离散型随机变量高阶原点矩的一种新的递推计算方法

针对服从二项、泊松、几何、负二项、超几何、负超几何以及对数级数分布等离散型随机变量,给出了求其高阶原点矩的一个较为简单的递推计算方法.不仅非常容易地求出这些离散型随机变量的高阶原点矩,避免了计算阶乘矩或求导等复杂的运算,而且便于学生理解.论文还给出了这些离散型随机变量的3阶和4阶原点矩的表达式.     

几何分布产品简单步进应力加速寿命试验TFR模型下的统计分析

首次将损伤失效率模型应用于离散型寿命分布场合,给出了TFR模型几何分布产品简单步加试验下参数的极大似然估计.     

关于离散型随机变量次序统计量分布矩阵对称性猜想的探索

本文研究了离散型随机变量次序统计量的分布矩阵的对称性 ,获得了二个定理 .定理 1　服从等概率二点分布或等概率三点分布的离散型随机变量的次序统计量的分布矩阵是对称矩阵 .定理 2　取值有限且等概率的离散型随机变量的次序统计量的分布矩阵具有中心对称性 .     

具有位相型修理的离散时间可修排队系统

本文研究了具有一般独立输入，位相型修理的离散时间可修排队系统，假定服务台对顾客的服务时间和服务台寿命服从几何分布，运用矩阵解析方法我们给出系统嵌入在到达时刻的稳态队长分布和等待时间分布，并证明这些分布均为离散位相型分布．我们也得到在广义服务时间内服务台发生故障次数的分布，证明它服从一个修正的几何分布．我们对离散时间可修排队与连续时间可修排队进行了比较，说明这两种排队系统在一些性能指标方面的区别之处．最后我们通过一些数值例子说明在这类系统中顾客的到达过程、服务时间和服务台的故障率之间的关系．     

离散时间下马氏可修系统剩余寿命的极限分布

本文对离散马氏可修系统剩余寿命的极限分布进行了研究，指出此分布为几何分布，同时，对一些特殊的马氏可修系统给出其极限分布的参数，并给出了算例。     

Geometric/G/1离散时间可修排队系统

研究服务台可修的Geomertric/G/1离散时间排队系统.在这个系统中,服务台寿命服从几何分布,修理时间服从一般分布.我们求出了服务台首次故障前时间的母函数和服务台首次故障前平均时间(MTTFF).     

关于离散型随机变量次序统计量分布矩阵对称性猜想的探索

本研究了离散型随机变量次序统计量的分布矩阵的对称性,获得了二个定理。定理1服从等概率二点分布等概率三点分布的离散型随机变量的次序统计量的分布矩阵是对称矩阵。定理2取值有限且等概率的离散型随机变量的次序统计量的分布矩阵具有中心对称性。     

离散时间服务台可修的排队系统MAP／PH（PH／PH）／1

本文研究离散时间可修排队系统,其中顾客的输入过程为离散马尔可夫到达过程（MAP）,服务台的寿命,服务台的顾客的服务时间和修理时间均为离散位相型（PH）变量,首先我们考虑广义服务过程,证明它是离散MAP,然后运用阵阵几何解理论,我们给出了系统的稳态队长分布和稳态等待时间分布,同时给出了系统的稳态可用度这一可靠性指标。     

服务台休假的GI/Geom/1离散时间排队

本文研究了具有位相型休假、位相型启动和单重几何休假的离散时间排队,假定 顾客到达间隔服从一般分布,服务时间服从几何分布,运用矩阵解析方法我们得到了这 些排队系统中顾客在到达时刻稳态队长分布及其随机分解.     

几何分布的参数估计及EM算法

几何分布是很重要的一种离散型寿命分布.通过添加缺损的寿命变量数据,得到完全数据的似然函数,进而利用EM算法,进行了随机模拟,得到的结果表明精确度较高,误差较小.     

A Skew Laplace Distribution on Integers

We propose a discrete version of the skew Laplace distribution. In contrast with the discrete normal distribution, here closed form expressions are available for the probability density function, the distribution function, the characteristic function, the mean, and the variance. We show that this distribution on integers shares many properties of the skew Laplace distribution on the real line, including unimodality, infinite divisibility, closure properties with respect to geometric compounding, and a maximum entropy property. We also discuss statistical issues of estimation under this model.     

