On Some Tests of the Covariance Matrix Under General Conditions

We consider the problem of testing the hypothesis about the covariance matrix of random vectors under the assumptions that the underlying distributions are nonnormal and the sample size is moderate. The asymptotic expansions of the null distributions are obtained up to n ^−1/2. It is found that in most cases the null statistics are distributed as a mixture of independent chi-square random variables with degree of freedom one (up to n ^−1/2) and the coefficients of the mixtures are functions of the fourth cumulants of the original random variables. We also provide a general method to approximate such distributions based on a normalization transformation.     

The confounding effects of distribution mixtures on some basic methods for handling stable-Paretian distributions

The belief that the distributions of many business and economic variables are stable-Paretian (SP) generated a large literature on SP financial modelling. In contrast, some recent studies appear to have shown that the major financial variables thought to be SP are not SP. However, practically all these earlier studies assume that the variable under consideration has a single or ‘pure’ SP distribution, whereas many business /economic variables come from distribution mixtures. This paper investigates the applicability of some basic SP methods to mixtures of SP distributions. Our results show that current SP parameter-estimation procedures and SP-hypothesis tests are all very unreliable for SP mixtures. Our results imply that: (i) earlier findings on testing the SP hypothesis for various business /economic variables are unreliable, and whether major financial variables are SP remains an important unanswered question; (ii) new methods need to be developed to handle SP mixtures.     

非正态情形下过程能力指数的近似置信限

文章讨论了当过程不满足正态性假设的情形下过程能力指数的近似置信限,并以Weibull分布为例给出了指数C′_(pm)的近似置信区间的具体形式和假设检验的检验统计量。最后给出了模拟验证。     

A novel trace test for the mean parameters in a multivariate growth curve model

A trace test for the mean parameters of the growth curve model is proposed. It is constructed using the restricted maximum likelihood followed by an estimated likelihood ratio approach. The statistic reduces to the Lawley-Hotelling trace test for the Multivariate Analysis of Variance (MANOVA) models. Our test statistic is, therefore, a natural extension of the classical trace test to GMANOVA models. We show that the distribution of the test under the null hypothesis does not depend on the unknown covariance matrix Σ. We also show that the distributions under the null and alternative hypotheses can be represented as sums of weighted central and non-central chi-square random variables, respectively. Under the null hypothesis, the Satterthwaite approximation is used to get an approximate critical point. A novel Satterthwaite type approximation is proposed to obtain an approximate power. A simulation study is performed to evaluate the performance of our proposed test and numerical examples are provided as illustrations.     

Gaussian cubature: A practitioner’s guide

Accurate modeling of management and economic processes often requires that researchers accurately approximate the expectations of functions of random variables. While commonly employed, Monte Carlo simulation techniques generally require large sample sizes to insure accuracy. For functions that are computationally burdensome, the Monte Carlo approach may be impractical. We propose a method to generate samples from multivariate distributions that contain far fewer points than reliable Monte Carlo samples, yet retain much of the original distributions’ information. Our method, Gaussian cubatures generated via linear programming, is designed to be feasible for joint, but independent distributions. While heuristic for joint, dependent distributions, this method appears to be very reliable and to accurately approximate expectations of an important class of functions.     

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??Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS), Cramer-von Mises (CM) and Anderson-Darling (AD) test, which are based on empirical distribution function (EDF), are well-known statistics in testing univariate normality. In this paper, we focus on the high dimensional case and propose a family of generalized EDF based statistics to test the high-dimensional normal distribution by reducing the dimension of the variable. Not only can we approximate the corresponding critical values of three statistics by Monte Carlo method, we also can investigate the approximate distributions of proposed statistics based on approximate formulas in univariate case under null hypothesis. The Monte Carlo simulation is carried out to demonstrate that the performance of proposed statistics is more competitive than existing methods under some alternative hypotheses. Finally, the proposed tests are applied to real data to illustrate their utility.     

