A Robust Optimization Approach to Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control with no Backorders

In this paper, we present a robust optimization formulation for dealing with demand uncertainty in a dynamic pricing and inventory control problem for a make-to-stock manufacturing system. We consider a multi-product capacitated, dynamic setting. We introduce a demand-based fluid model where the demand is a linear function of the price, the inventory cost is linear, the production cost is an increasing strictly convex function of the production rate and all coefficients are time-dependent. A key part of the model is that no backorders are allowed. We show that the robust formulation is of the same order of complexity as the nominal problem and demonstrate how to adapt the nominal (deterministic) solution algorithm to the robust problem.     

An approximation technique for robust nonlinear optimization

Nonlinear equality and inequality constrained optimization problems with uncertain parameters can be addressed by a robust worst-case formulation that is, however, difficult to treat computationally. In this paper we propose and investigate an approximate robust formulation that employs a linearization of the uncertainty set. In case of any norm bounded parameter uncertainty, this formulation leads to penalty terms employing the respective dual norm of first order derivatives of the constraints. The main advance of the paper is to present two sparsity preserving ways for efficient computation of these derivatives in the case of large scale problems, one similar to the forward mode, the other similar to the reverse mode of automatic differentiation. We show how to generalize the techniques to optimal control problems, and discuss how even infinite dimensional uncertainties can be treated efficiently. Finally, we present optimization results for an example from process engineering, a batch distillation.     

证券投资组合优化问题的强健性的锥优化方法(英)

本文研究了具有强健性的证券投资组合优化问题.模型以最差条件在值风险为风险度量方法,并且考虑了交易费用对收益的影响.当投资组合的收益率概率分布不能准确确定但是在有界的区间内,尤其是在箱型区间结构和椭球区域结构内时,我们可以把具有强健性的证券投资组合优化问题的模型分别转化成线性规划和二阶锥规划形式.最后,我们用一个真实市场数据的算例来验证此方法.     

证券投资组合优化问题的强健性的锥优化方法(英文)

本文研究了具有强健性的证券投资组合优化问题.模型以最差条件在值风险为风险度量方法,并且考虑了交易费用对收益的影响.当投资组合的收益率概率分布不能准确确定但是在有界的区间内,尤其是在箱型区间结构和椭球区域结构内时,我们可以把具有强健性的证券投资组合优化问题的模型分别转化成线性规划和二阶锥规划形式.最后,我们用一个真实市场数据的算例来验证此方法.     

Robust international portfolio management

We present an international portfolio optimization model where we take into account the two different sources of return of an international asset: the local returns denominated in the local currency, and the returns on the foreign exchange rates. The explicit consideration of the returns on exchange rates introduces non-linearities in the model, both in the objective function (return maximization) and in the triangulation requirement of the foreign exchange rates. The uncertainty associated with both types of returns is incorporated directly in the model by the use of robust optimization techniques. We show that, by using appropriate assumptions regarding the formulation of the uncertainty sets, the proposed model has a semidefinite programming formulation and can be solved efficiently. While robust optimization provides a guaranteed minimum return inside the uncertainty set considered, we also discuss an extension of our formulation with additional guarantees through trading in quanto options for the foreign assets and in equity options for the domestic assets.     

Distributionally robust scheduling on parallel machines under moment uncertainty

This paper investigates a distributionally robust scheduling problem on identical parallel machines, where job processing times are stochastic without any exact distributional form. Based on a distributional set specified by the support and estimated moments information, we present a min-max distributionally robust model, which minimizes the worst-case expected total flow time out of all probability distributions in this set. Our model doesn’t require exact probability distributions which are the basis for many stochastic programming models, and utilizes more information compared to the interval-based robust optimization models. Although this problem originates from the manufacturing environment, it can be applied to many other fields when the machines and jobs are endowed with different meanings. By optimizing the inner maximization subproblem, the min-max formulation is reduced to an integer second-order cone program. We propose an exact algorithm to solve this problem via exploring all the solutions that satisfy the necessary optimality conditions. Computational experiments demonstrate the high efficiency of this algorithm since problem instances with 100 jobs are optimized in a few seconds. In addition, simulation results convincingly show that the proposed distributionally robust model can hedge against the bias of estimated moments and enhance the robustness of production systems.     

