Impact of farming awareness based roguing,insecticide spraying and optimal control on the dynamics of mosaic disease

Control interventions and farming knowledge are equally important for plant disease control. In this article, a mathematical model has been derived using saturated response functions (nonlinear infection rate) for studying the dynamics of mosaic disease with farming awareness based roguing (removal of infected plants) and insecticide spraying . It is assumed that the use of roguing and spraying depend on the level of awareness about the disease. The model possesses three equilibria namely the trivial, which is always unstable, the disease-free equilibrium which is stable if the basic reproduction number is below unity and the coexisting which may be stable or can exhibit Hopf-bifurcation under certain condition. Finally, we have opted an optimal control problem introducing three control parameters for determining the optimal level of roguing, spraying and cost regarding media awareness for cost-effective control of mosaic disease. Numerical simulations establish the main results suggesting that the awareness campaigns through radio, TV advertisement are important for eradication of the disease. Also, awareness campaign, roguing and spraying should be incorporated with optimal level for cost effective control of mosaic disease.

     

A multi‐regional epidemic model for controlling the spread of Ebola: awareness,treatment, and travel‐blocking optimal control approaches

Ebola virus disease (EVD) can rapidly cause death to animals and people, for less than 1month. In addition, EVD can emerge in one region and spread to its neighbors in unprecedented durations. Such cases were reported in Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia. Thus, by blocking free travelers, traders, and transporters, EVD has had also impacts on economies of those countries. In order to find effective strategies that aim to increase public knowledge about EVD and access to possible treatment while restricting movements of people coming from regions at high risk of infection, we analyze three different optimal control approaches associated with awareness campaigns, treatment, and travel‐blocking operations that health policy‐makers could follow in the war on EVD. Our study is based on the application of Pontryagin's maximum principle, in a multi‐regional epidemic model we devise here for controlling the spread of EVD. The model is in the form of multi‐differential systems that describe dynamics of susceptible, infected, and removed populations belonging to p different geographical domains with three control functions incorporated. The forward–backward sweep method with integrated progressive‐regressive Runge–Kutta fourth‐order schemes is followed for resolving the multi‐points boundary value problems obtained. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

OPTIMAL CONTROL APPLIED TO RIFT VALLEY FEVER

Abstract Rift Valley Fever (RVF) virus is a mosquito‐born pathogen that infects livestock but it also has the capability to infect humans through direct or indirect contact with blood or organs of infected animals and by bites from infected mosquitos. The economic and social cost of the disease to rural populations can lead to a cascade of negative effects on the sustainability of animal and human populations. Vaccines exist to protect against this disease. Through a compartment model depicting the interactions leading to the spread of RVF in Aedes and Culex mosquitos and a livestock population, an optimal control problem is developed to minimize the number of vaccinated livestock at the final time while minimizing the negative effects of the infected Aedes and Culex mosquitos and the cost of the vaccination process. The unique optimal vaccination strategy is produced for given high transmission parameters and numerical results portray that vaccination depends on the level of effectiveness of the protocol.     

Optimal control and sensitivity analysis of SIV→HIV dynamics with effects of infected immigrants in sub‐Saharan Africa

Regional migration has become an underlying factor in the spread of HIV transmission. In addition, immigrants with HIV status has contributed with high‐risk of sexually transmitted infection to its “destination” communities and promotes dissemination of HIV. Efforts to address HIV/AIDS among conflict‐affected populations should be properly addressed to eliminate potential role of the spread of the disease and risk of exposure to HIV. Motivated from this situation, HIV‐infected immigrants factor to HIV/SIV transmission link will be investigated in this research and examine its potential effect using optimal control method. Nonlinear deterministic mathematical model is used which is a multiple host model comprising of humans and chimpanzees. Some basic properties of the model such as invariant region and positivity of the solutions will be examined. The local stability of the disease‐free equilibrium was examined by computing the basic reproduction number, and it was found to be locally asymptotically stable when ?₀<1 and unstable otherwise. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the parameters that help most in the spread of the virus. Pontryagin's maximum principle is used to obtain the optimality conditions for controlling the disease spread. Numerical simulation was conducted to obtain the analytical results. The results shows that combination of public health awareness, treatment, and culling help in controlling the HIV disease spread.     

