非参数模型均值函数结构变点的Bootstrap检测

本文检测非参数回归模型均值函数结构变点,针对均值函数跃度的长期均值为零时,基于残量的CUSUM统计量对均值函数结构变点检验无效的问题,本文提出了一种基于均值函数的核估计的检验统计量,得到统计量在原假设和备择假设下的极限分布,并构造Bootstrap方法对非参数回归模型均值函数结构变点进行检验,证明了检验和估计的一致性;模拟结果表明本文方法明显优于已有方法。     

基于Bootstrap的厚尾相依序列持久性变点检验

基于修正方差比率函数给出一种检验厚尾序列持久性变点的统计量.在无变点的假设下得到了统计量的渐近分布.为避免检验渐近分布中的厚尾指数,构造Bootstrap抽样方法来确定渐近分布的经验临界值.数值模拟研究结果说明修正方差比率统计量及Bootstrap抽样方法的有效性.     

基于Bootstrap方法的AR(p)模型方差变点的检验

研究了基于AR(p)模型结构变点的检验.原假设条件成立时,证明了残量平方累积和统计量的极限分布仍然是一个标准布朗桥的上确界,并利用bootstrap抽样方法以提高经验势函数值.数值模拟和实例分析都充分说明方法对相依过程结构变点检验的有效性.     

GARCH模型变点的Ratio检验

研究GARCH模型参数变点的Ratio检验.首先构造了基于残量累积平方和的Ratio统计量,推导了原假设下统计量的极限分布,其次采用Monte Carlo方法检验其有效性,最后以数据为例进一步说明该方法的实用性.     

含尺度变点稳定分布的单位根检验

研究稳定分布噪声模型中含有尺度变点的单位根检验问题.在尺度突变的情形下,给出DF型检验统计量在原假设成立时的渐近分布.结果表明:统计量的渐近分布不仅是Lévy过程的泛函,且依赖尺度变化的位置和跳跃幅度.最后,通过Mente Carlo数值模拟证实,DF检验统计量不再稳健,尺度变点会导致单位根检验的经验水平值发生扭曲.     

基于经验欧氏似然的均值单变点检测

均值单变点检测是研究变点问题的基础.论文根据均值单变点模型的特点,构造截断经验欧氏似然比检验函数并给出显式表达.在此基础上,得到了零假设下检验统计量的极限分布为极值分布,给出变点的诊断方法.在有变点的情况下,进一步给出变点位置的估计和其相合性的理论证明.最后通过数值模拟和尼罗河年流量的实证分析说明所提方法的有效性和实用...     

重尾序列均值变点的经验似然比检验

本文通过经验似然思想建立假设检验的方法,研究了重尾序列均值变点的检测问题.首先,基于重尾模型,在原假设和备择假设下得到经验似然函数.其次,基于经验似然函数构造似然比检验统计量,并给出在原假设成立时该似然比统计量的渐近分布.最后,进行Monte Carlo数值模拟验证该方法的有效性,模拟结果表明本方法对重尾序列均值变点的...     

ARCH模型的多变点检验

研究自回归条件异方差(ARCH)模型的多变点检验问题.提出一种拟似然比检验统计量,并在原假设下给出统计量的极限分布.在假设检验过程中得到变点个数的一致估计.数值模拟与实例分析说明了方法的合理性.     

线性常微分方程参数稳定性的统计推断

对具有随机误差的观测数据, 讨论了常系数线性常微分方程参数稳定性的统计推断问题. 通过残差项的Karhunen-Loeve 分解, 给出了变点检验步骤及其在原假设下的极限分布. 在对立假设下定义了变点的估计, 证明了检验以及估计的一致性. 对常系数二阶常微分方程进行了统计模拟, 结果表明原假设下的极限分布是对真实分布非常好的近似; 对立假设下, 即使输入函数的频率存在0.75% 的变化, 上述检验也能以大概率拒绝原假设. 最后利用上述方法研究了英国中部地区的气温数据, 揭示了数据一些新的特点.     

