样本数较少时的极值控制图

「１」中研究了样本数较少时中位值和极差控制图。本文研究样本数较少时极值控制图的制定方法，给出与极值有关的统计量的分布，建立极值图的控制限，极值图不需计算，有关集中和分散的信息在一个图上给出，且可画上规格限，在实践中应用方便，本文制定的极值控制可应用于小批量生产的生产过程。     

Comparing extreme models when the sign of the extreme value index is known

In the literature on analyzing extremes, both generalized Pareto distributions and Pareto distributions are employed to infer the tail of a distribution with a known positive extreme value index. Similar studies exist for a known negative extreme value index. Intuitively, one should not employ the generalized Pareto distribution in the case of knowing the sign of the extreme value index. In this work, we show that fitting a generalized Pareto distribution is equivalent to the model in Hall (1982) in the case of a negative extreme value index, in both improving the rate of convergence and including the bias term of the asymptotic results of that reference. When the extreme value index is known to be positive, we show that fitting a generalized Pareto distribution may be preferred in some cases determined by a so-called second-order parameter and the extreme value index itself.     

二项-广义Pareto复合极值分布模型的统计推断

极值理论主要研究小概率、大影响的极端事件.当前,复合极值分布已经广泛应用于水文、气象、地震、保险、金融等领域.本文以极值类型定理和PBDH定理为理论依据,构建了二项-广义Pareto复合极值分布模型;使用概率加权矩方法,对所建立的复合模型推导参数估计式;利用计算机模拟,得到了Kolmogorov-Smirnov(简称KS)检验统计量的临界值.     

在固定时间抽样的可变抽样区间的极值控制图

本文根据 Reynolds在固定时间抽样的可变抽样区间 (VSIFT)的 - x控制图 [1 ]的模型设计极值 (ζ)图。规定样本在相等间隔的固定时间点抽取 ,当过程有变化的迹象时 ,允许在两个固定时间之间抽取附加样本。若样本点超过控制限 ,则 VSIFT图同常规图一样发信号。本文计算了 VSIFTζ图的发信号前的平均时间 ,并同固定抽样区间 (FSI)的常规ζ图作比较。极值图不需计算 ,有关集中和分散的信息在一个图上给出 ,且可画上规格限 ,在实践中应用方便。本文设计的 VSIFTζ图能缩短过程失控时间从而减少不合格品数     

关于条件极值充分条件的重新推导和证明

李文学用拉格朗日函数提出求条件极值的充分条件,但他的证明却是错误的.本文不用拉格朗日函数,而是直接通过消去一个变量将条件极值转化成无条件极值,重新推导出充分性条件.推导的过程也是条件极值充分条件的证明过程.     

一个求解条件极值问题的极值点的新方法

利用齐次线性方程组理论,建立了一个求解条件极值问题的极值点的新方法.该方法的优点是:能有效地避免在运用Lagrange乘数法求解条件极值时,因引进了参数而给解方程组带来的困扰.也可以说,对于有些问题我们仅从已知条件入手,不必引进参数就可以直接求得极值点.     

非线性飘移布朗运动的极值分布

本文研究了从x出发的非线性漂移布朗运动的极大值、极小值和首达时问题.利用测度变换以及布朗运动的一些重要性质,如反射原理,增量的独立性等,获得了两种极值分布函数的精确表达式,得到了首达时的分布函数.结果表明,线性漂移布朗运动的极大值极小值以及首达时的分布问题的有关结果是本文结论的推论,最后给出一个例子.     

Extreme value copula estimation based on block maxima of a multivariate stationary time series

The core of the classical block maxima method consists of fitting an extreme value distribution to a sample of maxima over blocks extracted from an underlying series. In asymptotic theory, it is usually postulated that the block maxima are an independent random sample of an extreme value distribution. In practice however, block sizes are finite, so that the extreme value postulate will only hold approximately. A more accurate asymptotic framework is that of a triangular array of block maxima, the block size depending on the size of the underlying sample in such a way that both the block size and the number of blocks within that sample tend to infinity. The copula of the vector of componentwise maxima in a block is assumed to converge to a limit, which, under mild conditions, is then necessarily an extreme value copula. Under this setting and for absolutely regular stationary sequences, the empirical copula of the sample of vectors of block maxima is shown to be a consistent and asymptotically normal estimator for the limiting extreme value copula. Moreover, the empirical copula serves as a basis for rank-based, nonparametric estimation of the Pickands dependence function of the extreme value copula. The results are illustrated by theoretical examples and a Monte Carlo simulation study.     

Approximations for Bivariate Extreme Values

We study the tail behavior of distributions in the domain of attraction of bivariate extreme value distributions (this includes bivariate extreme value distributions themselves). We provide results on finite approximations of the tail behavior and its analytical shape. The results could form a basis to improve current statistical modeling of bivariate extreme values.     

