On a single discrete scale for preventive maintenance with two shock processes affecting a complex system

A new approach to optimal maintenance of systems (networks) is suggested. It is applied to systems subject to two external independent shock processes. A system ‘consists’ of two parts, and each shock process affects only its own part. A new notion of bivariate signature is suggested and used for obtaining survival characteristics of a system and further optimization of the preventive maintenance actions. The preventive maintenance optimization is considered in the univariate discrete scale that counts the overall numbers of shocks of both types. An example of a transportation network is considered. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An overview of some classical models and discussion of the signature-based models of preventive maintenance

In reliability engineering literature, a large number of research papers on optimal preventive maintenance (PM) of technical systems (networks) have appeared based on preliminary many different approaches. According to the existing literature on PM strategies, the authors have considered two scenarios for the component failures of the system. The first scenario assumes that the components of the system fail due to aging, while the second scenario assumes the system fails according to the fatal shocks arriving at the system from external or internal sources. This article reviews different approaches on the optimal strategies proposed in the literature on the optimal maintenance of multi-component coherent systems. The emphasis of the article is on PM models given in the literature whose optimization criteria (cost function and stationary availability) are developed by using the signature-based (survival signature-based) reliability of the system lifetime. The notions of signature and survival signature, defined for systems consisting of one type or multiple types of components, respectively, are powerful tools assessing the reliability and stochastic properties of coherent systems. After giving an overview of the research works on age-based PM models of one-unit systems and $k$-out-of-$n$ systems, we provide a more detailed review of recent results on the signature-based and survival signature-based PM models of complex systems. In order to illustrate the theoretical results on different proposed PM models, we examine two real examples of coherent systems both numerically and graphically.     

Maintenance optimization for second‐hand products following periodic imperfect preventive maintenance warranty period

The maintenance policy for a product's life cycle differs for second‐hand and new products. Although several maintenance policies for second‐hand products exist in the literature, they are rarely investigated with reference to periodic inspection and preventive maintenance action during the warranty period. In this research, we study an optimal post‐warranty maintenance policy for a second‐hand product, which was purchased at age x with a fixed‐length warranty period. During the warranty period, the product is periodically inspected and maintained preventively at a prorated cost borne by the user, while any product failure is only minimally repaired by the dealer. After the warranty expires, the product is self‐maintained by the user for a fixed‐length maintenance period and the costs incurred during this time are fully borne by the user. At the end of the maintenance period, the product is replaced with a product of the user's choice. This study is focused on the determination of an optimal length for the maintenance period after the warranty expiration. As a criterion for the optimality, we adopt the long‐run mean cost during the second‐hand product's life cycle from the user's perspective. Finally, our results are analyzed numerically for sensitive analysis of several relevant factors, assuming that the failure distribution follows a Weibull distribution.     

Optimal preventive maintenance policy for electric power distribution systems based on the fuzzy AHP methods

In power distribution systems, with their great vastness and various outage causes, one of the most important problems of power distribution companies is to select a suitable maintenance strategy of system elements and method of financial planning for the maintenance of system elements with the two objectives of decrease in outage costs and improvement of system reliability. In this article, a practical method is introduced for the selection of a suitable system elements maintenance strategy; moreover, to plan the preventive maintenance budget for the system elements, two methods are offered: the cost optimization method and the fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. In the former method, a new model of system maintenance cost is offered. This model, based on system outage information, the elements maintenance costs are determined as functions of system reliability indices and preventive maintenance budget. The latter method, too, a new guideline is introduced for considering the cost and reliability criteria in the trend of preventive maintenance budget planning. In this method, the preventive maintenance budget for the elements is determined based on relative priority of elements with reliability criteria. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 21: 70–88, 2016     

有延迟修理的两部件串联系统的预防维修策略

研究由两个部件串联组成的系统的预防维修策略, 当系统的工作时间达到T时进行预防维修, 预防维修使部件恢复到上一次故障维修后的状态. 当部件发生故障后进行故障维修, 因为各种原因可能会延迟修理. 部件在每次故障维修后的工作时间形成随机递减的几何过程, 且每次故障后的维修时间形成随机递增的几何过程. 以部件进行预防维修的间隔T和更换前的故障次数N组成的二维策略(T,N)为策略, 利用更新过程和几何过程理论求出了系统经长期运行单位时间内期望费用的表达式, 并给出了具体例子和数值分析.     