至多一个分布变点的非参数检验及其渐近性质

本文研究了连续分布函数变点的假设检验问题,通过秩统计量和次序统计量方法,得到了相应的检验统计量及其渐近性质.     

A REPRESENTATION FORMULA RELATED TO SCHR(O)DINGER OPERATORS

Schr(o)dinger operator is a central subject in the mathematical study of quantum mechanics.Consider the Schrodinger operator H = -△ V on R, where △ = d2/dx2 and the potential function V is real valued. In Fourier analysis, it is well-known that a square integrable function admits an expansion with exponentials as eigenfunctions of -△. A natural conjecture is that an L2 function admits a similar expansion in terms of "eigenfunctions" of H, a perturbation of the Laplacian (see [7], Ch. Ⅺ and the notes), under certain condition on V.     

CONTENTS OF VOLUME 30

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Instructions for contributions

正Applied Mathematics-A Journal of Chinese Universities,Series B(Appl.Math.J.Chinese Univ.,Ser.B)is a comprehensive applied mathematics journal jointly sponsored by Zhejiang University,China Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics,and Springer-Verlag.It is a quarterly journal with     

Journal of Mathematical Research with Applications Guide for Authors

正Journal overview:Journal of Mathematical Research with Applications(JMRA),formerly Journal of Mathematical Research and Exposition(JMRE)created in 1981,one of the transactions of China Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics,is a home for original research papers of the highest quality in all areas of mathematics with applications.The target audience comprises:pure and applied mathematicians,graduate students in broad fields of sciences and technology,scientists and engineers interested in mathematics.     

Staircase transportation problems with superadditive rewards and cumulative capacities

A cumulative-capacitated transportation problem is studied. The supply nodes and demand nodes are each chains. Shipments from a supply node to a demand node are possible only if the pair lies in a sublattice, or equivalently, in a staircase disjoint union of rectangles, of the product of the two chains. There are (lattice) superadditive upper bounds on the cumulative flows in all leading subrectangles of each rectangle. It is shown that there is a greatest cumulative flow formed by the natural generalization of the South-West Corner Rule that respects cumulative-flow capacities; it has maximum reward when the rewards are (lattice) superadditive; it is integer if the supplies, demands and capacities are integer; and it can be calculated myopically in linear time. The result is specialized to earlier work of Hoeffding (1940), Fréchet (1951), Lorentz (1953), Hoffman (1963) and Barnes and Hoffman (1985). Applications are given to extreme constrained bivariate distributions, optimal distribution with limited one-way product substitution and, generalizing results of Derman and Klein (1958), optimal sales with age-dependent rewards and capacities.To our friend, Philip Wolfe, with admiration and affection, on the occasion of his 65th birthday.Research was supported respectively by the IBM T.J. Watson and IBM Almaden Research Centers and is a minor revision of the IBM Research Report [6].     

Laminations minimales résiduellement à 2 bouts

Résumé On décrit toutes les feuilles des laminations minimales dont un ensemble résiduel de feuilles ont 2 bouts.      

Best approximation by downward sets with applications

We develop a theory of downward sets for a class of normed ordered spaces. We study best approximation in a normed ordered space X by elements of downward sets, and give necessary and sufficient conditions for any element of best approximation by a closed downward subset of X. We also characterize strictly downward subsets of X, and prove that a downward subset of X is strictly downward if and only if each its boundary point is Chebyshev. The results obtained are used for examination of some Chebyshev pairs （W,x）, where ∈ X and W is a closed downward subset of X     

Boundedness of multilinear operators on weighted herz type spaces

In this paper, the author establishes the boundedness of multilinear operators on weighted Herz spaces and Herz-type Hardy spaces. The author also obtains their weak estimates on endpoints. As a special case, the conclusions may lead to the weighted estimates for multilinear Calderon-Zygmund operators.     

THE EXACT CONVERGENCE RATE AT ZERO OF LAGRANGE INTERPOLATION POLYNOMIAL TO |x|α

In this paper we present a generalized quantitative version of a result due to M. Revers concerning the exact convergence rate at zero of Lagrange interpolation polynomial to f(x) = |x|α with on equally spaced nodes in [-1, 1].