基于粗糙集的患者满意度评价模型及其实证分析

在文献阅读及实地调研的基础上,本文提出了患者满意度的定义,建立了影响患者满意度的指标体系,介绍了粗糙集的相关概念及利用粗糙集进行评价的步骤,提出了新的约简方法,构建了基于粗糙集的患者满意度评价模型并进行了实证分析,得出了影响患者满意度的关键指标,并计算了关键指标权重,对江西省十个医院进行了综合评价值的计算.     

数学是……

数学是一首悠扬的歌
　　直线成了五线谱
　　圆连成了音符
　　唱出了奇妙的快乐
　　数学是一幅清新的画
　　曲线成了浪花
　　线性规划调出了最佳
　　绘出了斑斓的色彩     

绿色食品需求函数的一种求解方法

本分析了影响绿色食品消费的因素，建立了消费消费绿色食品及同类一般食品的效用最大化数学规划模型，给出了Kuhn-Tucker条件；引入了绿色食品置信度参数并建立了一个可计算的二次效用函数，导出了该二次效用函数对应的需求函数，并详细地表述了求解过程和方法，讨论了绿色食品需求函数的性质。     

标准体系的使用期的模型与分析

本文提出了关于标准体系使用期的两个模型。首先定义了标准使用期,然后讨论了模型的合理性。通过模型讨论了标准使用期的性质,给出了数值示例。提出了需进一步研究的问题。     

分层教学的Bayes分析

对学校分层教学进行了初步探索 ,提出了分层分班的 Bayes决策 ,介绍了分层分班方法 ,获得了一些结论 ,并完成了对这些结论的证明 ,从理论上论述了分层教学是实施“因材施教”教育原则和素质教育的有效途径 ,给出了应用实例 .     

一类积分型中值定理的再研究

对一类积分型中值定理做了进一步的研究,减弱了定理的条件并加强了定理的结论,得到了一个更加一般的结果,并对该定理"中间点"的渐进性做了讨论,推广了已有的成果.     

系统动力学在城市污水再生回用系统中的应用

用系统动力学方法研究了城市污水回用系统.首先分析了影响城市污水回用系统的诸多因素以及它们之间的相互关系,探讨了污水再生回用系统行为和结构的特点,确定了系统中因素之间的定量关系,建立了城市污水回用系统动力学(SD)模型,并介绍了模型的检验方法.同时给出了SD模型的具体应用实例,对西北地区的某一城市的污水回用进行了预测和分析,提出了符合该城市发展的污水回用方案.     

网络安全产品研究

本文在研究了网络安全的国内外有关情况后对网络安全技术进行了探讨 ,介绍了一种简单而实用的网络安全产品 ,添补了这方面的空白 ,而且本文介绍的产品已经应用到了许多部门 ,为网络安全做出了贡献     

基于概率论的防空武器系统对集群敌机的服务效能研究

论述了防空武器系统服务效能的概念,提出了服务效能的评估指标,做出了符合防空作战一般规律的假设,据此,通过概率论的方法分析了对抗系统的各种状态,论证了系统统计平衡状态的存在,进而建立了数学解析模型,最后得出了对防空武器系统服务效能的定量评估指标.     

基于最大满意度的研究生录取问题

采用了模糊数学的知识和优化方法讨论解决了研究生的录取问题.首先对相关数据进行了合理的量化,然后定义了导师与学生之间的相互满意度,建立了择优录取和双向选择的优化模型,通过求解得到了理想的结果.     

Foreword to the Special Focus on Mathematics,Data and Knowledge

There is a growing interest in applying mathematical theories and methods from topology, computational geometry, differential equations, fluid dynamics, quantum statistics, etc. to describe and to analyze scientific regularities of diverse, massive, complex, nonlinear, and fast changing data accumulated continuously around the world and in discovering and revealing valid, insightful, and valuable knowledge that data imply. With increasingly solid mathematical foundations, various methods and techniques have been studied and developed for data mining, modeling, and processing, and knowledge representation, organization, and verification; different systems and mechanisms have been designed to perform data-intensive tasks in many application fields for classification, predication, recommendation, ranking, filtering, etc. This special focus of Mathematics in Computer Science is organized to stimulate original research on the interaction of mathematics with data and knowledge, in particular the exploration of new mathematical theories and methodologies for data modeling and analysis and knowledge discovery and management, the study of mathematical models of big data and complex knowledge, and the development of novel solutions and strategies to enhance the performance of existing systems and mechanisms for data and knowledge processing. The present foreword provides a short review of some key ideas and techniques on how mathematics interacts with data and knowledge, together with a few selected research directions and problems and a brief introduction to the four papers published in the focus.     

环境治理政策的减排、增效与结构优化效果动态评价

为测度环境治理政策波动对产出、减排、要素配置、消费与产业结构的影响及其传导机制,将异质性消费偏好、产出差异性、环境效用和环境损失函数引入E-DSGE模型。政策强度分析发现,技术进步、排污税和消费税政策效果较强,环境控制和治污支出冲击效果较弱。政策效应分析发现,技术进步政策效应最优,能实现增产和减排双重目标,促进要素配置和居民消费、产出与消费结构改进;排污税和政府治污支出政策次优,能实现增产和减排的双赢目标,促进要素供给和产出结构清洁化,不利于消费提升和消费结构优化;环境控制与消费税政策效果最差,以牺牲产出实现减排,不利于要素配置,产出与消费结构改进效果较弱,消费税会抑制居民消费,但消费税政策效果随环境友好型家庭比例提升而加强。     

