Prediction feedback in intelligent traffic systems

The optimal information feedback has a significant effect on many socioeconomic systems like stock market and traffic systems aiming to make full use of resources. In this paper, we studied dynamics of traffic flow with real-time information provided and the influence of a feedback strategy named prediction feedback strategy is introduced, based on a two-route scenario in which dynamic information can be generated and displayed on the board to guide road users to make a choice. Our model incorporates the effects of adaptability into the cellular automaton models of traffic flow and simulation results adopting this optimal information feedback strategy have demonstrated high efficiency in controlling spatial distribution of traffic patterns compared with the other three information feedback strategies, i.e., vehicle number and flux.     

Weighted mean velocity feedback strategy in intelligent two-route traffic systems

Information feedback strategies can influence the traffic efficiency of intelligent traffic systems greatly. Based on the more practical symmetrical two-route scenario with one entrance and one exit, an improved Weighted Mean Velocity Feedback Strategy (WMVFS) is proposed, which is not sensitive to the precision of Global Position System (GPS) devices. The applicability of WMVFS to different weight factors, aggressive probabilities, densities of dynamic vehicles, and different two-route scenarios (symmetrical scenario and asymmetrical scenario with a speed limit bottleneck) is analyzed. Results show that WMVFS achieves the best performance compared with three other information feedback strategies when considering the traffic flux and stability.     

A weighted mean velocity feedback strategy in intelligent two-route traffic systems

Information feedback strategies can influence the traffic efficiency of intelligent traffic systems greatly.Based on the more practical symmetrical two-route scenario with one entrance and one exit,an improved weighted mean velocity feedback strategy(WMVFS) is proposed,which is not sensitive to the precision of global position system(GPS) devices.The applicability of WMVFS to different weight factors,aggressive probabilities,densities of dynamic vehicles,and different two-route scenarios(symmetrical scenario and asymmetrical scenario with a speed limit bottleneck) is analyzed.Results show that WMVFS achieves the best performance compared with three other information feedback strategies when considering the traffic flux and stability.     

A comprehensive study of advanced information feedbacks in real-time intelligent traffic systems

In the intelligent transportation system, an effective feedback strategy is of crucial importance to the improvement of traffic condition and transport capability. Based on the seven previously introduced feedback strategies, a new one is introduced, called vacancy length feedback strategy (VLFS). The simulation results in the symmetrical two-route scenario with two exits suggest that VLFS is the optimal one among all the feedback strategies. It outperforms others in terms of the value, stability, average flux and balance of the vehicle number, and also exceeds others for the convenience of its application in the real traffic condition. The later simulation results in the asymmetrical two-route scenario with one exit also prove that VLFS is the best.     

Dynamic weight in intelligent transportation systems: A comparison based on two exit scenarios

Proposing a good exit scenario can make great contributions to improving road conditions. The influence of two exit scenarios, which depend on the dynamic behavior of the last vehicle (that closest to the exit), on the route flux, vehicle number, and speed by using two feedback strategies with different arrival rates (_Vp$V_p$) was studied. We find that the weight of the route is dynamic instead of static, which depends on the real route conditions. In our case study, we find that the flux threshold value with respect to the necessity of applying information feedback strategy is 0.32 (which corresponds to _Vp≈0.65$V_p\approx 0.65$). Further, we illustrate the velocity distribution plots of each route, which provide us with most of the important information we need, when adopting different feedback strategies and exit scenarios with two arrival rates (_Vp$V_p$).     

含重叠路段交通系统中信息反馈策略的比较研究

智能交通系统可以实时反馈路况信息、诱导出行,进而缓解交通拥堵.在时间反馈和平均速度反馈两种信息服务策略下,考虑重叠路段的影响,利用元胞自动机模型对人们的路径选择行为进行了模拟.结果表明,在含有重叠路段的网络中,相对时间反馈策略而言,平均速度反馈策略可以更有效地降低人们的出行时间,其优势在重叠部分长度占路径长度的比例很小和较大时十分明显,且随路径长度的增加而上升.在提高路网的利用效率方面,平均速度反馈策略的优势随路径长度的增加而逐渐下降,随重叠部分长度的增加而先降后升. 关键词： 交通流 元胞自动机 智能交通系统 信息反馈策略     

智能交通灯对交叉路口交通流的影响

以改进的NaSch模型为基础,采用开放边界条件,分别对普通交通灯和智能交通灯控制下的十字交叉路口交通流进行模拟.结果表明,主干道车辆较多时,智能交通灯控制下的主干道车辆平均速度和流量都比普通交通灯控制下高,并可减少车辆的无谓等待时间. 关键词： 元胞自动机 交叉路口 智能交通灯 NaSch模型     

Cellular automaton simulations for mixed traffic with erratic motorcycles’ behaviours

