一类P(e~z)型动力系统的结构不稳定性

本文研究满足某种条件的 P( ez)型动力系统 .我们证明了这类系统的动力结构是不稳定的 .     

动态离散选择模型及其估计方法发展综述

动态离散选择模型是一类离散控制动态规划,其对于理解机构在不同情况中的行为决策是非常重要的.从动态离散选择模型的基本原理、应用现状和构造性估计满足的假设出发,一方面针对动态选择模型的小样本异质性问题,给出非线性有偏修正模型和最小均方误差估计法来弥补最大似然估计在估计小样本时的有偏性.另一方面为了达到期望价值函数的收敛性和避免高维数所带来的计算负担,叙述了常规贝叶斯估计方法、贝叶斯-MCMC-DP估计法、马尔科夫链-蒙特卡洛-人工神经网络估计法等其他的估计方法.     

Modelling of dynamic interaction between structure and trolley for mega container cranes

This article deals with the analysis of trolley impact on the dynamic behaviour of the flexible structure of the mega quayside container crane (QCC) boom, identified as the most relevant structural part. It develops a modelling method for the dynamic response of the large flexible structure of the QCC boom under a moving trolley. By using FEM the original structure of the whole crane structure is reduced to an equivalent model of the boom. The boom is in this way modelled as a system with distributed parameters, comprising reduced stiffnesses and lumped masses from other parts of the upper structure. The article looks at the moving mass approach to achieve the desired performance of the QCC. Differential equations of the mathematical model are obtained by using Lagrange's equations and the assumed mode method. The continuum is discretized by a finite number of admissible functions. Deterministic simulation gives the dynamic response of the boom for quay-to-ship container transfer. Results are obtained for the boom deflection and bending moment values, as well as for the dynamic amplification factor of deflection.     

三叶片垂直轴水轮机结构动力响应分析

提出采用改进离散涡和几何精确梁理论混合方法对三叶片垂直轴水轮机进行结构动力响应分析.相比传统的有限元方法,该方法具有求解速度快、建模简单、计算精确等优点.在模态分析中,计算了不同叶片高度下,水轮机叶片和整体的前五阶固有频率,分析了水轮机半径大小和叶片高度对固有频率的影响,结果显示:随着尺寸的增加,叶片和整体固有频率显著减小,整体固有频率更易受到半径大小的影响.在瞬态分析中,考虑了离心载荷和叶片的水动力载荷,得到在工作状况下,旋转一周过程中叶片的最大变形曲线;分析了在不同H/R（叶片高度和半径的比值）的情况下的叶片强度问题,结果显示:当H/R大于3.0时,叶片强度将会失效.     

Dynamic response of cable-stayed bridges to moving vehicles using the structural impedance method

The importance of dynamic interactions between cable-stayed bridges and heavy moving vehicles, such as trucks and locomotives, has been recognised by bridge engineers for a long time. A structural impedance algorithm is developed for analysing the dynamic response of cable-stayed bridges subjected to traversing vehicles. The bridge deck is modelled as an elastic plate, and the cables are idealised as springs for simplicity. The vehicles are modelled as a series of masses with suspension systems moving with different speeds and accelerations. A comprehensive computer program, CABLESIM, is developed for the static and dynamic analyses of a cable-stayed bridge. The accuracy of the numerical procedure and its computer implementation is verified with the available analytical and experimental results. A parametric study is conducted to investigate the effects of vehicle velocity, girder depth, different types of cable arrangements, and traffic load on the dynamic response of the deck. The numerical results are expected to be important in assessing the dynamics of cable-stayed bridge components and in determining the safety and allowable traffic conditions.     

基于VAR和DAG的中国经济增长实证研究

本文利用近年来新发展的DAG方法对我国的GDP、投资、消费和出口的因果关系进行研究.与以前的研究方法相比较,DAG方法可为宏观经济变量的结构VAR模型的过度识别提供限制,同时能给出经济变量的同期和动态因果关系.实证研究表明,投资和消费既是我国GDP增长的同期原因,又是经济增长的短期和长期原因,而且实证结论不支持我国的出口导向型经济增长假设.     

大型结构子结构解法的并行算法

本文根据ELXSI机的并行环境,提出了大型复杂结构静力和动力分析中子结构解法的并行算法,并研制了相应的并行计算程序.     

