A multi-stage stochastic programming approach in master production scheduling

Master Production Schedules (MPS) are widely used in industry, especially within Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) software. The classical approach for generating MPS assumes infinite capacity, fixed processing times, and a single scenario for demand forecasts. In this paper, we question these assumptions and consider a problem with finite capacity, controllable processing times, and several demand scenarios instead of just one. We use a multi-stage stochastic programming approach in order to come up with the maximum expected profit given the demand scenarios. Controllable processing times enlarge the solution space so that the limited capacity of production resources are utilized more effectively. We propose an effective formulation that enables an extensive computational study. Our computational results clearly indicate that instead of relying on relatively simple heuristic methods, multi-stage stochastic programming can be used effectively to solve MPS problems, and that controllability increases the performance of multi-stage solutions.     

Designing a two-echelon distribution network under demand uncertainty

This paper proposes a comprehensive methodology for the stochastic multi-period two-echelon distribution network design problem (2E-DDP) where product flows to ship-to-points are directed from an upper layer of primary warehouses to distribution platforms (DPs) before being transported to the ship-to-points. A temporal hierarchy characterizes the design level dealing with DP location and capacity decisions, as well as the operational level involving transportation decisions as origin-destination flows. These design decisions must be calibrated to minimize the expected distribution cost associated with the two-echelon transportation schema on this network under stochastic demand. We consider a multi-period planning horizon where demand varies dynamically from one planning period to the next. Thus, the design of the two-echelon distribution network under uncertain customer demand gives rise to a complex multi-stage decisional problem. Given the strategic structure of the problem, we introduce alternative modeling approaches based on two-stage stochastic programming with recourse. We solve the resulting models using a Benders decomposition approach. The size of the scenario set is tuned using the sample average approximation (SAA) approach. Then, a scenario-based evaluation procedure is introduced to post-evaluate the design solutions obtained. We conduct extensive computational experiments based on several types of instances to validate the proposed models and assess the efficiency of the solution approaches. The evaluation of the quality of the stochastic solution underlines the impact of uncertainty in the two-echelon distribution network design problem (2E-DDP).     

Solving a minimum-power covering problem with overlap constraint for cellular network design

We consider a type of covering problem in cellular networks. Given the locations of base stations, the problem amounts to determining cell coverage at minimum cost in terms of the power usage. Overlap between adjacent cells is required in order to support handover. The problem we consider is NP-hard. We present integer linear models and study the strengths of their continuous relaxations. Preprocessing is used to reduce problem size and tighten the models. Moreover, we design a tabu search algorithm for finding near-optimal solutions effectively and time-efficiently. We report computational results for both synthesized instances and networks originating from real planning scenarios. The results show that one of the integer models leads to tight bounds, and the tabu search algorithm generates high-quality solutions for large instances in short computing time.     

Wireless network capacity management: A real options approach

This paper applies financial option valuation methods to new wireless network capacity investment decision timing. In particular, we consider the case of network capacity for cellular telephone service. Given a cluster of base stations (with a certain traffic capacity per base station), we determine when it is optimal to increase capacity for each of the base stations contained in the cluster. We express this in terms of the fraction of total cluster capacity in use, i.e. we calculate the optimal time to upgrade in terms of the ratio of observed usage to existing capacity. We study the optimal decision problem of adding new capacity in the presence of stochastic wireless demand for services. A four factor algorithm is developed, based on a real options formulation. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate various aspects of the model.     

