城市老旧居住小区交通环境评价指标与评价方法

定量的评判城市老旧居住小区整体交通环境质量并进而科学有效的提出老旧小区交通环境更新与改善措施,对城市老旧居住小区交通环境进行了调查,明确了老旧居住小区存在的突出交通问题,并提出了城市老旧居住小区交通环境评价的指标体系,包括行人跨路出行指数、无人行道路段长度占比、停车泊位供需比、路内非法停车占比、平均停车步行距离、泊位数量户数比、人均步行空间、无障碍通道、盲道设置比例、非机动车泊位供需比、地面停放车辆数小区面积比、外部穿行交通周转量小区面积比等。并给出了具体指标的计算方法与获得办法。以长沙市四个典型老旧居住小区为例,对评价方法进行了论证,并得到城市老旧居住小区存在的一般问题,包括人车混杂、人车交织现象严重,停车泊位短缺、车辆乱停乱放,交通设施、特别是弱势群体交通设施缺乏。给出的评价指标、评价方法与结论可为城市老旧小区改造更新,特别是其中很重要的交通环境更新提供决策依据。     

投资者情绪和市场利率对证券市场指数收益影响特点的动态刻画

本文基于2006年10月到2015年6月市场层面的投资者情绪和上证综指收益率,刻画了投资者情绪和市场利率对证券市场指数收益率的影响。首先,本文通过误差修正模型研究了短期层面投资者情绪对证券市场收益的影响特点,补充了以往在长期层面和整体收益水平上投资者情绪对市场收益影响的研究。由于市场层面的投资者情绪会受到宏观政策影响,之后本文将市场利率作为政策因素,通过分位数回归分析了不同市场收益水平下,市场利率和剔除了宏观政策因素的投资者情绪对市场收益的影响。研究结果表明:投资者情绪和证券市场收益之间的关系在短期层面上更为显著;当我国的证券市场环境处于“牛市”时,市场利率和投资者情绪均会对证券市场指数收益产生显著的影响,且随着市场收益水平的逐步上升,市场利率的反向作用和投资者情绪的正向作用均会逐渐加强。     

环境治理政策的减排、增效与结构优化效果动态评价

为测度环境治理政策波动对产出、减排、要素配置、消费与产业结构的影响及其传导机制,将异质性消费偏好、产出差异性、环境效用和环境损失函数引入E-DSGE模型。政策强度分析发现,技术进步、排污税和消费税政策效果较强,环境控制和治污支出冲击效果较弱。政策效应分析发现,技术进步政策效应最优,能实现增产和减排双重目标,促进要素配置和居民消费、产出与消费结构改进;排污税和政府治污支出政策次优,能实现增产和减排的双赢目标,促进要素供给和产出结构清洁化,不利于消费提升和消费结构优化;环境控制与消费税政策效果最差,以牺牲产出实现减排,不利于要素配置,产出与消费结构改进效果较弱,消费税会抑制居民消费,但消费税政策效果随环境友好型家庭比例提升而加强。     

Galois representations,automorphic forms,and the Sato-Tate Conjecture

The present text consists of notes of several lectures on the proof of the Sato-Tate Conjecture given up through 2008. The goal of the lectures was to explain the statement and the main ideas of the proof. The notes are somewhat dated; shortly after they were written, the author, together with Bernet-Lamb, Geraghty, and Taylor, were able to prove the analogue of the Sato-Tate conjecture for all elliptic modular forms. In particular, Theorems 2.4 and 2.5 are not conditional, and the condition on the j-invariant in Theorem 1.1 is superfluous. Moreover, the methods of proof outlined in sections 3 and 4 have been generalized and extended in a number of ways, notably in a series of articles by Barnet-Lamb, Gee, Geraghty, and Taylor, by Thorne, and by Calegari and Geraghty.     

