改进交叉评价DEA在模糊综合评价中的应用

借鉴对抗型交叉评价的思想,首先利用对抗型交叉评价DEA(数据包络分析)模型对模糊综合评价的量化指标进行评价,三角模糊化后将其作为模糊综合评价量化指标的输入与非量化指标数据合成进行二次评价,以此建构了一种基于对抗型交叉评价DEA的模糊综合评价方法.方法可从根本上解决已有评价方法中模糊量化结果的不确定性问题,使客观数据与主观因素并存的多属性决策更加可靠.最后,通过算例说明了方法的应用.     

不确定环境下基于交叉评价的模糊综合评价方法

由于环境的不确定性,多属性决策中客观数据和主观因素并存,决策者很难做出精准的评判.借鉴DEA交叉评价的思想,将量化数据用交叉评价方法进行处理,得出平均交叉效率值作为模糊综合评价的指标进行二次评价.建立了不确定环境下基于交叉评价的模糊综合评价模型,并通过评价实例验证了模型的客观、全面性.     

一种直觉模糊多属性群决策方法及其在群决策中的应用

对以直觉模糊数形式表示的信息和属性权重完全未知的多属性群决策问题进行了研究.提出了一种基于熵值的直觉模糊数距离测度方法,同时对传统的比较得分函数和精确函数的直觉模糊数排序方法进行了改进,定义了一种新的排序公式;进而利用此距离度量公式,引入到基于直觉模糊数之间距离的离差最大化方法中,确定属性的权重,提出了一种基于属性权重完全未知的直觉模糊多属性群决策方法.最后,将此方法运用在ERP选型中.     

一种基于梯形模糊语言变量的多属性决策方法

针对属性权重未知、属性值以梯形模糊语言变量形式给出的多属性决策问题,提出了一种扩展的VIKOR决策方法。首先介绍了梯形模糊语言变量的概念、运算法则,提出了梯形模糊语言变量值之间的距离公式,并进行了证明。在此基础上利用离差最大化方法确定了属性指标权重,并建立了基于梯形模糊语言变量的扩展VIKOR方法,给出了决策步骤。最后,通过一个算例说明该方法的有效性。     

基于DEA交叉评价的模糊有效性度量方法

针对模糊指标与效率指标同时存在的多属性模糊事件评价问题,提出一种基于DEA交叉效率评价的模糊有效性度量方法.该方法采用DEA交叉效率评价方法对效率指标进行分析,并模糊化得到的效率值,将其转化为基于评价集的隶属度,与原有模糊指标的评价信息一起构建模糊评价可能集,给出了模糊有效性的概念及相应的评价模型。相对于现有方法而言,该方法不仅能找出模糊对象的有效性,及评价结果较低者与有效状态间的差距,还基于模糊可能集提供了调整信息。     

基于离差最大化的挤奶机方案综合评价

针对以往挤奶设备方案评价过程中权重确定存在的主观随意性,提出了一种新的基于离差最大化方法的挤奶机方案综合评价方法.首先从经济性、技术性和质量三个角度建立了多层次的挤奶机方案综合评价指标体系,然后介绍了属性权重完全未知时利用离差最大化方法确定属性权重的基本原理.在此基础上,建立了基于离差最大化方法的挤奶机方案综合评价模型.最后通过仿真实例对三型挤奶机方案进行了评价和分析,验证了方法的可行性和有效性.     

模糊多属性决策中的离差最大化方法

本文研究属性权重完全未知且属性值为L-R模糊数的多属性决策问题,提出了一种在多属性决策中,基于模糊数及α-截集理论,用离差最大化方法来估计属性权重的方法,随后研究了这种方法的相关性质,给出方程的解,得到方案排序结果。研究表明,由本文所提出的方法是有效、可行的。     

基于熵权模糊综合评价模型的股票内在价值研究

针对股票内在价值评判方法中指标权重设定的主观性缺陷,提出在利用熵权确定各指标权重的基础上,运用模糊综合评价方法对股票会计信息的综合指标进行模糊处理,为投资者投资股票提供一种新的参考;并通过"一带一路"概念股中的五支工程基建行业类股票进行模拟实证分析,证明将会计信息进行相关量化处理,能够为投资者提供较为客观的选择,同时基于熵权的模糊综合评价模型在股票内在价值评价中具有可行性.     

