捕食模型高精度参数的估计

研究了捕食者模型在多种观测值条件下的非线性微分方程组参数拟合问题.首先利用龙格-库塔法进行微分方程数值计算,通过首次积分项变形建立线性回归方程,进行最小二乘拟合;其次,考虑到实验数据包含随机误差的扰动,引进正规方程组对模型进行误差分析;最后针对时间变量也出现误差,采用拉依达准则筛选,然后提出了一种较为简单的参数分段动态估计算法.     

数值输入模糊输出数据的最小二乘回归模型

本文给出了一个拟合数值输入模糊数输出数据的线性回归模型,证明了模型的解存在且唯一,并得到了解的表达式。     

一类不分明时间序列的回归预测

研究了一类不分明时间序列的线性回归预测问题,通过模糊数空间中的距离,建立了模糊环境中最小二乘回归模型,证明了回归模型解的存在性和唯一性,并给出了确定模型的模糊参数及检验模型拟合度的计算公式。     

拟合模糊观测数据的线性回归模型

本文讨论了实验观测数据为一般模糊数的线性最优拟合问题，通过定义模糊数空间中的距离，建立了模糊数空间到模糊数空间的回归模型，证明了最小二乘问题的解与其正则方程组的解的一致性，进而由正则方程组导出了问题的显式解。本模型的计算简便，具有实用价值。     

部分线性模型在空气质量指数细颗粒物PM2.5中的分析应用

主要是研究细颗粒物PM2.5与其它影响空气质量指数的因素之间的相关性.首先运用主成分分析法对影响细颗粒物PM2.5的五个指标进行降维,然后对降维过后的数据拟合部分线性模型,拟合的效果比一般线性模型与多项式回归模型所拟合的效果更好.     

纵向数据半参数回归模型的估计方法

本文考虑纵向数据半参数回归模型,通过考虑纵向数据的协方差结构,基于Profile最小二乘法和局部线性拟合的方法建立了模型中参数分量、回归函数和误差方差的估计量,来提高估计的有效性,在适当条件下给出了这些估计量的相合性.并通过模拟研究将该方法与最小二乘局部线性拟合估计方法进行了比较,表明了Profile最小二乘局部线性拟合方法在有限样本情况下具有良好的性质.     

基于主成分回归模型的经济增长因素分析

在经济增长因素分析中,常用多元回归分析方法,但有时建立的回归模型拟合效果不好或不合理。为此本文给出建立主成分回归分析的方法。本文对经济增长给出两种回归分析方法,即建立主成分线性回归模型,分析经济增长的边际效应,建立主成分非线性回归模型,分析经济增长的弹性效应,实例表明效果很好。     

1961～2005年漠河年均温和年均高低温的变化分析

对近四十五年来中国漠河的气温变化作了一个初步分析.根据中国漠河1961～2005年逐日平均、最高、最低气温资料,求得了相应的年均温、年均高温和年均低温,分别对它们进行了线性拟合,结果表明它们在这45年都有所升高,并且由t检验得出线性趋势都是显著的.之后用线性回归模型拟合了年均温与年均高温和年均低温的关系,得出了拟合方程,并由F检验说明了线性回归关系的显著性.最后又采用变系数回归模型的局部线性拟合方法拟合了年均温与年均高温和年均低温的变化关系,从而揭示了年均高温和年均低温对年均温的影响随时间变化的规律,对研究年均温升高的原因具有一定的参考意义.     

生物种群的一类统计模型

以往关于生物种群增长的数学模型多是用微分方程和概率极限定理的方法来推导的。本文改用回归分析 ,系数显著性检验和残差检验的方法 ,直接从统计数字出发 ,得出美国人口在1880— 1960年的人口数字增长模型——正态前升模型。它是拟合得很好的不同以往的模型。并给出了初步的解释。     

Derivative-free optimization and neural networks for robust regression

Large outliers break down linear and nonlinear regression models. Robust regression methods allow one to filter out the outliers when building a model. By replacing the traditional least squares criterion with the least trimmed squares (LTS) criterion, in which half of data is treated as potential outliers, one can fit accurate regression models to strongly contaminated data. High-breakdown methods have become very well established in linear regression, but have started being applied for non-linear regression only recently. In this work, we examine the problem of fitting artificial neural networks (ANNs) to contaminated data using LTS criterion. We introduce a penalized LTS criterion which prevents unnecessary removal of valid data. Training of ANNs leads to a challenging non-smooth global optimization problem. We compare the efficiency of several derivative-free optimization methods in solving it, and show that our approach identifies the outliers correctly when ANNs are used for nonlinear regression.     