考虑成员风险态度的零售商资金约束闭环供应链定价与回收决策

针对由制造商、回收商和资金约束的零售商组成的三级闭环供应链,考虑供应链成员面对市场需求不确定时表现出不同的风险态度,研究了闭环供应链的定价与回收决策问题。首先给出了产品的市场需求函数与回收商的回收成本函数;然后基于均值-方差法,构建了各成员和闭环供应链的效用函数;进一步地,依据博弈论的思想,确定了不同渠道权力结构下的最优零售价格、最优回收率和最优批发价格;最后分析了闭环供应链成员风险态度和贷款利率对供应链最优决策和效用的影响。研究表明,成员风险态度和贷款利率能够影响闭环供应链最优决策和效用,其中,风险规避的零售商和制造商对闭环供应链其他成员均有利,但是对自身和闭环供应链不利;风险规避的回收商对闭环供应链成员均不利;贷款利率的增长会降低成员和闭环供应链的效用。     

乡村绿色生态旅游适宜等级VIKOR评估方法

针对乡村绿色生态旅游特征,并考虑旅游者个体感受与群体效益,本文从乡村绿色生态旅游开发与适宜评级概念出发,提出乡村绿色生态旅游适宜等级VIKOR评估模型与方法。首先,从等级评估的概念与内涵出发,刻画乡村绿色生态旅游适宜评级问题,避免混淆旅游适宜评级和排序两个本质不同的问题。然后,构建乡村绿色生态旅游适宜等级评估指标及隶属函数,提出评估指标的熵权确定方法。其次,提出乡村绿色生态旅游适宜等级VIKOR评估模型与二元语义等级评估方法。最后,通过案例研究和比较分析,说明本文所提模型与方法的合理性、可行性与实用性。     

Projection, Lifting and Extended Formulation in Integer and Combinatorial Optimization

This is an overview of the significance and main uses of projection, lifting and extended formulation in integer and combinatorial optimization. Its first two sections deal with those basic properties of projection that make it such an effective and useful bridge between problem formulations in different spaces, i.e. different sets of variables. They discuss topics like projection and restriction, the integrality-preserving property of projection, the dimension of projected polyhedra, conditions for facets of a polyhedron to project into facets of its projections, and so on. The next two sections describe the use of projection for comparing the strength of different formulations of the same problem, and for proving the integrality of polyhedra by using extended formulations or lifting. Section 5 deals with disjunctive programming, or optimization over unions of polyhedra, whose most important incarnation are mixed 0-1 programs and their partial relaxations. It discusses the compact representation of the convex hull of a union of polyhedra through extended formulation, the connection between the projection of the latter and the polar of the convex hull, as well as the sequential convexification of facial disjunctive programs, among them mixed 0-1 programs, with the related concept of disjunctive rank. Section 6 reviews lift-and-project cuts, the construction of cut generating linear programs, and techniques for lifting and for strengthening disjunctive cuts. Section 7 discusses the recently discovered possibility of solving the higher dimensional cut generating linear program without explicitly constructing it, by a sequence of properly chosen pivots in the simplex tableau of the linear programming relaxation. Finally, section 8 deals with different ways of combining cuts with branch and bound, and briefly discusses computational experience with lift-and-project cuts. This is an updated and extended version of the paper published in LNCS 2241, Springer, 2001 (as given in Balas, 2001). Research was supported by the National Science Foundation through grant #DMI-9802773 and by the Office of Naval Research through contract N00014-97-1-0196.     

Theory of Dark Energy and Dark Matter

In (T. Ma and S. Wang. Gravitational field equations and theory of dark matter and dark energy, Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems, Ser. A, 34(2): 335-366, 2014; arXiv:1206.5078v2), a new set of gravitational field equations are derived based only on 1) the Einstein principle of general relativity, and 2) the principle of interaction dynamics, due to the the presence of dark energy and dark matter. With the field equations, we show that gravity can display both attractive and repulsive behavior, and the dark matter and dark energy are just a property of gravity caused by the nonlinear interactions of the gravitational potential $g_{μv}$and its dual field. The main objectives of this paper are two-fold. The first is to study the PID-induced cosmological model, and to show explicitly, as addressed in (T. Ma and S. Wang, Astrophysical dynamics and cosmology, Journal of Mathematical Study, 47(4): 305-378, 2014), that 1) dark matter is due to the curvature of space, and 2) dark energy corresponds to the negative pressure generated by the dual gravitational potential in the field equations, and maintains the stability of geometry and large scale structure of the Universe. Second, for the gravitational field outside of a ball of centrally symmetric matter field, there exist precisely two physical parameters dictating the two-dimensional stable manifold of asymptotically flat space-time geometry, such that, as the distance to the center of the ball of the matter field increases, gravity behaves as Newtonian gravity, then additional attraction due to the curvature of space (dark matter effect), and repulsive (dark energy effect). This also clearly demonstrates that both dark matter and dark energy are just a property of gravity.     