The empirical characteristic function and large sample hypothesis testing

The empirical characteristic function is considered as a tool for large sample testing of a hypothesis that can be characterized in terms of the characteristic function. Two test statistics based upon the empirical characteristic function are proposed. The limiting distributions of these test statistics are obtained and methods are suggested for using these limiting distributions to calculate critical regions.     

Goodness-of-fit tests based on the empirical characteristic function

The paper is devoted to the supremum-type multivariate goodness-of-fit tests based on the empirical characteristic function. Particular attention is devoted to the composite hypothesis of normality and Gaussian distribution mixture model. An analytical way to approximate the null asymptotic distributions of the considered test statistics is discussed applying the theory of large excursions of differentiable Gaussian random fields. The produced comparative Monte Carlo power study shows that the considered tests are powerful competitors to the existing classical criteria, clearly dominating in verification of the goodness-of-fit hypotheses against the specific types of alternatives.     

Asymptotic power comparison of three tests in GMANOVA when the number of observed points is large

This paper is concerned with the testing problem of generalized multivariate linear hypothesis for the mean in the growth curve model(GMANOVA). Our interest is the case in which the number of the observed points p is relatively large compared to the sample size N. Asymptotic expansions of the non-null distributions of the likelihood ratio criterion, Lawley-Hotelling’s trace criterion and Bartlett-Nanda-Pillai’s trace criterion are derived under the asymptotic framework that N and p go to infinity together, while p/N→c∈(0,1). It also can be confirmed that Rothenberg’s condition on the magnitude of the asymptotic powers of the three tests is valid when p is relatively large, theoretically and numerically.     

Criteria for testing nonparametric hypotheses for random processes

A criterion is constructed for testing the hypothesis on the homogeneity of the distributions of two random processes and some other hypotheses, consistent in a large class of alternatives.Translated from Zapiski Nauchnykh Seminarov Leningradskogo Otdeleniya Matematicheskogo Instituta im. V. A. Steklova Akademii Nauk SSSR, Vol. 184, pp. 8–13, 1990.     

应用积分经验过程检验多元分布函数的相等性

本文引进投影积分经验过程用于检验两个或K个多元分布函数的相等性，自助法用于确定临界值的逼近，数论方法有效地计算自动法确定的临界值，且进行了一些模拟试验．     

Some test statistics based on the martingale term of the empirical distribution function

Summary It is proved that the martingale term of the empirical distribution function converges weakly to a Gaussian process inD[0, 1]. Some statistics for goodness-of-fit tests based on the martingale term of the empirical distribution function are proposed. Asymptotic distributions of these statistics under the null hypothesis are given. The approximate Bahadur efficiencies of the statistics to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic and to the Cramér-von Mises statistic are also calculated. The Institute of Statistical Mathematics     

Bahadur asymptotic efficiency of integral tests for symmetry

One finds rough asymptotics for the probabilities of large deviations of statistics of the omega-square type for the testing of the symmetry hypothesis. This gives the possibility to compute their Bahadur local exact slopes and to obtain some results on the characterization of the distributions for which the considered statistics are locally asymptotically optimal in the Bahadur sense for the shift alternative.Translated from Zapiski Nauchnykh Seminarov Leningradskogo Otdeleniya Matematicheskogo Instituta im. V. A. Steklova AN SSSR, Vol. 119, pp. 181–194, 1982.     

Applications of the representative points in statistical simulations

The paper gives a new approach to statistical simulation and resampling by the use of number-theoretic methods and representative points. Resempling techniques take samples from an approximate population. The bootstrap suggests to use a random sample to form an approximate population. We propose to construct some approximate population distribution by the use of two kinds of representative points, and samples are taken from these approximate distributions. The statistical inference is based on those samples. The statistical inference in this paper involves estimation of mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis, quantile and density of the population distribution. Our results show that the new method can significantly improve the results by the use of Monte Carlo methods.     