RUMINATIONS ON THE DEVELOPMENT AND FUTURE OF POPULATION DYNAMICS MODELS IN FISHERIES

ABSTRACT. I trace the development of fisheries models (i.e., fish population dynamics models of species subject to fisheries) to the 21st century. The first real efforts occurred in the period 1900 1920 with the work of Baranov (the “Grandfather” of fisheries population dynamics) and the formation of the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES). The establishment of the science occurred between 1920 1960 with multi‐species modeling, age‐ and size‐structure dynamics, and production models. Fundamental work during this time was done by Ricker (the “Father” of fisheries population dynamics), Beverton and Holt (the “Prophets” of fisheries population dynamics), Chapman, Dickie, DeLury, Graham, Gulland, Leslie, Lotka and Volterra, Russell, Schaefer, and Thompson. During this time, most of the workwas deterministic and mathematical. Between 1960 and 1980, statistical methodology evolved greatly but was separate from mathematical advances for the most part. The development of statistical principles for the estimation of animal abundance was further enhanced by Arnason, Buckland, Burnham and Anderson and White, Cormack, Eberhardt, Jolly, Manly, Pollock, Ricker, Robson, and Seber, among others. Fisheries models evolved in a deterministic setting, with advances in age‐structured models (Gulland, Pope, Doubleday), surplus production models (Pella, Tomlin‐son, Schnute, Fletcher, Hilborn), growth models, bioeconomic models (C. Clark) and management control models (Hilborn, Walters). The period 1980 2000 was the Golden Age. The integration between mathematics and statistics occurred when likelihood and least squares techniques were formally combined with mathematical models of population change. The number of fisheries modelers grew exponentially during this time, resulting in a concomitant increase in publications. A major advance in the 1990s has been the development of Bayesian and time series methods, which have allowed explicit specification of uncertainty. Currently, theory allows realistic modeling of age‐ and size‐structured populations, migratory populations and harvesting strategies. These models routinely incorporate measurement error, process error (stochasticity) and time variation. But data needs often overwhelm the performance of models, and greater demands are being placed on models to answer complex questions. There has been poor communication between fisheries and ecological modelers, between fisheries researchers and statisticians, and among fisheries researchers in different geographic locales. Future models will need to deal better with habitat and spatial concerns, genetics, multispecies interactions, environmental factors, effects of harvesting on the ecosystem, model misspecification and so‐cioeconomic concerns. Meta‐analysis, retrospective analysis and operating models are some modern approaches for dealing with uncertainty and providing for sustainable fisheries. However, I fear that current attacks on single‐species models and management may result in rejection of these advances and an attempt to substitute a less scientific approach.     

小区域科技实力及其评估体系

科技实力是运作主体能够进行并完成科技活动的能力。科技实力是一个评估性概念，它反映了科学技术的创新，发展，转移，推广，储备条件以及管理，效果等不同层面的综合性的特征，科技实力由科技潜在能力（科技势能），科技显现能力（科技动能）构成，它包含了对科技资源及分布状态，科技资源保障能力，科技创新能力，科技开发能力，科技转移能力和科技活动运作能力的综合描述。     

基于深度学习的交通运输业能耗预测——以“一带一路”主要经济体为例

为合理规划一次能源使用,深入推进节能减排,需对交通运输能耗进行预测.使用灰色综合关联度模型筛选出客运、货运和经济发展水平三个方面共八个影响因素作为模型输入,提出了主要由LSTM层、Dropout层和Bi-LSTM层构成的深度学习模型,并使用天牛群优化算法精调模型超参数,在此基础上对2019至2025年中国、印度、东南亚...     

I Just Don't Trust Them: The Development and Validation of an Assessment Instrument to Measure Trust in Science and Scientists

Trust in science and scientists can greatly influence consideration of scientific developments and activities. Yet, trust is a nebulous construct based on emotions, knowledge, beliefs, and relationships. As we explored the literature regarding trust in science and scientists we discovered that no instruments were available to assess the construct, and therefore, we developed one. Using a process of data collection from science faculty members and undergraduate students, field testing, expert feedback, and an iterative process of design, we developed, validated, and established the reliability of the Trust in Science and Scientist Inventory. Our 21‐item instrument has a reliability of Cronbach's alpha of .86, and we have successfully field‐tested it with a range of undergraduate college students. We discuss implications and possible applications of the instrument, and include it in the appendix.     

Modelling and numerical approach to a class of metal‐forming problems—Quasi‐steady case

A class of quasi‐steady metal‐forming problems, with rigid‐plastic, incompressible, strain and strain‐rate dependent material model and with unilateral frictionless and nonlinear, nonlocal Coulomb's frictional contact conditions is considered. A coupled variational formulation, constituted of a variational inequality, with nonlinear and nondifferentiable terms, and a strain evolution equation, is derived and under a restriction on the material characteristics and using a variable stiffness parameters method with time retardation, existence, uniqueness and convergence results are obtained and presented. An algorithm, combining this method and the finite element method, is proposed and applied for solving an example strip drawing problem. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

复杂装备研制协调超网络均衡与实现路径

复杂装备研制主体间呈现社会关系、合作关系、协调关系等网络关系,并且相互影响相互作用,其影响复杂装备研制的重要参数。为有效描述在资源环境约束下制造商和供应商的关系,探讨复杂装备研制协调机理与实现路径,本文利用超网络方法,设计了相互影响、相互作用的社会关系网络、协调网络和合作网络的复杂装备研制协调超网络,并将社会关系水平、协调度和合作水平作为超网络的3个决策变量,建立基于关系价值最大、协调成本最低、协调风险最小、合作收益最大、合作风险最小和成本最小等不同偏好下的多目标最优决策模型,构建了复杂装备研制超网络均衡模型,并利用其探讨超网络均衡和实现路径。