we propose a model described by a system of ordinary differential equations. We firstly investigate the local stability of the positive equilibrium and the existence of Hopf bifurcations. Then, the global stability of the positive equilibrium and the permanence of the model are considered. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the obtained results and we also consider the control strategy by changing the parameters in the model.  相似文献   

17.
    
This paper studies a fractional-order modelling chronic wasting disease (CWD). The basic results on existence, uniqueness, non-negativity, and boundedness of the solutions are investigated for the considered model. The criterion for local as well as global stability of the equilibrium points is derived. A numerical analysis for Hopf-type bifurcation is presented. Finally, numerical simulations are provided to justify the results obtained.  相似文献   

18.
对一种具有种群动力和非线性传染率的传染病模型进行了研究,建立了具有常数迁入率和非线性传染率βI~pS~q的SI模型.与以往的具有非线性传染率的传染病模型相比,这种模型引入了种群动力,也就是种群的总数不再为常数,因此,该类模型更精确地描述了传染病传播的规律.还讨论了模型的正不变集,运用微分方程稳定性理论分析了模型平衡点的存在性及稳定性,得出了疾病消除平衡点和地方病平衡点的全局渐进稳定的充分条件.进一步的,得出了在某些参数范围内会出现Hopf分支现象,并对上述模型进行了生物学讨论.  相似文献   

19.
一类基于比率的捕食-食饵系统的全局稳定性分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
研究一类基于比率和具第Ⅲ类功能性反应的捕食-食饵系统.通过分析正平衡点的局部稳定性给出了系统正平衡点全局渐近稳定以及系统存在极限环的条件.运用Hopf分支理论讨论了当正平衡点是非双曲型时的情形.  相似文献   

20.
    
We proposed a nutrient-phytoplankton interaction model with a discrete and distributed time delay to provide a better understanding of phytoplankton growth dynamics and nutrient-phytoplankton oscillations induced by delay. Standard linear analysis indicated that delay can induce instability of a positive equilibrium via Hopf bifurcation. We derived the conditions guaranteeing the existence of Hopf bifurcation and tracked its direction and the stability of the bifurcating periodic solutions. We also obtained the sufficient conditions for the global asymptotic stability of the unique positive steady state. Numerical analysis in the fully nonlinear regime showed that the stability of the positive equilibrium is sensitive to changes in delay values under select conditions. Numerical results were consistent with results predicted by linear analysis.  相似文献   

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