Stochastic single machine scheduling problem as a multi-stage dynamic random decision process

In this work, we study a stochastic single machine scheduling problem in which the features of learning effect on processing times, sequence-dependent setup times, and machine configuration selection are considered simultaneously. More precisely, the machine works under a set of configurations and requires stochastic sequence-dependent setup times to switch from one configuration to another. Also, the stochastic processing time of a job is a function of its position and the machine configuration. The objective is to find the sequence of jobs and choose a configuration to process each job to minimize the makespan. We first show that the proposed problem can be formulated through two-stage and multi-stage Stochastic Programming models, which are challenging from the computational point of view. Then, by looking at the problem as a multi-stage dynamic random decision process, a new deterministic approximation-based formulation is developed. The method first derives a mixed-integer non-linear model based on the concept of accessibility to all possible and available alternatives at each stage of the decision-making process. Then, to efficiently solve the problem, a new accessibility measure is defined to convert the model into the search of a shortest path throughout the stages. Extensive computational experiments are carried out on various sets of instances. We discuss and compare the results found by the resolution of plain stochastic models with those obtained by the deterministic approximation approach. Our approximation shows excellent performances both in terms of solution accuracy and computational time.

     

An application of Lagrangian relaxation to a capacity planning problem under uncertainty

A supply chain network-planning problem is presented as a two-stage resource allocation model with 0-1 discrete variables. In contrast to the deterministic mathematical programming approach, we use scenarios, to represent the uncertainties in demand. This formulation leads to a very large scale mixed integer-programming problem which is intractable. We apply Lagrangian relaxation and its corresponding decomposition of the initial problem in a novel way, whereby the Lagrangian relaxation is reinterpreted as a column generator and the integer feasible solutions are used to approximate the given problem. This approach addresses two closely related problems of scenario analysis and two-stage stochastic programs. Computational solutions for large data instances of these problems are carried out successfully and their solutions analysed and reported. The model and the solution system have been applied to study supply chain capacity investment and planning.     

The mixed capacitated general routing problem under uncertainty

We study the General Routing Problem defined on a mixed graph and with stochastic demands. The problem under investigation is aimed at finding the minimum cost set of routes to satisfy a set of clients whose demand is not deterministically known. Since each vehicle has a limited capacity, the demand uncertainty occurring at some clients affects the satisfaction of the capacity constraints, that, hence, become stochastic. The contribution of this paper is twofold: firstly we present a chance-constrained integer programming formulation of the problem for which a deterministic equivalent is derived. The introduction of uncertainty into the problem poses severe computational challenges addressed by the design of a branch-and-cut algorithm, for the exact solution of limited size instances, and of a heuristic solution approach exploring promising parts of the search space. The effectiveness of the solution approaches is shown on a probabilistically constrained version of the benchmark instances proposed in the literature for the mixed capacitated general routing problem.     

A Multi-Stage Stochastic Integer Programming Approach for Capacity Expansion under Uncertainty

This paper addresses a multi-period investment model for capacity expansion in an uncertain environment. Using a scenario tree approach to model the evolution of uncertain demand and cost parameters, and fixed-charge cost functions to model the economies of scale in expansion costs, we develop a multi-stage stochastic integer programming formulation for the problem. A reformulation of the problem is proposed using variable disaggregation to exploit the lot-sizing substructure of the problem. The reformulation significantly reduces the LP relaxation gap of this large scale integer program. A heuristic scheme is presented to perturb the LP relaxation solutions to produce good quality integer solutions. Finally, we outline a branch and bound algorithm that makes use of the reformulation strategy as a lower bounding scheme, and the heuristic as an upper bounding scheme, to solve the problem to global optimality. Our preliminary computational results indicate that the proposed strategy has significant advantages over straightforward use of commercial solvers.     

Stochastic capacity expansion with multiple sources of capacity

In this paper, we consider the multi-period single resource stochastic capacity expansion problem with three sources of capacity: permanent, contract, and spot market. The problem is modeled as a multi-stage stochastic integer program. We show that the problem has the totally unimodular property and develop polynomial-time primal and dual algorithms to solve the problem.     

A resource investment problem with time/resource trade-offs

In this study, we consider a Resource Investment Problem with time/resource trade-offs in project networks. We assume that there is a single renewable resource and the processing requirement of an activity can be reduced by investing extra resources. Our aim is to minimize the maximum resource usage, hence, the total amount invested for the single resource, while meeting the pre-specified deadline. We formulate the problem as a mixed integer linear model and find optimal solutions for small-sized problem instances. For large-sized problem instances, we propose a heuristic solution procedure. We develop several lower bounds and use them to evaluate the performance of our heuristic procedure. The results of our computational experiments have revealed the satisfactory behaviour of our optimality properties, lower bounds and heuristic procedure.     

