The thermodynamic limit of polygonal models

We discuss the basic models of polygonal Markov fields with a two-dimensional continuous parameter % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+-% feaafiart1ev1aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn% hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr% 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq-Jc9% vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0-yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr-x% fr-xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaGaamiEaiabgI% GioNWaajaadsfaoiabgkOimlabl2riHoaaCaaabeqaaiaaikdaaaaa% aa!3DEB!\[x \in T \subset \mathbb{R}^2 \], which were introduced by Arak and studied later by Arak and surgailis. There are two types of polygonal models, either with a given initial distribution of the lines or of the points (vertices) of a random polygonal graph. The main result of this paper is proof of the existence of a thermodynamic limit (as % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+-% feaafiart1ev1aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn% hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr% 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq-Jc9% vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0-yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr-x% fr-xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbiqaaW2ajmaqca% WGubacciqceaQae8xKH0QdcqWIDesOdaahaaqabeaacaaIYaaaaaaa% !3C7D!\[T \uparrow \mathbb{R}^2 \]) for a class of polygonal models with a small contour length'. It is based on the study of Kirkwood-Salzburg-type equations for the correlation functions. We also discuss some examples of consistent polygonal models for which the existence of the thermodynamic limit is trivial.     

Explosion,implosion, and moments of passage times for continuous-time Markov chains: A semimartingale approach

We establish general theorems quantifying the notion of recurrence–through an estimation of the moments of passage times–for irreducible continuous-time Markov chains on countably infinite state spaces. Sharp conditions of occurrence of the phenomenon of explosion are also obtained. A new phenomenon of implosion is introduced and sharp conditions for its occurrence are proven. The general results are illustrated by treating models having a difficult behaviour even in discrete time.     

Tempered stable laws as random walk limits

Stable laws can be tempered by modifying the Lévy measure to cool the probability of large jumps. Tempered stable laws retain their signature power law behavior at infinity, and infinite divisibility. This paper develops random walk models that converge to a tempered stable law under a triangular array scheme. Since tempered stable laws and processes are useful in statistical physics, these random walk models can provide a basic physical model for the underlying physical phenomena.     

Coupling and strong Feller for jump processes on Banach spaces

By using lower bound conditions of the Lévy measure w.r.t. a nice reference measure, the coupling and strong Feller properties are investigated for the Markov semigroup associated with a class of linear SDEs driven by (non-cylindrical) Lévy processes on a Banach space. Unlike in the finite-dimensional case where these properties have also been confirmed for Lévy processes without drift, in the infinite-dimensional setting the appearance of a drift term is essential to ensure the quasi-invariance of the process by shifting the initial data. Gradient estimates and exponential convergence are also investigated. The main results are illustrated by specific models on the Wiener space and separable Hilbert spaces.     

Interacting Fisher–Wright diffusions in a catalytic medium

We study the longtime behaviour of interacting systems in a randomly fluctuating (space–time) medium and focus on models from population genetics. There are two prototypes of spatial models in population genetics: spatial branching processes and interacting Fisher–Wright diffusions. Quite a bit is known on spatial branching processes where the local branching rate is proportional to a random environment (catalytic medium). Here we introduce a model of interacting Fisher–Wright diffusions where the local resampling rate (or genetic drift) is proportional to a catalytic medium. For a particular choice of the medium, we investigate the longtime behaviour in the case of nearest neighbour migration on the d-dimensional lattice. While in classical homogeneous systems the longtime behaviour exhibits a dichotomy along the transience/recurrence properties of the migration, now a more complicated behaviour arises. It turns out that resampling models in catalytic media show phenomena that are new even compared with branching in catalytic medium. Received: 15 November 1999 / Revised version: 16 June 2000 / Published online: 6 April 2001     

Tempered stable distributions and processes

We investigate the class of tempered stable distributions and their associated processes. Our analysis of tempered stable distributions includes limit distributions, parameter estimation and the study of their densities. Regarding tempered stable processes, we deal with density transformations and compute their p$p$-variation indices. Exponential stock models driven by tempered stable processes are discussed as well.     

Spatio-temporal stationary covariance models

Stationary covariance functions that model space-time interactions are in great demand. The goal of this paper is to introduce and develop new spatio-temporal stationary covariance models. Integral representations for covariance functions with certain properties, such as α-symmetry in the spatial lag, are established. Mixture models are proposed through purely spatial and temporal covariance functions.     