Insight of Viral Infection of Jatropha Curcas Plant (Future Fuel): A control based mathematical study

Jatropha Curcas Linnaeous(Jatropha Curcas L)is a wonder plant with a variety of applications and enormous economic potential.Biodiesel,an alternative fuel from non edible vegetable oil of Jatropha Curcas plant,has the requisite potential of providing a promising and commercially viable alternative to diesel oil since it has the desirable physicochemical and performance characteristics comparable to diesel.This alternative fuel is eco-friendly,cost effective and has the huge potentiality for the future ge...     

Birth-pulse models of Wolbachia-induced cytoplasmic incompatibility in mosquitoes for dengue virus control

Dengue fever, which affects more than 50 million people a year, is the most important arboviral disease in tropical countries. Mosquitoes are the principal vectors of the dengue virus but some endosymbiotic Wolbachia bacteria can stop the mosquitoes from reproducing and so interrupt virus transmission. A birth-pulse model of the spread of Wolbachia through a population of mosquitoes, incorporating the effects of cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI) and different density dependent death rate functions, is proposed. Strategies for either eradicating mosquitoes or using population replacement by substituting uninfected mosquitoes with infected ones for dengue virus prevention were modeled. A model with a strong density dependent death function shows that population replacement can be realized if the initial ratio of number of infected to the total number of mosquitoes exceeds a critical value, especially when transmission from mother to offspring is perfect. However, with a weak density dependent death function, population eradication becomes difficult as the system’s solutions are sensitive to initial values. Using numerical methods, it was shown that population eradication may be achieved regardless of the infection ratio only when parameters lie in particular regions and the initial density of uninfected is low enough.     

Dynamical behaviors of a discrete HIV‐1 virus model with bilinear infective rate

We establish a discrete virus dynamic model by discretizing a continuous HIV‐1 virus model with bilinear infective rate using ‘hybrid’ Euler method. We discuss not only the existence and global stability of the uninfected equilibrium but also the existence and local stability of the infected equilibrium. We prove that there exists a crucial value similar to that of the continuous HIV‐1 virus dynamics, which is called the basic reproductive ratio of the virus. If the basic reproductive ratio of the virus is less than one, the uninfected equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. If the basic reproductive ratio of the virus is larger than one, the infected equilibrium exists and is locally stable. Moreover, we consider the permanence for such a system by constructing a Lyapunov function v_n. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Global stability of nonresident computer virus models

In this paper, applying Lyapunov functional techniques to nonresident computer virus models, we establish global dynamics of the model whose threshold parameter is the basic reproduction number R₀ such that the virus‐free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when R₀ ≤ 1, and the infected equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when R₀ > 1 under the same restricted condition on a parameter, which appeared in the literature on delayed susceptible‐infected‐recovered‐susceptible (SIRS) epidemic models. We use new techniques on permanence and global stability of this model for R₀ > 1. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Mosaic approximations of discrete analogs of Calderón-Zygmund operators

Asymptotic estimates of the form mrA = O(InN · ln ^d ɛ ⁻¹), whered is the dimension of the initial space, for mosaic ranks of discrete analog of Calderón-Zygmund operators are obtained for various mosaic covers. Translated fromMatematicheskie Zametki, Vol. 63, No. 1, pp. 81–94, January, 1998.     

Global dynamics of delay‐distributed HIV infection models with differential drug efficacy in cocirculating target cells

In this paper, we investigate the dynamical behaviors of three human immunodeficiency virus infection models with two types of cocirculating target cells and distributed intracellular delay. The models take into account both short‐lived infected cells and long‐lived chronically infected cells. In the two types of target cells, the drug efficacy is assumed to be different. The incidence rate of infection is given by bilinear and saturation functional responses in the first and second models, respectively, while it is given by a general function in the third model. Lyapunov functionals are constructed and LaSalle invariance principle is applied to prove the global asymptotic stability of all equilibria of the models. We have derived the basic reproduction number R₀ for the three models. For the first two models, we have proven that the disease‐free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable (GAS) when R₀≤1, and the endemic equilibrium is GAS when R₀>1. For the third model, we have established a set of sufficient conditions for global stability of both equilibria of the model. We have checked our theoretical results with numerical simulations. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Planning and scheduling of multistage multiproduct batch plants operating under production campaigns

