Optimizing an objective function under a bivariate probability model

The motivation of this paper is to obtain an analytical closed form of a quadratic objective function arising from a stochastic decision process with bivariate exponential probability distribution functions that may be dependent. This method is applicable when results need to be offered in an analytical closed form without double integrals. However, the study only applies to cases where the correlation coefficient between the two variables is positive or null. A stochastic, stationary objective function, involving a single decision variable in a quadratic form is studied. We use a primitive of a bivariate exponential distribution as first expressed by Downton [Downton, F., 1970. Bivariate exponential distributions in reliability theory. Journal of Royal Statistical Society B 32, 408–417] and revisited in Iliopoulos [Iliopoulos, George., 2003. Estimation of parametric functions in Downton’s bivariate exponential distribution. Journal of statistical planning and inference 117, 169–184]. With this primitive, optimization of objective functions in Operations Research, supply chain management or any other setting involving two random variables, or calculations which involve evaluating conditional expectations of two joint random variables are direct. We believe the results can be extended to other cases where exponential bivariates are encountered in economic objective function evaluations. Computation algorithms are offered which substantially reduce computation time when solving numerical examples.     

The beta generalized Gompertz distribution

A new five-parameter continuous model called the beta generalized Gompertz distribution is introduced and studied. This distribution contains the Gompertz, generalized Gompertz, beta Gompertz, generalized exponential, beta generalized exponential, exponential and beta exponential distributions as special sub-models. Some mathematical properties of the new model are derived. We show that the density function of the new distribution can be expressed as a linear combination of Gompertz densities. We obtain explicit expressions for the moments, moment generating function, quantile function, density function of the order statistics and their moments, mean deviations, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves and Rényi entropy. The model parameters are estimated by using the maximum likelihood method of estimation and the observed information matrix is determined. Finally, an application to real data set is given to illustrate the usefulness of the proposed model.     

Marshall and Olkin’s Distributions

A review is provided of the continuous and discrete distributions introduced by the eminent Professors Marshall and Olkin. The topics reviewed include: bivariate geometric distribution, extreme value behavior, bivariate negative binomial distribution, bivariate exponential distribution, concomitants, reliability, distributions of sums and ratios, Ryu’s bivariate exponential distribution, bivariate Pareto distribution and generalized exponential and Weibull distributions. Some hitherto unknown results about these distributions are also mentioned. This is a tribute to the work of Professors Marshall and Olkin.     

Bayesian inference and life testing plans for generalized exponential distribution

Recently generalized exponential distribution has received considerable attentions. In this paper, we deal with the Bayesian inference of the unknown parameters of the progressively censored generalized exponential distribution. It is assumed that the scale and the shape parameters have independent gamma priors. The Bayes estimates of the unknown parameters cannot be obtained in the closed form. Lindley’s approximation and importance sampling technique have been suggested to compute the approximate Bayes estimates. Markov Chain Monte Carlo method has been used to compute the approximate Bayes estimates and also to construct the highest posterior density credible intervals. We also provide different criteria to compare two different sampling schemes and hence to find the optimal sampling schemes. It is observed that finding the optimum censoring procedure is a computationally expensive process. And we have recommended to use the sub-optimal censoring procedure, which can be obtained very easily. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the different methods and one data analysis has been performed for illustrative purposes. This work was partially supported by a grant from the Department of Science and Technology, Government of India     

一种广义的二元混合分布模型在中国股票市场的应用研究

首次引入一种广义的二元混合分布模型,从信息经济学的视角揭示中国股票市场价格波动与交易量的动态特征及联合分布.结论显示,Tauchen and Pitts的标准二元混合模型在捕捉价格波动的持续性上还存在一定的缺陷,而Liesenfeld提出的广义二元混合模型(GBMM)明显优于标准二元混合模型,我们还对GBMM模型进行了再扩展.     

