Permanence of a delayed SIR epidemic model with density dependent birth rate

In this paper, we consider the permanence of a modified delayed SIR epidemic model with density dependent birth rate which is proposed in [M. Song, W. Ma, Asymptotic properties of a revised SIR epidemic model with density dependent birth rate and time delay, Dynamic of Continuous, Discrete and Impulsive Systems, 13 (2006) 199–208]. It is shown that global dynamic property of the modified delayed SIR epidemic model is very similar as that of the model in [W. Ma, Y. Takeuchi, T. Hara, E. Beretta, Permanence of an SIR epidemic model with distributed time delays, Tohoku Math. J. 54 (2002) 581–591; W. Ma, M. Song, Y. Takeuchi, Global stability of an SIR epidemic model with time delay, Appl. Math. Lett. 17 (2004) 1141–1145].     

Dynamics of a neutral delay equation for an insect population with long larval and short adult phases

We present a global study on the stability of the equilibria in a nonlinear autonomous neutral delay differential population model formulated by Bocharov and Hadeler. This model may be suitable for describing the intriguing dynamics of an insect population with long larval and short adult phases such as the periodical cicada. We circumvent the usual difficulties associated with the study of the stability of a nonlinear neutral delay differential model by transforming it to an appropriate non-neutral nonautonomous delay differential equation with unbounded delay. In the case that no juveniles give birth, we establish the positivity and boundedness of solutions by ad hoc methods and global stability of the extinction and positive equilibria by the method of iteration. We also show that if the time adjusted instantaneous birth rate at the time of maturation is greater than 1, then the population will grow without bound, regardless of the population death process.     

Mathematical models of innovation diffusion with stage structure

Mathematical models with stage structures are proposed to describe the process of awareness, evaluation and decision-making. First, a system of ordinary differential equations is presented that incorporates the awareness stage and the decision-making stage. If the adoption rate is bilinear and imitations are dominant, we find a threshold above which innovation diffusion is successful. Further, if the adoption rate has a higher nonlinearity, it is shown that there exist bistable equilibria and a region such that an innovation diffusion is successful inside and is unsuccessful outside. Secondly, a model with a time delay is proposed that includes an evaluation stage of a product. It is proved that the system exhibits stability switches. The bifurcation direction of equilibria is also discussed.     

Global dynamics of Nicholsonʼs blowflies equation revisited: Onset and termination of nonlinear oscillations

We revisit Nicholson?s blowflies model with natural death rate incorporated into the delay feedback. We consider the delay as a bifurcation parameter and examine the onset and termination of Hopf bifurcations of periodic solutions from a positive equilibrium. We show that the model has only a finite number of Hopf bifurcation values and we describe how branches of Hopf bifurcations are paired so the existence of periodic solutions with specific oscillation frequencies occurs only in bounded delay intervals. The bifurcation analysis and the Matlab package DDE-BIFTOOL developed by Engelborghs et al. guide some numerical simulations to identify ranges of parameters for coexisting multiple attractive periodic solutions.     

Geometric stability switch criteria in delay differential equations with two delays and delay dependent parameters

Most modeling efforts involve multiple physical or biological processes. All physical or biological processes take time to complete. Therefore, multiple time delays occur naturally and shall be considered in more advanced modeling efforts. Carefully formulated models of such natural processes often involve multiple delays and delay dependent parameters. However, a general and practical theory for the stability analysis of models with more than one discrete delay and delay dependent parameters is nonexistent. The main purpose of this paper is to present a practical geometric method to study the stability switching properties of a general transcendental equation which may result from a stability analysis of a model with two discrete time delays and delay dependent parameters that dependent only on one of the time delay. In addition to simple and illustrative examples, we present a detailed application of our method to the study of a two discrete delay SIR model.     

Global attractivity and permanence of a SVEIR epidemic model with pulse vaccination and time delay

In this study, we propose a new SVEIR epidemic disease model with time delay, and analyze the dynamic behavior of the model under pulse vaccination. Pulse vaccination is an effective strategy for the elimination of infectious disease. Using the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map, we obtain an ‘infection-free’ periodic solution. We also show that the ‘infection-free’ periodic solution is globally attractive when some parameters of the model under appropriate conditions. The permanence of the model is investigated analytically. Our results indicate that a large vaccination rate or a short pulse of vaccination or a long latent period is a sufficient condition for the extinction of the disease.     

