Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes in Hilbert space with non-Gaussian stochastic volatility

We propose a non-Gaussian operator-valued extension of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility dynamics, defined as the square-root of an operator-valued Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process with Lévy noise and bounded drift. We derive conditions for the positive definiteness of the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, where in particular we must restrict to operator-valued Lévy processes with “non-decreasing paths”. It turns out that the volatility model allows for an explicit calculation of its characteristic function, showing an affine structure. We introduce another Hilbert space-valued Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process with Wiener noise perturbed by this class of stochastic volatility dynamics. Under a strong commutativity condition between the covariance operator of the Wiener process and the stochastic volatility, we can derive an analytical expression for the characteristic functional of the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process perturbed by stochastic volatility if the noises are independent. The case of operator-valued compound Poisson processes as driving noise in the volatility is discussed as a particular example of interest. We apply our results to futures prices in commodity markets, where we discuss our proposed stochastic volatility model in light of ambit fields.     

随机过程增量不等式的推广

本文将推广在［３］中由Ｅ．Ｃｓａｋｉ及Ｍ．Ｃｓｏｒｇｏ所引入的关于随机过程不等式，并把它应用到某些随机过程中，从而得到这些随机过程的一些极限定理．     

Asymptotics for random functions moderated by dependent noise

We study limit theorems for a wide class of multi-parameter stochastic processes which are driven by a noise process which may be weakly or even long-range dependent. The processes under study arise in diverse areas and fields such as functional data analysis, life science, engineering and finance. It turns out that under fairly weak conditions on the underlying noise process the limiting law of the corresponding partial sum process is a consequence of the weak convergence of the sequential empirical Kiefer process. The asymptotic limit theory covers the classical large sample situation as well as a general change-point model which extends the location-scale model often considered in change-point analysis. The scope of the results is illustrated by various applications.     

Regenerative structure of Markov chains simulated via common random numbers

A standard strategy in simulation, for comparing two stochastic systems, is to use a common sequence of random numbers to drive both systems. Since regenerative output analysis of the steady-state of a system requires that the process be regenerative, it is of interest to derive conditions under which the method of common random numbers yields a regenerative process. It is shown here that if the stochastic systems are positive recurrent Markov chains with countable state space, then the coupled system is necessarily regenerative; in fact, we allow couplings more general than those induced by common random numbers. An example is given which shows that the regenerative property can fail to hold in general state space, even if the individual systems are regenerative.     

Integral representation of generalized grey Brownian motion

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we investigate the representation of a class of non-Gaussian processes, namely generalized grey Brownian motion, in terms of a weighted integral of a stochastic process which is a solution of a certain stochastic differential equation. In particular, the underlying process can be seen as a non-Gaussian extension of the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, hence generalizing the representation results of Muravlev, Russian Math. Surveys 66 (2), 2011 as well as Harms and Stefanovits, Stochastic Process. Appl. 129, 2019 to the non-Gaussian case.     

Uniform dimension results of multi-parameter stable processes

The problem of uniform dimensions for multi-parameter processes, which may not possess the uniform stochastic Hölder condition, is investigated. The problem of uniform dimension for multi-parameter stable processes is solved. That is, ifZ is a stable (N,d, α)-process and αN ?d, then $\forall E \subseteq \mathbb{R}_ + ^N , \dim Z\left( E \right) = \alpha \cdot \dim E$ holds with probability 1, whereZ(E) = {x : ?t ∈E,Z _t =x} is the image set ofZ onE. The uniform upper bounds for multi-parameter processes with independent increments under general conditions are also given. Most conclusions about uniform dimension can be considered as special cases of our results.     

Nonparametric density estimation for nonmixing approximable Stochastic Processes

The author deals with nonparametric density estimation for stochastic processes which satisfy the L _∞-approximability property. He considers a Parzen–Rosenblatt estimator of the density for general stationary L _∞-approximable processes. He states conditions under which it is consistent and investigates its rate of convergence. Finally, he applies his results to general nonmixing linear processes and nonmixing nonlinear autoregressive processes.     