Exponentiated generalized linear exponential distribution

A new generalization of the linear exponential distribution is recently proposed by Mahmoud and Alam [1], called as the generalized linear exponential distribution. Another generalization of the linear exponential was introduced by Sarhan and Kundu  and , named as the generalized linear failure rate distribution. This paper proposes a more generalization of the linear exponential distribution which generalizes the two. We refer to this new generalization as the exponentiated generalized linear exponential distribution. The new distribution is important since it contains as special sub-models some widely well known distributions in addition to the above two models, such as the exponentiated Weibull distribution among many others. It also provides more flexibility to analyze complex real data sets. We study some statistical properties for the new distribution. We discuss maximum likelihood estimation of the distribution parameters. Three real data sets are analyzed using the new distribution, which show that the exponentiated generalized linear exponential distribution can be used quite effectively in analyzing real lifetime data.     

多状态可靠性系统动态signature及其剩余寿命分析

系统signature是分析系统可靠性的一个强有力的工具。本文研究了多状态系统的动态signature。Signature概念被拓展到多维的情形,并将其应用于两状态元件下多态关联系统的分析,得到系统在每一状态下的联合生存函数的表达式,探究了系统在时刻的动态signature,为处于工作状态的多状态系统在时刻t接受检查,发现其处于l(t)状态并且恰好已发生了q(t)次元件失效,分别给出了两状态元件多态关联系统动态signature及其剩余寿命的表达式。     

二元Weinman型指数分布的特征及其应用

导出了Weinman型二元指数分布的一个特征,由此获得了参数θj(j=0,1)的最大似然估计及矩估计,给出了二元Weinman型指数分布的二种模拟,还得到了强度为二元Weinman分布时并联结构系统可靠度的估计.     

Indirect assessment of the bivariate survival function

Estimating the bivariate survival function has been a major goal of many researchers. For that purpose many methods and techniques have been published. However, most of these techniques and methods rely heavily on bivariate failure data. There are situations in which failure time data are difficult to obtain and thus there is a growing need to assess the bivariate survival function for such cases. In this paper we propose two techniques for generating families of bivariate processes for describing several variables that can be used to indirectly assess the bivariate survival function. An estimation procedure is provided and a simulation study is conducted to evaluate the performance of our proposed estimator.     

A multiplicative Gauss-Newton minimization algorithm:Theory and application to exponential functions

Multiplicative calculus(MUC) measures the rate of change of function in terms of ratios, which makes the exponential functions significantly linear in the framework of MUC.Therefore, a generally non-linear optimization problem containing exponential functions becomes a linear problem in MUC. Taking this as motivation, this paper lays mathematical foundation of well-known classical Gauss-Newton minimization(CGNM) algorithm in the framework of MUC. This paper formulates the mathematical derivation of proposed method named as multiplicative Gauss-Newton minimization(MGNM) method along with its convergence properties.The proposed method is generalized for n number of variables, and all its theoretical concepts are authenticated by simulation results. Two case studies have been conducted incorporating multiplicatively-linear and non-linear exponential functions. From simulation results, it has been observed that proposed MGNM method converges for 12972 points, out of 19600 points considered while optimizing multiplicatively-linear exponential function, whereas CGNM and multiplicative Newton minimization methods converge for only 2111 and 9922 points, respectively. Furthermore, for a given set of initial value, the proposed MGNM converges only after 2 iterations as compared to 5 iterations taken by other methods. A similar pattern is observed for multiplicatively-non-linear exponential function. Therefore, it can be said that proposed method converges faster and for large range of initial values as compared to conventional methods.     

Dependent Hazards in Multivariate Survival Problems

A new class of bivariate survival distributions is constructed from a given family of survival distributions. The properties of these distributions are analyzed. It is shown that the same bivariate survival function can be derived using two radically different concepts: one involves transformation of the well-known bivariate survival function; the other involves correlated stochastic hazards. The new conditions that guarantee negative associations of life spans are derived. An exponential representation of the survival function for two related individuals is derived in terms of the conditional distribution of the stochastic hazards among survivors. Versions of the multivariate correlated gamma-frailty model are investigated.     

A bivariate interval censorship model for partnership formation

We consider a statistical problem of estimating a bivariate age distribution of newly formed partnership. The study is motivated by a type of data that consist of uncensored, right-censored, left-censored, interval-censored and missing observations in the coordinates of a bivariate random vector. A model is proposed for formulating such type of data. A feasible algorithm to estimate the generalized MLE (GMLE) of the bivariate distribution function is also proposed. We establish asymptotic properties for the GMLE under a discrete assumption on the underlying distributions and apply the method to the data set.     

