迭代反褶积算法

本文利用条件期望的性质，导出了迭代反褶积算法模型，并给出参数λ的极大似然估计，算例表明该算法是有效的。     

BurrTypeXⅡ分布的统计推断

该文讨论了两参数BurrTypeXⅡ分布基于逐次定数截尾样本的参数估计，导出了有关参数的点估计和区间估计．我们利用模拟方法对所给点估计和参数的最大似然估计作了比较，模拟结果显示所给点估计优于常用的最大似然估计．最后，用一个实际例子说明本文所给方法．     

非时齐Poisson过程MLE的重对数律

在时间区间（０，Ｔ）上，我们观察到Ｘ（Ｔ）＝（Ｘ（ｔ，θ）０≤ｔ≤Ｔ），其中θ∈⊙为参数，且未知，Ｋｕｔｏｙａｎｔｓ讨论了非时齐过程参数θ的最大似然估计（ＭＬＥ）的性质，他给出了极限分布，并且得到了弱收敛及矩收敛等结果，但他要求参数空间为有限区间（α，β）。本文讨论了非时齐Ｐｏｉｓｓｏｎ过程ＭＬＥ的性质，我们允许参数空间随时间而不渐增大，即θｔ是θ在Ｔ＝（α，βＴ）上的最大似然估计，其中ｌｉｍβＴ     

线性约束下异方差回归模型参数的极大似然估计

运用参数的极大似然估计法,给出在线性约束条件Hβ=C下异方差回归模型参数β和λ的极大似然估计,并讨论了估计参数的性质和模型的残差.利用得到的结论对线性约束下异方差回归模型的进一步研究和应用具有一定的理论和实际价值.     

离散抽样Gamma-OU过程的参数估计

平稳Gamma-OU过程是用于刻画金融资产波动的一类重要模型. 本文主要考虑基于离散观察的Gamma-OU过程的参数估计. 文中给出了强度参数λ的估计量及其收敛性，模拟显示这一估计是相当准确的. 在假设参数λ已被估计出来的条件下, 又研究了形状参数c和尺度参数α的最大似然估计, 其中关于这两个参数的似然函数是难于计算的. 通过Gaver-Stehfest算法, 我们构造了一个似然函数的具体估计序列, 它收敛于真实(但未知）的似然函数. 最大化这一序列可以得到收敛于真实最大似然估计的一列估计量, 并且这一估计序列具有与最大似然估计相同的收敛性. 模拟显示在大多数有关波动率的实际背景下, 我们的方法是非常准确的.     

Dirichlet级数构成的拓扑线性空间和H￣p空间

本文研究了由Ｄｉｒｉｃｈｌｅｔ级数ｆ（ｓ）＝∑∞ｎ＝０ａｎｅ－λｎｓ所构成的拓扑线性空间，并讨论了与其对应的Ｈｐ空间的一些性质，其中０＝λ０＜λｎ↑＋∞，ｌｉｍｎ→∞ｌｏｇｎλｎ＝０，ｌｉｍｎ→∞ｌｏｇ｜ａｎ｜λｎ≤０，ｓ＝σ＋ｉｔ．     

Burr Type Ⅻ分布的统计推断

该文讨论了两参数Burr Type Ⅻ分布基于逐次定数截尾样本的参数估计,导出了有关参数的点估计和区间估计.我们利用模拟方法对所给点估计和参数的最大似然估计作了比较,模拟结果显示所给点估计优于常用的最大似然估计.最后,用一个实际例子说明本文所给方法.     

Burr Type XII 分布的统计推断

该文讨论了两参数 Burr Type XII 分布基于逐次定数截尾样本的参数估计, 导出了有关参数的点估计和区间估计. 我们利用模拟方法对所给点估计和参数的最大似然估计作了比较, 模拟结果显示所给点估计优于常用的最大似然估计. 最后, 用一个实际例子说明本文所给方法.     

相依序列密度函数的经验似然推断

本文利用了强平稳$m-$相依序列的特殊性质,讨论了$m-$相依序列密度函数的经验似然推断, 给出了似然比统计量的极限分布,可构造参数的经验似然置信区间. 并且通过模拟计算来说明有限样本下应用经验似然方法的合理性.     

广义Lorenz 曲线的非参数统计推断

本文讨论了广义Lorenz 曲线的经验似然统计推断. 在简单随机抽样、分层随机抽样和整群随机抽样下, 本文分别定义了广义Lorenz 坐标的pro le 经验似然比统计量, 得出这些经验似然比的极限分布为带系数的自由度为1 的χ² 分布. 对于整个Lorenz 曲线, 基于经验似然方法类似地得出相应的极限过程. 根据所得的经验似然理论, 本文给出了bootstrap 经验似然置信区间构造方法, 并通过数据模拟, 对新给出的广义Lorenz 坐标的bootstrap 经验似然置信区间与渐近正态置信区间以及bootstrap 置信区间等进行了对比研究. 对整个Lorenz 曲线, 基于经验似然方法对其置信域也进行了模拟研究. 最后我们将所推荐的置信区间应用到实例中.     