基于ANP与模糊TOPSIS-CRITIC方法的不确定多属性决策模型

随着多属性决策问题的日益流行,处理决策问题的复杂程度也逐渐增加,针对其中权重不确定,难以量化各影响因素主观权重与客观权重以及指标排序不精确的问题,提出了一种将网络层次分析法(ANP)与模糊指标相关性的指标权重确定法(CRITIC)、逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)相结合的不确定多属性决策模型首先,在分别使用ANP方法和CRITIC法确定各影响因素的主观、客观权重的基础上计算指标的综合权重,然后应用模糊TOPSIS方法对备选方案进行贴进度排序最后,通过一个实例将计算结果同其他三种决策方法进行对比分析,验证了所提出的ANP与模糊TOPSIS-CRITIC方法的可靠性和有效性.     

基于犹豫模糊语言决策信息的被执行人聚类算法

针对法院“执行难”现状，将模糊聚类分析方法应用于司法执行领域，聚类的数据类型拓展为犹豫模糊语言信息，构建了一套完整的被执行人隐匿财产行为评估体系。通过估测被执行人隐匿财产的量化概率，为执行法官确定查控重点提供了决策支持。对当前的犹豫模糊语言距离测度存在的局限性进行了分析，给出了犹豫模糊语言犹豫度的定义和新的犹豫模糊语言距离计算方法。采用离差最大化思想确定最优属性权重，提出了一种基于离差最大化的犹豫模糊语言凝聚式层次聚类算法。犹豫模糊语言决策信息环境下的被执行人聚类分析算例验证了评估体系和聚类算法的有效性。     

Cross-efficiency aggregation in DEA models using the evidential-reasoning approach

Cross-efficiency in data envelopment analysis (DEA) models is an effective way to rank decision-making units (DMUs). The common methods to aggregate cross-efficiency do not consider the preference structure of the decision maker (DM). When a DM’s preference structure does not satisfy the “additive independence” condition, a new aggregation method must be proposed. This paper uses the evidential-reasoning (ER) approach to aggregate the cross-efficiencies obtained from cross-evaluation through the transformation of the cross-efficiency matrix to pieces of evidence. This paper provides a new method for cross-efficiency aggregation and a new way for DEA models to reflect a DM’s preference or value judgments. Additionally, this paper presents examples that demonstrate the features of cross-efficiency aggregation using the ER approach, including an empirical example of the evaluation practice of 16 basic research institutes in Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) in 2010 that illustrates how the ER approach can be used to aggregate the cross-efficiency matrix produced from DEA models.     

基于DEA博弈交叉效率和投资者心理的模糊投资组合研究

考虑到投资者并不是完全理性的,本文结合DEA博弈交叉效率方法研究了带有投资者心理因素的多目标模糊投资组合决策问题。首先,为了充分描绘投资者的心理因素和风险感知,本文基于可能性理论推导了带有风险态度的可能性均值和半绝对偏差。其次,将候选的风险资产视为互相竞争的博弈者,采用基于熵权法的DEA博弈交叉效率模型衡量它们的综合表现,从而得到每项资产的博弈交叉效率和奇异指数,并将其分别作为额外的收益和风险决策准则。基于此,提出了更加综合的可能性均值—半绝对偏差—博弈交叉效率—奇异指数模型。最后,通过一个应用实例验证了所提出的模型的合理性和有效性,从而为不同类型的投资者提供具有个性化的投资策略。     

Fuzzy cross-efficiency evaluation: a possibility approach

Cross-efficiency evaluation is an extension of data envelopment analysis (DEA) aimed at ranking decision making units (DMUs) involved in a production process regarding their efficiency. As has been done with other enhancements and extensions of DEA, in this paper we propose a fuzzy approach to the cross-efficiency evaluation. Specifically, we develop a fuzzy cross-efficiency evaluation based on the possibility approach by Lertworasirikul et al. (Fuzzy Sets Syst 139:379–394, 2003a) to fuzzy DEA. Thus, a methodology for ranking DMUs is presented that may be used when data are imprecise, in particular for fuzzy inputs and outputs being normal and convex. We prove some results that allow us to define “consistent” cross-efficiencies. The ranking of DMUs for a given possibility level results from an ordering of cross-efficiency scores, which are real numbers. As in the crisp case, we also develop benevolent and aggressive fuzzy formulations in order to deal with the alternate optima for the weights.     

