Cost-benefit analysis of one-server n-unit adaptive system with slow switch

This paper considers a shared parallel system consisting of n-units supported by single service facility to carry out both installation and repair of a unit. Initially, all the n units share the total load equally and when one or more units fail, they go for repair while the other surviving units share the entire load equally till the failed units are ready for operation after installation. The installation time (switchover time) of a repaired unit is assumed to be non-negligible and random. The system will be down when all the units are non-operative , Assuming that the failure rates are different when the units function under varying loads, the system characteristics, namely, (1) the expected up-time of the system during (0, t], (2) the expected repair time of the units which failed due to varying failure rates during (0, t] and (3) the expected time spent by the units in the installation state during the period (0, t], are obtained by identifying the system at suitable regeneration epochs. The repair time and the switchover time of the units are arbitrarily distributed. The failure rate of unit is assumed to be constant. It depends on the number of surviving units at any instant. The cost-benefit analysis is also carried out using these system characteristics     

修理设备可更换且修理延迟的两相同部件冷储备可修系统(Ⅱ)

在文[1]的基础上,本文研究了修理有延迟和修理设备可更换的两单元冷储备可修系统.在假定单元的寿命服从指数分布、修理时间和延迟时间服从一般分布、修理设备的寿命和故障后的更换时间服从指数分布下,通过定义修理设备的"广义忙期",使用更新过程理论和全概率分解技术,提出一种新的分析技巧,讨论了修理设备的一些可靠性指标,获得了如修理设备的可用度和故障次数等可靠性结果.     

修理设备可更换且有修理延迟的N部件串联系统分析

假定部件的寿命服从指数分布,修理延迟时间和修理时间均服从任意分布,并且修理设备的寿命服从指数分布,其更换时间服从任意分布的情况下,利用马尔可夫更新过程理论和拉普拉斯变换工具,研究了修理有延迟且修理设备可更换的n部件串联可修系统,求得了系统的可用度和(0,t]时间内的平均故障次数.进一步,在定义修理设备“广义忙期”下,利用全概率分解,提出了一种新的分析技术,讨论了修理设备的可靠性指标,得到修理设备的一些重要可靠性结果.     

Stochastic analysis of A 1-server n-unit system subject to inspection and several failure modes

The main intent of the paper is to investigate the stochastic behaviour of a single-server n-unit system subject to random inspection and several failure modes. The time between successive inspections is a random variable distributed exponentially. It is assumed that the life-time of a unit is arbitrarily distributed while all the other time distributicns involved are exponential. At any instant t, the system is characterized by the probabilities of its beinq in the ‘up’ or ‘down’ state . Integral equations are established for these probabilities by identifying the system at suitable regenerative epochs corresponding to different initial conditions. Various system parameters of significant importance, namely,

1. point-wise availability of the system at instant t,

2. steady-state availability of the system,

3. s-expected up-time of the system in [o, t],

4. s-expected inspection time of the server in [o, t],

5. s-expected repair time of type i (1 ≤ i ≤ r) in [o, t] and

6. s-expected net gain per unit time in [o, t], have been obtained.     

A standby system with two types of repair persons

A continuously monitored one‐unit system, backed by an identical standby unit, is perfectly repaired by an in‐house repair person, if achievable within a random or deterministic patience time (DPT), or else by a visiting expert, who repairs one or all failed units before leaving. We study four models in terms of the limiting availability and limiting profit per unit time, using semi‐Markov processes, when all distributions are exponential. We show that a DPT is preferable to a random patience time, and we characterize conditions under which the expert should repair multiple failed units (rather than only one failed unit) during each visit. We also extend the method when life‐ and repair times are non‐exponential. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

两部件冷备系统的可靠性分析及其最优更换策略

本文研究了两个不同部件、一个修理工组成的冷贮备可修系统,假定它们的寿命分布和维修分布均匀为指数分布,但故障后均不能修复如新时,我们利用几何过程和补充变量法求得了一些可靠性指标,并以故障次数为策略,以长期运行单位时间内的期望效益为目标函数,确定了最优的故障次数,便得目标函数达到最大值,从而保证了系统的可用度。     

A redundant repairable system with imperfect coverage and fuzzy parameters

This paper proposes a procedure to construct the membership functions of the system characteristics of a redundant repairable system with two primary units and one standby in which the coverage factor is the same for an operating unit failure as that for a standby unit failure. Times to failure and times to repair of the operating and standby units are assumed to follow fuzzified exponential distributions. The α-cut approach is used to extract from the fuzzy repairable system a family of conventional crisp intervals for the desired system characteristics, determined with a set of parametric nonlinear programs using their membership functions. A numerical example is solved successfully to illustrate the practicality of the proposed approach. Because the system characteristics are governed by the membership functions, more information is provided for use by management, and because the redundant system is extended to the fuzzy environment, general repairable systems are represented more accurately and the analytic results are more useful for designers and practitioners.     