Solving multiobjective vehicle routing problem with stochastic demand via evolutionary computation

This paper considers the routing of vehicles with limited capacity from a central depot to a set of geographically dispersed customers where actual demand is revealed only when the vehicle arrives at the customer. The solution to this vehicle routing problem with stochastic demand (VRPSD) involves the optimization of complete routing schedules with minimum travel distance, driver remuneration, and number of vehicles, subject to a number of constraints such as time windows and vehicle capacity. To solve such a multiobjective and multi-modal combinatorial optimization problem, this paper presents a multiobjective evolutionary algorithm that incorporates two VRPSD-specific heuristics for local exploitation and a route simulation method to evaluate the fitness of solutions. A new way of assessing the quality of solutions to the VRPSD on top of comparing their expected costs is also proposed. It is shown that the algorithm is capable of finding useful tradeoff solutions for the VRPSD and the solutions are robust to the stochastic nature of the problem. The developed algorithm is further validated on a few VRPSD instances adapted from Solomon’s vehicle routing problem with time windows (VRPTW) benchmark problems.     

A scenario decomposition approach for stochastic production planning in sawmills

This study considers a real world stochastic multi-period, multi-product production planning problem. Motivated by the challenges encountered in sawmill production planning, the proposed model takes into account two important aspects: (i) randomness in yield and in demand; and (ii) set-up constraints. Rather than considering a single source of randomness, or ignoring set-up constraints as is typically the case in the literature, we retain all these characteristics while addressing real life-size instances of the problem. Uncertainties are modelled by a scenario tree in a multi-stage environment. In the case study, the resulting large-scale multi-stage stochastic mixed-integer model cannot be solved by using the mixed-integer solver of a commercial optimization package, such as CPLEX. Moreover, as the production planning model under discussion is a mixed-integer programming model lacking any special structure, the development of decomposition and cutting plane algorithms to obtain good solutions in a reasonable time-frame is not straightforward. We develop a scenario decomposition approach based on the progressive hedging algorithm, which iteratively solves the scenarios separately. CPLEX is then used for solving the sub-problems generated for each scenario. The proposed approach attempts to gradually steer the solutions of the sub-problems towards an implementable solution by adding some penalty terms in the objective function used when solving each scenario. Computational experiments for a real-world large-scale sawmill production planning model show the effectiveness of the proposed solution approach in finding good approximate solutions.     

Proximity Benders: a decomposition heuristic for stochastic programs

In this paper we present a heuristic approach to two-stage mixed-integer linear stochastic programming models with continuous second stage variables. A common solution approach for these models is Benders decomposition, in which a sequence of (possibly infeasible) solutions is generated, until an optimal solution is eventually found and the method terminates. As convergence may require a large amount of computing time for hard instances, the method may be unsatisfactory from a heuristic point of view. Proximity search is a recently-proposed heuristic paradigm in which the problem at hand is modified and iteratively solved with the aim of producing a sequence of improving feasible solutions. As such, proximity search and Benders decomposition naturally complement each other, in particular when the emphasis is on seeking high-quality, but not necessarily optimal, solutions. In this paper, we investigate the use of proximity search as a tactical tool to drive Benders decomposition, and computationally evaluate its performance as a heuristic on instances of different stochastic programming problems.     

Two-resource stochastic capacity planning employing a Bayesian methodology

We examine a stochastic capacity-planning problem with two resources that can satisfy demand for two services. One of the resources can only satisfy demand for a specific service, whereas the other resource can provide both services. We formulate the problem of choosing the capacity levels of each resource to maximize expected profits. In addition, we provide analytic, easy-to-interpret optimal solutions, as well as perform a comparative statics analysis. As applying the optimal solutions effectively requires good estimates of the unknown demand parameters, we also examine Bayesian estimates of the demand parameters derived via a class of conjugate priors. We compare the optimal expected profits when demands for the two services follow independent distributions with informative and non-informative priors, and demonstrate that using good informative priors on demand can significantly improve performance.     

