Invariance principles and Gaussian approximation for strictly stationary processes

We show that in any aperiodic and ergodic dynamical system there exists a square integrable process the partial sums of which can be closely approximated by the partial sums of Gaussian i.i.d. random variables. For both weak and strong invariance principles hold.

     

Estimation of the bispectrum for locally stationary processes

We consider the problem of estimating the bispectrum of a locally stationary process. A nonparametric, lag-window type estimator is considered and its asymptotic properties are investigated. As a possible application, a test for linearity in the framework of locally stationary processes is discussed.     

Bounds for the variance of certain stationary point processes

For the variance of stationary renewal and alternating renewal processes N_n(·) the paper establishes upper and lower bounds of the form

$\text{?B}{}_1\text{?varN}{}_8\text{(0,x–Aλx?B}{}_2\text{(0<x<∞)}$

, where λ=EN₈(0,1), with constants A, B₁ and B₂ that depend on the first three moments of the interval distributions for the processes concerned. These results are consistent with the value of the constant A for a general stationary point process suggested by Cox in 1963 [1].     

Shift ergodicity for stationary Markov processes

In this paper shift ergodicity and related topics are studied for certain stationary processes. We first present a simple proof of the conclusion that every stationary Markov process is a generalized convex combination of stationary ergodic Markov processes. A direct consequence is that a stationary distribution of a Markov process is extremal if and only if the corresponding stationary Markov process is time ergodic and every stationary distribution is a generalized convex combination of such extremal ones. We then consider space ergodicity for spin flip particle systems. We prove space shift ergodicity and mixing for certain extremal invariant measures for a class of spin systems, in which most of the typical models, such as the Voter Models and the Contact Models, are included. As a consequence of these results we see that for such systems, under each of those extremal invariant measures, the space and time means of an observable coincide, an important phenomenon in statistical physics. Our results provide partial answers to certain interesting problems in spin systems.     

Existence of the linear prediction for Banach space valued Gaussian processes

The correspondence between Gaussian stochastic processes with values in a Banach space E and cylindrical processes which are related to them is studied. It is shown that the linear prediction of an E-valued Gaussian process is an E-valued random variable as well as the spectral measure of an E-valued Gaussian stationary process is a Gaussian random measure.     

Properties of Hida processes on . 2. Prediction and interpolation problems for processes on

If E is an ordered set, we study the processes Y_t, t E, for which the vectorial spaces _t generated by all the conditional expectations E(Y_sβ _t) for s ≥ t have finite dimensions d(t) ≤ N. ( _t is some convenient filtration.) We first develop a geometrical approach in the general situation and give a “Goursat's representation” Y_t = Σf_i(t)M_i(t), where the M_i(t) are martingales. We then restrict us to the cases E = or E = ² and give representations of the processes by the mean of stochastic integrals of “Goursat's kernels.” The special case when Y_t is the solution of a differential equation is considered.     

An effective linear approximation method for separable programming problems

Among the numerous applications of piecewise linearization methods include data fitting, network analysis, logistics, and statistics. In the early 1950s, a concave function was found to be able to be linearized by introducing 0-1 variables. Most textbooks in Operations Research offer such methods for expressing linear approximations. Various methods of linearization have also been developed in recent literature. Nevertheless, the transformed linear scheme has a severe shortcoming: most standard procedures for linearizing typically involve a large increase in the number of binary variables. Consequently, the gains to be derived from dealing with linear functions are quite likely to be nullified by the increase in the size of the problem.Conventional methods for linearizing a concave function with m break points require m-1 binary variables. However, when m becomes large, the computation will be very time-consuming and may cause a heavy computational burden.This study proposes an effective approach in which only ⌈log₂(m-1)⌉ binary variables are used. The proposed method has the following features: (i) it offers more convenient and efficient means of expressing a piecewise linear function; (ii) fewer 0-1 variables are used; (iii) the computational results show that the proposed method is much more efficient and faster than the conventional one, especially when the number of break points becomes large.     

Approximation of weak sense stationary stochastic processes from local averages

We show that a weak sense stationary stochastic process can be approximated by local averages. Explicit error bounds are given. Our result improves an early one from Splettstosser.     

Some remarks on filtering and prediction of stationary processes

This note contains a some remarks concerning filtering and prediction theory. One of them is a solution to an old question of H. Furstenberg which indicates an unexpected phenomenon arising from the lack of integrability. Another gives some general results on the possibility of constructing two valued universal guessing schemes for distinguishing between classes of stochastic processes.     

Almost sure central limit theorem for strictly stationary processes

On any aperiodic measure preserving system, there exists a square integrable function such that the associated stationary process satifies the Almost Sure Central Limit Theorem.

     

Free-knot spline approximation of stochastic processes

We study optimal approximation of stochastic processes by polynomial splines with free knots. The number of free knots is either a priori fixed or may depend on the particular trajectory. For the s-fold integrated Wiener process as well as for scalar diffusion processes we determine the asymptotic behavior of the average L_p-distance to the splines spaces, as the (expected) number of free knots tends to infinity.     

Random locations of periodic stationary processes

We consider a family of random locations, called intrinsic location functionals, of periodic stationary processes. This family includes but is not limited to the location of the path supremum and first/last hitting times. We first show that the set of all possible distributions of intrinsic location functionals for periodic stationary processes is the convex hull generated by a specific group of distributions. We then focus on two special subclasses of these random locations. For the first subclass, the density has a uniform lower bound; for the second subclass, the possible distributions are closely related to the concept of joint mixability.     