When plants are operated under stable conditions during reasonable time periods, operation with campaigns is particularly appropriate. The regular operation of the facilities simplifies the production control, the inventory management, the plant operability, etc. A?campaign includes several batches of different products that are going to be manufactured and the same one is cyclically repeated over the time horizon. In this work, a mixed integer linear programming formulation is proposed for the planning and scheduling of given multiproduct batch plants operating with campaigns. The number and size of batches for each product, the campaign composition, the assignment of batches to units and their sequencing, and the number of times that the campaign is repeated over the time horizon must be determined. Taking into account this scenario, an appropriate performance measure is the minimization of the cycle time. An asynchronous slot-based continuous-time representation for modeling the assignment of batches to units and their sequencing is employed, and a novel rule for determining the maximum number of slots postulated for each unit is proposed.     

Global properties of a class of HIV infection models with Beddington–DeAngelis functional response

In this paper, the global properties of a class of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) models with Beddington–DeAngelis functional response are investigated. Lyapunov functions are constructed to establish the global asymptotic stability of the uninfected and infected steady states of three HIV infection models. The first model considers the interaction process of the HIV and the CD4 ⁺ T cells and takes into account the latently and actively infected cells. The second model describes two co‐circulation populations of target cells, representing CD4 ⁺ T cells and macrophages. The third model is a two‐target‐cell model taking into account the latently and actively infected cells. We have proven that if the basic reproduction number R₀ is less than unity, then the uninfected steady state is globally asymptotically stable, and if R₀ > 1, then the infected steady state is globally asymptotically stable. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Global analysis of virus dynamics model with logistic mitosis,cure rate and delay in virus production

In this paper, we study a virus dynamics model with logistic mitosis, cure rate, and intracellular delay. By means of construction of a suitable Lyapunov functionals, obtained by linear combinations of Volterra—type functions, composite quadratic functions and Volterra—type functionals, we provide the global stability for this model. If R₀, the basic reproductive number, satisfies R₀ ≤ 1, then the infection‐free equilibrium state is globally asymptotically stable. Our system is persistent if R₀ > 1. On the other hand, if R₀ > 1, then infection‐free equilibrium becomes unstable and a unique infected equilibrium exists. The local stability analysis is carried out for the infected equilibrium, and it is shown that, if the parameters satisfy a condition, the infected equilibrium can be unstable and a Hopf bifurcation can occur. We also have that if R₀ > 1, then the infected equilibrium state is globally asymptotically stable if a sufficient condition is satisfied. We illustrate our findings with some numerical simulations. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Optimal control of information epidemics modeled as Maki Thompson rumors

We model the spread of information in a homogeneously mixed population using the Maki Thompson rumor model. We formulate an optimal control problem, from the perspective of single campaigner, to maximize the spread of information when the campaign budget is fixed. Control signals, such as advertising in the mass media, attempt to convert ignorants and stiflers into spreaders. We show the existence of a solution to the optimal control problem when the campaigning incurs non-linear costs under the isoperimetric budget constraint. The solution employs Pontryagin’s Minimum Principle and a modified version of forward backward sweep technique for numerical computation to accommodate the isoperimetric budget constraint. The techniques developed in this paper are general and can be applied to similar optimal control problems in other areas.We have allowed the spreading rate of the information epidemic to vary over the campaign duration to model practical situations when the interest level of the population in the subject of the campaign changes with time. The shape of the optimal control signal is studied for different model parameters and spreading rate profiles. We have also studied the variation of the optimal campaigning costs with respect to various model parameters. Results indicate that, for some model parameters, significant improvements can be achieved by the optimal strategy compared to the static control strategy. The static strategy respects the same budget constraint as the optimal strategy and has a constant value throughout the campaign horizon. This work finds application in election and social awareness campaigns, product advertising, movie promotion and crowdfunding campaigns.     