Two-time-scale Jump-Diffusion Models with Markovian Switching Regimes

This work is concerned with two-time-scale jump diffusion models modulated by continuous-time Markov chains. One of our motivations stems from generalization of insurance risk models. The models are hybrid in the sense that they involve both continuous dynamics and discrete events. Two cases are considered. One of them has a fast-varying switching process, and the other contains a rapidly fluctuating diffusion. Two-time scale is used for complexity reduction. Using weak convergence methods, we derive their limit processes. The insight and implication provided by the analysis are: to reduce the complexity, one can ignore the detailed variations and concentrate on the limit or the reduced models.     

Dependence orderings for some functionals of multivariate point processes

We study dependence orderings for functionals of k-variate point processes Φ and Ψ. We view the first process as a collection of counting measures, whereas the second as the sequences of interpoint distances. Subsequently, we establish regularity properties of stationary sequences which generalize known results for iid case. The theoretical results are illustrated by many special cases including comparison of multivariate sums and products, comparison of multivariate shock models and queueing systems.     

Sharp critical behavior for pinning models in a random correlated environment

This article investigates the effect for random pinning models of long range power-law decaying correlations in the environment. For a particular type of environment based on a renewal construction, we are able to sharply describe the phase transition from the delocalized phase to the localized one, giving the critical exponent for the (quenched) free-energy, and proving that at the critical point the trajectories are fully delocalized. These results contrast with what happens both for the pure model (i.e., without disorder) and for the widely studied case of i.i.d. disorder, where the relevance or irrelevance of disorder on the critical properties is decided via the so-called Harris Criterion (Harris, 1974) [21].     

Limit distributions of least squares estimators in linear regression models with vague concepts

Linear regression models with vague concepts extend the classical single equation linear regression models by admitting observations in form of fuzzy subsets instead of real numbers. They have lately been introduced (cf. [V. Krätschmer, Induktive Statistik auf Basis unscharfer Meßkonzepte am Beispiel linearer Regressionsmodelle, unpublished postdoctoral thesis, Faculty of Law and Economics of the University of Saarland, Saarbrücken, 2001; V. Krätschmer, Least squares estimation in linear regression models with vague concepts, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, accepted for publication]) to improve the empirical meaningfulness of the relationships between the involved items by a more sensitive attention to the problems of data measurement, in particular, the fundamental problem of adequacy. The parameters of such models are still real numbers, and a method of estimation can be applied which extends directly the ordinary least squares method. In another recent contribution (cf. [V. Krätschmer, Strong consistency of least squares estimation in linear regression models with vague concepts, J. Multivar. Anal., accepted for publication]) strong consistency and -consistency of this generalized least squares estimation have been shown. The aim of the paper is to complete these results by an investigation of the limit distributions of the estimators. It turns out that the classical results can be transferred, in some cases even asymptotic normality holds.     

Explicit solutions to quadratic BSDEs and applications to utility maximization in multivariate affine stochastic volatility models

Over the past few years quadratic Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) have been a popular field of research. However there are only very few examples where explicit solutions for these equations are known. In this paper we consider a class of quadratic BSDEs involving affine processes and show that their solution can be reduced to solving a system of generalized Riccati ordinary differential equations. In other words we introduce a rich and flexible class of quadratic BSDEs which are analytically tractable, i.e. explicit up to the solution of an ODE. Our results also provide analytically tractable solutions to the problem of utility maximization and indifference pricing in multivariate affine stochastic volatility models. This generalizes univariate results of Kallsen and Muhle-Karbe (2010) and some results in the multivariate setting of Leippold and Trojani (2010) by establishing the full picture in the multivariate affine jump-diffusion setting. In particular we calculate the interesting quantity of the power utility indifference value of change of numeraire. Explicit examples in the Heston, Barndorff-Nielsen–Shephard and multivariate Heston setting are calculated.     