An algorithm to construct Monte Carlo confidence intervals for an arbitrary function of probability distribution parameters

We derive a new algorithm for calculating an exact confidence interval for a parameter of location or scale family, based on a two-sided hypothesis test on the parameter of interest, using some pivotal quantities. We use this algorithm to calculate approximate confidence intervals for the parameter or a function of the parameter of one-parameter continuous distributions. After appropriate heuristic modifications of the algorithm we use it to obtain approximate confidence intervals for a parameter or a function of parameters for multi-parameter continuous distributions. The advantage of the algorithm is that it is general and gives a fast approximation of an exact confidence interval. Some asymptotic (analytical) results are shown which validate the use of the method under certain regularity conditions. In addition, numerical results of the method compare well with those obtained by other known methods of the literature on the exponential, the normal, the gamma and the Weibull distribution.     

Asymptotics of the goodness-of-fit test for a partial linear model with randomly censored data

In this paper, we discuss the problem of testing the hypothesis that the underlying regression is a partial linear model. A test statistic, which is based on the quadratic form of a cusum process of residuals, is proposed. The asymptotic distributions of the test statistic under null hypothesis and the local alternative hypothesis are given. The number simulation shows that the test is available.     

Average projection type weighted Cramér-von Mises statistics for testing some distributions

This paper addresses the problem of testing goodness-of-fit for several important multivariate distributions: (Ⅰ) Uniform distribution on p-dimensional unit sphere; (Ⅱ) multivariate standard normal distribution; and (Ⅲ) multivariate normal distribution with unknown mean vector and covariance matrix. The average projection type weighted Cramér-yon Mises test statistic as well as estimated and weighted Cramér-von Mises statistics for testing distributions (Ⅰ), (Ⅱ) and (Ⅲ) are constructed via integrating projection direction on the unit sphere, and the asymptotic distributions and the expansions of those test statistics under the null hypothesis are also obtained. Furthermore, the approach of this paper can be applied to testing goodness-of-fit for elliptically contoured distributions.     

The likelihood ratio tests for the dimensionality of regression coefficients

In this paper we give a unified derivation of the likelihood ratio (LR) statistics for testing the hypothesis on the dimensionality of regression coefficients under a usual MANOVA model. We also derive the LR statistics under a general MANOVA model and study their asymptotic null and nonnull distributions. Further it is shown that the test statistic used by Bartlett [4] for testing the hypothesis that the last p?k canonical correlations are all zero is the LR statistic.     

Asymptotic Properties of a Class of Mixture Models for Failure Data: The Interior and Boundary Cases

We analyse an exponential family of distributions which generalises the exponential distribution for censored failure time data, analogous to the way in which the class of generalised linear models generalises the normal distribution. The parameter of the distribution depends on a linear combination of covariates via a possibly nonlinear link function, and we allow another level of heterogeneity: the data may contain "immune" individuals who are not subject to failure. Thus the data is modelled by a mixture of a distribution from the exponential family and a "mass at infinity" representing individuals who never fail. Our results include large sample distributions for parameter estimators and for hypothesis test statistics obtained by maximising the likelihood of a sample. The asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic for the hypothesis that there are no immunes present in the population is shown to be "non-standard"; it is a 50-50 mixture of a chi-squared distribution on 1 degree of freedom and a point mass at 0. Our analysis clearly shows how "negligibility" of individual covariate values and "sufficient followup" conditions are required for the asymptotic properties.     

A Nonparametric Test for the Equivalence of Populations Based on a Measure of Proximity of Samples

We propose a new measure of proximity of samples based on confidence limits for the bulk of a population constructed using order statistics. For this measure of proximity, we compute approximate confidence limits corresponding to a given significance level in the cases where the null hypothesis on the equality of hypothetical distribution functions may or may not be true. We compare this measure of proximity with the Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Wilcoxon statistics for samples from various populations. On the basis of the proposed measure of proximity, we construct a statistical test for testing the hypothesis on the equality of hypothetical distribution functions.