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1.
We generalize the framework of [18] for optimal stopping time problem to allow a certain restricted class of stopping times. By using classical results in probability theory on families of random variables indexed by a restricted family of stopping times, we prove the existence of an optimal time, givecharacterizations of the minimal and maximal optimal stopping times, and provide some local properties of the value function family, in concert with all special cases studied previously.  相似文献   

2.
This paper examines an optimal stopping problem for a geometric Brownian motion with random jumps. It is assumed that jumps occur according to a time-homogeneous Poisson process and the proportions of these sizes are independent and identically distributed nonpositive random variables. The objective is to find an optimal stopping time of maximizing the expected discounted terminal reward which is defined as a nondecreasing power function of the stopped state. By applying the “smooth pasting technique” [1,2], we derive almost explicitly an optimal stopping rule of a threshold type and the optimal value function of the initial state. That is, we express the critical state of the optimal stopping region and the optimal value function by formulae which include only given problem parameters except an unknown to be uniquely determined by a nonlinear equation.  相似文献   

3.
We consider a general continuous-time finite-horizon single-agent consumption and portfolio decision problem with subsistence consumption and value of bankruptcy. Our analysis allows for random market coefficients and general continuously differentiable concave utility functions. We study the time of bankruptcy as a problem of optimal stopping, and succeed in obtaining explicit formulas for the optimal consumption and wealth processes in terms of the optimal bankruptcy time. This paper extends the results of Karatzas, Lehoczky, and Shreve (Ref. 1) on the maximization of expected utility from consumption in a financial market with random coefficients by incorporating subsistence consumption and bankruptcy. It also addresses the random coefficients and finite-horizon version of the problem treated by Sethi, Taksar, and Presman (Ref. 2). The mathematical tools used in our analysis are optimal stopping, stochastic control, martingale theory, and Girsanov change of measure.  相似文献   

4.
We develop an approach for solving one-sided optimal stopping problems in discrete time for general underlying Markov processes on the real line. The main idea is to transform the problem into an auxiliary problem for the ladder height variables. In case that the original problem has a one-sided solution and the auxiliary problem has a monotone structure, the corresponding myopic stopping time is optimal for the original problem as well. This elementary line of argument directly leads to a characterization of the optimal boundary in the original problem. The optimal threshold is given by the threshold of the myopic stopping time in the auxiliary problem. Supplying also a sufficient condition for our approach to work, we obtain solutions for many prominent examples in the literature, among others the problems of Novikov-Shiryaev, Shepp-Shiryaev, and the American put in option pricing under general conditions. As a further application we show that for underlying random walks (and Lévy processes in continuous time), general monotone and log-concave reward functions g lead to one-sided stopping problems.  相似文献   

5.
The paper presents a new class of functions dependent on a skewed down random walk and its maximum such that the optimal moment in the optimal stopping problem for this function on a finite time interval is trivial and equal to the beginning of the interval.  相似文献   

6.
The objective of this study is to provide an alternative characterization of the optimal value function of a certain Black–Scholes-type optimal stopping problem where the underlying stochastic process is a general random walk, i.e. the process constituted by partial sums of an IID sequence of random variables. Furthermore, the pasting principle of this optimal stopping problem is studied.   相似文献   

7.

This paper investigates the hitting time problems of sticky Brownian motion and their applications in optimal stopping and bond pricing. We study the Laplace transform of first hitting time over the constant and random jump boundary, respectively. The results about hitting the constant boundary serve for solving the optimal stopping problem of sticky Brownian motion. By introducing the sharpo ratio, we settle the bond pricing problem under sticky Brownian motion as well. An interesting result shows that the sticky point is in the continuation region and all the results we get are in closed form.

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8.
The article examines the asymptotic behavior of the first arrival time for homogeneous Markov random walks with a fixed stopping boundary. Conditions of convergence to exponential and gamma distributions are established. The results are applied to solve one problem of statistical control.Translated from Statisticheskie Metody, pp. 183–189, 1982.  相似文献   

9.
The author proves, when the noise is driven by a Brownian motion and an independent Poisson random measure, the one-dimensional reflected backward stochastic differential equation with a stopping time terminal has a unique solution. And in a Markovian framework, the solution can provide a probabilistic interpretation for the obstacle problem for the integral-partial differential equation.  相似文献   

10.
The author proves, when the noise is driven by a Brownian motion and an independent Poisson random measure, the one-dimensional reflected backward stochastic differential equation with a stopping time terminal has a unique solution. And in a Markovian framework, the solution can provide a probabilistic interpretation for the obstacle problem for the integral-partial differential equation.  相似文献   

