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In recent years, statistical process control (SPC) has been widely used to monitor the performance of clinical practitioners, such as surgeons and general practitioners. In this paper, two risk-adjusted geometric control charts namely cumulative sum (CUSUM) and weighted likelihood ratio test (WLRT) are proposed to monitor surgery performance in phase II. The performance of the proposed control charts is evaluated and compared by simulation experiments for different shift values in the parameters of a risk-adjusted logistic regression model in terms of the average run length (ARL) criterion. The results show that all methods work well in the sense that they can effectively detect shifts in the process parameters.     

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??In this paper, we consider the optimal investment strategy which maximizes the utility of the terminal wealth of an insurer with SAHARA utility functions. This class of utility functions has non-monotone absolute risk aversion, which is more flexible than the CARA and CRRA utility functions. In the case that the risk process is modeled as a Brownian motion and the stock process is modeled as a geometric Brownian motion, we get the closed-form solutions for our problem by the martingale method for both the constant threshold and when the threshold evolves dynamically according to a specific process. Finally, we show that the optimal strategy is state-dependent.     

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This paper is focused on testing the parameters of the quantile regression models. For complete observation, it is shown in literature that the test statistics, based on empirical likelihood (EL) method and smoothed empirical likelihood (SEL) method, both converge weakly to the standard Chi-square distribution $chi_M^2$ under the null hypothesis. For right censored data, the statistics in literature, by the EL method, have a weighted Chi-square limiting distribution, but the weights are unknown. In this paper, we show that the statistics based on the EL method and the SEL method also converge weakly to $chi_M^2$under the null hypothesis, so there is no need to estimate any weights. As its estimating function is smoothed, the SEL method can be Bartlett corrected. Numerical results show that the SEL method, via Bartlett correction, outperforms some recent methods.     

λ-Automorphisms of a Riemannian Foliation II

In Pak (Ann. Global Anal. Geom.13 (1995), 281–288), the notion of -automorphisms of a harmonic Riemannian foliation was extended to a general Riemannian foliation. By applying the characterization obtained in Pak of a -automorphism to be transversal Killing, we here consider the problem that a transversal conformal or projective field is transversal Killing. A special condition, namely _{B B} = 0, is discussed.     

Type II Hermite�CPad�� Approximations of Generalized Hypergeometric Series

We shall present short proofs for type II (simultaneous) Hermite–Padé approximations of the generalized hypergeometric and q-hypergeometric series

改进型单边EWMA指数控制图设计

现代制造过程中,某些产品的不合格率非常低,通常将这类过程称为高质量过程。由于高质量过程中相邻不合格产品之间的时间间隔服从指数分布,可以通过指数控制图实现对过程状态的监控。因此,本文提出一种改进型指数加权移动平均(Improved Exponentially Weighted Moving Average,IEWMA)指数控制图,并采用蒙特卡洛仿真获得控制图的平均运行链长(Average Run Length,ARL),仿真结果表明该控制图的性能优于传统单边EWMA指数控制图,尤其针对过程中产生较小偏移的情形具有较好的检测性能。     

Asymptotics of Weil�CPetersson Geodesics II: Bounded Geometry and Unbounded Entropy

We use ending laminations for Weil–Petersson geodesics to establish that bounded geometry is equivalent to bounded combinatorics for Weil–Petersson geodesic segments, rays, and lines. Further, a more general notion of non-annular bounded combinatorics, which allows arbitrarily large Dehn-twisting, corresponds to an equivalent condition for Weil–Petersson geodesics. As an application, we show theWeil–Petersson geodesic flow has compact invariant subsets with arbitrarily large topological entropy.     

有偏总体的EWMA均值控制图

基于总体分布有偏并假定总体分布未知情况下均值-极差控制图的控制限的研究结果,将其推广到EWMA均值控制图,给出总体分布有偏并假定总体分布未知情况下EWMA均值控制图的控制界限,并以质量特性值服从对数正态分布为例,给出EWMA均值控制图的控制效果的模拟分析.     

自相关过程的改进型EWMA控制图

常规指数加权移动平均(EWMA)控制图的假设前提是观测数据相互独立,但在实际生产过程中,数据相关违背假设条件。本文首先讨论了序列自相关对常规EWMA控制图的影响,结果表明其检测效能降低。因此,重新估计了平稳过程的σz并在此基础上建立了改进型EWMA控制图。然后运用平均链长比较了改进型EWMA控制图与休哈特图和残差控制图,模拟研究说明当过程非强相关且过程均值发生中小偏移条件下。改进型EWMA控制图的检测效果要优于其他两种控制图。最后,通过一个实例验证了该方法的有效性。     

A Distribution-Free Phase II EWMA Control Chart for Joint Monitoring of Location and Scale

A single distribution-free (nonparametric) Phase II exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart based on the Cucconi statistic, referred to as the EWMA-Cucconi (EC) chart, is considered here for simultaneously monitoring shifts in the unknown location and scale parameters of a univariate continuous process. A comparison with some other existing nonparametric EWMA charts is presented in terms of the average, the standard deviation and some percentiles of the run length distribution. Numerical results based on Monte Carlo analysis show that the EC chart provides quite a satisfactory performance. The effect of the Phase I (reference) sample size on the IC performance of the EC chart is studied in detail. The application of the EC chart is illustrated by two real data examples.     