A multi‐stage ‘infection’ model of stock investors' reaction to new product announcement signal

Drawing on viral dynamics theory, this paper presents a differential equations model with time delay to investigate the stock investor behavior driven by new product announcement (NPA) signal. Visually, we look upon investors in stock market as cells in vivo and the NPA signals as free virus. The potential investors will be ‘infected’ by the dissociative NPA signal and then make investment decisions. In order to better understand the ‘infection’ process, we extract and establish a multi‐stage process during which NPA signal is delivered and ‘infects’ the potential investors. A time‐delay effect is employed to reflect the evaluation stage at which potential investors comprehensively evaluate and decide whether to invest or not. In addition, we introduce a set of external and internal factors into the model, including information sensitivity and investor sentiment, and so on, which are pivotal for examining investor behavior. Equilibrium analysis and numerical simulations are employed to check out the properties of the model and highlight the practical application values of the model. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A time delay model for the diffusion of a new technology

In this paper, we propose a mathematical model with time delay to describe the process of diffusion of a new technology. This model is suitable for modeling diffusion processes of all those technologies that require great initial investments and public subsidies, such as technologies used for producing renewable energy. We consider external factors, such as the government policy and the production costs, that influence the decision of adoption of the new technology. We also consider the internal influence from adopters. The adoption process is described by a delay differential equation. The time delay represents the evaluation stage at which the potential consumers decide whether to adopt the new technology or not. A qualitative analysis is carried out in order to assess the stability of the equilibrium for certain parameters and to find the final level of adopters.     

An SIS Epidemic Model with Stage Structure and a Delay

A disease transmission model of SIS type with stage structure and a delay is formulated. Stability of the disease free equilibrium, and existence, uniqueness, and stability of an endemic equilibrium, are investigated for the model. The stability results arc stated in terms of a key threshold parameter. The effects of stage structure and time delay on dynamical behavior of the infectious disease are analyzed. It is shown that stage structure has no effect on the epidemic model and Hopf bifurcation can occur as the time delay increases.     

按时滞转化的阶段结构SIS传染病模型

对一类按时滞转化的具有两个阶段结构的SIS传染病模型进行了分析,得到了传染病最终消除和成为地方病的阈值.即当传染率小于该阀值时,传染病最终消除;反之,此种传染病将成为地方病.     

The dynamics of an age structured predator–prey model with disturbing pulse and time delays

Many of the existing predator–prey models on stage structured populations are some ordinary differential equations (ODE) or models without a disturbing effect of human behavior. In reality, death of the juvenile during its immature stage and catching or poisoning for the prey or predator occur continuously. From this basic standpoint, we formulate a general and robust prey-dependent consumption predator–prey model with periodic harvesting (catching or poisoning) for the prey and stage structure for the predator with constant maturation time delay (through-stage time delay) and perform a systematic mathematical and ecological study. We show that the conditions for global attractivity of the ‘predator-extinction’ (‘predator-eradication’) periodic solution and permanence of the population of the model depend on time delay, so, we call it “profitless”. We also show that constant maturation time delay and impulsive catching or poisoning for the prey can bring great effects on the dynamics of system by numerical analysis. In this paper, the main feature is that we introduce time delay and pulse into the predator–prey (natural enemy–pest) model with age structure, exhibit a new modeling method which is applied to investigate impulsive delay differential equations, and give some reasonable suggestions for pest management.     

Oscillation of second-order half-linear delay dynamic equations with damping on time scales

By using the generalized Riccati transformation and the inequality technique, we establish a few new oscillation criterions for certain second-order half-linear delay dynamic equations with damping on a time scale. Our results extend and improve some known results, but also unify the oscillation of the second-order half-linear delay differential equation with damping and the second-order half-linear delay difference equation with damping.     

