一类重随机Poisson过程在信用风险定价模型中的应用

运用带随机尺度因子的重随机Poisson过程描述信用衍生产品的违约可能，在违约强度λ(t)是随机变量的情况下得到违约时间τ的分布密度函数，并推导出信用衍生产品的定价模型．     

复合Poisson过程参数的检验

当风险为非同质时，索赔次数的分布可用复合Poisson过程来描述，Hofmann分布族可用于复合Poisson过程中索赔次数的研究，本文讨论了Hofmann分布的相参数的检验问题，得到了它的检验统计量及其渐近分布。     

Poisson过程分解问题的一个注记

在研究Poisson过程分解问题时,现有文献的证明往往令人费解,本文主要运用极限理论,给出了一个简明易懂的证明.     

一类推广的双险种复合Poisson风险模型的破产概率

本文研究了一类索赔计数过程相关的双险种Poisson风险模型.利用模型转化首先将该复杂模型转化为经典的风险模型,获得该模型破产概率所满足的积分方程,Lundberg上界表达式,及Cramér-Lundberg渐近估计式.当个体索赔具有指数分布时,推得了破产概率所满足的方程,并给出了具体的数值计算的实例.     

多险种复合Poisson风险模型和破产概率

经典风险模型只描述了单一险种的经营模式,具有局限性,本文对多险种的复合Poisson风险模型的破产概率进行了研究。本文给出了初始资本为0时破产概率皿（O）的明确表达式,以及理赔量服从指数分布且初始资本为u时破产概率ψ（u）的明确表达式。     

双复合Poisson风险模型

研究了保费收取过程是复合Po isson过程,索赔总额是复合Po isson过程的风险模型,给出了不破产概率的积分表示,以及在特殊情况下不破产概率的具体表达式,并用鞅方法得出了破产概率满足的Lundberg不等式和一般公式.     

稀疏过程在破产问题中的应用

本讨论一类人寿保险的风险过程，其中保单到达服从齐次Poisson过程。而描述退保及索赔发生的计数过程分别为这一过程的q-稀疏与p-稀疏．对此模型给出其破产概率的具体上界，并与其它一类风险模型进行比较．     

Poisson过程中的几何分布

讨论变环境系统可靠性维修过程中,t0,t1,…,tN内复杂系统出现故障的变参数Poisson过程.利用强马氏性定理证明不同类故障间距次数Xnk的独立性,给出不同子系统或元器件出现不同故障类型的概率分布:变参数几何分布Xnk～Geometric(pk),同时验证了几何分布的变动统计特性.     

广义复合Poisson风险模型下的生存概率

In this paper we generalize the aggregated premium income process from a constant rate process to a poisson process for the classical compound Poinsson risk model, then for the generalized model and the classical compound poisson risk model, we respectively get its survival probability in finite time period in case of exponential claim amounts.     

广义复合Poisson模型下的破产概率

本文主要讨论如何把经典的破产模型中到ｔ时刻的风险Ｓｔ由一个复合 Ｐｏｉｓｓｏｎ过程推广到广义复合Ｐｏｉｓｓｏｎ过程,以此来解决同一时刻有两个以上顾客要求索赔的实际问题．     

复合泊松过程及其在保险风险中的若干应用

本文利用齐次泊松过程的可加性,研究了复合泊松过程的可加性及其性质。作为应用,讨论了单个理赔额服从指数分布的复合泊松风险模型在第n次索赔时发生负盈余的概率。     

Optimal Upper and Lower Bounds for the Upper Tails of Compound Poisson Processes

A compound Poisson process is of the form where Z, Z ₁, Z ₂, are arbitrary i.i.d. random variables and N is an independent Poisson random variable with parameter . This paper identifies the degree of precision that can be achieved when using exponential bounds together with a single truncation to approximate . The truncation level introduced depends only on and Z and not on the overall exceedance level a.     

Approximation of Hunt Processes by Multivariate Poisson Processes

We prove that arbitrary Hunt processes on a general state space can be approximated by multivariate Poisson processes starting from each point of the state space. The key point is that no additional regularity assumption on the state space and on the underlying transition semigroup is used.     

完备可分度量群上的齐次Levy过程的复合Poisson逼近

该文利用算子半群的方法给出了取值于具有左不变度量的完备可分群的齐次Levy过程是复合Poisson过程的弱极限这一结论．     

On Rescaled Poisson Processes and the Brownian Bridge

The process obtained by rescaling a homogeneous Poisson process by the maximum likelihood estimate of its intensity is shown to have surprisingly strong self-correcting behavior. Formulas for the conditional intensity and moments of the rescaled Poisson process are derived, and its behavior is demonstrated using simulations. Relationships to the Brownian bridge are explored, and implications for point process residual analysis are discussed.     

Robustness for Inhomogeneous Poisson Point Processes

We consider robustness for estimation of parametric inhomogeneous Poisson point processes. We propose an influence functional to measure the effect of contamination on estimates. We also propose an M-estimator as an alternative to maximum likelihood estimator, show its consistency and asymptotic normality.     

泊松点过程的若干大偏差估计

本文给出泊松点过程下列三种极限行为的大偏差估计：（１）高密度情形；（２）低密度情形和（３）标度变换下极限情形。     

Poisson Traffic Processes in RGSMP and Generalized Networks

1.Introductiontrafficprocessesinqueueingnetworksareanimportantoperatingfacetofsuchmodels,aswellasvaluableinthestudyofvaliddecompositionsofnetworks.IfwefindsometrafficprocessesinanetworkPoisson,thenitoftenrendersthemathematicalanalysistractable.Generalized…     

A class of renewal Interrupted Poisson Processes and applications to queueing systems

Switched Poisson Processes and Interrupted Poisson Processes are often employed to characterize traffic streams in distributed computer and communications systems, especially in investigations of overflow processes in telecommunication networks. With these processes, input streams having inter-segment correlations and high variance as well as state-dependent traffic can properly be modelled. In this paper we first derive an approximation method to describe the Generalized Switched Poisson processes in conjunction with a renewal assumption. As a special case of this class of processes, the class of Interrupted Poisson processes is also included in the investigation. As a result, a generalization of the well-known class of Interrupted Poisson processes is obtained. It is shown that the renewal property is also given for this general class of Interrupted Poisson processes having generally distributed off-phase. To illustrate the accuracy of the presented renewal approximation of Generalized Switched Poisson processes and to show the major properties of the General Interrupted Poisson processes, applications to some basic queueing systems are discussed by means of numerical results.This work was done while the author was with Institute of Communications Switching and Data Technics, University of Stuttgart, Seidenstrasse 36, D-7000 Stuttgart 1, FRG.     

Poisson evolution in word selection

This paper presents the finding that the invocation of new words in human language samples is governed by a slowly changing Poisson process. The time dependent rate constant for this process has the form

λ(t) = λ₁(1−λ₂t)e^-λ₂t+λ₃(1−λ₄t)e^-λ₄t+λ₅

, where

λ_i > 0, I=1,…,5

.

This form implies that there are opening, middle and final phases to the introduction of new words, each distinguished by a dominant rate constant, or equivalently, rate of decay. With the occasional exception of the phase transition from beginning to middle, the rate λ(t) decays monotonically. Thus, λ(t) quantifies how the penchant of humans to introduce new words declines with the progression of their narratives, written or spoken.