Large systems of diffusions interacting through their ranks

We study the limiting behavior of the empirical measure of a system of diffusions interacting through their ranks when the number of diffusions tends to infinity. We prove that under certain assumptions the limiting dynamics is given by a McKean–Vlasov evolution equation. Moreover, we show that the evolution of the cumulative distribution function under the limiting dynamics is governed by the generalized porous medium equation with convection. The implications of the results for rank-based models of capital distributions in financial markets are also explained.     

Bilateral gamma distributions and processes in financial mathematics

We present a class of Lévy processes for modelling financial market fluctuations: bilateral Gamma processes. Our starting point is to explore the properties of bilateral Gamma distributions, and then we turn to their associated Lévy processes. We treat exponential Lévy stock models with an underlying bilateral Gamma process as well as term structure models driven by bilateral Gamma processes, and apply our results to a set of real financial data (DAX 1996–1998).     

Optimal consumption, investment and insurance with insurable risk for an investor in a Lévy market

Numerous researchers have applied the martingale approach for models driven by Lévy processes to study optimal investment problems. The aim of this paper is to apply the martingale approach to obtain a closed form solution for the optimal investment, consumption and insurance strategies of an individual in the presence of an insurable risk when the insurable risk and risky asset returns are described by Lévy processes and the utility is a constant absolute risk aversion (CARA). The model developed in this paper can potentially be applied to absorb large insurable losses in the absence of insurance protection and to examine the level of diminishing current utility and consumption.     

On Pickands coordinates in arbitrary dimensions

Pickands coordinates were introduced as a crucial tool for the investigation of bivariate extreme value models. We extend their definition to arbitrary dimensions and, thus, we can generalize many known results for bivariate extreme value and generalized Pareto models to higher dimensions and arbitrary extreme value margins.In particular we characterize multivariate generalized Pareto distributions (GPs) and spectral δ-neighborhoods of GPs in terms of best attainable rates of convergence of extremes, which are well-known results in the univariate case. A sufficient univariate condition for a multivariate distribution function (df) to belong to the domain of attraction of an extreme value df is derived. Bounds for the variational distance in peaks-over-threshold models are established, which are based on Pickands coordinates.     

A renewal jump-diffusion process with threshold dividend strategy

In this paper, we consider a jump-diffusion risk process with the threshold dividend strategy. Both the distributions of the inter-arrival times and the claims are assumed to be in the class of phase-type distributions. The expected discounted dividend function and the Laplace transform of the ruin time are discussed. Motivated by Asmussen [S. Asmussen, Stationary distributions for fluid flow models with or without Brownian noise, Stochastic Models 11 (1) (1995) 21–49], instead of studying the original process, we study the constructed fluid flow process and their closed-form formulas are obtained in terms of matrix expression. Finally, numerical results are provided to illustrate the computation.     

Long time asymptotics for constrained diffusions in polyhedral domains

We study long time asymptotic properties of constrained diffusions that arise in the heavy traffic analysis of multiclass queueing networks. We first consider the classical diffusion model with constant coefficients, namely a semimartingale reflecting Brownian motion (SRBM) in a d$d$-dimensional positive orthant. Under a natural stability condition on a related deterministic dynamical system [P. Dupuis, R.J. Williams, Lyapunov functions for semimartingale reflecting brownian motions, Annals of Probability 22 (2) (1994) 680–702] showed that an SRBM is ergodic. We strengthen this result by establishing geometric ergodicity for the process. As consequences of geometric ergodicity we obtain finiteness of the moment generating function of the invariant measure in a neighborhood of zero, uniform time estimates for polynomial moments of all orders, and functional central limit results. Similar long time properties are obtained for a broad family of constrained diffusion models with state dependent coefficients under a natural condition on the drift vector field. Such models arise from heavy traffic analysis of queueing networks with state dependent arrival and service rates.     

Equilibrium fluctuations of Gradient reversible particle systems

Summary The Boltzmann-Gibbs principle is known to be crucial in the study of the fluctuations of interacting particle systems. A new method is proposed in this paper which confirms this principle for models with gradient reversible dynamics in equilibrium. The method is simpler and can be applied to more general models than the conventional one which is developed by Brox et al. To illustrate the idea in more detail, we study the weakly asymmetric simple exclusion process of which the jump rates are slowly varying. As a consequence of the Boltzmann-Gibbs principle, the limit of the density fluctuation fields is identified as a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Finally, the extension to models with long range interactions is briefly discussed.