Robust truss topology optimization via semidefinite programming with complementarity constraints: a difference-of-convex programming approach

The robust truss topology optimization against the uncertain static external load can be formulated as mixed-integer semidefinite programming. Although a global optimal solution can be computed with a branch-and-bound method, it is very time-consuming. This paper presents an alternative formulation, semidefinite programming with complementarity constraints, and proposes an efficient heuristic. The proposed method is based upon the concave–convex procedure for difference-of-convex programming. It is shown that the method can often find a practically reasonable truss design within the computational cost of solving some dozen of convex optimization subproblems.     

On discounted stochastic games with incomplete information on payoffs and a security application

This paper presents a robust optimization model for n$n$-person finite state/action stochastic games with incomplete information on payoffs. For polytopic uncertainty sets, we propose an explicit mathematical programming formulation for an equilibrium calculation. It turns out that a global optimal of this mathematical program yields an equilibrium point and epsilon-equilibria can be calculated based on this result. We briefly describe an incomplete information version of a security application that can benefit from robust game theory.     

A robust optimization model for agile and build-to-order supply chain planning under uncertainties

Supply chain planning as one of the most important processes within the supply chain management concept, has a great impact on firms’ success or failure. This paper considers a supply chain planning problem of an agile manufacturing company operating in a build-to-order environment under various kinds of uncertainty. An integrated optimization approach of procurement, production and distribution costs associated with the supply chain members has been taken into account. A robust optimization scenario-based approach is used to absorb the influence of uncertain parameters and variables. The formulation is a robust optimization model with the objective of minimizing the expected total supply chain cost while maintaining customer service level. The developed multi-product, multi-period, multi-echelon robust mixed-integer linear programming model is then solved using the CPLEX optimization studio and guidance related to future areas of research is given.     

Quantile-based robust optimization of a supersonic nozzle for organic rankine cycle turbines

Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) turbines usually operate in thermodynamic regions characterized by high-pressure ratios and strong non-ideal gas effects, complicating the aerodynamic design significantly. Systematic optimization methods accounting for multiple uncertainties due to variable operating conditions, referred to as Robust Optimization may benefit to ORC turbines aerodynamic design. This study presents an original and fast robust shape optimization approach to overcome the limitation of a deterministic optimization that neglects operating conditions variability, applied to a well-known supersonic turbine nozzle for ORC applications. The flow around the blade is assumed inviscid and adiabatic and it is reconstructed using the open-source SU2 code. The non-ideal gasdynamics is modeled through the Peng-Robinson-Stryjek-Vera equation of state. We propose here a mono-objective formulation which consists in minimizing the α-quantile of the targeted Quantity of Interest (QoI) under a probabilistic constraint, at a low computational cost. This problem is solved by using an efficient robust optimization approach, coupling a state-of-the-art quantile estimation and a classical Bayesian optimization method. First, the advantages of a quantile-based formulation are illustrated with respect to a conventional mean-based robust optimization. Secondly, we demonstrate the effectiveness of applying this robust optimization framework with a low-fidelity inviscid solver by comparing the resulting optimal design with the ones obtained with a deterministic optimization using a fully turbulent solver.     

A simplex-based numerical framework for simple and efficient robust design optimization

The Simplex Stochastic Collocation (SSC) method is an efficient algorithm for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in computational problems with random inputs. In this work, we show how its formulation based on simplex tessellation, high degree polynomial interpolation and adaptive refinements can be employed in problems involving optimization under uncertainty. The optimization approach used is the Nelder-Mead algorithm (NM), also known as Downhill Simplex Method. The resulting SSC/NM method, called Simplex², is based on (i) a coupled stopping criterion and (ii) the use of an high-degree polynomial interpolation in the optimization space for accelerating some NM operators. Numerical results show that this method is very efficient for mono-objective optimization and minimizes the global number of deterministic evaluations to determine a robust design. This method is applied to some analytical test cases and a realistic problem of robust optimization of a multi-component airfoil.     