联合检测过程位置参数和尺度参数的非参数Cusum控制图

用于检测生产过程的多数传统控制图都假定过程的受控分布是已知的,并假定数据服从正态分布。然而在很多情况下,由于没有足够的数据来估计过程的分布,这种假定就变得不现实,而非参数控制图却不需要任何关于分布的特殊形式的假定。另外,多数的已有控制图都是使用两个单独的均值与方差控制图来同时检测生产过程.本文中,我们提出一个新的基于Cramer-von-Mises(CvM)检验的非参数累积和控制图(称为CvM图)来同时检测过程位置参数和尺度参数。文中给出了基于不同受控平均运行长度(ARL)下的CvM图的控制限,通过步长的均值、方差及分位数来研究控制图的性能表现。最后用一个实例来说明CvM图的实际应用。     

基于尺度赋权方差的有偏总体EWMA均值控制图

基于尺度赋权方差法给出总体分布有偏并假定总体分布未知情况下休哈特均值控制图的控制限.基于此研究结果,将其推广到EWMA均值控制图,给出总体分布有偏并假定总体分布未知情况下EWMA均值控制图的控制界限,并以质量特性值服从对数正态分布为例,给出EWMA均值控制图的控制效果的模拟分析.     

联合监测过程位置参数和尺度参数的非参数Shewhart控制图

用于检测生产服务过程的传统控制图多数都假定过程的分布是已知的。这些控制困经常是在正态分布的假设下构建的,然而在服务质量实时监控中数据往往是非正态的。在这种情况下,基于正态分布假设的控制图的结果是不可靠的。为了解决这个问题,通常考虑非参数方法,因为在过程分布未知情况下,非参数控制图比参数图更加稳健有效。本文提出一个新的基于Van der Waerden和Klotz检验的Lepage型非参数Shewhart控制图(称为LPN图)用于同时检测未知连续过程分布的位置参数和尺度参数。文中给出了LPN图在不同参数下的控制限。依据运行长度分布的均值,方差和分位数,分析了LPN图在过程受控和失控时的性能,并与其他一些现有的非参数控制图进行比较。基于蒙特卡洛的模拟结果表明,LPN图对非正态分布具有很好的稳健性,并且在不同的过程分布下对检测位置参数和尺度参数,尤其对检测尺度参数的漂移都具有很好的性能。最后通过监控出租车服务质量说明LPN图在实际中的应用。     

具有可变样本容量的非正态EWMA控制图

为了提高控制图的监控效率,本文研究非正态分布下,EWMA控制图的可变样本容量设计问题。首先利用Burr分布近似各种非正态分布,构造可变样本容量的非正态EWMA控制图;其次运用马尓科夫链法计算可变样本容量非正态EWMA控制图的平均运行长度;然后与传统的非正态EWMA控制图进行比较得出:当过程中出现小波动时,可变样本容量的非正态EWMA控制图能够更快地发现过程中的异常波动,具有较小的平均运行长度,其监控效率明显优于传统的非正态EWMA控制图。     

基于APL的EWMA控制图经济统计优化设计

为了提高指数加权移动平均(EWMA)控制图监控效率评价的精确性和全面性,提出用一个质量周期内的平均产品个数替代平均抽样个数来进行控制图的经济性和统计性综合评价,建立了一种基于平均产品长度(APL)的更为精确的EWMA控制图经济统计多目标优化设计模型,并采用具体的算例说明了采用NSGA-Ш算法对该模型进行计算的步骤。最后,用该方法优化设计的EWMA控制图与已有的几种EWMA控制图优化设计进行比较,结果表明:本文提出的经济统计优化设计方法显著优于只考虑经济性能的经济设计和只考虑统计性能的统计设计方案。     

基于Cornish-Fisher展开的稳健综合控制图设计

本文根据Cornish-Fisher展开, 对Shewhart $\ol X$控制图的上下控制限进行修正并拓展为前四阶矩有关的表达式,使之可以运用到任何分布类型上, 然后构造出基于这种展开的综合控制图,最后通过计算机模拟计算给出了一些具体的包含对称、厚尾、轻尾和偏斜等分布类型下受控和失控的平均运行长度结果,并且与传统的综合控制图(见\cite{1})结果做比较,从而得到新控制图更为稳健的结论.     

自相关过程的残差控制图

由于自相关过程违背了过程输出数据独立性的假定,使得传统休哈特图的有效性受到质疑。本文首先讨论控制图设计基本思想,然后分析了对自相关过程监控的残差控制图原理;进而以平均链长和各链点检出概率为准则,系统研究了AR(1)过程残差控制图的检测能力,并与休图进行了比较。最后,通过一个模拟验证了该方法的有效性。