房地产业对中国经济真的那么重要吗？

为恰当评估房地产业对中国经济的重要性,通过编制2002、2007和2012年中国社会核算矩阵,进行乘数分解和结构化路径分析的结果表明:房地产业对行业总产出、劳动力和资本报酬、居民和企业收入的拉动作用极低。房地产业主要对金融业、租赁和商务服务业、建筑业以及金属冶炼与压延加工业四个行业的产出影响比较显著,对前三个行业主要是直接的一步式影响,与房地产业紧密相关的产业链条并不长。房地产业对要素报酬和机构收入的拉动总效应极小,且主要是开环效应,与此同时,房地产业主要通过自身和金融业影响要素报酬进而影响机构收入,特别是对资本报酬和企业收入的影响简单、直接,高度依赖这两条基础路径。土地出让金和房地产有关税收已成为地方政府的主要收入来源。房地产开发和运营商、金融机构和地方政府已成为房地产业发展过程中最主要的利益相关方。     

持股策略下随机需求低碳供应链融资决策均衡

随机市场需求且受制造商减排水平影响,考虑碳限额与交易机制,研究制造商进行单纯银行借贷和供应商投资持股的组合融资时的最优决策和利润情况,分析消费者低碳偏好、碳交易价格和供应商的投资持股比例对供应链的最优决策变量和利润的影响。研究发现:无资金约束、单纯银行借贷和组合融资下,消费者低碳偏好、碳交易价格和持股比例与制造商的减排水平和利润以及供应链系统的利润正相关,而供应商的批发价格和制造商的生产量与消费者低碳偏好正相关,与碳交易价格负相关,而持股比例与供应商的批发价格负相关,与制造商的生产量和减排水平正相关;持股策略下制造商的减排水平和生产量最大,无资金约束时次之,单纯银行借贷时最小;而无资金约束时供应商的批发价格最高,单纯银行借贷时次之,持股策略时最低;在持股比例满足一定条件下,供应商和制造商的利润优于单纯银行借贷时的利润,并且可以优于无资金约束时的利润,提高了供应链的竞争力和效率。     

RUMINATIONS ON THE DEVELOPMENT AND FUTURE OF POPULATION DYNAMICS MODELS IN FISHERIES

ABSTRACT. I trace the development of fisheries models (i.e., fish population dynamics models of species subject to fisheries) to the 21st century. The first real efforts occurred in the period 1900 1920 with the work of Baranov (the “Grandfather” of fisheries population dynamics) and the formation of the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES). The establishment of the science occurred between 1920 1960 with multi‐species modeling, age‐ and size‐structure dynamics, and production models. Fundamental work during this time was done by Ricker (the “Father” of fisheries population dynamics), Beverton and Holt (the “Prophets” of fisheries population dynamics), Chapman, Dickie, DeLury, Graham, Gulland, Leslie, Lotka and Volterra, Russell, Schaefer, and Thompson. During this time, most of the workwas deterministic and mathematical. Between 1960 and 1980, statistical methodology evolved greatly but was separate from mathematical advances for the most part. The development of statistical principles for the estimation of animal abundance was further enhanced by Arnason, Buckland, Burnham and Anderson and White, Cormack, Eberhardt, Jolly, Manly, Pollock, Ricker, Robson, and Seber, among others. Fisheries models evolved in a deterministic setting, with advances in age‐structured models (Gulland, Pope, Doubleday), surplus production models (Pella, Tomlin‐son, Schnute, Fletcher, Hilborn), growth models, bioeconomic models (C. Clark) and management control models (Hilborn, Walters). The period 1980 2000 was the Golden Age. The integration between mathematics and statistics occurred when likelihood and least squares techniques were formally combined with mathematical models of population change. The number of fisheries modelers grew exponentially during this time, resulting in a concomitant increase in publications. A major advance in the 1990s has been the development of Bayesian and time series methods, which have allowed explicit specification of uncertainty. Currently, theory allows realistic modeling of age‐ and size‐structured populations, migratory populations and harvesting strategies. These models routinely incorporate measurement error, process error (stochasticity) and time variation. But data needs often overwhelm the performance of models, and greater demands are being placed on models to answer complex questions. There has been poor communication between fisheries and ecological modelers, between fisheries researchers and statisticians, and among fisheries researchers in different geographic locales. Future models will need to deal better with habitat and spatial concerns, genetics, multispecies interactions, environmental factors, effects of harvesting on the ecosystem, model misspecification and so‐cioeconomic concerns. Meta‐analysis, retrospective analysis and operating models are some modern approaches for dealing with uncertainty and providing for sustainable fisheries. However, I fear that current attacks on single‐species models and management may result in rejection of these advances and an attempt to substitute a less scientific approach.     