Robust production planning in a manufacturing environment with random yield: A case in sawmill production planning

This paper addresses a multi-period, multi-product sawmill production planning problem where the yields of processes are random variables due to non-homogeneous quality of raw materials (logs). In order to determine the production plans with robust customer service level, robust optimization approach is applied. Two robust optimization models with different variability measures are proposed, which can be selected based on the tradeoff between the expected backorder/inventory cost and the decision maker risk aversion level about the variability of customer service level. The implementation results of the proposed approach for a realistic-scale sawmill example highlights the significance of using robust optimization in generating more robust production plans in the uncertain environments compared with stochastic programming.     

Inverse Variational Inequality Approach and Applications

It is well known that a dynamic oligopolistic market equilibrium problem can be studied as an evolutionary variational inequality and this problem is approached as a problem of profit optimization for the firms. On the contrary, in this article, with the help of an inverse variational formulation, the behavior of control policies for an oligopolistic market equilibrium problem, whose aim is to regulate the exportation through the adjustment of taxes on the firms, is studied. This is considered as a policymaker optimization problem. More precisely, a definition of equilibrium for the firms by using the Lagrange multipliers is provided together to the optimal regulatory tax definition. Moreover an existence result is given and, at last, a numerical example is analyzed.     

Robust multiobjective optimization & applications in portfolio optimization

Motivated by Markowitz portfolio optimization problems under uncertainty in the problem data, we consider general convex parametric multiobjective optimization problems under data uncertainty. For the first time, this uncertainty is treated by a robust multiobjective formulation in the gist of Ben-Tal and Nemirovski. For this novel formulation, we investigate its relationship to the original multiobjective formulation as well as to its scalarizations. Further, we provide a characterization of the location of the robust Pareto frontier with respect to the corresponding original Pareto frontier and show that standard techniques from multiobjective optimization can be employed to characterize this robust efficient frontier. We illustrate our results based on a standard mean–variance problem.     

联合订货下基于ø-散度的多产品库存鲁棒优化模型

针对多产品联合库存决策问题,在市场需求不确定条件下,建立了考虑联合订货成本的多产品库存鲁棒优化模型。针对不确定市场需求,采用一系列未知概率的离散情景进行描述,给出了基于最小最大准则的鲁棒对应模型,并证明了(s,S)库存策略的最优性。进一步,在仅知多产品市场需求历史数据基础上,采用基于ø-散度的数据驱动方法构建了满足一定置信度要求的关于未知需求概率分布的不确定集。在此基础上,为获得(s,S)库存策略的相关参数,运用拉格朗日对偶方法将所建模型等价转化为易于求解的数学规划问题。最后,通过数值计算分析了Kullback-Leibler散度和Cressie-Read散度以及不同的置信水平下的多产品库存绩效,并将其与真实分布下应用鲁棒库存策略得到的库存绩效进行对比。结果表明,需求分布信息的缺失虽然会导致一定的库存绩效损失,但损失值很小,表明基于文中方法得到的库存策略能够有效抑制需求不确定性扰动,具有良好的鲁棒性。     

Supply chain optimization of petroleum organization under uncertainty in market demands and prices

A multi-period stochastic planning model has been developed and implemented for a supply chain network of a petroleum organization operating in an oil producing country under uncertain market conditions. The proposed supply chain network consists of all activities related to crude oil production, processing and distribution. Uncertainties were introduced in market demands and prices. A deterministic optimization model was first developed and tested. The impact of uncertainty on the supply chain was studied by performing a sensitivity analysis in which ±20% deviations were introduced in market demands and prices of different commodities. A stochastic formulation was then proposed, which is based on the two-stage problem with finite number of realizations. The proposed stochastic programming approach proved to be quite effective in developing resilient production plans in light of high degree of uncertainty in market conditions. The anticipated production plans have a considerably lower expected value of perfect information (EVPI). The main conclusion of this study is that for an oil producing country with oil processing capabilities, the impact of economic uncertainties may be tolerated by an appropriate balance between crude exports and processing capacities.     