带模糊回归参数的线性回归模型

本文讨论了数值输入模糊数输出的观测数据的线性最小二乘拟合问题，建立了数值空间到模糊数空间的带模糊回归参数的线性回归模型，证明了模型解的存在性和唯一性，并得到了解的表达式。本模型应用简便，具有实用价值。     

关于高等教育学费的优化模型探讨

给出了高校学费的优化模型,该模型对于高校标准学费的制定有着一定的借鉴意义.对模型的求解,采用了数据拟合和多元线性回归的方法,并通过计算机模拟的方法来对结果加以检验,检验结果表明模型是合理的.整个求解过程借助了MATLAB6.5,求解过程极其便利可行.     

修正的模糊最小一乘线性回归

对文献[1]提出的基于对称三角模糊数的模糊最小一乘线性回归进行修正和扩展,给出模糊最小一乘线性回归模型的三种不同形式,并将其转化为线性规划或非线性规划问题进行求解。最后,给出几个数值实例,通过计算和比较,结果表明三种模糊最小一乘线性回归模型都具有非常好的拟合性。     

Least squares data fitting with implicit functions

This paper discusses the computational problem of fitting data by an implicitly defined function depending on several parameters. The emphasis is on the technique of algebraic fitting off(x, y; p) = 0 which can be treated as a linear problem when the parameters appear linearly. Various constraints completing the problem are examined for their effectiveness and in particular for two applications: fitting ellipses and functions defined by the Lotka-Volterra model equations. Finally, we discuss geometric fitting as an alternative, and give examples comparing results.     

Interval estimation for fitting straight line when both variables are subject to error

When both variables are subject to error in regression model, the least squares estimators are biased and inconsistent. The measurement error model is more appropriate to fit the data. This study focuses on the problem to construct interval estimation for fitting straight line in linear measurement error model when one of the error variances is known. We use the concepts of generalized pivotal quantity and construct the confidence interval for the slope because no pivot is available in this case. We compare the existing confidence intervals in terms of coverage probability and expected length via simulation studies. A real data example is also analyzed.     

Fast Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Continuous Threshold Linear Regression

Continuous threshold regression is a common type of nonlinear regression that is attractive to many practitioners for its easy interpretability. More widespread adoption of threshold regression faces two challenges: (i) the computational complexity of fitting threshold regression models and (ii) obtaining correct coverage of confidence intervals under model misspecification. Both challenges result from the nonsmooth and nonconvex nature of the threshold regression model likelihood function. In this article we first show that these two issues together make the ideal approach for making model-robust inference in continuous threshold linear regression an impractical one. The need for a faster way of fitting continuous threshold linear models motivated us to develop a fast grid search method. The new method, based on the simple yet powerful dynamic programming principle, improves the performance by several orders of magnitude. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

Solution of an Overdetermined System of Linear Equations in $L_2$, $L_∞$, $L_P$ Norm Using L.S. Techniques

A lot of curve fitting problems of experiment data lead to solution of an overdetermined system of linear equations. But it is not clear prior to that whether the data are exact or contaminated with errors of an unknown nature. Consequently we need to use not only $L_2$-solution of the system but also $L_{\infty}$- or $L_p$-solution. In this paper, we propose a universal algorithm called the Directional Perturbation Least Squares (DPLS) Algorithm, which can give optimal solutions of an overdetermined system of linear equations in $L_2$, $L_{\infty}$,$L_p (1\leq p＜2)$ norms using only L.S. techniques (in $\S$2). Theoretical principle of the algorithm is given in $\S$ 3. Two examples are given in the end.     

An algorithm for linear least squares problems with equality and nonnegativity constraints

We present a new algorithm for solving a linear least squares problem with linear constraints. These are equality constraint equations and nonnegativity constraints on selected variables. This problem, while appearing to be quite special, is the core problem arising in the solution of the general linearly constrained linear least squares problem. The reduction process of the general problem to the core problem can be done in many ways. We discuss three such techniques.The method employed for solving the core problem is based on combining the equality constraints with differentially weighted least squares equations to form an augmented least squares system. This weighted least squares system, which is equivalent to a penalty function method, is solved with nonnegativity constraints on selected variables.Three types of examples are presented that illustrate applications of the algorithm. The first is rank deficient, constrained least squares curve fitting. The second is concerned with solving linear systems of algebraic equations with Hilbert matrices and bounds on the variables. The third illustrates a constrained curve fitting problem with inconsistent inequality constraints.     

Similarities in Fuzzy Regression Models

The solutions of a fuzzy regression model are obtained by converting the problem into a linear programming problem. For each level h, h[0, 1), there exists a solution. In this paper, we study the set of all the solutions to the fuzzy regression model that comes from a set of data as a metric space with an appropriate metric on it. We define a similarity ratio that allows us to compare the spaces of solutions of a fuzzy regression model that come from different sets of data. We also give an application using data sets concerning the GNP–money relationship.