Fuzzy adaptive network in presidential elections

Several scientific forecasting models for presidential elections have been suggested. However, most of these models are based on traditional statistics approaches. Since the system is linguistic, vague, and dynamic in nature, the traditional rigorous mathematical approaches are inappropriate for the modeling of this kind of humanistic system. This paper presents a combined neural fuzzy approach, namely a fuzzy adaptive network, to model and forecast the problem of a presidential election. The fuzzy adaptive network, which is ideally suited for the modeling of vaguely defined humanistic systems, combines the advantages of the representation ability of fuzzy sets and the learning ability of a neural network. To illustrate the approach, experiments were carried out by first formulating the problem, then training the network, and, finally, predicting the election results based on the trained network. The experimental results show that a fuzzy adaptive network is an ideal approach for the modeling and forecasting of national presidential elections.     

Modelling credit rating by fuzzy adaptive network

Human judgment plays an important role in the rating of enterprise financial conditions. The recently developed fuzzy adaptive network (FAN), which can handle systems whose behaviour is influenced by human judgment, appears to be ideally suited for the modelling of this credit rating problem. In this paper, FAN is used to model the credit rating of small financial enterprises. To illustrate the approach, the data of the credit rating problem is first represented by the use of fuzzy numbers. Then, the FAN network based on inference rules is constructed. And finally, the network is trained or learned by using the fuzzy number training data. The main advantages of the proposed network are the ability for linguistic representation, linguistic aggregation and the learning ability of the neural network.     

基于粒子群的模糊神经网络的短时交通流量组合预测

为了进一步提高短时交通流量预测的精度,提出了一种粒子群算法的模糊神经网络组合预测模型,模糊神经网络融合了神经网络的学习机制和模糊系统的语言推理能力等优点,弥补各自不足,将自回归求和滑动平均(ARIMA)和灰色Verhulst模型进行初步预测,并将两种初步预测的结果作为模糊神经网络的输入,构建基于改进模神经网络的组合预测模型,在此基础上进行训练和预测,其中模糊神经网络的相关参数由改进粒子群来优化,利用本方法来对南京市汉中路短时交通流量进行预测,结论表明:方法充分发挥了单一模型的优势,比单一的预测模型更加精确,是短时交通流量预测的一个有效方法。     

基于GA-BP的模糊神经网络控制器与Elman辨识器的系统设计

提出了一种基于神经网络的模糊控制系统 ,该系统由模糊神经网络控制器和模型辨识网络组成 .文中介绍了模糊神经网络控制器采用遗传算法离线优化与 BP算法在线调整 ,给出了具体控制算法 ,推导了变形 Elmam网络的系统辨识算法 .仿真结果表明了此法的可行性和有效性 .     

不确定对象的自学习模糊神经网络控制方法

本文对具有不确定性控制对象提出了一种自学习模糊神经网络控制方法，模糊控制器采用误差，误差变化及误差加速度的加权和解析描述形式，利用人工神经网络直接对过程的建模，实现对模糊加权因子的自学习优化调整。将上述方法用于焊接熔池动态过程控制实实验，结果表明本文提出的自学习模糊神经网络控制方案有效。     

Fuzzified neural network based on fuzzy number operations

The fuzzified neural network based on fuzzy number operations is presented as a powerful modelling tool here. We systematically introduce ideas and concepts of a novel neural network based on fuzzy number operations. First we suggest how to compute the results of addition, subtraction, multiplication and division for two fuzzy numbers. Second we propose a learning algorithm, and present some ideas about the choice of fuzzy weights and fuzzy biases and a numerical scheme for the calculation of outputs of the fuzzified neural network. Finally, we show some results of computer simulations.     

A neural fuzzy control system with structure and parameter learning

A general connectionist model, called neural fuzzy control network (NFCN), is proposed for the realization of a fuzzy logic control system. The proposed NFCN is a feedforward multilayered network which integrates the basic elements and functions of a traditional fuzzy logic controller into a connectionist structure which has distributed learning abilities. The NFCN can be constructed from supervised training examples by machine learning techniques, and the connectionist structure can be trained to develop fuzzy logic rules and find membership functions. Associated with the NFCN is a two-phase hybrid learning algorithm which utilizes unsupervised learning schemes for structure learning and the backpropagation learning scheme for parameter learning. By combining both unsupervised and supervised learning schemes, the learning speed converges much faster than the original backpropagation algorithm. The two-phase hybrid learning algorithm requires exact supervised training data for learning. In some real-time applications, exact training data may be expensive or even impossible to obtain. To solve this problem, a reinforcement neural fuzzy control network (RNFCN) is further proposed. The RNFCN is constructed by integrating two NFCNs, one functioning as a fuzzy predictor and the other as a fuzzy controller. By combining a proposed on-line supervised structure-parameter learning technique, the temporal difference prediction method, and the stochastic exploratory algorithm, a reinforcement learning algorithm is proposed, which can construct a RNFCN automatically and dynamically through a reward-penalty signal (i.e., “good” or “bad” signal). Two examples are presented to illustrate the performance and applicability of the proposed models and learning algorithms.     