广义α-Stable过程的像集和图集的一致维数

研究了未必具有随机一致Holder条件的N指标d维广义α-stable过程的像集和图集的一致维数问题,并在一定条件下得到了N指标d维广义α-stable过程像集约一致Hausdorff维数和一致Packing维数的上、下界,图集的一致Hausdorff维数和一致Packing维数的上界,包含了多指标α-stable过程和广义布朗单相应的结果．     

Representations of general stochastic processes

In this paper we carry on our study [4] of the algebraic representations of general stochastic processes. We give methods for constructing the algebraic representation of a stochastic process from the distribution of the process at a fixed finite number of times, we develope some techniques of integration, and we introduce the notion of a fibre bundle representation of a stochastic process. We then use this fibre bundle representation to study existence, methods of computation and the geometry of Markov process representations of the general stochastic process; thus extending [4] where existence was only discussed for discrete time or simple stochastic processes.     

Stability analysis and stabilization of linear symmetric matrix-valued continuous,discrete, and impulsive dynamical systems — A unified approach for the stability analysis and the stabilization of linear systems

Matrix-valued dynamical systems are an important class of systems that can describe important processes such as covariance/second-order moment processes, or processes on manifolds and Lie Groups. We address here the case of processes that leave the cone of positive semidefinite matrices invariant, thereby including covariance and second-order moment processes. Both the continuous-time and the discrete-time cases are first considered. In the LTV case, the obtained stability and stabilization conditions are expressed as differential and difference Lyapunov conditions which are equivalent, in the LTI case, to some spectral conditions for the generators of the processes. Convex stabilization conditions are also obtained in both the continuous-time and the discrete-time setting. It is proven that systems with constant delays are stable provided that the systems with zero-delays are stable—which mirrors existing results for linear positive systems. The results are then extended and unified into an impulsive formulation for which similar results are obtained. The proposed framework is very general and can recover and/or extend many of the existing results in the literature on linear systems related to (mean-square) exponential (uniform) stability. Several examples are discussed to illustrate this claim by deriving stability conditions for stochastic systems driven by Brownian motion and Poissonian jumps, Markov jump systems, (stochastic) switched systems, (stochastic) impulsive systems, (stochastic) sampled-data systems, and all their possible combinations.     

Some time change representations of stable integrals, via predictable transformations of local martingales

From the predictable reduction of a marked point process to Poisson, we derive a similar reduction theorem for purely discontinuous martingales to processes with independent increments. Both results are then used to examine the existence of stochastic integrals with respect to stable Lévy processes, and to prove a variety of time change representations for such integrals. The Knight phenomenon, where possibly dependent but orthogonal processes become independent after individual time changes, emerges as a general principle.     

On non-stationary solutions to MSDDEs: Representations and the cointegration space

In this paper we study solutions to multivariate stochastic delay differential equations (MSDDEs) and their relation to the discrete-time cointegrated VAR model. In particular, we observe that an MSDDE can always be written in an error correction form and, under suitable conditions, we argue that a process with stationary increments is a solution to the MSDDE if and only if it admits a certain Granger type representation. A direct implication of these results is a complete characterization of the cointegration space. Finally, the relation between MSDDEs and invertible multivariate CARMA equations is used to introduce the cointegrated MCARMA processes.     

Study of Dependence for Some Stochastic Processes

Abstract

This article is concerned with studying the following problem: Consider a multivariate stochastic process whose law is characterized in terms of some infinitesimal characteristics, such as the infinitesimal generator in case of finite Markov chains. Under what conditions imposed on these infinitesimal characteristics of this multivariate process, the univariate components of the process agree in law with given univariate stochastic processes. Thus, in a sense, we study a stochastic processe' counterpart of the stochastic dependence problem, which in case of real valued random variables is solved in terms of Sklar's theorem.     