A transformed geometric distribution in stochastic modelling

The analytical concepts of infinite divisibility and (0) unimodality are fundamental to the study of probability distributions in general and to discrete distributions in particular. In this paper, a one-one correspondence is established between these two important properties which will permit any infinitely divisible discrete distribution (with finite mean value) to be transformed into a (0) unimodal discrete distribution. When this transformation is applied specifically to the geometric distribution, the result is a novel distribution, which can be fully and explicitly specified and whose factorial moments can be expressed in closed forms. This transformed geometric distribution is found to apply to underreported geometrically distributed decision processes, embedded renewal processes with logarithmically distributed components, and M/M/1 queues in which the service mechanism has been uniformly improved.     

负二项分布类的条件概率封闭性

在研究只允许部分服务台进入休假状态的多服务台M／M／c排队系统时，我们发现了条件Erlang分布的一些有趣的性质，进一步研究我们发现相对应离散随机状态的负二项分布也具有很好的性质（概率封闭性．本文证明了一类负二项分布的概率封闭性．它们对导出复杂排队系统中离散状态下顾客等待时问分布及保险公司中破产概率上界的计算起着重要作用．     

Discrete semi-stable distributions

The purpose of this paper is to introduce and study the concepts of discrete semi-stability and geometric semi-stability for distributions with support inZ ₊. We offer several properties, including characterizations, of discrete semi-stable distributions. We establish that these distributions posses the property of infinite divisibility and that their probability generating functions admit canonical representations that are analogous to those of their continuous counterparts. Properties of discrete geometric semi-stable distributions are deduced from the results obtained for discrete semi-stability. Several limit theorems are established and some examples are constructed.     

Some properties and characterizations for generalized multivariate Pareto distributions

In this paper, several distributional properties and characterization theorems of the generalized multivariate Pareto distributions are studied. It is found that the multivariate Pareto distributions have many mixture properties. They are mixed either by geometric, Weibull, or exponential variables. The multivariate Pareto, MP^(k)(I), MP^(k)(II), and MP^(k)(IV) families have closure property under finite sample minima. The MP^(k)(III) family is closed under both geometric minima and geometric maxima. Through the geometric minima procedure, one characterization theorem for MP^(k)(III) distribution is developed. Moreover, the MP^(k)(III) distribution is proved as the limit multivariate distribution under repeated geometric minimization. Also, a characterization theorem for the homogeneous MP^(k)(IV) distribution via the weighted minima among the ordered coordinates is developed. Finally, the MP^(k)(II) family is shown to have the truncation invariant property.     

离散时间单重休假两部件并联可修系统的可靠性分析

利用离散向量Markov过程方法研究了离散时间单重休假两同型部件并联可修系统.在部件寿命服从几何分布,修理时间和修理工休假时间服从一般离散型概率分布的假定下,引入修理时间和休假时间尾概率,求得了系统的稳态可用度、稳态故障频度、待修概率、修理工空闲概率和休假概率,以及首次故障前平均时间等可靠性指标.并通过具体数值实例展示了离散向量马氏链状态转移频度的具体计算方法.     

Forgetting the initial distribution for Hidden Markov Models

The forgetting of the initial distribution for discrete Hidden Markov Models (HMM) is addressed: a new set of conditions is proposed, to establish the forgetting property of the filter, at a polynomial and geometric rate. Both a pathwise-type convergence of the total variation distance of the filter started from two different initial distributions, and a convergence in expectation are considered. The results are illustrated using different HMM of interest: the dynamic tobit model, the nonlinear state space model and the stochastic volatility model.     

Discrete-time GI/Geo/1 queue with multiple working vacations

Consider the discrete time GI/Geo/1 queue with working vacations under EAS and LAS schemes. The server takes the original work at the lower rate rather than completely stopping during the vacation period. Using the matrix-geometric solution method, we obtain the steady-state distribution of the number of customers in the system and present the stochastic decomposition property of the queue length. Furthermore, we find and verify the closed property of conditional probability for negative binomial distributions. Using such property, we obtain the specific expression for the steady-state distribution of the waiting time and explain its two conditional stochastic decomposition structures. Finally, two special models are presented.      

Weighted Poisson Distributions for Overdispersion and Underdispersion Situations

The main goal of this paper is to introduce new exponential families, that come from the concept of weighted distribution, that include and generalize the Poisson distribution. In these families there are distributions with index of dispersion greater than, equal to or smaller than one. This property makes them suitable to fit discrete data in overdispersion or underdispersion situations. We study the statistical properties of the families and we provide a useful interpretation of the parameters. Two classical examples are considered in order to compare the fits with some other distributions. To obtain the fits with the new family, the study of the profile log-likelihood is required.