Sufficient conditions for the asymptotic stability of nonlinear multidelay differential equations with linear parts defined by pairwise permutable matrices

In this paper a generalization of the delayed exponential defined by Khusainov and Shuklin (2003) [1] for autonomous linear delay systems with one delay defined by permutable matrices is given for delay systems with multiple delays and pairwise permutable matrices. Using this multidelay-exponential a solution of a Cauchy initial value problem is represented. By an application of this representation and using Pinto’s integral inequality an asymptotic stability results for some classes of nonlinear multidelay differential equations are proved.     

Dynamical properties of a stage structured three-species model with intra-guild predation

This paper considers a stage-structured three species model with intra-guild predation (IGP). First, we show local and global stability of IGP model. It is known that introduction of IGP in tritrophic food chain can destabilize the system. So in order to ensure survival of all species for all future time, we show a necessary and sufficient condition for permanence of IGP model. Next, we consider the IGP model with a stage structure for predator. The model uses time delay to express a maturation period and a through-stage survival rate for the predator. By using stability switch criteria which can provide practical guidelines that combine graphical information with analytical work, we can show that the delay can stabilize the IGP model.     

Coexistence and stability of predator-prey model with Beddington-DeAngelis functional response and stage structure

We present a predator-prey model of Beddington-DeAngelis type functional response with stage structure on prey. The constant time delay is the time taken from birth to maturity about the prey. By the uniform persistence theories and monotone dynamic theories, sharp threshold conditions which are both necessary and sufficient for the permanence and extinction of the model as well as the sufficient conditions for the global stability of the coexistence equilibria are obtained. Biologically, it is proved that the variation of prey stage structure can affect the permanence of the system and drive the predator into extinction by changing the prey carrying capacity: Our results suggest that the predator coexists with prey permanently if and only if predator's recruitment rate at the peak of prey abundance is larger than its death rate; and that the predator goes extinct if and only if predator's possible highest recruitment rate is less than or equal to its death rate; furthermore, our results also show that a sufficiently large mutual interference by predators can stabilize the system.     

Dynamical behavior in a stage-structured differential-algebraic prey-predator model with discrete time delay and harvesting

A differential-algebraic model system which considers a prey-predator system with stage structure for prey and harvest effort on predator is proposed. By using the differential-algebraic system theory and bifurcation theory, dynamic behavior of the proposed model system with and without discrete time delay is investigated. Local stability analysis of the model system without discrete time delay reveals that there is a phenomenon of singularity induced bifurcation due to variation of the economic interest of harvesting, and a state feedback controller is designed to stabilize the proposed model system at the interior equilibrium; Furthermore, local stability of the model system with discrete time delay is studied. It reveals that the discrete time delay has a destabilizing effect in the population dynamics, and a phenomenon of Hopf bifurcation occurs as the discrete time delay increases through a certain threshold. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to show the consistency with theoretical analysis obtained in this paper.     

Stability of traveling waves in a population dynamic model with delay and quiescent stage

This article is concerned with a population dynamic model with delay and quiescent stage. By using the weighted-energy method combining continuation method, the exponential stability of traveling waves of the model under non-quasi-monotonicity conditions is established. Particularly, the requirement for initial perturbation is weaker and it is uniformly bounded only at x = +∞ but may not be vanishing.     

一类捕食者-食饵模型的稳定性及Hopf分支

研究一类具有时滞和阶段结构的捕食模型的稳定性和Hopf分支.以滞量为参数,得到了系统正平衡点的稳定性和Hopf分支存在的充分条件.利用规范型和中心流形定理,给出了确定Hopf分支方向和分支周期解的稳定性的计算公式.     

Chaos control and synchronization of fractional order delay‐varying computer virus propagation model

In the present article, the authors have studied the dynamical behavior of delay‐varying computer virus propagation (CVP) model with fractional order derivative, and it is found that the chaotic attractor exists in the considered fractional order system. In order to eliminate the chaotic behavior of fractional order delay‐varying CVP model, feedback controlmethod is used. This article also dealswith the synchronization between controlled and chaotic delay‐varying CVPmodel via active controlmethod. The fractional derivative is described in the Caputo sense. Numerical simulation results are carried out by means of Adams‐Boshforth‐Moultonmethod with the help ofMATLAB, and the results are successfully depicted through graphs .Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.