跳扩散模型下一种创新的重置期权定价

首先在风险中性测度下建立股票价格的跳过程为Poisson过程,跳跃高度服从对数正态分布时股票价格的随机微分方程,利用期权定价的鞅方法推导得到了欧式重置看涨期权的价格以及一种创新的重置看涨期权的定价公式．最后给出了一个数值计算的例子,说明了创新的重置看涨期权价格要大于或等于传统的重置看涨期权和欧式看涨期权价格,并从理论上进行解释．     

不确定三重交替更新过程

在更新过程中,交替更新过程是常见的重要的过程之一.本文首先介绍不确定三重交替更新过程,其中间隔时间都是不确定变量.然后证明了关于平均工作率的极限值的不确定三重交替更新过程定理.最后给出了一个实际应用例子.     

Optimum replacement policies for systems subject to shocks

Summary: A system experiences a shock of magnitude γ _i at time τ _i . Each shock deteriorate system to some extent and due to the decrease in efficiency, the system becomes more expensive to run. Assuming that the shock process is a general birth process and the cost structure depends on the magnitude of the shocks and time, the optimum replacement period of the system has been derived Optimum replacement periods for particular cases of general birth process are discussed in detail with suitable examples.     

MULTIVARIATE SURVIVAL DISTRIBUTIONS OF AGE AND RESIDUAL LIFETIME PROCESSES IN NONHOMOGENEOUS POISSON PROCESS

Let{N(t),t≥0} be the nonhomogeneous Poisson process with cumulative intensity parameter Λ(t),{δt,t≥0} the age process,and {yi,t≥0) the residual lifetime process.In the present paper the expressions of n-dimensional survival distribution functions of the processes{δi} and {yi}, and their Lebesgue decompositions are derived.     

Mathematical modeling and process simulation of perlite grain expansion in a vertical electrical furnace

Expanded perlite is a lightweight material with remarkable thermal and acoustic insulation properties, rendering it widely useful in the construction and manufacturing industries. Currently applied perlite expansion technology suffers numerous technical disadvantages, which adversely affect product quality and limit the range of its applications. To overcome these established drawbacks, a new perlite expansion process has been designed on the basis of a vertical electrically heated expansion furnace. The novel furnace enables precise control of experimental conditions, in order to allow for efficient adjustment of particle residence time and internal temperature. The quality of expanded perlite strongly depends on raw material thermophysical properties as well as furnace operating conditions, and the experimental investigation of the isolated effect of each parameter on expanded product quality is technically cumbersome and extremely time-consuming and expensive.A mathematical model for perlite grain expansion has been developed in order to perform a detailed numerical investigation of process efficiency, toward the optimization of the expansion process in the novel pilot-scale furnace. The dynamic model consists of ordinary differential equations for both air and particle heat and momentum balances, as well as nonlinear algebraic equations for both air and perlite melt thermophysical and transport properties, probing the air temperature distribution within the vertical electrical furnace as well as the particle velocity, temperature and size along its trajectory inside the heating chamber. The effect of raw material physical properties (raw feed origin, initial particle size, effective water content) as well as operating parameters (air inlet temperature and flowrate, furnace wall temperature) on evolution of the particle state variables is presented and discussed. Model results indicate perlite expansion is strongly affected by raw ore feed origin, size and water content. Moreover, operating conditions affect expansion considerably, and furnace wall temperature has the strongest effect on the final particle expansion ratio attained. The new dynamic model is instrumental towards achieving a detailed comprehension of perlite expansion in the vertical electrical furnace towards multi-parametric sensitivity analysis, process optimization and efficient control.     

A retrial model in a nonstationary regime

Summary In this article we analyze a retrial queuing system where customers in the orbit join a queue with FCFS discipline. We adopt a nonstationary regime. We derive some probabilities using the theory of semiregenerative processes. We obtain an integral estimation for the difference between blocking probabilities in stationary and nonstationary regimes.     

A queue with a pair of instantaneous independent bernoulli feedback processes

In this paper we are concerned with several random processes that occur in M/G₂/l queue with instantaneous feedback in which the feedback decision process is a pair of independent Bernoulli processes. The stationary distribution of the output process has been obtained. Results for particular queues with feedback and without feedback are obtained. Some operating characteristics are derived for this queue. Some interesting results are obtained for departure processes. Optimum service rate is obtained. Numerical examples are provided to test the feasibility of the queueing model     

Markov renewal queues of M/M(a,d)/l/(b,n) system-part i

This paper discusses a general bulk service queue which falls into the Markov renewal class. Applying an analysis similar to the one by Hunter (1983) for M/M1/N type of feedback queues, certain properties of discrete and continuous time queue length processe are studied here. The results and formulas are then applied to a numerical illustration.     

Switching stochastic models and applications in retrial queues

Some special classes of Switching Processes such as Recurrent Processes of a Semi-Markov type and Processes with Semi-Markov Switches are introduced. Limit theorems of Averaging Principle and Diffusion Approximation types are given. Applications to the asymptotic analysis of overloading state-dependent Markov and semi-Markov queueing modelsM _SM,Q /M _SM,Q /1/∞ and retrial queueing systemsM/G/1/w.r in transient conditions are studied. The paper was supported by INTAS Project 96-0828     

两不同部件串联可修系统的可用度的一个新的计算方法

本用直接解一组不含时间t的一阶线性偏微分积方程而得到两不同部件可修系统的可用度。