Real-World Scenarios With Negative Interest Rates Based on the LIBOR Market Model

ABSTRACT

In this article, we present a methodology to simulate the evolution of interest rates under real-world probability measure. More precisely, using the multidimensional Shifted Lognormal LIBOR market model and a specification of the market price of risk vector process, we explain how to perform simulations of the real-world forward rates in the future, using the Euler?Maruyama scheme with a predictor?corrector strategy. The proposed methodology allows for the presence of negative interest rates as currently observed in the markets.     

The Lévy Swap Market Model

Models driven by Lévy processes are attractive since they allow for better statistical fitting than classical diffusion models. The dynamics of the forward swap rate process is derived in a semimartingale setting and a Lévy swap market model is introduced. In order to guarantee positive rates, the swap rates are modelled as ordinary exponentials. The model starts with the most distant rate, which is driven by a non‐homogeneous Lévy process. Via backward induction the remaining swap rates are constructed such that they become martingales under the corresponding forward swap measures. Finally it is shown how swaptions can be priced using bilateral Laplace transforms.     

American Options in the Heston Model with Stochastic Interest Rate and Its Generalizations

Abstract

We consider the Heston model with the stochastic interest rate of Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) type and more general models with stochastic volatility and interest rates depending on two CIR-factors; the price, volatility and interest rate may correlate. Time-derivative and infinitesimal generator of the process for factors that determine the dynamics of the interest rate and/or volatility are discretized. The result is a sequence of embedded perpetual options arising in the time discretization of a Markov-modulated Lévy model. Options in this sequence are solved using an iteration method based on the Wiener–Hopf factorization. Typical shapes of the early exercise boundary are shown, and good agreement of option prices with prices calculated with the Longstaff–Schwartz method and Medvedev–Scaillet asymptotic method is demonstrated.     

平移利率模型与简单Gaussian利率模型之关系（英文）

本文指出平移利率模型的风险市价是到期时间的线形函数并证明了平移利率模型是一种特殊的简单Gaussian利率模型．同时，文章还给出了简单Gaussian利率模型即期利率的条件概率分布．     

债券定价及利率风险的市场价格的重构方法

假设利率变化的模型是由随机微分方程给出,则可以用推导Black-Scholes方程的方法来推出债券价格满足的偏微分方程,得到一个抛物型的偏微分方程.但是,在债券定价的方程中隐含有一个参数λ称为利率风险的市场价格.所谓债券定价的反问题,就是由不同到期时间的债券的现在价格来得到利率风险的市场价格.对随机利率模型下债券定价的正问题先给予介绍和差分数值求解方法,并介绍了反问题,且对反问题给出了数值方法.     

On the Distribution of Duration of First Negative Surplus for a Discrete Time Risk Model with Random Interest Rate

In this paper, we examine further annuity-due risk model presented by Cai (Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences, 16(2002), 309-324). We consider the computation for the distribution of duration of first negative surplus and the algorithm is shown for calculating probability that ruin occurs and the duration of first negative surplus takes any nonnegative integers values. Numerical illustration for the main result is given.     

一类推广的常利率复合Poisson-Geometric风险模型的预警区问题

在复合Poisson-Geometric风险模型的基础上,引入利率因素,并将保费收入由线性过程推广为复合Poisson过程,建立了一类推广的带常利率复合Poisson-Geometric风险模型,该模型描述现实的能力更强,更具有实际意义.然后,利用盈余过程的强马氏性推导出了首个预警区的条件矩母函数所满足的积分方程,并进一步在保费额和索赔额都服从指数分布的情形下得出了其解析解.