具有相依利息率的离散时间保险风险模型的破产问题

进一步研究离散时间保险风险模型，在利率具有一阶自回归结构的情况下，得到了描述破产严重程度的破产前一时刻的盈余分布与破产持续时间的分布的递推公式．     

Sojourn time analysis of a two-phase queueing system with exhaustive batch-service and its vacation model

We consider an M/G/1-type, two-phase queueing system, in which the two phases in series are attended alternatively and exhaustively by a moving single-server according to a batch-service in the first phase and an individual service in the second phase. We show that the two-phase queueing system reduces to a new type of single-vacation model with non-exhaustive service. Using a double transform for the joint distribution of the queue length in each phase and the remaining service time, we derive Laplace-Stieltjes transforms for the sojourn time in each phase and the total sojourn time in the system. Furthermore, we provide the moment formula of sojourn times and numerical examples of an approximate density function of the total sojourn time.     

A discrete time optimal control model with uncertainty for dynamic machine allocation problem and its application to manufacturing and construction industries

This paper proposed a discrete time optimal control model in which machine failure time is modeled assuming a Weibull distribution and machine productivity is regarded as a fuzzy variable for dealing with a dynamic machine allocation problem (DMAP) in manufacturing and construction industries. The aim is to maximize total production or construction throughput when uncertainties such as machine breakdowns are taken into account. A failure probability-work time equation is presented to describe the relationship between machine failure probability and mean time to work. To transform the uncertain optimal control model into a deterministic one, the expected value model (EVM) was introduced for forming an equivalent crisp model. The fuzzy variables in the model are also defuzzified by using an expected value operator with an optimistic–pessimistic index. Then a number of lemmas and theorems are presented and proved to formulate the theoretical algorithm so that the crisp model of the DMAP can be solved. Three actual construction and production projects are used as practical application examples. The theoretical algorithm results for the three project examples are compared with a particle swarm optimization approach and a genetic algorithm method, which demonstrates the practicality and efficiency of our optimization method.