Self-organizing adaptive wavelet CMAC backstepping control system design for nonlinear chaotic systems

A novel self-organizing wavelet cerebellar model articulation controller (CMAC) is proposed. This self-organizing wavelet CMAC (SOWC) can be viewed as a generalization of a self-organizing neural network and of a conventional CMAC, and it has better generalizing, faster learning and faster recall than a self-organizing neural network and a conventional CMAC. The proposed SOWC has the advantages of structure learning and parameter learning simultaneously. The structure learning possesses the ability of on-line generation and elimination of layers to achieve optimal wavelet CMAC structure, and the parameter learning can adjust the interconnection weights of wavelet CMAC to achieve favorable approximation performance. Then a SOWC backstepping (SOWCB) control system is proposed for the nonlinear chaotic systems. This SOWCB control system is composed of a SOWC and a fuzzy compensator. The SOWC is used to mimic an ideal backstepping controller and the fuzzy compensator is designed to dispel the residual of approximation errors between the ideal backstepping controller and the SOWC. Moreover, the parameters of the SAWCB control system are on-line tuned by the derived adaptive laws in the Lyapunov sense, so that the stability of the feedback control system can be guaranteed. Finally, two application examples, a Duffing–Holmes chaotic system and a gyro chaotic system, are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed control method. The simulation results show that the proposed SAWCB control system can achieve favorable control performance and has better tracking performance than a fuzzy neural network control system and a conventional adaptive CMAC.     

Implementing fuzzy logic controllers using a neural network framework

We describe a system for implementing fuzzy logic controllers using a neural network. A significant aspect of this system is that the linguistic values associated with the fuzzy control rules can be general concave continuous fuzzy subsets. By using structures suggested by the fuzzy logic framework, we simplify the learning requirements. On the other hand the adaptive aspect of the neural framework allows for the necessary learning.     

Reinforcement learning in neurofuzzy traffic signal control

A fuzzy traffic signal controller uses simple “if–then” rules which involve linguistic concepts such as medium or long, presented as membership functions. In neurofuzzy traffic signal control, a neural network adjusts the fuzzy controller by fine-tuning the form and location of the membership functions. The learning algorithm of the neural network is reinforcement learning, which gives credit for successful system behavior and punishes for poor behavior; those actions that led to success tend to be chosen more often in the future. The objective of the learning is to minimize the vehicular delay caused by the signal control policy. In simulation experiments, the learning algorithm is found successful at constant traffic volumes: the new membership functions produce smaller vehicular delay than the initial membership functions.     

Real-time stable self-learning FNN controller using genetic algorithm

A kind of real-time stable self-learning fuzzy neural network (FNN) control system is proposed in this paper. The control system is composed of two parts: (1) A FNN controller which use genetic algorithm (GA) to search optimal fuzzy rules and membership functions for the unknown controlled plant; (2) A supervisor which can guarantee the stability of the control system during the real-time learning stage, since the GA has some random property which may cause control system unstable. The approach proposed in this paper combine a priori knowledge of designer and the learning ability of FNN to achieve optimal fuzzy control for an unknown plant in real-time. The efficiency of the approach is verified by computer simulation.     

Neuro-fuzzy based constraint programming

Constraint programming models appear in many sciences including mathematics, engineering and physics. These problems aim at optimizing a cost function joint with some constraints. Fuzzy constraint programming has been developed for treating uncertainty in the setting of optimization problems with vague constraints. In this paper, a new method is presented into creation fuzzy concept for set of constraints. Unlike to existing methods, instead of constraints with fuzzy inequalities or fuzzy coefficients or fuzzy numbers, vague nature of constraints set is modeled using learning scheme with adaptive neural-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). In the proposed approach, constraints are not limited to differentiability, continuity, linearity; also the importance degree of each constraint can be easily applied. Unsatisfaction of each weighted constraint reduces membership of certainty for set of constraints. Monte-Carlo simulations are used for generating feature vector samples and outputs for construction of necessary data for ANFIS. The experimental results show the ability of the proposed approach for modeling constrains and solving parametric programming problems.     