结构动力方程求解的改进-精细Runge-Kutta方法

在已有精细Runge-Kutta(龙格-库塔)方法的基础上,考虑了状态空间方程非齐次项的特点和外荷载的特殊性,提出了求解结构动力方程的改进精细Runge-Kutta方法.通过对矩阵进行分块计算,在利用原有精细Runge-Kutta方法高精度的同时进一步提高了计算效率,有利于大型结构的长时间仿真.将改进精细Runge-Kutta方法应用于结构动力方程求解,为其求解提供一种新方法.数值算例表明了改进方法的正确性和有效性.     

一类变结构动态系统的非光滑最优性条件

研究了一类事件驱动的变结构动态系统的非光滑最优性条件. 通过引入一个新的时间变量, 将变结构动态系统的最优性问题转化为古典动态系统的最优性问题. 基于广义微分和古典动态系统的最优性理论, 得到了该系统的Frechet上微分形式的必要性条件, 推广了已有文献的相关结论. 结果表明, 在系统的连续运行过程中, 控制变量、协态变量和状态变量满足最小值原理和协态方程. 在系统的运行模型发生改变时, 协态变量产生一定的跳跃, 哈密尔顿函数连续. 最后通过一个算例说明了该结论的有效性.     

A model updating approach based on design points for unknown structural parameters

Finite element analysis has become an essential tool to estimate structural responses under static and dynamic loads. However, there are a lot of uncertainties in structural properties. For this reason, in many cases, the outcomes of the theoretical and experimental modal analyses do not match. Therefore, the analytical models of the structures need to be updated according to the experimental test results. The commonly used method to get parameters for model updating is experimental modal analysis which provides structural dynamic characteristic (natural frequencies, mode shapes and modal damping ratio). There are many methods available for the updating process. This study addresses an updating algorithm to modify the numerical models by using the design points for unknown structural properties. The proposed method aims to minimize the difference between the analytical and experimental natural frequencies by updating uncertain parameters for each mode and combine them to get an optimum solution. The algorithm is tested on a column and a 2D frame models. These models are investigated by taking the connection rigidity and elasticity modulus as unknown parameters. It is observed that the proposed algorithm gives better results for unknown structural properties compared to the initial values.     

地下结构变形速度在抗爆结构分析中的作用

在地下抗爆结构动力计算中,结构变形速度的作用是非常突出的.考虑结构变形速度的作用,所建立的结构体系运动微分方程可以真实地描述结构振动的实际情况.文中通过一维平面波理论,导出了作用在结构周边上的荷载表达式,给出了地下曲杆结构动力分析的广义变分原理,同时还进行了数值计算结构的对比分析.     

油价结构性变化检验与动态监控研究

本文运用参数稳定性检验方法对油价动态波动路径进行研究,发现油价序列存在显著的结构性改变特征,检测出自1974年2月以来油价共经历了四次结构性改变过程,本文考察了导致结构性改变的根本原因以及与重大事件的关系,并给出了结构改变点的点估计和区间估计,同时根据结构性改变情况将油价价位波动过程划分为五个阶段。此外,本文还讨论了结构性改变的监控问题,在历史数据的基础上及时发现新的结构改变点,为油价走势预测和和石油市场形势判断提供参考依据。     

中国人均碳排放影响因素的长期均衡与因果动态关系研究——基于结构突变ARDL-VECM模型的实证分析

为了探讨中国低碳经济的发展路径,运用BP内生结构突变点检验、考虑结构突变的ARDL模型和基于VECM模型的Granger因果关系检验方法,利用我国1985至2014年的相关数据,探讨经济增长、城镇化、技术创新、贸易开放与我国人均碳排放的长期均衡和短期动态关系,以及变量之间的因果关系。研究结果表明,中国人均碳排放与解释变量之间存在长期协整关系。长期来看,经济增长与人均碳排放之间呈倒U型关系,城市化水平的提高可以有效减少人均碳排放,技术创新与人均碳排放显著负相关,而贸易开放会引起环境恶化。短期来看,贸易开放与人均碳排放显著正相关,而其他变量对人均碳排放的影响均不显著。此外,基于VECM模型的Granger因果关系检验证实所有解释变量均为人均碳排放的Granger原因,且经济增长、贸易开放与人均碳排放之间存在双向因果关系。     