Master physician scheduling problem

We study a real-world problem arising from the operations of a hospital service provider, which we term the master physician scheduling problem. It is a planning problem of assigning physicians’ full range of day-to-day duties (including surgery, clinics, scopes, calls, administration) to the defined time slots/shifts over a time horizon, incorporating a large number of constraints and complex physician preferences. The goals are to satisfy as many physicians’ preferences and duty requirements as possible while ensuring optimum usage of available resources. We propose mathematical programming models that represent different variants of this problem. The models were tested on a real case from the Surgery Department of a local government hospital, as well as on randomly generated problem instances. The computational results are reported together with analysis on the optimal solutions obtained. For large-scale instances that could not be solved by the exact method, we propose a heuristic algorithm to generate good solutions.     

随机需求下基于供应中断的备份供应商决策分析

假定需求服从随机分布,研究由零售商主导的供应链中,采用一个战略供应商和一个备份供应商模式,零售商与备份供应商通过能力期权建立订货契约:首先,零售商向备份供应商预订能力,支付预订成本;接着,向战略供应商订货,如果没有发生突发事件则其供货量等于订货量,否则供货量变为零;然后,零售商基于战略供应商的供货量和备份供应商的能力预订确定向备份供应商的订货量,支付执行成本;最后,零售商用战略供应商和备份供应商的总供货量满足顾客需求。备份供应商在考虑自己的能力维持成本和制造成本后决定是否接受零售商提供的能力期权契约。针对零售商可选择的四种不同策略,求得采取不用策略所满足的条件,并给出相应的最优订货量、能力预订量和能力执行量和最优利润等的解析解。     

Resource capacity allocation to stochastic dynamic competitors: knapsack problem for perishable items and index-knapsack heuristic

In this paper we propose an approach for solving problems of optimal resource capacity allocation to a collection of stochastic dynamic competitors. In particular, we introduce the knapsack problem for perishable items, which concerns the optimal dynamic allocation of a limited knapsack to a collection of perishable or non-perishable items. We formulate the problem in the framework of Markov decision processes, we relax and decompose it, and we design a novel index-knapsack heuristic which generalizes the index rule and it is optimal in some specific instances. Such a heuristic bridges the gap between static/deterministic optimization and dynamic/stochastic optimization by stressing the connection between the classic knapsack problem and dynamic resource allocation. The performance of the proposed heuristic is evaluated in a systematic computational study, showing an exceptional near-optimality and a significant superiority over the index rule and over the benchmark earlier-deadline-first policy. Finally we extend our results to several related revenue management problems.     

On alternative mixed integer programming formulations and LP-based heuristics for lot-sizing with setup times

We address the multi-item, capacitated lot-sizing problem (CLSP) encountered in environments where demand is dynamic and to be met on time. Items compete for a limited capacity resource, which requires a setup for each lot of items to be produced causing unproductive time but no direct costs. The problem belongs to a class of problems that are difficult to solve. Even the feasibility problem becomes combinatorial when setup times are considered. This difficulty in reaching optimality and the practical relevance of CLSP make it important to design and analyse heuristics to find good solutions that can be implemented in practice. We consider certain mixed integer programming formulations of the problem and develop heuristics including a curtailed branch and bound, for rounding the setup variables in the LP solution of the tighter formulations. We report our computational results for a class of instances taken from literature.     

A metaheuristic for stochastic service network design

This paper considers the time-dependent service network design problem with stochastic demand represented by scenarios. To our knowledge, this is the first attempt to address real life-size instances of this problem. The model integrates the balancing of empty vehicles, the cost of handling freight in intermediate terminals, the costs associated with moving freight using the selected services, and the penalty costs of not being able to deliver freight. A metaheuristic is presented and computational results are reported on a set of large new problem instances.