SIS Model of Rumor Spreading in Social Network with Time Delay and Nonlinear Functions

With the advent of the information age of networks, the study about rumor propagation in social networks has become increasingly significant. In this paper, a rumor propagation model with nonlinear functions and time delay in social networks is proposed. First, according to the nextgeneration matrix method, we work out the basic reproduction number. Second, we discuss the existence of the rumor-prevailing equilibrium points. Third, we demonstrate the stabilities of equilibrium points and analyze the sufficient conditions for Hopf bifurcation. Finally, the correctness of the theory is verified and several vital conclusions are obtained by numerical simulations.     

Reliability and Efficiency of Generalized Rumor Spreading Model on Complex Social Networks

We introduce the generalized rumor spreading model and investigate some properties of this model on different complex social networks. Despite pervious rumor models that both the spreader-spreader (SS) and the spreader-stifler (SR) interactions have the same rate α, we define α(1) and α(2) for SS and SR interactions, respectively. The effect of variation of α(1) and α(2) on the final density of stiflers is investigated. Furthermore, the influence of the topological structure of the network in rumor spreading is studied by analyzing the behavior of several global parameters such as reliability and efficiency. Our results show that while networks with homogeneous connectivity patterns reach a higher reliability, scale-free topologies need a less time to reach a steady state with respect the rumor.     

Reliability and Efficiency of Generalized Rumor Spreading Model on Complex Social Networks

We introduce the generalized rumor spreading model and investigate some properties of this model on different complex social networks. Despite pervious rumor models that both the spreader-spreader (SS) and the spreader-stifler (SR) interactions have the same rate α, we define α⁽¹⁾ and α⁽²⁾ for SS and SR interactions, respectively. The effect of variation of α⁽¹⁾ and α⁽²⁾ on the final density of stiflers is investigated. Furthermore, the influence of the topological structure of the network in rumor spreading is studied by analyzing the behavior of several global parameters such as reliability and efficiency. Our results show that while networks with homogeneous connectivity patterns reach a higher reliability, scale-free topologies need a less time to reach a steady state with respect the rumor.     

Rumor Spreading Model with Trust Mechanism in Complex Social Networks

In this paper, to study rumor spreading, we propose a novel susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model by introducing the trust mechanism. We derive mean-field equations that describe the dynamics of the SIR model on homogeneous networks and inhomogeneous networks. Then a steady-state analysis is conducted to investigate the critical threshold and the final size of the rumor spreading. We show that the introduction of trust mechanism reduces the final rumor size and the velocity of rumor spreading, but increases the critical thresholds on both networks. Moreover, the trust mechanism not only greatly reduces the maximum rumor influence, but also postpones the rumor terminal time, which provides us with more time to take measures to control the rumor spreading. The theoretical results are confirmed by sufficient numerical simulations.     

无标度网络上的传播动力学

介绍了无标度网络上的传播动力学,在susceptible-infected-susceptible（SIS）模型的基础上考察了一般情况下无标度网络中疾病爆发的临界点问题,得出了关于临界点一般性的表达式.得到的结果在特殊情况下分别退化为已有的一些经典结论.同时分别讨论了这些情况的建模意义和可靠性. 关键词： 无标度网络 传播动力学 susceptible-infected-susceptible模型 临界点     

基于移动社交网络的谣言传播动力学研究

本文在CSR传播模型的基础上提出基于移动社交网络的CSR的谣言传播模型. 改进了CSR模型的传播规则和传播动力学方程, 使得更符合移动SNS上用户的使用习惯. 在CSR模型中的接受概率数学模型基础上, 考虑个人接受阈值对接受概率的影响, 更符合人类接受谣言的心理学特点. 本文对该传播模型进行了理论分析. 并在仿真实验中, 利用多agent仿真平台对新模型和CSR模型以及SIR模型 在匀质网络和异质网络中的传播效果进行了对比研究, 从实验的结果来看, 新的谣言传播模型在匀质网络中传播范围更广, 传播速度更快. 新模型具有初值敏感性的特点. 关键词： 复杂网络 移动社交网络 谣言传播     

Dynamic Analysis and Optimal Control of Rumor Spreading Model with Recurrence and Individual Behaviors in Heterogeneous Networks

This paper is devoted to investigating the impact of the recurrence of rumors and individual behaviors and control strategies related to rumor spreading in online social networks. To do this, a novel susceptible-hesitating-infected-latent-recovered (SHILR) rumor propagation model in heterogeneous networks is presented. Firstly, based on the relevant mean-field equations of the model, the threshold value is examined to demonstrate the existence and stability of rumor-free/spreading equilibrium with the help of the algebraic method. Secondly, the global stabilities of the equilibria are analyzed through applying Lyapunov stability theory and LaSalle’s invariance principle. Next, the optimal control is proposed by taking advantage of Pontryagin’s maximum principle for reducing the number of infected individuals with minimum cost. Moreover, some numerical examples are carried out to test the theoretical results. Finally, combined with practice, a model application is presented.     