Failure of particulate reinforced polymers

In this presentation, a review is given on the main effects of mineral particulate fillers (with an aspect ratio of about unity) on the deformation and fracture of amorphous and semicrystalline thermoplastic and thermosetting polymers. Elastomeric modifiers, polymer blends, and filled elastomers are not considered here. Fillers are generally used to reduce cost as well as the thermal sensitivity of mechanical properties of the matrix material and to improve, if possible, the strength and toughness. The addition of particulate fillers influences all stages of the fabrication and use of the resulting composites. We focus on the effects of a stiff second phase on elastic moduli, matrix structure, and on deformation, creep, and failure mechanisms. As the main mechanisms, particle-matrix debonding, void formation, and matrix microshear yielding are identified. Toughness is less sensitive to the quality of adhesion since particle-matrix debonding and formation of voids can be tolerated. If well controlled, debonding contributes to deformation (formation of voids should be well distributed in space and time). Reference is also made to the surprising and positive effect of CaCO₃ particles on the toughness and impact resistance of HDPE, which increases at small interparticle distances due to interfacial effects on lamellar growth in the ligament area. Submitted to the 11th International Conference on Mechanics of Composite Materials (Riga, June 11–15, 2000). Published in Mekhanika Kompozitnykh Materialov, Vol. 36, No. 3, pp. 305–316, March–April, 2000.     

基于储量结构变化的油田开发指标预测与优化数学模型研究

大型油田开发过程中,随着不同类型新储量的不断投入,地质储量结构发生变化,表征油田整体开发技术与经济效果的关键性指标,如产量、可采储量、采收率、储采比、开发成本与操作成本等等也随之改变,其变化规律可用一套数学模型来描述。在开发指标预测基础上,运用多属性决策方法如TOPSIS,可以实现新投产区块组合方案的优选。应用实例表明,本文方法实用、操作性强,可以为油区开发决策提供重要方法与手段。     

Calculation of damage and of force relaxation in amorpho-crystalline polymers

The dynamics of damage and of the relaxing force in amorpho-crystalline polymers under constant strain are calculated using the formulas for the probability of rupture of a deformed polymer molecule and a model representation of amorphous interlayers. The main parameters of the model are the maximum and minimum possible deformations of molecular chains, the energy of rupture activation, the function of the chain length distribution, the temperature, the macroscopic strain, and the relative dimensions of the amorphous interlayer. The conformity of the theoretical model and the association of the relaxation spectrum with the internal molecular and structural characteristics of the material are established.Zhambyl Technical Institute of Light and Food Industry, Taraz, Kazakhstan. Translated from Mekhanika Kompozitnykh Materialov, Vol. 35, No. 4, pp. 499–508, July–August, 1999.     

The generalized hierarchical product of graphs

A generalization of both the hierarchical product and the Cartesian product of graphs is introduced and some of its properties are studied. We call it the generalized hierarchical product. In fact, the obtained graphs turn out to be subgraphs of the Cartesian product of the corresponding factors. Thus, some well-known properties of this product, such as a good connectivity, reduced mean distance, radius and diameter, simple routing algorithms and some optimal communication protocols, are inherited by the generalized hierarchical product. Besides some of these properties, in this paper we study the spectrum, the existence of Hamiltonian cycles, the chromatic number and index, and the connectivity of the generalized hierarchical product.     