基于前景理论和熵权法的交叉效率集结方法

传统的交叉效率集结过程通常采用算术平均方法,不仅会低估自评的重要性,而且未考虑决策者的风险偏好。针对上述问题,提出一种基于前景理论和熵权法的交叉效率集结方法。首先,求解交叉效率矩阵,运用熵权法确定他评过程中评价单元的指标权重。然后,引入前景理论以考虑决策者在交叉效率集结过程中的风险偏好,利用TOPSIS方法识别正负参考点,进而构造总体效用函数,得到前景交叉效率矩阵。随后,构建最大化前景价值模型,求解集结权重。该方法既考虑到交叉效率集结的相对重要性权重,又将决策者的风险偏好纳入到效率评价中,从而实现决策单元的全排序。最后,结合实例验证方法的有效性。     

Meta-frontier analysis using cross-efficiency method for performance evaluation

Efficiency overestimation and technology heterogeneity are important factors that affect the use of data envelopment analysis. This paper introduces a meta-frontier analysis framework into a cross-efficiency method to develop a new efficiency evaluation method. This method can be used to calculate, aggregate, and decompose the cross efficiencies relative to the meta-frontier and group-frontier. Then the technology gap between these frontiers can be measured and more detailed information regarding the inefficiency of decision-making units can be obtained. This enables decision makers to improve efficiency in a targeted manner. Subsequently, the non-uniqueness of the optimal solution is discussed for the new method, and the cross-evaluation strategy is introduced to ensure the stability of the optimal solution. Finally, two examples are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of this method.     

A multiple criteria ranking method based on game cross-evaluation approach

The application of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) as an alternative multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) tool has been gaining more attentions in the literatures. Doyle (Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. Process. 62(1):87?C100, 1995) presents a method of multi-attribute choice based on an application of DEA. In the first part of his method, the straightforward DEA is considered as an idealized process of self-evaluation in which each alternative weighs the attributes in order to maximize its own score (or desirability) relative to the other alternatives. Then, in the second step, each alternative applies its own DEA-derived best weights to each of the other alternatives (i.e., cross-evaluation), then the average of the cross-evaluations that get placed on an alternative is taken as an index of its overall score. In some cases of multiple criteria decision making, direct or indirect competitions exist among the alternatives, while the factor of competition is usually ignored in most of MCDM settings. This paper proposes an approach to evaluate and rank alternatives in MCDM via an extension of DEA method, namely DEA game cross-efficiency model in Liang, Wu, Cook and Zhu (Oper. Res. 56(5):1278?C1288, 2008b), in which each alternative is viewed as a player who seeks to maximize its own score (or desirability), under the condition that the cross-evaluation scores of each of other alternatives does not deteriorate. The game cross-evaluation score is obtained when the alternative??s own maximized scores are averaged. The obtained game cross-evaluation scores are unique and constitute a Nash equilibrium point. Therefore, the results and rankings based upon game cross-evaluation score analysis are more reliable and will benefit the decision makers.     

Selecting symmetric weights as a secondary goal in DEA cross-efficiency evaluation

In data envelopment analysis (DEA), the cross-efficiency evaluation method introduces a cross-efficiency matrix, in which the units are self and peer evaluated. A problem that possibly reduces the usefulness of the cross-efficiency evaluation method is that the cross-efficiency scores may not be unique due to the presence of alternate optima. So, it is recommended that secondary goals be introduced in cross-efficiency evaluation. In this paper we propose the symmetric weight assignment technique (SWAT) that does not affect feasibility and rewards decision making units (DMUs) that make a symmetric selection of weights. A numerical example is solved by our proposed method and its solution is compared with those of alternative approaches.