Modeling mixed traffic composed of motorcycles can be a challenging issue because many erratic motorcyclists may not follow the lane disciplines, particularly when traffic is congested. Based upon the refined cellular automaton (CA) model recently developed by the authors [L.W. Lan, Y.C. Chiou, Z.S. Lin, C.C. Hsu, Physica A 388 (2009) 3917-3930], this paper further proposed a sophisticated CA model to elucidate the erratic motorcycle behaviours in mixed traffic contexts. In addition to the conventional moving forward and lane-change rules, the sophisticated CA model also explicated the lateral drift behaviour for cars moving in the same lane, the lateral drift behaviour for motorcycles breaking into two moving cars, and the transverse crossing behaviour for motorcycles through the gap between two stationary cars in the same lane. Fundamental diagrams and space-time trajectories for vehicles with various car-motorcycle mixed ratios are demonstrated.     

随机延迟概率对交通流的影响

考虑影响随机延迟概率的几种因素：当车速预期大于车距时，车辆处于减速状态，对前车状态变化的随机延迟反应较大，具有的延迟概率较大；当车速预 期 等于车距时，车辆处于平稳跟随行驶状态，具有的延迟概率较小；当车速预期小于车距时，车辆处于加速状态，其延迟概率最小. 计算机数值模拟得到的基本图不同于NaSch模型的基 本图，在基本图上出现阻塞的范围内存在两个不同的区域，分别对应于具有不同激波速度的交通阻塞. 同时，研究了交通阻塞到消散的滞后现象. 关键词： 交通流 元胞自动机模型 基本图 交通阻塞     

Effect of driver over-acceleration on traffic breakdown in three-phase cellular automaton traffic flow models

Based on simulations with cellular automaton (CA) traffic flow models, a generic physical feature of the three-phase models studied in the paper is disclosed. The generic feature is a discontinuous character of driver over-acceleration caused by a combination of two qualitatively different mechanisms of over-acceleration: (i) Over-acceleration through lane changing to a faster lane, (ii) over-acceleration occurring in car-following without lane changing. Based on this generic feature a new three-phase CA traffic flow model is developed. This CA model explains the set of the fundamental empirical features of traffic breakdown in real heterogeneous traffic flow consisting of passenger vehicles and trucks. The model simulates also quantitative traffic pattern characteristics as measured in real heterogeneous flow.     

交通灯控制下主干道的交通流研究

用元胞自动机模型模拟二维交通流.通过交叉口设置的红绿灯，研究交通激波的形成和传播 ；对于一定的红绿灯周期，交通流量出现多个极值现象；在交叉口间隔相同的情况下，对于 一定的红绿灯周期，在一定的车辆密度范围内，交通流量是一个与密度无关的常量；在车辆 密度较高的情况下，交叉口间距大于某一值后，交通流量保持恒定值. 关键词： 元胞自动机模型 交通流 交通激波     

智能交通系统的元胞自动机交通流模型

在Nagel-Schreckenberg(NS)模型的基础上，提出一种可应用智能交通系统（ITS）信息的新的交通流元胞自动机模型. 其中考虑了有效间距及刹车灯的作用，并引入了可变安全间距的新概念. 数值模拟表明：对于这种改进的ITS元胞自动机模型，道路交通量有了显著提高，体现了智能交通的优越性——有效地扩大交通流量，减少阻塞生成. 当考虑快车和慢车的混合交通流时，发现即使少量的慢车也会导致交通流量大幅度下降，说明了严格实施快慢道行驶的必要性. 关键词： 交通流 智能交通系统（ITS） 元胞自动机模型 刹车灯 可变安全间距     

Cellular automaton model for traffic flow based on safe driving policies and human reactions

This paper proposes a new single-lane cellular automaton model for traffic flow. The model takes into account normal drivers’ spacing policies and transportation engineering practices to guarantee that microscopic vehicle behavior is more in line with vehicular movement in the real world. As a result, drivers’ reactions are based on a safety analysis that determines the most appropriate action for a vehicle to take. Hence, the model introduces a new set of simple rules to change the speed of vehicles that incorporates three important thresholds required by the follower vehicle to accelerate, slow down or maintain its speed. Thus, the space gap, relative speed and limited acceleration/deceleration capabilities are introduced into simulations. Simulation results obtained from a system with periodic conditions show that the model can smooth the speed drop when vehicles approach the upstream front of the traffic jam. Therefore, the model avoids unrealistic deceleration behavior found in most previous cellular automata models. Besides, the model is also capable of reproducing most empirical findings including the three states of traffic flow, the backward speed of the downstream front of the traffic jam, and different congested traffic patterns induced by a system with open boundary conditions with an on-ramp. Moreover, the new model preserves the computational simplicity of the cellular automata models.     