Financial planning for the preventive maintenance of power distribution systems via fuzzy AHP

One of the most important objectives of electricity distribution companies is to improve the reliability of the distribution networks. To this end, the electricity distribution companies try to optimally use the existing financial resources in the planning of preventive maintenance (PM) programs to reduce the imposed costs on the system due to the failure of network components and to improve the network reliability. In fuzzy analytical hierarchical process (fuzzy AHP) method, the degree of network reliability and the effectiveness of PM budget in the improvement of network reliability are selected as decision criteria in the budget allocation procedure. The areas served by the power distribution network are prioritized relative to each other and are assigned weights based on these priorities. The PM budget is determined based on the obtained weights. The medium voltage distribution network of seven areas in the city of Tehran have been selected for the implementation of the proposed method and the analysis of the obtained results. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 21: 36–46, 2016     

Preventive maintenance for homogeneous and heterogeneous systems

We consider optimal preventive maintenance for homogeneous and heterogeneous systems with major (critical) and minor (noncritical) failures. A major failure results in a replacement of a failed system, whereas minor failures can be minimally instantaneously repaired. Distinct from the homogeneous case, where the process of minimal repairs is the Poisson process, the process of minimal repairs in the heterogeneous case is the mixed Poisson process that does not possess the memoryless property. This enables considering the number of minimal repairs as the decision parameter for the corresponding optimal preventive maintenance policy. The proposed approach is theoretically justified, and the detailed illustrative numerical examples are presented.     

Piecewise deterministic Markov process model for flexible manufacturing systems with preventive maintenance

In this paper, we consider a maintenance and production model of a flexible manufacturing system. The maintenance activity involves lubrication, routine adjustments, etc., which reduce the machine failure rates and therefore reduce the aging of the machines. The objective of the problem is to choose the rate of maintenance and the rate of production that minimize the overall costs of inventory/shortage, production, and maintenance. It is shown that the value function is locally Lipschitz. Then, the existence of the optimal control policy is shown, and necessary and sufficient conditions for optimality are obtained.This research has been supported by NSERC-Canada, Grant OGP-003644 and FCAR-NC0271F.     

System availability in a shock model under preventive repair and phase‐type distributions

A device that can fail by shocks or ageing under policy N of maintenance is presented. The interarrival times between shocks follow phase‐type distributions depending on the number of cumulated shocks. The successive shocks deteriorate the system, and some of them can be fatal. After a prefixed number k of nonfatal shocks, the device is preventively repaired. After a fatal shock the device is correctively repaired. Repairs are as good as new, and follow phase‐type distributions. The system is governed by a Markov process whose infinitesimal generator, stationary probability vector, and availability are calculated, obtaining well‐structured expressions due to the use of phase‐type distributions. The availability is optimized in terms of the number k of preventive repairs. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An analysis of the fourth‐order PDEs – ‘patterns’ and ‘di‐block polymers’

We analyze some fourth‐order partial differential equations that model the ‘propagation of hexagonal patterns’ and the ‘microphase separation of di‐block copolymers’. The underlying invariance properties and conservation laws of the models and related partial differential equations are studied. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Stationary availability of a semi‐Markov system with random maintenance

We consider a reparable system with a finite state space, evolving in time according to a semi‐Markov process. The system is stopped for it to be preventively maintained at random times for a random duration. Our aim is to find the preventive maintenance policy that optimizes the stationary availability, whenever it exists. The computation of the stationary availability is based on the fact that the above maintained system evolves according to a semi‐regenerative process. As for the optimization, we observe on numerical examples that it is possible to limit the study to the maintenance actions that begin at deterministic times. We demonstrate this result in a particular case and we study the deterministic maintenance policies in that case. In particular, we show that, if the initial system has an increasing failure rate, the maintenance actions improve the stationary availability if and only if they are not too long on the average, compared to the repairs ( a bound for the mean duration of the maintenance actions is provided). On the contrary, if the initial system has a decreasing failure rate, the maintenance policy lowers the stationary availability. A few other cases are studied. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A MICRO‐LEVEL ‘CONSUMER APPROACH’ TO SPECIES POPULATION DYNAMICS