Compound negative binomial shared frailty models for bivariate survival data

In this paper, we introduce a new shared frailty model called the compound negative binomial shared frailty model with three different baseline distributions namely, Weibull, generalized exponential and exponential power distribution. To estimate the parameters involved in these models we adopt Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. Also we apply these three models to a real life bivariate survival data set of McGrilchrist and Aisbett (1991) related to kidney infection and suggest a better model for the data.     

A new generalized linear exponential distribution and its applications

A new generalized linear exponential distribution （NCLED） is considered in this paper which can be deemed as a new and more flexible extension of linear exponential distribution. Some statistical properties for the NGLED such as the hazard rate function, moments, quantiles are given. The maximum likelihood estimations （MLE） of unknown parameters are also discussed. A simulation study and two real data analyzes are carried out to illustrate that the new distribution is more flexible and effective than other popular distributions in modeling lifetime data.     

The bivariate gamma exponential distribution with application to drought data

The exponential and the gamma distributions have been the traditional models for drought duration and drought intensity data, respectively. However, it is often assumed that the drought duration and drought intensity are independent, which is not true in practice. In this paper, an application of the bivariate gamma exponential distribution is provided to drought data from Nebraska. The exact distributions ofR =X +Y,P =XY andW =X/(X +Y) and the corresponding moment properties are derived whenX andY follow this bivariate distribution.     

On a Special Generalized Mixture Class of Probabilistic Models

In this paper, we develop a new mathematical strategy to create flexible lifetime distributions. This strategy is based on a special general-ized mixture derived to the one involved in the so-called weighted exponential distribution. Thus, we introduce a new class of lifetime distributions called "special generalized mixture" class and discussed its qualities. In particular, a short list of new lifetime distributions is presented in details, with a focus on the one based on the Lomax distribution. Different mathematical proper-ties are described, including distributional results, diverse moments measures, incomplete moments, characteristic function and bivariate extensions. Then, the applicability of the new class is investigated through the model parameters based on the Lomax distribution and the analysis of a practical data set.     

Bivariate Markov chain embeddable variables of polynomial type

The primary aim of the present article is to provide a general framework for investigating the joint distribution of run length accumulating/enumerating variables by the aid of a Markov chain embedding technique. To achieve that we introduce first a class of bivariate discrete random variables whose joint distribution can be described by the aid of a Markov chain and develop formulae for their joint probability mass function, generating functions and moments. The results are then exploited for the derivation of the distribution of a bivariate run-related statistic. Finally, some interesting uses of our results in reliability theory and educational psychology are highlighted. Research supported by General Secretary of Research and Technology of Greece under grand PENED 2001.     

Functional equations involving Sibuya’s dependence function

We introduce a new probability aging notion via a functional equation based on the tail invariance of Sibuya’s dependence function which is specified as the ratio between the joint survival function and the product of its marginal survival functions. Solutions of the functional equation are generated by Gumbel’s type I bivariate exponential distribution and independence law. In a particular setting, we construct a version of Gumbel’s law with a singular component.     

An analytical solution for a tandem queue with blocking

The model considered in this paper involves a tandem queue with two waiting lines, and as soon as the second waiting line reaches a certain upper limit, the first line is blocked. Both lines have exponential servers, and arrivals are Poisson. The objective is to determine the joint distribution of both lines in equilibrium. This joint distribution is found by using generalized eigenvalues. Specifically, a simple formula involving the cotangent is derived. The periodicity of the cotangent is then used to determine the location of the majority of the eigenvalues. Once all eigenvalues are found, the eigenvectors can be obtained recursively. The method proposed has a lower computational complexity than all other known methods. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Generalized Marshall–Olkin distributions and related bivariate aging properties

A class of generalized bivariate Marshall–Olkin distributions, which includes as special cases the Marshall–Olkin bivariate exponential distribution and the Marshall–Olkin type distribution due to Muliere and Scarsini (1987) [19] are examined in this paper. Stochastic comparison results are derived, and bivariate aging properties, together with properties related to evolution of dependence along time, are investigated for this class of distributions. Extensions of results previously presented in the literature are provided as well.