Estimating the lead-time demand distribution when the daily demand is non-normal and autocorrelated Hon-Shiang LAU

This paper develops convenient formulas for estimating the probability distribution of lead time demand when the inventory item's daily demand follows a probability distribution of any arbitrary shape, and when simple univariate models can be found for the autocorrelated daily demand series. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the use of these formulas. The numerical results also indicate that significant error may be incurred when inventory decisions are made without proper consideration of the autocorrelations or the arbitrary distribution shapes of daily demands.     

A multi-product continuous review inventory system with stochastic demand,backorders, and a budget constraint

Common characteristics of inventory systems include uncertain demand and restrictions such as budgetary or storage space constraints. Several authors have examined budget constrained multi-item stochastic inventory systems controlled by continuous review policies without considering marginal shortage costs. Existing models assume that purchasing costs are paid at the time an order is placed, which is not always the case since in some systems purchasing costs are paid when orders arrive. In the latter case the maximum investment in inventory is random since the inventory level when an order arrives is a random variable. Hence payment of purchasing costs on delivery yields a stochastic budget constraint for inventory. This paper models a multi-item stochastic inventory system with backordered shortages when estimation of marginal backorder cost is available, and payment is due upon order arrival. The budget constraint can easily be converted into a storage constraint.     

Lot sizing for a single product recovery system with variable setup numbers

Inventory systems for joint remanufacturing and manufacturing have recently received considerable attention. In such systems, used products are collected from customers and are kept at the recoverable inventory warehouse for future remanufacturing. In this paper a production–remanufacturing inventory system is considered, where the demand can be satisfied by production and remanufacturing. The cost structure consists of the EOQ-type setup costs, holding costs and shortage costs. The model with no shortage case in serviceable inventory is first studied. The serviceable inventory shortage case is discussed next. Both models are considered for the case of variable setup numbers of equal sized batches for production and remanufacturing processes. For these two models sufficient conditions for the optimal type of policy, referring to the parameters of the models, are proposed.     

Estimating the demand pattern for C category items

This paper presents a methodology for estimating the demand pattern for the slowest-moving C category inventory items. The methodology uses an aggregation-by-items scheme and a forecasting procedure based on conditional demand analysis whereby aggregate demand is assumed to be an arbitrarily mixed, heterogeneous Poisson distribution. Practical aspects of demand heterogeneity, parameter estimation and model implementation are illustrated using a case study in retail inventory planning and control.     

Optimal inventory policy under power demand pattern and partial backlogging

In this paper, we study an inventory model with a power demand pattern that allows shortages. It is assumed that only a fraction of demand is backlogged during the shortage period and the remainder is considered lost sales. The aim of the paper is to determine the lot size and the length of the inventory cycle that maximize the total inventory profit per unit time. A general approach to obtain the optimal solution of the inventory problem and the maximum associated profit is developed. Some inventory models proposed in the literature are particular cases of the model analyzed here. Numerical examples are included to complement the theoretical results.     

A production planning model for an unreliable production facility: Case of finite horizon and single demand

We study a two-level inventory system that is subject to failures and repairs. The objective is to minimize the expected total cost so as to determine the production plan for a single quantity demand. The expected total cost consists of the inventory carrying costs for finished and unfinished items, the backlog cost for not meeting the demand due-date, and the planning costs associated with the ordering schedule of unfinished items. The production plan consists of the optimal number of lot sizes, the optimal size for each lot, the optimal ordering schedule for unfinished items, and the optimal due-date to be assigned to the demand. To gain insight, we solve special cases and use their results to device an efficient solution approach for the main model. The models are solved to optimality and the solution is either obtained in closed form or through very efficient algorithms.     

An inventory model with generalized type demand,deterioration and backorder rates

This study is motivated by the paper of Skouri et al. [Skouri, Konstantaras, Papachristos, Ganas, European Journal of Operational Research 192 (1) (2009) 79–92]. We extend their inventory model from ramp type demand rate and Weibull deterioration rate to arbitrary demand rate and arbitrary deterioration rate in the consideration of partial backorder. We demonstrate that the optimal solution is actually independent of demand. That is, for a finite time horizon, any attempt at tackling targeted inventory models under ramp type or any other types of the demand becomes redundant. Our analytical approach dramatically simplifies the solution procedure.     