Discriminant analysis for locally stationary processes

In this paper, we discuss discriminant analysis for locally stationary processes, which constitute a class of non-stationary processes. Consider the case where a locally stationary process {X_t,T} belongs to one of two categories described by two hypotheses π₁ and π₂. Here T is the length of the observed stretch. These hypotheses specify that {X_t,T} has time-varying spectral densities f(u,λ) and g(u,λ) under π₁ and π₂, respectively. Although Gaussianity of {X_t,T} is not assumed, we use a classification criterion D( f:g), which is an approximation of the Gaussian likelihood ratio for {X_t,T} between π₁ and π₂. Then it is shown that D( f:g) is consistent, i.e., the misclassification probabilities based on D( f:g) converge to zero as T→∞. Next, in the case when g(u,λ) is contiguous to f(u,λ), we evaluate the misclassification probabilities, and discuss non-Gaussian robustness of D( f:g). Because the spectra depend on time, the features of non-Gaussian robustness are different from those for stationary processes. It is also interesting to investigate the behavior of D( f:g) with respect to infinitesimal perturbations of the spectra. Introducing an influence function of D( f:g), we illuminate its infinitesimal behavior. Some numerical studies are given.     

Statistical analysis of dyadic stationary processes

In this paper we consider a multiple dyadic stationary process with the Walsh spectral density matrix f(), where is an unknown parameter vector. We define a quasi-maximum likelihood estimator % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+-% feaafeart1ev1aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn% hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr% 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq-Jc9% vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0-qqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr-x% fr-xHapdbiqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaGabeiUdyaaja% aaaa!377D!\[{\rm{\hat \theta }}\] of , and give the asymptotic distribution of % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+-% feaafeart1ev1aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn% hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr% 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq-Jc9% vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0-qqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr-x% fr-xHapdbiqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaGabeiUdyaaja% aaaa!377D!\[{\rm{\hat \theta }}\] under appropriate conditions. Then we propose an information criterion which determines the order of the model, and show that this criterion gives a consistent order estimate. As for a finite order dyadic autoregressive model, we propose a simpler order determination criterion, and discuss its asymptotic properties in detail. This criterion gives a strong consistent order estimate. In Section 5 we discuss testing whether an unknown parameter satisfies a linear restriction. Then we give the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio criterion under the null hypothesis.This work is supported by Contract N00014-85-K-0292 of the Office of Naval Research and Contract F49620-85-C-0008 of the Air Force Office of Scientific Research. The United States Government is authorized to reproduce and distribute reprints for governmental purposes notwithstanding any copyright notations hereon.The work of this author was done at the Center for Multivariate Analysis. His permanent address is Department of Mathematics, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima 730, Japan.     

On the convergence of sequences of stationary jump Markov processes

This paper presents two main results: first, a Liapunov type criterion for the existence of a stationary probability distribution for a jump Markov process; second, a Liapunov type criterion for existence and tightness of stationary probability distributions for a sequence of jump Markov processes. If the corresponding semigroups T_N(t) converge, under suitable hypotheses on the limit semigroup, this last result yields the weak convergence of the sequence of stationary processes (T_N(t), π_N) to the stationary limit one.     

The limit theorems for maxima of stationary Gaussian processes with random Index

Let {X(t), t ≥ 0} be a standard(zero-mean, unit-variance) stationary Gaussian process with correlation function r(·) and continuous sample paths. In this paper, we consider the maxima M(T) = max{X(t), t∈ [0, T ]} with random index TT, where TT /T converges to a non-degenerate distribution or to a positive random variable in probability, and show that the limit distribution of M(TT) exists under some additional conditions related to the correlation function r(·).     

On the convergence of finite linear predictors of stationary processes

It is shown that the finite linear least-squares predictor of a multivariate stationary process converges to its Kolmogorov-Wiener predictor at an exponential rate, provided that the entries of its spectral density matrix are smooth functions. Also, the same rate of convergence holds for the partial sums of the Kolmogorov-Wiener predictor.     

Strong approximation for a class of stationary processes

Strong approximation for sums of a class of stationary processes with optimal bound is established. The main tools are m$m$-dependent approximation and block techniques. Some previous results are improved.     

Dual problems for weak and quasi approximation properties

It is shown that for the separable dual X^∗ of a Banach space X if X^∗ has the weak approximation property, then X has the metric quasi approximation property. Using this it is shown that for the separable dual X^∗ of a Banach space X the quasi approximation property and metric quasi approximation property are inherited from X^∗ to X and for a separable and reflexive Banach space X, X having the weak approximation property, bounded weak approximation property, quasi approximation property, metric weak approximation property, and metric quasi approximation property are equivalent. Also it is shown that the weak approximation property, bounded weak approximation property, and quasi approximation property are not inherited from a Banach space X to X^∗.     

BOOTSTRAP MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF THE PARAMETER IN SPECTRAL DENSITY OF STATIONARY PROCESSES

ＢＯＯＴＳＴＲＡＰ　ＭＡＸＩＭＵＭＬＩＫＥＬＩＨＯＯＤＥＳＴＩＭＡＴＩＯＮＯＦＴＨＥＰＡＲＡＭＥＴＥＲＩＮＳＰＥＣＴＲＡＬＤＥＮＳＩＴＹＯＦＳＴＡＴＩＯＮＡＲＹ　ＰＲＯＣＥＳＳＥＳＹＵＤＡＮ（于丹）（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＳｙｓｔｅｍｓＳｃｉｅｎｃｅ...