非光滑非凸向量极值问题的真有效解

本文考虑非光滑非凸向量极值问题的真有效解,其主要结果如下:(1)Borwein真有效解与Benson真有效解的等价性;(2)向量极值问题的真有效解与标量极值问题的最优解的等价性;(3)广义鞍点定理;(4)真有效解的必要和充分条件。     

Local Asymptotic Normality in Extreme Value Index Estimation

This paper deals with the estimation of the extreme value index in local extreme value models. We establish local asymptotic normality (LAN) under certain extreme value alternatives. It turns out that the central sequence occurring in the LAN expansion of the likelihood process is up to a rescaling procedure the Hill estimator. The central sequence plays a crucial role for the construction of asymptotic optimal statistical procedures. In particular, the Hill estimator is asymptotically minimax.     

Conditional extreme value models: fallacies and pitfalls

Conditional extreme value models have been introduced by Heffernan and Resnick (Ann. Appl. Probab., 17, 537–571, 2007) to describe the asymptotic behavior of a random vector as one specific component becomes extreme. Obviously, this class of models is related to classical multivariate extreme value theory which describes the behavior of a random vector as its norm (and therefore at least one of its components) becomes extreme. However, it turns out that this relationship is rather subtle and sometimes contrary to intuition. We clarify the differences between the two approaches with the help of several illuminative (counter)examples. Furthermore, we discuss marginal standardization, which is a useful tool in classical multivariate extreme value theory but, as we point out, much less straightforward and sometimes even obscuring in conditional extreme value models. Finally, we indicate how, in some situations, a more comprehensive characterization of the asymptotic behavior can be obtained if the conditions of conditional extreme value models are relaxed so that the limit is no longer unique.     

Probability plots and order statistics of the standard extreme value distribution

A comparison between the ordinary least-squares estimator and the weighted least-squares estimator when the data set arises from the standard extreme value distribution is provided. Probability plot of the extreme value distribution is applied. A goodness-of-fit test of the standard extreme value distribution is introduced. The percentage points of the test statistic are investigated. The results of power study for the test statistic under various alternatives show that in most situations the proposed test statistic serves as well as do competing alternatives.     

On Pickands coordinates in arbitrary dimensions

Pickands coordinates were introduced as a crucial tool for the investigation of bivariate extreme value models. We extend their definition to arbitrary dimensions and, thus, we can generalize many known results for bivariate extreme value and generalized Pareto models to higher dimensions and arbitrary extreme value margins.In particular we characterize multivariate generalized Pareto distributions (GPs) and spectral δ-neighborhoods of GPs in terms of best attainable rates of convergence of extremes, which are well-known results in the univariate case. A sufficient univariate condition for a multivariate distribution function (df) to belong to the domain of attraction of an extreme value df is derived. Bounds for the variational distance in peaks-over-threshold models are established, which are based on Pickands coordinates.     

二元函数极值充分条件的评注

本文对二元函数极值的充分条件作了进一步的讨论 ,得到了 AC-B2 =0时 ,二元函数极值判定的充分条件     

基于矩阵初等变换的n元函数极值的快速判别法

给出了 n元函数极值的一个充分条件 ,并结合矩阵的初等变换建立了 n元函数极值的一种快速判别法 ,最后给出了一个例子     

Dependence between two multivariate extremes

We extend the characterizations given by Takahashi (1988) for the independence and the total dependence of the univariate marginals of a multivariate extreme value distribution to its multivariate marginals. We also deal with the problem of how to measure the strength of the dependence among multivariate extremes. By presenting new definitions for the extremal coefficient, we propose measures that summarize the dependence between two multivariate extreme value distributions and preserve the main properties of the known bivariate coefficient for two univariate extreme value distributions. Finally, we illustrate these contributions to model the dependence among multivariate marginals with examples.     

基于n次型正定性的多元函数极值判别法

针对多元函数稳定点处二阶偏导数全为0的情况,提出了有效的极值判别法.定义了广义n维方阵、n次型及其正定性;提出了更具普遍意义的极值充分条件;得到了利用n次型的正定性判断n元函数极值的方法并举例验证了结论的正确性和有效性.     

Geometrische Extremwertaufgaben in dynamischer Behandlung

There are some shortcomings in the treatment of extreme value problems in current schoolbooks. Most extreme value problems are geometrical problems. The methods of dynamic geometry open up new possibilities of preformal treatment of geometrical extreme value problems. Figures made movable by direct manipulation permit an experimental investigation of their quantitative characteristics with the goal of detecting extremal properties and determining them approximatively. Illustration of quasi-empirical functions in the form of graphical representations is an important technique. Cabri Géomètre II is recommended as an appropriate tool.     

On the limiting joint distribution of the extreme order statistics

The connection between extreme values and record-low values is exploited to derive simply the limiting joint distribution of the r largest order statistics. The use of this distribution in the modelling of corrosion phenomena is considered, and the extrapolation of maxima in space and time is described in this context. There has been recent emphasis on movement away from classical extreme value theory to more efficient estimation procedures. This shift is continued with the illustration of the extra precision of predicted maxima obtained from a model based on extreme order statistics over the classical extreme value approach.