基于粗糙集与未确知模型的京津冀工业绿色发展的差异性与协调性分析

京津冀协同发展,工业绿色发展是重要突破口。本文基于绿色发展的内涵,参考四部委发布的《绿色发展评价指标体系》构建了涵盖工业资源利用、工业环境质量、工业环境治理、工业经济增长共4个二级指标16个三级指标的区域工业绿色发展测度指标体系,综合运用粗糙集理论与未确知模型约简指标、计算权重、设置分级标准,对京津冀工业绿色发展水平进行多指标综合测度;在此基础上构建耦合协调度模型测度其协调性。结果发现:(1)京津冀间工业绿色发展存在较大差异,京、津波动频繁,河北省上升趋势明显,均已达到中等以上水平;(2)京、津、冀工业绿色发展分别受工业环境治理、工业资源利用、工业环境质量的影响最为显著;(3)京津冀工业资源利用、工业环境治理及工业经济增长均处在濒临失调区,工业环境质量处在勉强协调区,工业绿色发展已达到优质协调区。因此,一方面京、津、冀工业绿色发展应分别聚焦工业环境治理、工业资源利用、工业环境质量精准施策;另一方面必须重视京津冀工业绿色协同发展。     

基于冗余任务的轮式机器人巡检方法

针对配电室电力设备智能化巡检工作中,存在巡检方式单一等问题,基于轮式巡检机器人结构及系统、路径优化和通信等关键技术,研究了一种基于冗余任务的轮式机器人巡检方法.针对目前配电室巡检环境和轮式巡检机器人结构及系统特性,建立配电室巡检过程模型.分析顺序巡检方法的速度、位姿和节点关系,建立机器人巡检过程的路程-时间模型和奖惩模...     

Optimal pricing strategies under co-existence of price-takers and bargainers in a supply chain

We investigate how the co-existence of two types of customers, price-takers, and bargainers, influences the pricing decisions in a supply chain. We consider a stylized supply chain that includes one manufacturer and one retailer, and we characterize the optimal prices of the retailer and the manufacturer. We further discuss the effects of the fraction of the bargainers in the customer population and the relative bargaining power of the bargainers on these optimal prices. Our results show that, given the wholesale price, the lowest price at which the retailer is willing to sell (ie, cut-off price) increases with the relative bargaining power of the bargainers. Both posted and cut-off prices increase in the fraction of the bargainers in the customer population. Moreover, depending on the type of negotiation cost, the variations of both prices will vary. In equilibrium, both posted and cut-off prices do not monotonically increase with the fraction of the bargainers in the customer population. When the maximum reservation price of the customers is low, and/or the negotiation costs are high, and/or the relationship between the bargainer's negotiation cost and reservation price is high, the retailer may reduce both posted and cut-off prices as the fraction of the bargainers increases.     

Effect of anisotropy on the cyclic deformation and heating of SVAM-type glass-reinforced plastics

The effect of anisotropy of the mechanical properties on the cyclic deformation and heating of 1:1 and 5:1 SVAM-type glass laminates has been investigated for symmetrical tension-compression and pulsating tension and compression. It is shown that on the main part of the fatigue curve, depending on the anisotropy and the cyclic stress level, the temperature may be stabilized. At the same time, fracture is invariably accompanied, under fixed experimental conditions, by a rise in temperature to a certain value that depends only on the anisotropy property of the glass-reinforced plastic, the strain also reaching critical values that are determined by the cycle asymmetry and the anisotropy property of the material.Institute of Mathematics and Mechanics, Academy of Sciences of the Armenian SSR, Erevan. Translated from Mekhanika Polimerov, No. 5, pp. 898–903, September–October, 1971.     

Computer geometry and encoding the information on a manifold

In this review, we try to answer the following question why should one study differential geometry? First of all, differential geometry is a Jewel of Mathematics. It is a prerequisite for theoretical physics. Secondly, in recent years, new and important applications have been discovered. Surprisingly, the structures of differential geometry are ideally suited for coding theory, information geometry and imaging process, kinematics of Robotics and computer aided geometric design, optimization and so on The main goal of the review is to establish a bridge between the theoretical aspects of modern geometry and topology on the one hand and computer experimental geometry on the other. The flood of information through various computer networks such as the internet characterizes the world situation in which we live. Information words, often called virtual spaces and cyberspace, have been formed on computer networks. The complexity of information worlds has been increasing almost exponentially through the exponential growth of computer networks. Such nonlinearity in growth and in scope characterizes information words. In other words the characterization of nonlinearity is the key to understanding, utilizing and living with the flood of information. The characterization approach is by characteristic points such as peaks, pits, and passes, according to the Morse theory on the manifold. Another approach is by singularity signs such as folds, cusps bifurcation, nodes, butterfly and swallowtail. Atoms and molecules are the other fundamental characterization approach. Topology and geometry including differential topology, serve as the framework for the characterization.