11.
We treat the problem of finding asymptotic expansions for the variance of stopping times for Wiener processes with positive drift (continuous time case) as well as sums of i.i.d. random variables with positive mean (discrete time case). Carrying over the setting of nonlinear renewal theory to Wiener processes, we obtain an asymptotic expansion up to vanishing terms in the continuous time case. Applying the same methods to sums of i.i.d. random variables, we also provide an expansion in the discrete time case up to terms of order o(b1/2) where the leading term is of order O(b), as b → ∞. The possibly unbounded term is the covariance of nonlinear excess and stopping time.  相似文献   

12.
This paper studies bounded-velocity control of a Brownian motion when discretionary stopping, or ‘leaving’, is allowed. The goal is to choose a control law and a stopping time in order to minimize the expected sum of a running and a termination cost, when both costs increase as a function of distance from the origin. There are two versions of this problem: the fully observed case, in which the control multiplies a known gain, and the partially observed case, in which the gain is random and unknown. Without the extra feature of stopping, the fully observed problem originates with Beneš (Stochastic Process. Appl. 2 (1974) 127–140), who showed that the optimal control takes the ‘bang–bang’ form of pushing with maximum velocity toward the origin. We show here that this same control is optimal in the case of discretionary stopping; in the case of power-law costs, we solve the variational equation for the value function and explicitly determine the optimal stopping policy.We also discuss qualitative features of the solution for more general cost structures. When no discretionary stopping is allowed, the partially observed case has been solved by Beneš et al. (Stochastics Monographs, Vol. 5, Gordon & Breach, New York and London, pp. 121–156) and Karatzas and Ocone (Stochastic Anal. Appl. 11 (1993) 569–605). When stopping is allowed, we obtain lower bounds on the optimal stopping region using stopping regions of related, fully observed problems.  相似文献   

13.
In the spirit of Surya (2007), we develop an average problem approach to prove the optimality of threshold type strategies for optimal stopping of Lévy models with a continuous additive functional (CAF) discounting. Under spectrally negative models, we specialize this in terms of conditions on the reward function and random discounting, where we present two examples of local time and occupation time discounting. We then apply this approach to recursive optimal stopping problems, and present simpler and neater proofs for a number of important results on qualitative properties of the optimal thresholds, which are only known under a few special cases Carmona and Touzi (2008), Leung et al. (2015) and Surya (2007).  相似文献   

14.
Given a random time, we give some characterizations of the set of martingales for which the stopping theorems still hold. We also investigate how the stopping theorems are modified when we consider arbitrary random times. To this end, we introduce some families of martingales with remarkable properties.  相似文献   

15.
In this paper, the Euler–Maruyama (EM) method with random variable stepsize is studied to reproduce the almost sure stability of the true solutions of stochastic differential equations. Since the choice of the time step is based on the current state of the solution, the time variable is proved to be a stopping time. Then the semimartingale convergence theory is employed to obtain the almost sure stability of the random variable stepsize EM solution. To our best knowledge, this is the first paper to apply the random variable stepsize (with clear proof of the stopping time) to the analysis of the almost sure stability of the EM method.  相似文献   

16.
This article is concerned with the optimal multiple stopping problem for discrete time finite stage stochastic processes. We study lower semicontinuity and continuity properties of optimal stopping values with respect to the topology of convergence in distribution. Also, we formulate the multiple stopping version of the prophet inequality for the optimal stopping problem and apply the lower semicontinuity property of optimal stopping values to the prophet inequality for the optimal multiple stopping problem.  相似文献   

17.
In this note, using the well-known method of scalarization, we give an explicit characterization of the Pareto optimal stopping time for a vector-valued optimal stopping problem with only two reward functions. The present problem is a natural generalization of the classical McDonald-Siegel optimal stopping problem.  相似文献   

18.
We derive the optimal solution for the problem of choosing a non-anticipative decision rule to maximize the stopping variance of a finite horizon, increasing random walk subject to a distributional constraint, as well as an explicit upper limit on the variance of the walk’s stopping state. Problems of this caliber arise as subproblems for risk-constrained versions of standard stopping problems in areas including, for instance, market entry decision-making. A numerical example verifies the main result.  相似文献   

19.
One way to compute the value function of an optimal stopping problem along Brownian paths consists of approximating Brownian motion by a random walk. We derive error estimates for this type of approximation under various assumptions on the distribution of the approximating random walk.  相似文献   

20.
One way to compute the value function of an optimal stopping problem along Brownian paths consists of approximating Brownian motion by a random walk. We derive error estimates for this type of approximation under various assumptions on the distribution of the approximating random walk.  相似文献   

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