Asymptotic expansion formulas for functionals of ε-Markov processes with a mixing property

The ε-Markov process is a general model of stochastic processes which includes nonlinear time series models, diffusion processes with jumps, and many point processes. With a view to applications to the higher-order statistical inference, we will consider a functional of the ε-Markov process admitting a stochastic expansion. Arbitrary order asymptotic expansion of the distribution will be presented under a strong mixing condition. Applying these results, the third order asymptotic expansion of theM-estimator for a general stochastic process will be derived. The Malliavin calculus plays an essential role in this article. We illustrate how to make the Malliavin operator in several concrete examples. We will also show that the thirdorder expansion formula (Sakamoto and Yoshida (1998, ISM Cooperative Research Report, No. 107, 53–60; 1999, unpublished)) of the maximum likelihood estimator for a diffusion process can be obtained as an example of our result.     

一类多维参数高斯过程的弱逼近

本文研究了一类多维参数高斯过程的弱极限问题.在一般情况下,利用泊松过程得到了此类过程的弱极限定理,此多维参数高斯过程可表示为确定的核函数关于维纳过程的随机积分,且包含多维参数的分数布朗运动.     

Extremal behavior of regularly varying stochastic processes

We study a formulation of regular variation for multivariate stochastic processes on the unit interval with sample paths that are almost surely right-continuous with left limits and we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for such stochastic processes to be regularly varying. A version of the Continuous Mapping Theorem is proved that enables the derivation of the tail behavior of rather general mappings of the regularly varying stochastic process. For a wide class of Markov processes with increments satisfying a condition of weak dependence in the tails we obtain simplified sufficient conditions for regular variation. For such processes we show that the possible regular variation limit measures concentrate on step functions with one step, from which we conclude that the extremal behavior of such processes is due to one big jump or an extreme starting point. By combining this result with the Continuous Mapping Theorem, we are able to give explicit results on the tail behavior of various vectors of functionals acting on such processes. Finally, using the Continuous Mapping Theorem we derive the tail behavior of filtered regularly varying Lévy processes.     

One-armed bandit models with continuous and delayed responses

One-armed bandit processes with continuous delayed responses are formulated as controlled stochastic processes following the Bayesian approach. It is shown that under some regularity conditions, a Gittins-like index exists which is the limit of a monotonic sequence of break-even values characterizing optimal initial selections of arms for finite horizon bandit processes. Furthermore, there is an optimal stopping solution when all observations on the unknown arm are complete. Results are illustrated with a bandit model having exponentially distributed responses, in which case the controlled stochastic process becomes a Markov decision process, the Gittins-like index is the Gittins index and the Gittins index strategy is optimal. Acknowledgement.We thank an anonymous referee for constructive and insightful comments, especially those related to the notion of the Gittins index.Both authors are funded by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) of Canada.     

Multivariate stochastic delay differential equations and CAR representations of CARMA processes

In this study we show how to represent a continuous time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) as a higher order stochastic delay differential equation, which may be thought of as a CAR($\infty$) representation. Furthermore, we show how the CAR($\infty$) representation gives rise to a prediction formula for CARMA processes. To be used in the above mentioned results we develop a general theory for multivariate stochastic delay differential equations, which will be of independent interest, and which will have particular focus on existence, uniqueness and representations.     

Sampling and reconstruction for shift-invariant stochastic processes

In this paper, combining stochastic processes with shift-invariant spaces, we introduce shift-invariant stochastic processes. It is a general case of the classical band-limited stochastic processes and a kind of non-band-limited stochastic processes. Two sampling theorems are obtained for the shift-invariant stochastic processes. The results for band-limited stochastic processes and shift-invariant spaces are generalized by our new results.     

A note on scale functions and the time value of ruin for Lévy insurance risk processes

We examine discounted penalties at ruin for surplus dynamics driven by a general spectrally negative Lévy process; the natural class of stochastic processes which contains many examples of risk processes which have already been considered in the existing literature. Following from the important contributions of [Zhou, X., 2005. On a classical risk model with a constant dividend barrier. North Am. Act. J. 95-108] we provide an explicit characterization of a generalized version of the Gerber-Shiu function in terms of scale functions, streamlining and extending results available in the literature.