可变聚类无标度网络上的谣言免疫策略

提出一种聚类免疫策略,使用改进的经典谣言传播模型,在可变聚类无标度网络上研究其免疫效果.研究发现,聚类免疫的效果随着网络聚类系数的增加而变好.在不同聚类系数下,比较目标免疫、介数免疫、紧密度免疫和聚类免疫的免疫效果发现,无论网络的聚类特性如何,介数免疫始终是几种免疫策略中效果最好的,当网络聚类系数较大时,聚类免疫的效果超过紧密度免疫接近目标免疫,进一步增大网络的聚类系数,聚类免疫的效果超过目标免疫而接近介数免疫.     

Discrete Opinion Dynamics on Online Social Networks

This paper focuses on the dynamics of binary opinions {+1,-1} on online social networks consisting of heterogeneous actors.In our model,actors update their opinions under the interplay of social influence and selfaffirmation,which leads to rich dynamical behaviors on online social networks.We find that the opinion leading to the consensus features an advantage of the initially weighted fraction based on actors' strength over the other,instead of the population.For the role of specific actors,the consensus converges towards the opinion that a small fraction of high-strength actors hold,and individual diversity of self-affirmation slows down the ordering process of consensus.These indicate that high-strength actors play an essential role in opinion formation with strong social influence as well as high persistence.Further investigations show that the initial fraction of high-strength actors to dominate the evolution depends on the heterogeneity of the strength distribution,and less high-strength actors are needed in the case of a smaller exponent of power-law distribution of actors' strength.Our study provides deep insights into the role of social influence and self-affirmation on opinion formation on online social networks.     

在线社交网络中谣言的传播与抑制

根据真实在线社交网络中谣言的传播特点以及有疾病潜伏期的传染病模型,提出一个新的基于在线社交网络的谣言传播SEIR模型.首先建立基于SEIR模型的动力学演化方程组,然后给出一个高效的抑制谣言传播的免疫策略——重要熟人免疫策略.最后在真实在线社交网络Facebook的用户数据集上,结合SEIR模型与动力学演化方程组以及包含重要熟人免疫策略在内的多种免疫策略,对免疫前后谣言传播的演化过程进行计算机仿真.仿真结果表明SEIR模型符合真实在线社交网络的传播特性,且重要熟人免疫策略是解决在线社交网路中谣言抑制问题的最佳方案.     

Population Dynamics near an Oasis with Time-Dependent Convection

We investigate the time evolution of a bacterial population near a favorable spot with time-dependent convection. Diffusion, growth, and saturation effects lead to a localized colony which spreads out in the surroundings. Convection by a time-dependent but spatially uniform random velocity introduces fluctuations. Equations of motion for ensemble averages are derived and compared to numerical simulations.     

Role of Time Scales in the Coupled Epidemic-Opinion Dynamics on Multiplex Networks

Modelling the epidemic’s spread on multiplex networks, considering complex human behaviours, has recently gained the attention of many scientists. In this work, we study the interplay between epidemic spreading and opinion dynamics on multiplex networks. An agent in the epidemic layer could remain in one of five distinct states, resulting in the SIRQD model. The agent’s attitude towards respecting the restrictions of the pandemic plays a crucial role in its prevalence. In our model, the agent’s point of view could be altered by either conformism mechanism, social pressure, or independent actions. As the underlying opinion model, we leverage the q-voter model. The entire system constitutes a coupled opinion–dynamic model where two distinct processes occur. The question arises of how to properly align these dynamics, i.e., whether they should possess equal or disparate timescales. This paper highlights the impact of different timescales of opinion dynamics on epidemic spreading, focusing on the time and the infection’s peak.     

复杂网络上的意见动力学对谣言传播的影响

通过在SIR(susceptible-infected-recovered)模型中引入抑制者对谣言的辟谣机制研究了在线社交网络上的意见动力学对谣言传播的影响.在这一模型中,节点可以与自身的邻居组成1个群,传播者可以通过该群传播信息,抑制者也可以在此群中对信息发表意见进行辟谣.辟谣机制在降低未知者对于谣言的接受概率的同时也可以促使传播者向抑制者转变.本文采用ER(Erd?s-Rényi)随机网络、无标度网络以及真实的社交网络研究了抑制者的沉默概率对于谣言传播范围的影响.首先发现,谣言传播的过程以传播者的峰值为界可以分为两个阶段,即谣言自由传播的前期以及抑制者和传播者互相制衡的后期;其次,谣言的传播会随着抑制者的沉默概率的增大而突然暴发.在谣言暴发阈值之下,沉默概率的增大不会导致谣言传播范围显著增大,这是由于未知者在感知到谣言并转变为传播者后又迅速转变为抑制者;而当沉默概率达到谣言暴发阈值时,抑制者将不能控制传播者对谣言的传播从而导致抑制者的降低和谣言的暴发;最后,无标度上的谣言自由传播的前期阶段比随机网络持续的时间更短,从而使无标度上的谣言更难以暴发.本文的模型综合考虑了意见动力学和谣言传播的相互作用,更加真实地模拟了真实世界社交网络中的谣言传播过程.为谣言传播的控制和干预提供了一些有用的思路和见解.     