CUSUM test for general nonlinear integer-valued GARCH models: comparison study

This study considers the problem of testing a parameter change in general nonlinear integer-valued time series models where the conditional distribution of current observations is assumed to follow a one-parameter exponential family. We consider score-, (standardized) residual-, and estimate-based CUSUM tests and show that their limiting null distributions take the form of the functions of Brownian bridges. Based on the obtained results, we then conduct a comparison study of the performance of CUSUM tests through the use of Monte Carlo simulations. Our findings demonstrate that the standardized residual-based CUSUM test largely outperforms the others.

     

Reliability Analysis of a One-Unit System with Unrepairable Spare Units and its Optimization Applications

It is assumed that a unit is either in operation or is in repair. When the main unit is under repair, spare units which cannot be repaired are used. In this system the following quantities are of interest: (i) The time distribution and the mean time to first-system failure, given that the n spare units are provided at time 0. (ii) The probability that the number of the failed spare units are equal to exactly n during the interval (0, t], and its expected number during the interval (0, t]. These quantities are derived by solving the renewal-type equations.Two optimization problems are discussed using the results obtained, viz.: (i) The expected cost of two systems, one with both a main unit and spare units and the other with only spare units is considered. (ii) A preventive maintenance policy of the main unit is considered in order to minimize the expected cost rate. Some policies of the two problems are discussed under suitable conditions. Numerical examples are also presented.     

PH/M/c可修排队系统

研究了一个修理工和c个服务台的可修排队系统.假设顾客的到达过程为PH更新过程,服务台在忙时与闲时具有不同的故障率.顾客的服务时间、服务台的寿命以及服务台的修理时间均服从指数分布.通过建立系统的拟生灭过程,得到了系统稳态分布存在的充要条件.利用矩阵几何解方法,给出了系统的稳态队长.在此基础上,得到了系统的某些排队论和可靠性指标.     

Optimal strategy policy in batch arrival queue with server breakdowns and multiple vacations

This paper considers a like-queue production system in which server vacations and breakdowns are possible. The decision-maker can turn a single server on at any arrival epoch or off at any service completion. We model the system by an M^[x]/M/1 queueing system with N policy. The server can be turned off and takes a vacation with exponential random length whenever the system is empty. If the number of units waiting in the system at any vacation completion is less than N, the server will take another vacation. If the server returns from a vacation and finds at least N units in the system, he immediately starts to serve the waiting units. It is assumed that the server breaks down according to a Poisson process and the repair time has an exponential distribution. We derive the distribution of the system size through the probability generating function. We further study the steady-state behavior of the system size distribution at random (stationary) point of time as well as the queue size distribution at departure point of time. Other system characteristics are obtained by means of the grand process and the renewal process. Finally, the expected cost per unit time is considered to determine the optimal operating policy at a minimum cost. The sensitivity analysis is also presented through numerical experiments.     

Reliability analysis of a warm standby repairable system with priority in use

In this paper, a warm standby repairable system consisting of two dissimilar units and one repairman is studied. In this system, it is assumed that the working time distributions and the repair time distributions of the two units are both exponential, and unit 1 is given priority in use. After repair, both unit 1 and unit 2 are “as good as new”. Moreover, the transfer switch in the system is unreliable, and the function of the switch is: “as long as the switch fails, the whole system fails immediately”. Under these assumptions, using Markov process theory and the Laplace transform, some important reliability indexes and some steady state system indexes are derived. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the theoretical results of the model.     

Reliability-based measures for a retrial system with mixed standby components

In this paper, we consider a retrial and repairable multi-component system with mixed warm and cold standby components. It is assumed that the failure times of primary (operating) and warm standby components follow exponential distributions. When a component fails, it is sent to a service station with a single server (repairman) and no waiting space. The failed component is repaired if the server is idle and it has to enter an orbit if the server is busy. The failed component in the orbit will try to get the repair service again after an exponentially distributed random time period. The repair time also has an exponential distribution. The mean time-to-failure, MTTF, and the steady-state availability, A_T(∞), are derived in this retrial and repairable system. Using a numerical example, we compare the systems with and without retrials in terms of the cost/benefit ratios. Sensitivity analysis for the mean time-to-failure and the steady-state availability are investigated as well.     

