具有Vasicek利率的风险过程的破产概率的分解(英文)

In this paper, it is assumed that an insurer with a jump-diffusion risk process would invest its surplus in a bond market, and the interest structure of the bond market is assumed to follow the Vasicek interest model. This paper focuses on the studying of the ruin problems in the above compounded process. In this compounded risk model, ruin may be caused by a claim or oscillation. We decompose the ruin probability for the compounded risk process into two probabilities： the probability that ruin caused by a claim and the probability that ruin caused by oscillation. Integro-differential equations for these ruin probabilities are derived. When the claim sizes are exponentially distributed, the above-mentioned integro-differential equations can be reduced into a three-order partial differential equation.     

On the decomposition of the absolute ruin probability in a perturbed compound Poisson surplus process with debit interest

We consider a compound Poisson surplus process perturbed by diffusion with debit interest. When the surplus is below zero or the company is on deficit, the company is allowed to borrow money at a debit interest rate to continue its business as long as its debt is at a reasonable level. When the surplus of a company is below a certain critical level, the company is no longer profitable, we say that absolute ruin occurs at this situation. In this risk model, absolute ruin may be caused by a claim or by oscillation. Thus, the absolute ruin probability in the model is decomposed as the sum of two absolute ruin probabilities, where one is the probability that absolute ruin is caused by a claim and the other is the probability that absolute ruin is caused by oscillation. In this paper, we first give the integro-differential equations satisfied by the absolute ruin probabilities and then derive the defective renewal equations for the absolute ruin probabilities. Using these defective renewal equations, we derive the asymptotical forms of the absolute ruin probabilities when the distributions of claim sizes are heavy-tailed and light-tailed. Finally, we derive explicit expressions for the absolute ruin probabilities when claim sizes are exponentially distributed.     

On the Markov-modulated insurance risk model with tax

In this paper, we consider the Markov-modulated insurance risk model with tax. We assume that the claim inter-arrivals, claim sizes and premium process are influenced by an external Markovian environment process. The considered tax rule, which is the same as the one considered by Albrecher and Hipp [Blätter DGVFM 28(1):13–28, 2007], is to pay a certain proportion of the premium income, whenever the insurer is in a profitable situation. A system of differential equations of the non-ruin probabilities, given the initial environment state, are established in terms of the ruin probabilities under the Markov-modulated insurance risk model without tax. Furthermore, given the initial state, the differential equations satisfied by the expected accumulated discounted tax until ruin are also derived. We also give the analytical expressions for them by iteration methods.     

一类带干扰的多险种风险模型

本文考虑一类带干扰的两独立险种的风险模型,其中两索赔次数过程分别为Poisson过程和Elang(2)过程.主要得出该模型的生存概率所满足的积分-微分方程和破产概率的渐近性.     

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本文考虑了常利力下带干扰的双复合Poisson风险过程, 借助微分和伊藤公式, 分别获得了无限时和有限时生存概率的积分微分方程. 当保费服从指数分布时, 得到了无限时生存概率的微分方程.     

Sparre Andersen模型中破产概率的边界

研究在Andersen Spaxre模型中,当破产概率的初始边界已知的时候,根据更新方程和更新方程中函数的单调性来改进破产概率的边界,并进一步改进了严重损失函数G（x,y）的边界．     

具有相依结构离散时间模型破产概率的上界

研究两类具有相依结构的离散时间风险模型的破产概率问题.其中,索赔和利率过程假设为2个不同的自回归移动平均模型.利用更新递归技巧,首先得到了该模型下破产概率所满足的递归方程.然后,根据该递归方程得到了破产概率的上界估计.最后对两类风险模型的破产概率的上界进行了比较.     

Ruin theory for a Markov regime-switching model under a threshold dividend strategy

In this paper, we study a Markov regime-switching risk model where dividends are paid out according to a certain threshold strategy depending on the underlying Markovian environment process. We are interested in these quantities: ruin probabilities, deficit at ruin and expected ruin time. To study them, we introduce functions involving the deficit at ruin and the indicator of the event that ruin occurs. We show that the above functions and the expectations of the time to ruin as functions of the initial capital satisfy systems of integro-differential equations. Closed form solutions are derived when the underlying Markovian environment process has only two states and the claim size distributions are exponential.     

On a compounding assets model with positive jumps

In this paper, a compounding assets model with positive jumps is proposed. Integral equations and integro‐differential equations for the survival probability and the ruin probability for the proposed model are derived. By using a probability method, an exact expression in the form of series for the ruin probability is obtained. Some closed‐form expressions for the survival probability are deduced by solving certain integro‐differential equations. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

带马氏利率的离散时间风险模型的破产概率

本文考虑一类保费和理赔额均为随机变量,且利率为马氏链的离散时间风险模型。推出了有限时间和最终时间破产概率的递归方程,并用归纳法得到了最终时间破产概率的上界表达式。