基于MRS-SJC-Copula模型对A股与港股的动态联动性研究

由于经济增长周期变化,导致不同股票市场存在高低状态转换的现象,在研究不同股票市场之间联动性的研究时,需要考虑股票波动均值和方差两种结构变化。基于具有马尔可夫状态转换的动态SJC-Copula,结合修正ICSS算法对我国内地股票市场和香港股票市场之间的联动性进行方差结构突变点的检验。实证结果表明:国内和香港股票市场之间存在非线性非对称的时变相依性,并持续存在高低两种不同状态的概率转换。股票指数由于动态联动受到负面消息的下跌幅度大于正面消息的变化幅度,且上下尾部均受上期信息的持续影响。“沪港通”、“深港通”、中美贸易战等因素使得其上下尾部发生结构突变,内地与香港股票市场的联动性增大和市场波动幅度趋强。     

SEM Modeling with Singular Moment Matrices Part I: ML-Estimation of Time Series

A structural equation model (SEM) with deterministic intercepts is introduced. The Gaussian likelihood function does not contain determinants of sample moment matrices and is thus well-defined for only one statistical unit. The SEM is applied to the dynamic state space model and compared with the Kalman filter (KF) approach. The likelihood of both methods are shown to be equivalent, but for long time series numerical problems occur in the SEM approach, which are traced to the inversion of the latent state covariance matrix. Both approaches are compared on several aspects. The SEM approach is now open for idiographic (N = 1) analysis and estimation of panel data with correlated units.     

人民币汇率参考一篮子货币的结构性变动实证研究

分别以瑞郎和特别提款权为基准货币,基于2005年"汇改"后至2012年7年期间人民币与央行公布的11种参考货币的汇率数据,在邹检验确定结构性变动点的基础上,运用对数线性模型分时段建模实证.结果表明:1)"汇改"以来,人民币汇率已开始参考一篮子货币进行调节,并分别在2006年4季度,2009年1季度和2010年3季度发生了结构性变动;2)人民币汇率制度本质上仍以钉住美元为主,篮子货币的币种选择和权重设定是一个动态调整的过程.     

Maximum principle for the optimal control of a hyperbolic equation in one space dimension,part 2: Application

The optimal open-loop control of a beam subject to initial disturbances is studied by means of a maximum principle developed for hyperbolic partial differential equations in one space dimension. The cost functional representing the dynamic response of the beam is taken as quadratic in the displacement and its space and time derivatives. The objective of the control is to minimize a performance index consisting of the cost functional and a penalty term involving the control function. Application of the maximum principle leads to boundary-value problems for hyperbolic partial differential equations subject to initial and terminal conditions. The explicit solution of this system is obtained yielding the expressions for the state and optimal control functions. The behavior of the controlled and uncontrolled beam is studied numerically, and the effectiveness of the proposed control is illustrated.     

流动性过剩对物价和产出的动态冲击效应分析

本文运用结构向量自回归(SVAR)模型方法,研究了我国流动性过剩对物价和产出所产生的动态冲击效应。主要结论是:流动性过剩正冲击对物价仅有短期正效应,即在短期促使物价上涨。流动性过剩正冲击对产出有正效应,而且其效果是中长期有效的,即流动性过剩在中长期促进产出增长。货币供应量M_2对产出的增长的效力相对较大,而货币供应量M_1对物价的影响力相对较大。     

Comments to “Quantification of network structural dissimilarities” published by Schieber et al

Recently, we came across the paper entitled “Quantification of network structural dissimilarities” published by Nature Communications. In this paper, Schieber et al claimed to propose a novel technique for measuring the structural similarity of networks. The authors of this commentary are familiar with this special area of network analysis. After reading the paper, we doubt that the graph similarity (distance) measure due to Schieber et al is entirely novel. Instead, parts thereof are very similar to contributions we have authored. Unfortunately, they have not been cited nor acknowledged in Schieber et al.     

The Effect of Structural Curvings on the Stress Distribution in a Rigidly Fixed Composite Plate under Forced Vibration

Based on the exact three-dimensional equations of continuum mechanics and the Akbarov-Guz' continuum theory, the problem on forced vibrations of a rectangular plate made of a composite material with a periodically curved structure is formulated. The plate is rigidly fixed along the Ox ₁ axis. Using the semi-analytic method of finite elements, a numerical procedure is elaborated for investigating this problem. The numerical results on the effect of structural curvings on the stress distribution in the plate under forced vibrations are analyzed. It is shown that the disturbances of the stress ₂₂ in a hinge-supported plate are greater than in a rigidly fixed one. Also, it is found that the structural curvings considerably affect the stress distribution in plates both under static and dynamic loading.