On the Effect of Product Variety in Production–Inventory Systems

In this paper, we examine the effect of product variety on inventory costs in a production–inventory system with finite capacity where products are made to stock and share the same manufacturing facility. The facility incurs a setup time whenever it switches from producing one product type to another. The production facility has a finite production rate and stochastic production times. In order to mitigate the effect of setups, products are produced in batches. In contrast to inventory systems with exogenous lead times, we show that inventory costs increase almost linearly in the number of products. More importantly, we show that the rate of increase is sensitive to system parameters including demand and process variability, demand and capacity levels, and setup times. The effect of these parameters can be counterintuitive. For example, we show that the relative increase in cost due to higher product variety is decreasing in demand and process variability. We also show that it is decreasing in expected production time. On the other hand, we find that the relative cost is increasing in expected setup time, setup time variability and aggregate demand rate. Furthermore, we show that the effect of product variety on optimal base stock levels is not monotonic. We use the model to draw several managerial insights regarding the value of variety-reducing strategies such as product consolidation and delayed differentiation.     

Optimal policy for brownian inventory models with general convex inventory cost

We study an inventory system in which products are ordered from outside to meet demands, and the cumulative demand is governed by a Brownian motion. Excessive demand is backlogged. We suppose that the shortage and holding costs associated with the inventory are given by a general convex function. The product ordering from outside incurs a linear ordering cost and a setup fee. There is a constant leadtime when placing an order. The optimal policy is established so as to minimize the discounted cost including the inventory cost and ordering cost.     

回收率依赖回收产品质量的再制造EOQ模型

研究回收率依赖回收产品质量情况下制造/再制造混合系统的EOQ模型.该模型假设顾客的需求可通过新产品的制造和回收产品的再制造两种方式满足,且这两种产品无质量差异;需求率是确定的、连续的;总成本包括制造和再制造的固定启动成本,可销售产品和回收品的库存成本,以及缺货成本.当假设缺货成本无限大时给出不允许缺货情况下的模型.给出算例验证模型的有效性.     

A multi-product continuous review inventory system in stochastic environment with budget constraint

Common characteristics of inventory systems include uncertain demand and restrictions such as budgetary and storage space constraints. Several authors have examined budget constrained multi-item stochastic inventory systems controlled by continuous review policies without considering marginal review shortage costs. Existing models assume that purchasing costs are paid at the time an order is placed, which is not always the case since in some systems purchasing costs are paid when order arrive. In the latter case the maximum investment in inventory is random since the inventory level when an order arrives is a random variable. Hence payment of purchasing costs on delivery yields a stochastic budget constraint for inventory. In this paper with mixture of back orders and lost sales, we assume that mean and variance of lead time demand are known but their probability distributions are unknown. After that, we apply the minimax distribution free procedure to find the minimum expected value of the random objective function with budget constraint. The random budget constraint is transformed to crisp budget constraint by chance-constraint technique. Finally, the model is illustrated by a numerical example.     

An approach for integrated scheduling and lot-sizing

In this paper a non time discrete approach is developed for an integrated planning procedure, applied to a multi-item capacitated production system with dynamic demand. The objective is to minimize the total costs, which consist of holding and setup costs for one period. The model does not allow backlog. Furthermore, a production rate of zero or full capacity is the only possibility. The result is a schedule, lot-sizes and the sequences for all lots. The approach is based on a specific property of the setup cost function, which allows for replacement of the integer formulation for the number of setup activities in the model. In a situation where the requirements for the multi-item continuous rate economic order quantity, the so-called economic production lot (EPL) formula, are fulfilled, both the EPL as well as the presented model results are identical for the instances dealt with. Moreover, with the new model problems with an arbitrary demand can be solved.     

An interactive method for inventory control with fuzzy lead-time and dynamic demand

Normally, the real-world inventory control problems are imprecisely defined and human interventions are often required to solve these decision-making problems. In this paper, a realistic inventory model with imprecise demand, lead-time and inventory costs have been formulated and an inventory policy is proposed to minimize the cost using man–machine interaction. Here, demand increases with time at a decreasing rate. The imprecise parameters of lead-time, inventory costs and demand are expressed through linear/non-linear membership functions. These are represented by different types of membership functions, linear or quadratic, depending upon the prevailing supply condition and marketing environment. The imprecise parameters are first transformed into corresponding interval numbers and then following the interval mathematics, the objective function for average cost is changed into respective multi-objective functions. These functions are minimized and solved for a Pareto-optimum solution by interactive fuzzy decision-making procedure. This process leads to man–machine interaction for optimum and appropriate decision acceptable to the decision maker’s firm. The model is illustrated numerically and the results are presented in tabular forms.     

A comparative study of modeling and solution approaches for the coordinated lot-size problem with dynamic demand

In the coordinated lot-size problem, a major setup cost is incurred when at least one member of a product family is produced and a minor setup cost for each different item produced. This research consolidates the various modeling and algorithmic approaches reported in the literature for the coordinated replenishment problem with deterministic dynamic demand. For the two most effective approaches, we conducted extensive computational experiments investigating the quality of the lower bound associated with the model’s linear programming relaxation and the computational efficiency of the algorithmic approaches when used to find heuristic and optimal solutions. Our findings indicate the superiority of the plant location type problem formulation over the traditional approach that views the problem as multiple single-item Wagner and Whitin problems that are coupled by major setup costs. Broader implications of the research suggest that other classes of deterministic dynamic demand lot-size problems may also be more effectively modeled and solved by adapting plant location type models and algorithms.     