Evaluation of fuzzy regression models by fuzzy neural network

In this paper, a novel hybrid method based on fuzzy neural network for approximate fuzzy coefficients (parameters) of fuzzy linear and nonlinear regression models with fuzzy output and crisp inputs, is presented. Here a neural network is considered as a part of a large field called neural computing or soft computing. Moreover, in order to find the approximate parameters, a simple algorithm from the cost function of the fuzzy neural network is proposed. Finally, we illustrate our approach by some numerical examples.     

Fuzzy polynomial regression with fuzzy neural networks

Recently, fuzzy linear regression is considered by Mosleh et al. [1]. In this paper, a novel hybrid method based on fuzzy neural network for approximate fuzzy coefficients (parameters) of fuzzy polynomial regression models with fuzzy output and crisp inputs, is presented. Here a neural network is considered as a part of a large field called neural computing or soft computing. Moreover, in order to find the approximate parameters, a simple algorithm from the cost function of the fuzzy neural network is proposed. Finally, we illustrate our approach by some numerical examples.     

偏最小二乘回归的贝叶斯正则化神经网络集成模型在证券分析预测中的应用

神经网络集成技术能有效地提高神经网络的预测精度和泛化能力,已经成为机器学习和神经计算领域的一个研究热点.利用Bagging技术和不同的神经网络算法生成集成个体,并用偏最小二乘回归方法从中提取集成因子,再利用贝叶斯正则化神经网络对其集成,以此建立上证指数预测模型.通过上证指数开、收盘价进行实例分析,计算结果表明该方法预测精度高、稳定性好.     

模糊RBF神经网络在音频零水印中的应用

针对当前零水印不能"嵌入"有意义水印的不足,构建了在小波域中基于神经网络的零水印系统,提出了一种基于模糊RBF神经网络的音频零水印方案,有效解决了音频水印的鲁棒性与透明性之间的矛盾.模糊神经网络模糊系统的隶属度函数和推理规则决定RBF神经网络的结构和学习算法.因为水印方案不改变原始音频数据,所以具有良好的透明性,实验结果表明,方案具有很强的鲁棒性.     

Universality of deep convolutional neural networks

Deep learning has been widely applied and brought breakthroughs in speech recognition, computer vision, and many other domains. Deep neural network architectures and computational issues have been well studied in machine learning. But there lacks a theoretical foundation for understanding the approximation or generalization ability of deep learning methods generated by the network architectures such as deep convolutional neural networks. Here we show that a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) is universal, meaning that it can be used to approximate any continuous function to an arbitrary accuracy when the depth of the neural network is large enough. This answers an open question in learning theory. Our quantitative estimate, given tightly in terms of the number of free parameters to be computed, verifies the efficiency of deep CNNs in dealing with large dimensional data. Our study also demonstrates the role of convolutions in deep CNNs.     

三级倒立摆的T-S型前馈补偿模糊神经网络控制

为解决T akag i-Sugeno型模糊神经网络在控制多变量系统时的规则组合爆炸问题,提出一种误差前馈补偿的模糊神经网络控制方案,有效实现了三级倒立摆的稳定控制。该控制方案适用对状态变量可按性质和重要程度划分的多变量系统的控制,大大减少了模糊神经网络控制器的规则数,有利于利用专家的控制经验,具有良好的鲁棒性和非线性适应能力。     

An architecture of fuzzy neural networks for linguistic processing

Fuzzy sets have been used successfully in order to deal with imprecise data, linguistic terms or not well-defined concepts. Recently, considerable effort has been made in the direction of combining the neural network approach with fuzzy sets. In this paper a fuzzy feed-forward neural network, able to process trapezoidal fuzzy sets, has been investigated. Normalized trapezoidal fuzzy sets have been considered. The fuzzy generalized delta rule with different back-propagation algorithms is discussed. The more interesting and characteristic property of the proposed architecture is the ability of each node to process fuzzy sets or linguistic terms, preserving the simplicity of the back-propagation algorithm. Consequently, the resulting architecture is able to cope with problems in which the input parameters and the desired targets are described by linguistic terms. This methodology has the further interesting characteristic of being able to operate at the linguistic level rather than at the numerical level, that is it can work at a higher data abstraction level. An example in computerized electrocardiography will be illustrated in order to test the proposed approach.     

一种基于神经元的自适应模糊推理网络

本文根据Ｔ－Ｓ模糊模型提出了一种新的基于神经元的自适应模糊推理网络，给出了连接结构和学习算法，它能自动学习和修正隶属函数及模糊规则，将其用于Ｂｏｘ的煤气炉，太阳黑子预报以及降雨量预报等不同类型的复杂系统建模，仿真结果表明，该模糊神经网络具有收敛速度快，辨识精度高，泛化能力强和适应范围广等特点，可当作复杂系统建模的一种有效工具。