Analysis of 1-server n-unit parallel system

This paper deals with the analysis of 1-server n-unit system. At t = 0, all the units are switched on. The repair times of the units are arbitrarily distributed, while the failure rates of the units are constants. The system is analysed by writing integral equations for the probabilities of the system being found in various states by identifying it at suitable regeneration epochs. These equations are solved using integral transforms. The following system characteristics, namely,

1) Expected duration in [0, t] k units are operating; 0 ≤ k ≤ n

2) Expected duration in [0, t] the server is busy with the repair of the units

3) Expected number of repairs in the interval [0, t]

4) Expected number of times the system enters down-state

5) Expected duration in [0, t] the system is in down-state are evaluated to carry out the analysis of the system     

An Inventory System with Postponed Demands

Abstract

In this article we consider a continuous review perishable inventory system in which the demands arrive according to a Markovian arrival process (MAP). The items in the inventory have shelf life times that are assumed to follow an exponential distribution. The inventory is replenished according to an (s, S) policy and the replenishing times are assumed to follow a phase type distribution. The demands that occur during stock out periods either enter a pool which has capacity N (<∞) or leave the system. Any demand that arrives when the pool is full and the inventory level is zero, is also assumed to be lost. The demands in the pool are selected one by one, if the replenished stock is above s, with interval time between any two successive selections is distributed as exponential with parameter depending on the number of customers in the pool. The joint probability distribution of the number of customers in the pool and the inventory level is obtained in the steady state case. The measures of system performance in the steady state are derived and the total expected cost rate is also calculated. The results are illustrated numerically.     

General analysis of l-out-of-2: f system exposed to cumulative damage processes

This paper presents models in l-out-of-2:F system. In Model 1, one unit is exposed to cumulative damage process and the other unit lias a constant failure rate. In Model 2, the two units are exposed to cumulative damage processes. They have exponential thresholds and exponential inter-damage times. Introducing a repair facility which repairs ail the damages one by one after the system-failure, this paper treats the joint Laplace transforms of the up and the down times. Marginal down time distributions .are calculated when there exists a repair facility for every damage.     

A deteriorating cold standby repairable system with priority in use

In this paper, a cold standby repairable system consisting of two dissimilar components and one repairman is studied. In this system, it is assumed that the working time distributions and the repair time distributions of the two components are both exponential and component 1 is given priority in use. After repair, component 2 is “as good as new” while component 1 follows a geometric process repair. Under these assumptions, using the geometric process and a supplementary variable technique, some important reliability indices such as the system availability, reliability, mean time to first failure (MTTFF), rate of occurrence of failure (ROCOF) and the idle probability of the repairman are derived. A numerical example for the system reliability R(t) is given. And it is considered that a repair-replacement policy based on the working age T of component 1 under which the system is replaced when the working age of component 1 reaches T. Our problem is to determine an optimal policy T^∗ such that the long-run average cost per unit time of the system is minimized. The explicit expression for the long-run average cost per unit time of the system is evaluated, and the corresponding optimal replacement policy T^∗ can be found analytically or numerically. Another numerical example for replacement model is also given.     

k-out-of-n-system with repair:T-policy

We consider a k-out-of-n system with repair underT-policy. Life time of each component is exponentially distributed with parameter λ. Server is called to the system after the elapse ofT time units since his departure after completion of repair of all failed units in the previous cycle or until accumulation ofn — k failed units, whichever occurs first. Service time is assumed to be exponential with rateμ.T is also exponentially distributed with parameter α. System state probabilities in finite time and long run are derived for (i) cold (ii) warm (iii) hot systems. Several characteristics of these systems are obtained. A control problem is also investigated and numerical illustrations are provided. It is proved that the expected profit to the system is concave in α and hence global maximum exists.     

Optimal design of unreliable production–inventory systems with variable production rate

In this article, we study an economic manufacturing quantity (EMQ) problem for an unreliable production facility where the production rate is treated as a decision variable. As the stress condition of the machine changes with the production rate, the failure rate of the machine is assumed to be dependent on the production rate. The unit production cost is also taken as a function of the production rate, as the machine can be operated at different production rates resulting in different unit production costs. The basic EMQ model is formulated under general failure and general repair time distributions and the optimal production policy is derived for specific failure and repair time distributions viz., exponential failure and exponential repair time distributions. Considering randomness of the time to machine failure and corrective repair time, the model is extended to the case where certain safety stocks in inventory may be useful to improve service level to customers. Optimal production policies of the proposed models are derived numerically and the sensitivity of the optimal results with respect to those parameters which directly influence the machine failure and repair rates is also examined.     

同时考虑故障相关和变故障率的可修系统可靠性计算

基于Copula相关性理论,考虑可修系统零部件工作寿命、故障部件修复时间之间的正相关性,且将零件工作寿命、修复时间放宽到一般连续分布,而不局限于指数分布.提出微时间差t→t+△t内系统一步状态转移矩阵概念,进而演算出状态转移密度矩阵,经系统状态方程,分别给出了任意时刻t单部件、串联型、二不同单元和一修理工组成的并联可修系统的可用度和稳态可用度计算模型.通过算例,说明该理论方法的可行性.