Modelling and analyzing the epidemic of human infections with the avian influenza A(H7N9) virus in 2017 in China

In 2013, in mainland China, a novel avian influenza A(H7N9) virus began to infect humans, followed by the annual outbreaks, and had aroused severe fatality in the infected humans. After introducing the statistical characteristics including the geographical distributions of the outbreaks, a SEV‐SIRS eco‐epidemiological model is established and analyzed. In this model, the factor of virus in environment is incorporated into the model as a class; the vaccine measure in poultry is taken into account in purpose of assessing its control effect in 2017 in China; the nonmonotonic contact function is adopted to characterize the psychosocial effect. The stability of disease‐free equilibrium point (DFE) is obtained by the threshold theory; the stability of the endemic equilibrium point is gotten by the Bendixson criterion based on the geometric approach. Sensitivity analyses of system parameters indicate that the measure of vaccination in poultry can play its role but only when the vaccine rate is more than 98% can the disease control effect be effectively exerted, and the virus in environment is an extremely sensitive factor in the disease transmission and the epidemic control.     

Global dynamics of an age‐structured virus model with saturation effects

An infection‐age virus dynamics model for human immunodeficiency virus (or hepatitis B virus) infections with saturation effects of infection rate and immune response is investigated in this paper. It is shown that the global dynamics of the model is completely determined by two critical values R ₀, the basic reproductive number for viral infection, and R ₁, the viral reproductive number at the immune‐free infection steady state (R ₁<R ₀). If R ₀<1, the uninfected steady state E ⁰ is globally asymptotically stable; if R ₀>1 > R ₁, the immune‐free infected steady state E ^? is globally asymptotically stable; while if R ₁>1, the antibody immune infected steady state is globally asymptotically stable. Moreover, our results show that ignoring the saturation effects of antibody immune response or infection rate will result in an overestimate of the antibody immune reproductive number. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A study of the fractional‐order mathematical model of diabetes and its resulting complications

Diabetes is a worldwide problem that affects one of every 11 persons nowadays. The IDF Diabetes Atlas (Eighth edition, 2017) states that approximately 415 million people in the world are living with the disease and that this number will rise to 629 million by the year 2045. It is a very serious problem of the world. A major part of the world population is affected by this disease and its resulting complications. In this paper, we propose to investigate a fractional‐order model of diabetes and its resulting complications. The mathematical model's parameters define the population of diabetic patients and those who are diabetic with complications at a given time t. We have also discussed the existence, uniqueness, and stability of the fractional‐order model, which we consider here. We make use of the homotopy decomposition method (HDM) in order to solve the problem.     

Modeling plant disease with biological control of insect pests

Abstract

Introduction: This article discusses the problem of plant diseases that pose major threat to agriculture in several parts of the World. Herein, our focus is on viruses that are transmitted from one plant to another by insect vectors. We consider predators that prey on insect population leading to reduction in infection transmission of plant diseases. Methods: We formulate and analyze a deterministic model for plant disease by incorporating predators as biological control agents. Existence of equilibria and the stability of the model are discussed in-detail. Basic reproduction number R₀ of the proposed model is also computed and this helps in determining the impact of different key parameters on the transmission dynamics of disease. Additionally, the proposed model is extended to stochastic model and simulation results of both deterministic and stochastic models are compared and analyzed. Results: Our results of stochastic model show the less number of infected plants and insects compared to corresponding results for deterministic model. Also, our results analyze the impact of different key parameters on the equilibrium levels of infected plants and identify the key parameters. Discussion: Presented results are used to conclude and demonstrate that the biological control is effective in reducing the infection transmission of plant disease and there is a need to use plant-insect-specific predators to get desirable results.     

New Colored Visual Secret Sharing Schemes

Visual secretsharing (VSS) schemes are used to protect the visual secret bysending n transparencies to different participantsso that k-1 or fewer of them have no informationabout the original image, but the image can be seen by stackingk or more transparencies. However, the revealedsecret image of a conventional VSS scheme is just black and white.The colored k out of n VSS scheme sharinga colored image is first introduced by Verheul and Van Tilborg[1]. In this paper, a new construction for the colored VSS schemeis proposed. This scheme can be easily implemented on basis ofa black & white VSS scheme and get much better block lengththan the Verheul-Van Tilborg scheme.