A Profit-maximizing Plant-loading Model with Demand Fill-rate Constraints

This paper discusses a new formulation of a class of plant product-mix loading problems which are characterized by capacitated production facilities, demand fill-rate requirements, fixed facility costs, concave variable production costs and an integrated network structure which encompasses inbound supply and outbound distribution flows. In particular, we are interested in assigning product lines and volumes to a set of capacitated plants under the demand fill-rate constraints. Fixed costs are incurred when a product line is assigned to a plant. The variable production-cost function also exhibits concavity with respect to each product-line volume. Thus both scale economies and plant focus effect are considered explicitly in the model. The model also can be used to determine which market to serve in order to best allocate the firm's resources. The problem formulation leads to a concave mixed-integer mathematical programme. Given the state of the art of non-linear programming techniques, it is often not possible to find global optima for reasonably sized problems. We develop an optimization algorithm within the framework of Benders' decomposition for the case of a piecewise linear concave cost function. Our algorithm generates optimal solutions efficiently.     

Optimization of Discrete-Continuous Dynamic Systems Based on Disjunctive Programming

In this contribution, a novel approach for the modeling and optimization of discrete-continuous dynamic systems based on a disjunctive problem formulation is proposed. It will be shown that a disjunctive model representation, which constitutes an alternative to mixed-integer model formulations, provides a very flexible and intuitive way to formulate discrete-continuous dynamic optimization problems. Moreover, the structure and properties of the disjunctive process models can be exploited for an efficient and robust numerical solution by applying generalized disjunctive programming techniques. The proposed modeling and optimization approach will be illustrated by means of an optimal control problem that embeds a linear discretecontinuous dynamic system. (© 2005 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

A two-stage fuzzy robust integer programming approach for capacity planning of environmental management systems

In this study, a two-stage fuzzy robust integer programming (TFRIP) method has been developed for planning environmental management systems under uncertainty. This approach integrates techniques of robust programming and two-stage stochastic programming within a mixed integer linear programming framework. It can facilitate dynamic analysis of capacity-expansion planning for waste management facilities within a multi-stage context. In the modeling formulation, uncertainties can be presented in terms of both possibilistic and probabilistic distributions, such that robustness of the optimization process could be enhanced. In its solution process, the fuzzy decision space is delimited into a more robust one by specifying the uncertainties through dimensional enlargement of the original fuzzy constraints. The TFRIP method is applied to a case study of long-term waste-management planning under uncertainty. The generated solutions for continuous and binary variables can provide desired waste-flow-allocation and capacity-expansion plans with a minimized system cost and a maximized system feasibility.     

Competitive Multi-period Pricing for Perishable Products: A Robust Optimization Approach

We study a multi-period oligopolistic market for a single perishable product with fixed inventory. Our goal is to address the competitive aspect of the problem together with demand uncertainty using ideas from robust optimization and variational inequalities. The demand function for each seller has some associated uncertainty and we assume that the sellers would like to adopt a policy that is robust to adverse uncertain circumstances. We believe this is the first paper that uses robust optimization for dynamic pricing under competition. In particular, starting with a given fixed inventory, each seller competes over a multi-period time horizon in the market by setting prices and protection levels for each period at the beginning of the time horizon. Any unsold inventory at the end of the horizon is worthless. The sellers do not have the option of periodically reviewing and replenishing their inventory. We study non-cooperative Nash equilibrium policies for sellers under such a model. This kind of a setup can be used to model pricing of air fares, hotel reservations, bandwidth in communication networks, etc. In this paper we demonstrate our results through some numerical examples.