交通灯控制下城市主干道双车道多速元胞自动机交通流模型研究

提出一个城市主干道双车道多速元胞自动机交通流模型，此模型采用开放性 边界条件，在考虑诸多实际因素影响情况下，研究了主干道中车站的设置、交通灯绿信比对 车流量和车流速度的影响.计算机模拟所得到的基本图（流量 速度图）能较好地反映在交 通灯控制下城市主干道交通流真实状况. 关键词： 元胞自动机模型 交通流 主干道     

开放性边界条件下双车道元胞自动机交通流模型耦合效应研究

在一种改进的Nagel-Schrekenberg元胞自动机交通流模型的基础上，提出一个高速公路双车 道元胞自动机模型来模拟开放性边界条件下的车流运动，并考虑两车道之间左边界开放程度 的比例系数α及车辆加减速概率p的影响.计算机数值模拟结果表明，在车流状态的演化过程 中，通过确定车道耦合系数b来控制车流量，不同的b值车流量不同，对车辆运动出现堵塞项 的相变点有影响. 关键词： 元胞自动机 交通流模型 耦合效应     

Properties of train traffic flow in moving block system

The development direction of railway is to improve the capacity and the service quality, where the service quality includes safety, schedule, high speed, and comfort. In light of the existing cellular automaton models, in this paper, we develop a model to analyze the mixed running processes of trains with maximal speeds of 500 km/h and 350 km/h respectively in the moving block system. In the proposed model, we establish some sound rules to control the running process of train, where the rules include the departure rules in the intermediate stations, the overtaking rules, and the conditions of speed limitation for train stopping at a station or passing through a station. With the consideration of the mixed ratio and the distance between two adjacent stations, the properties of the train traffic flow (including capacity and average speed) are simulated. The numerical results show that the interactions among different trains will affect the capacity, and a proper increasing of the spatial distance between two adjacent stations can enhance the capacity and the average speed under the moving block.     

弱光反馈对相干光差分相移键控系统性能的影响

本文讨论了弱光反馈对相干光差分相移键控系统误码率的影响。指出:在适当的反馈条件下,弱光反馈可以改善系统的误码率性能。     

基于模糊神经网络的短时交通流预测方法研究

为满足交通控制和诱导系统的实时性需求,减少交通拥挤状况,降低交通事故突发频率,需要对短时交通流进行预测。当前的短时交通流预测方法是采用K-近邻的非参数回归对其进行预测,预测过程中没有将预测模型中关键因素对交通流的影响进行详细的说明,导致预测结果不准确,存在短时交通流预测误差较大的问题。为此,提出一种基于模糊神经网络的短时交通流预测方法。该方法首先以历史短时交通流数据样本序列为基础,将提取的关联维数作为短时交通流的混沌特征量,然后以该特征量为依据,对短时交通流数据进行聚类,使相同的短时交通流聚合类样本比不同的交通流聚合类样本更为贴近,采用高斯过程回归对短时交通流预测模型进行建设,建设过程中利用差分方法对短时交通流预测序列进行平稳化操作之后,对短时交通流预测模型进行训练,将GPR模型引入至短时交通流预测过程中,得到交通流预测方差估计值,并确定交通流预测值置信区间,由此实现短时交通流的预测。由此实现短时交通流的预测。实验结果证明,所提方法可以准确地预测交通运输系统的实时状况,为车辆行驶的最佳路线进行了有效引导,减少了自然影响方面和人为因素对短时交通流预测结果的干扰,为交通部门对交通路况的控制管理提供了依据。     

Corresponding Angle Feedback in an innovative weighted transportation system

The optimal information feedback has a significant effect on many socioeconomic systems like stock market and traffic systems aiming to make full use of resources. In this Letter, we study dynamics of traffic flow with real-time information. The influence of a feedback strategy named Corresponding Angle Feedback Strategy (CAFS) is introduced, based on a two-route scenario in which dynamic information can be generated and displayed on the board to guide road users to make a choice. Our model incorporates the effects of adaptability into the cellular automaton models of traffic flow and simulation results adopting this optimal information feedback strategy have demonstrated high efficiency in controlling spatial distribution of traffic patterns compared with the other three information feedback strategies, i.e., vehicle number and flux.     

公路交通噪声预测模型探讨

对公路交通噪声预测模型进行了分析推导,指出美国联邦公路局FHWA模型为近似表达式,并给出了精确表达式。对FHWA模型与精确表达式在硬地面、软地面、混合地面几种条件下的值进行了比较分析。结果表明,两者在硬地面条件下的形式和计算结果相同;在混合地面,即公路的实际情况下,两者存在差异,差值等于10lg(r1/r0)α。在用于高速公路交通噪声预测计算时,当r0取15m,该差值较小,当r0取7.5m,该差值增大;在一般情况下,r0取15m时的差值为±0.3dB(A),r0取7.5m时的差值为1.2—1.8dB(A),后者约占交通噪声预测值的1.5-4%,是不应忽视的。说明我国在引用FHWA模型时,对参考点距离的更改,会造成用于高速公路交通噪声预测的误差增大。建议我国使用本文推导给出的修订模型。