Damage Spreading in the Ising Model with a Special Metropolis Dynamics Approach

The time evolution of the Hamming distance (damage spreading) for the S=1/2 and S=1 Ising models on the square lattice is performed with a special metropolis dynamics algorithm. Two distinct regimes are observed according to the temperature range for both models: a low-temperature one where the distance in the long-time limit is finite and seems not to depend on the initial distance and the system size; a high-temperature one where the distance vanishes in the long-time limit. Using the finite size scaling method, the dynamical phase transition (damage spreading transition) temperature is obtained as T_c≌1.675±0.025 for the S=1 Ising model.     

The Value of Information Searching against Fake News

Inspired by the Daley-Kendall and Goffman-Newill models, we propose an Ignorant-Believer-Unbeliever rumor (or fake news) spreading model with the following characteristics: (i) a network contact between individuals that determines the spread of rumors; (ii) the value (cost versus benefit) for individuals who search for truthful information (learning); (iii) an impact measure that assesses the risk of believing the rumor; (iv) an individual search strategy based on the probability that an individual searches for truthful information; (v) the population search strategy based on the proportion of individuals of the population who decide to search for truthful information; (vi) a payoff for the individuals that depends on the parameters of the model and the strategies of the individuals. Furthermore, we introduce evolutionary information search dynamics and study the dynamics of population search strategies. For each value of searching for information, we compute evolutionarily stable information (ESI) search strategies (occurring in non-cooperative environments), which are the attractors of the information search dynamics, and the optimal information (OI) search strategy (occurring in (eventually forced) cooperative environments) that maximizes the expected information payoff for the population. For rumors that are advantageous or harmful to the population (positive or negative impact), we show the existence of distinct scenarios that depend on the value of searching for truthful information. We fully discuss which evolutionarily stable information (ESI) search strategies and which optimal information (OI) search strategies eradicate (or not) the rumor and the corresponding expected payoffs. As a corollary of our results, a recommendation for legislators and policymakers who aim to eradicate harmful rumors is to make the search for truthful information free or rewarding.     

A Note on ＂Global Exponential Convergence Analysis of Hopfield Neural Networks with Continuously Distributed Delays＂

In this note, we would like to point out that （i） of Corollary 1 given by Zhang et al. （cf Commun. Theor. Phys. 39 （2003） 381） is incorrect in general.     

Significance of Updating Schemes in Computational Models: Dynamics of Neutral Networks

A Hopfield neural network was constructed with relevance to protein dynamics. The dynamics of this network was analyzed by determining the distribution of first passage times between memories and its dependence on temperature. The distribution depended on the updating scheme. This illustrates the importance of choosing an updating scheme that leads to physically meaningful results in computational models of dynamic processes, such as in neural networks or molecular dynamics.     

Dynamics of Cohen-Grossberg neural networks with variable and distributed delays

This paper is concerned with the analysis problem for the exponential stability of a class of Cohen-Grossberg neural networks with variable and distributed delays. Some sufficient conditions ensuring the existence, uniqueness and exponential stability of the equilibrium point are obtained by employing Brouwer’s fixed-point theorem and by applying the inequality technique. In the results, we do not assume that the activation function satisfies the boundedness and the Lipschitz condition. Three numerical examples are given to show the effectiveness of the obtained results.     

Dynamics of bloggers’ communities: Bipartite networks from empirical data and agent-based modeling

We present an analysis of the empirical data and the agent-based modeling of the emotional behavior of users on the Web portals where the user interaction is mediated by posted comments, like Blogs and Diggs. We consider the dataset of discussion-driven popular Diggs, in which all comments are screened by machine-learning emotion detection in the text, to determine positive and negative valence (attractiveness and aversiveness) of each comment. By mapping the data onto a suitable bipartite network, we perform an analysis of the network topology and the related time-series of the emotional comments. The agent-based model is then introduced to simulate the dynamics and to capture the emergence of the emotional behaviors and communities. The agents are linked to posts on a bipartite network, whose structure evolves through their actions on the posts. The emotional states (arousal and valence) of each agent fluctuate in time, subject to the current contents of the posts to which the agent is exposed. By an agent’s action on a post its current emotions are transferred to the post. The model rules and the key parameters are inferred from the considered empirical data to ensure their realistic values and mutual consistency. The model assumes that the emotional arousal over posts drives the agent’s action. The simulations are preformed for the case of constant flux of agents and the results are analyzed in full analogy with the empirical data. The main conclusions are that the emotion-driven dynamics leads to long-range temporal correlations and emergent networks with community structure, that are comparable with the ones in the empirical system of popular posts. In view of pure emotion-driven agents actions, this type of comparisons provide a quantitative measure for the role of emotions in the dynamics on real blogs. Furthermore, the model reveals the underlying mechanisms which relate the post popularity with the emotion dynamics and the prevalence of negative emotions (critique). We also demonstrate how the community structure is tuned by varying a relevant parameter in the model. All data used in these works are fully anonymized.