应力为GBVE分布强度为指数分布下结构可靠度的估计

本文考虑应力服从GBVE分布，强度服从指数分布的应力一强度模型，分别在应力参数未知和强度参数未知情形下给出了该模型可靠度的估计并讨论了其性质．     

应力为MOBVE分布强度为指数分布下串联结构可靠度的估计

考虑了应力服从MOBVE分布,强度服从指数分布的应力——强度模型,分别在应力参数未知和强度参数未知情形下给出了该模型在串联系统下可靠度的估计并讨论了其性质.     

应力为GBVE分布强度为指数分布下并联结构可靠度的估计

考虑应力服从GBVE分布,强度服从指数分布的应力—强度模型,分别在应力参数未知和强度参数未知情形下给出了该模型在并联系统下可靠度的估计并讨论了其性质.     

多个独立同分布应力作用下的极值型——极值型（Ⅰ—Ⅲ）模式的结构可靠性估计

本文讨论了在多个独立同分布应力作用下的极值型－极值型（Ⅰ－Ⅲ）模式结构可靠性估计，给出了分布参数及结构可靠度ｐｒ＝Ｐ（ｍａｘ（Ｓｉ）〈Ｒ）的矩估计，极大似然估计及置信下限。     

多个独立同分布应力作用下的极值型─极值型(Ⅰ-Ⅲ)模式的结构可靠性估计

本文讨论了在多个独立同分布应力作用下的极值型－极值型（Ⅰ－Ⅲ）模式结构可靠性估计，给出了分布参数及结构可靠度的短估计．极大似然估计及量信下限．     

应力服从一类嵌套多元指数分布的结构可靠度估计

本文研究应力服从一类嵌套多元指数分布, 强度服从指数分布的应力---强度结构可靠度模型.分别在强度参数未知、应力参数已知和强度参数已知、应力参数未知的情况下给出了结构可靠度$P_{A}$的估计$\wh{P}_{A1}$和$\wh{P}_{A2}$,并讨论了它们的渐近性质,而且获得了$P_{A}$的近似置信区间.最后对这两种情况下模型结构可靠度的估计$\wh{P}_{A1}$和$\wh{P}_{A2}$进行了随机模拟,随机模拟结果令人满意.     

强度为MOBVE分布时并联结构系统可靠度的估计

设系统A由两个结构单元A1和A2并联组成.A1和A2的强度(Y1,Y 2)服从由Marshall和Olkin提出的MOBVE分布,其联合可靠度函数为R(y1,y2)=exp[-λ1y1-λ2y2-λ12max(y1,y2)].I[y1>0,y2>0],其中λ1>0,λ2>0,λ12≥0均未知.系统A所承受的应力服从指数分布(参数未知).本文给出了系统A的可靠度PA的两种估计(^P)A和(～P)A以及两种渐近置信下限L(^PA)和L(～PA),讨论了(^P)A和(～P)A的统计性质,最后还进行了模拟计算.     

应力—强度模式下结构系统可靠度的非参数估计

结构系统可靠度的估计是结构工程技术人员十分感兴趣的问题。本文讨论了常见结构系统的可靠度的非参数估计方法。与一般的参数估计方法相比，非参数法具有很强的通用性。对于编制面向应用单位的工程软件来说，非参数方法有很好的使用价值。     

应力为复合χ^2—更新过程时结构可靠度的一致估计

本文讨论强度为随机变量Ｘ,应力为复合χ＾２－更新过程Ｙ（ｔ）的半随机过程可靠性模型的结构可靠度一致估计问题。获得在设计基准期［０,Ｔ］内结构可靠度表达式和结构可靠度的一致估计。     

几何分布可靠度的估计

本对几何分布,在可靠度的先验分布为幂分布和截尾幂分布时,给出了可靠度的多层Bayes估计,并给出了数值例。     

基于无失效数据的可靠度的估计

对二项分布无失效数据，在可靠度的先验密度为且时，给出了可靠度的多层Bayes估计．     

Estimation of a structural linear regression model with a known reliability ratio

In this paper, we consider the estimation of the slope parameter of a simple structural linear regression model when the reliability ratio (Fuller (1987),Measurement Error Models, Wiley, New York) is considered to be known. By making use of an orthogonal transformation of the unknown parameters, the maximum likelihood estimator of and its asymptotic distribution are derived. Likelihood ratio statistics based on the profile and on the conditional profile likelihoods are proposed. An exact marginal posterior distribution of , which is shown to be at-distribution is obtained. Results of a small Monte Carlo study are also reported.The first author acknowledges partial finantial suport from CNPq-BRASIL.     

Reliability of structural systems with correlated elements

Calculation of the probability of failure of a system with correlation members is usually a difficult and time-consuming numerical problem. However, for some types of systems with equally correlated elements this calculation can be performed in a simple way. This has suggested two new methods based on so-called average and equivalent correlation coefficients. By using these methods approximate values for the probability of failure can easily be calculated. The accuracy of these methods is illustrated with examples.     

可靠度的E-Bayes估计、性质及应用

对二项分布的可靠度,提出了一种新的参数估计方法——E-Bayes估计法.在不同先验分布下,给出可靠度的E-Bayes估计和多层Bayes估计,并给出可靠度的E-Bayes估计的性质——E-Bayes估计和多层Bayes估计的关系.最后,给出了模拟算例,结果表明本文提出的方法可行且便于应用.     

The reliability analysis of probabilistic and interval hybrid structural system

The aim of this paper is to evaluate the reliability of probabilistic and interval hybrid structural system. The hybrid structural system includes two kinds of uncertain parameters—probabilistic parameters and interval parameters. Based on the interval reliability model and probabilistic operation, a new probabilistic and interval hybrid reliability model is proposed. Firstly, we use the interval reliability model to analyze the performance function, and then sum up reliability of all regions divided by the failure plane. Based on the presented optimal criterion enumerating the main failure modes of hybrid structural system and the relationship of failure modes, the reliability of structure system can be obtained. By means of the numerical examples, the hybrid reliability model and the traditional probabilistic reliability model are critically contrasted. The results indicate the presented reliability model is more suitable for analysis and design of these structural systems and it can ensure the security of system well, and it only needs less uncertain information.     

Fuzzy Bayesian system reliability assessment based on exponential distribution

The Bayesian system reliability assessment under fuzzy environments is proposed in this paper. In order to apply the Bayesian approach, the fuzzy parameters are assumed as fuzzy random variables with fuzzy prior distributions. The (conventional) Bayesian estimation method will be used to create the fuzzy Bayes point estimator of system reliability based on Exponential distribution by invoking the well-known theorem called “Resolution Identity” in fuzzy sets theory. On the other hand, we also provide the computational procedures to evaluate the membership degree of any given Bayes point estimate of system reliability. In order to achieve this purpose, we transform the original problem into a nonlinear programming problem. This nonlinear programming problem is then divided into four subproblems for the purpose of simplifying computation. Finally, the subproblems can be solved by using any commercial optimizers, e.g., GAMS or LINGO (LINDO).     

一类二元相关威布尔分布的可靠性问题

本文考虑生存函数为${\ol{F}(x_{1},x_{2})}=\exp\{-[(x_{1}^{1/\alpha}/\theta_{1})^{1/\delta}+(x_{2}^{1/\alpha}/\theta_{2})^{1/\delta}]^{\delta}\},\;x_{i}>0,\;\alpha>0$, $1\geq\delta>0,\;\theta_{i}>0\;(i=1,2)$的二元威布尔分布的两种可靠性问题, 提出可靠度$\pr$的估计并讨论了它们的渐近性, 最后还作了模拟计算.