Time and inventory dependent optimal maintenance policies for single machine workstations: An MDP approach

In this work the problem of obtaining an optimal maintenance policy for a single-machine, single-product workstation that deteriorates over time is addressed, using Markov Decision Process (MDP) models. Two models are proposed. The decision criteria for the first model is based on the cost of performing maintenance, the cost of repairing a failed machine and the cost of holding inventory while the machine is not available for production. For the second model the cost of holding inventory is replaced by the cost of not satisfying the demand. The processing time of jobs, inter-arrival times of jobs or units of demand, and the failure times are assumed to be random. The results show that in order to make better maintenance decisions the interaction between the inventory (whether in process or final), and the number of shifts that the machine has been working without restoration, has to be taken into account. If this interaction is considered, the long-run operational costs are reduced significantly. Moreover, structural properties of the optimal policies of the models are obtained after imposing conditions on the parameters of the models and on the distribution of the lifetime of a recently restored machine.     

Profit maximization in an inventory system with time-varying demand,partial backordering and discrete inventory cycle

In this paper, an inventory problem where the inventory cycle must be an integer multiple of a known basic period is considered. Furthermore, the demand rate in each basic period is a power time-dependent function. Shortages are allowed but, taking necessities or interests of the customers into account, only a fixed proportion of the demand during the stock-out period is satisfied with the arrival of the next replenishment. The costs related to the management of the inventory system are the ordering cost, the purchasing cost, the holding cost, the backordering cost and the lost sale cost. The problem is to determine the best inventory policy that maximizes the profit per unit time, which is the difference between the income obtained from the sales of the product and the sum of the previous costs. The modeling of the inventory problem leads to an integer nonlinear mathematical programming problem. To solve this problem, a new and efficient algorithm to calculate the optimal inventory cycle and the economic order quantity is proposed. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate how the algorithm works to determine the best inventory policies. A sensitivity analysis of the optimal policy with respect to some parameters of the inventory system is developed. Finally, conclusions and suggestions for future research lines are given.

     

Pricing strategies for a non-replenishable item under variable demand and inflation

In this paper a model is developed for the pricing of non-replenishable inventory. Pricing strategies are examined that determine the minimum special price for immediate disposal of the entire stock. These are assessed using the return from inventory, net of holding costs, available for financing overheads and profits. Previous studies [2] and [3] have presented models for pricing the immediate disposal case. These have assessed the strategy on the basis of the lump sum generated at the end of a certain period. Their results gave, in many instances, very low special prices. This paper's result do not support their contentions in most instances. Indeed for many practical situations a special price of at least 80% of normal price is required. Substantially lower special prices are only justified when declining demand causes units of inventory to be sold at scrap value.     

Decision making on stock levels in cases of uncertain demand rate

Inventory control is a typical problem of decision making. In this paper a periodic replenishment of stock, the spare parts being of one kind, is discussed for some cases when the demand rate is uncertain. The first decision, before all others in the sequence, is done by assuming an a priori distribution of demand rate. In time, as the demand process goes on, corrections of parameters of the a priori distribution are made according to the accumulated knowledge about past demand. This Bayesian approach to decision making based on learning about the uncertain demand rate is known for the case when the demand rate is unknown but constant. It is shown that this same approach can be used in some cases when the demand rate is unknown and not constant. Results are given and used for inventory control.     

The influence of demand variability on the performance of a make-to-stock queue

Variability, in general, has a deteriorating effect on the performance of stochastic inventory systems. In particular, previous results indicate that demand variability causes a performance degradation in terms of inventory related costs when production capacity is unlimited. In order to investigate the effects of demand variability in capacitated production settings, we analyze a make-to-stock queue with general demand arrival times operated according to a base-stock policy. We show that when demand inter-arrival distributions are ordered in a stochastic sense, increased arrival time variability indeed leads to an augmentation of optimal base-stock levels and to a corresponding increase in optimal inventory related costs. We quantify these effects through several numerical examples.     

Controlling setup cost in (Q, r, L) inventory model with defective items

This study discusses a mixture inventory model with back orders and lost sales in which the order quantity, reorder point, lead time and setup cost are decision variables. It is assumed that an arrival order lot may contain some defective items and the number of defective items is a random variable. There are two inventory models proposed in this paper, one with normally distributed demand and another with distribution free demand. Finally we develop two computational algorithms to obtain the optimal ordering policy. A computer code using the software Matlab is developed to derive the optimal solution and present numerical examples to illustrate the models. Additionally, sensitivity analysis is conducted with respect to the various system parameters.