ABSTRACT. In this paper we develop a micro ecosystem model whose basic entities are representative organisms which behave as if maximizing their net offspring under constraints. Net offspring is increasing in prey biomass intake, declining in the loss of own biomass to predators and Allee's law applies. The organism's constraint reflects its perception of how scarce its own biomass and the biomass of its prey is. In the short‐run periods prices (scarcity indicators) coordinate and determine all biomass transactions and net offspring which directly translates into population growth functions. We are able to explicitly determine these growth functions for a simple food web when specific parametric net offspring functions are chosen in the micro‐level ecosystem model. For the case of a single species our model is shown to yield the well‐known Verhulst‐Pearl logistic growth function. With two species in predator‐prey relationship, we derive differential equations whose dynamics are completely characterized and turn out to be similar to the predator‐prey model with Michaelis‐Menten type functional response. With two species competing for a single resource we find that coexistence is a knife‐edge feature confirming Tschirhart's [2002] result in a different but related model.     

A sequential condition‐based repair/replacement policy with non‐periodic inspections for a system subject to continuous wear

This paper studies a condition‐based maintenance policy for a repairable system subject to a continuous‐state gradual deterioration monitored by sequential non‐periodic inspections. The system can be maintained using different maintenance operations (partial repair, as good as new replacement) with different effects (on the system state), costs and durations. A parametric decision framework (multi‐threshold policy) is proposed to choose sequentially the best maintenance actions and to schedule the future inspections, using the on‐line monitoring information on the system deterioration level gained from the current inspection. Taking advantage of the semi‐regenerative (or Markov renewal) properties of the maintained system state, we construct a stochastic model of the time behaviour of the maintained system at steady state. This stochastic model allows to evaluate several performance criteria for the maintenance policy such as the long‐run system availability and the long‐run expected maintenance cost. Numerical experiments illustrate the behaviour of the proposed condition‐based maintenance policy. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

‘Model selection for generalized linear models with factor‐augmented predictors’

This paper considers generalized linear models in a data‐rich environment in which a large number of potentially useful explanatory variables are available. In particular, it deals with the case that the sample size and the number of explanatory variables are of similar sizes. We adopt the idea that the relevant information of explanatory variables concerning the dependent variable can be represented by a small number of common factors and investigate the issue of selecting the number of common factors while taking into account the effect of estimated regressors. We develop an information criterion under model mis‐specification for both the distributional and structural assumptions and show that the proposed criterion is a natural extension of the Akaike information criterion (AIC). Simulations and empirical data analysis demonstrate that the proposed new criterion outperforms the AIC and Bayesian information criterion. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

1‐rotationally resolvable 4‐cycle systems of 2Kv

In this article, it is shown that there exists a 1‐rotationally resolvable 4‐cycle system of 2K_υ if and only if υ ≡ 0 (mod 4). To prove that, some special sequences of integers are utilized. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Combin Designs 10: 116–125, 2002; DOI 10.1002/jcd.10006     

Human resource allocation applications of stochastic maintenance models with super‐reserve backups

This article deals with stochastic maintenance models that include a repair facility and three types of ‘unreliable’ machines: the main facility of working and reserve machines, and an auxiliary facility of ‘super‐reserve’ machines. Working machines breakdown exponentially and are immediately replaced by available reserve machines. Defective machines line up for repair and refurbished machines are returned to the main facility. This system falls into the category of closed queues with hot standbys and has more options than the basic model. If the main facility is restored to its original quantity and the repair facility leaves on routine maintenance, all reserve machines are temporarily blocked and renewals come from the super‐reserve group until the latter is exhausted. Explicit formulas obtained demonstrate a relatively effortless use of functionals of the main stochastic characteristics, and optimization of their objective function. Human resource applications are included as optimization examples. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Strong convergence of the split‐step θ‐method for stochastic age‐dependent population equations

In this paper, we constructed the split‐step θ (SSθ)‐method for stochastic age‐dependent population equations. The main aim of this paper is to investigate the convergence of the SS θ‐method for stochastic age‐dependent population equations. It is proved that the proposed method is convergent with strong order 1/2 under given conditions. Finally, an example is simulated to verify the results obtained from the theory, and comparative analysis with Euler method is given, the results show the higher accuracy of the SS θ‐method. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Resolvable even‐cycle systems with a 1‐rotational automorphism

In this article, necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a 1‐rotationally resolvable even‐cycle system of λK_v are given, which are eventually for the existence of a resolvable even‐cycle system of λK_v. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Combin Designs 11: 394–407, 2003; Published online in Wiley InterScience ( www.interscience.wiley.com ). DOI 10.1002/jcd.10058