Ordered Site Access and Optimal Forest Rotation

The ordered-site-access model of forest harvesting formulated for once-and-for-all forests in [7] is extended to the case of ongoing forests. The economic content of the corresponding optimal harvest schedule is delineated. For an infinite harvest sequence, the optimal schedule is shown to include the classical Faustmann rotation as a special case, and the effect of net revenue functions changing with harvest is studied. For the practically more important case of planning for a finite sequence of [INLINEEQUATION] harvests, the optimal harvest schedule is determined for a Faustmann environment with limited, and unlimited harvesting capacity, and its rapid convergence to the Faustmann rotation is shown for the case of unlimited harvesting capacity. The case of harvest cost functions varying with harvest rate is discussed. The existence of a steady-state optimal harvesting schedule (involving a pathwise uniform age distribution) for the more realistic Heaps-Neher environment and its relation to the Faustmann rotation are analyzed. The evolution of the optimal harvest schedule for a finite harvest sequence in a Heaps-Neher environment toward this steady-state (Faustmann type) rotation is demonstrated.     

A bioeconomic differential algebraic predator–prey model with nonlinear prey harvesting

In this paper, we propose a bioeconomic differential algebraic predator–prey model with Holling type II functional response and nonlinear prey harvesting. As the nonlinear prey harvesting is introduced, the proposed model displays a complex dynamics in the predator–prey plane. Taking into account of the economic factor, our predator–prey system is established by bioeconomic differential algebraic equations. The effect of economic profit on the proposed model is analyzed by viewing it as a bifurcation parameter. By jointly using the normal form of differential algebraic models and the bifurcation theory, the stability and bifurcations (singularity induced bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation) are discussed. These results obtained here reveal richer dynamics of the bioeconomic differential algebraic predator–prey model with nonlinear prey harvesting, and suggest a guidance for harvesting in the practical word. Finally, numerical simulations are given to demonstrate the results.     

GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND OPTIMAL FOREST MANAGEMENT

A policy question of current interest is how to cope with climate change. One suggestion is to use forests to offset carbon emissions, and therefore, reduce the threat of global warming. This study develops a rigorous model of the relationship between optimal forest harvesting regimes and carbon sequestration. The theoretical analysis integrates the carbon sequestration life cycle into the Faustmann framework and develops optimal cutting rules when carbon sequestration benefits are considered. The carbon life cycle includes both the sequestration of carbon and its ultimate re-release into the atmosphere. A case study of Douglas fir applies the theoretical framework.     

A ratio‐dependent predator–prey model with stage structure and optimal harvesting policy

In this paper, a ratio‐dependent predator–prey model with stage structure and harvesting is investigated. Mathematical analyses of the model equations with regard to boundedness of solutions, nature of equilibria, permanence and stability are performed. By constructing appropriate Lyapunov functions, a set of easily verifiable sufficient conditions are obtained for the global asymptotic stability of nonnegative equilibria of the model. The existence possibilities of bioeconomic equilibria have been examined. An optimal harvesting policy is also given by using Pontryagin's maximal principle. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

WHEN TO CUT A STAND OF TREES?

This paper revisits the debate over the economic optimality of different timber harvest rules. The traditional Faustmann and Maximum Sustained Yield rotation determinations are confined to a deterministic world. Once stochasticity is introduced into the model formulation and the additional rental and management costs due to postponement of harvest are taken into account, we find that the optimal stopping time becomes random and varies in response to changes in the underlying price and growth processes. As a result, this stochastic optimal stopping time is bounded by the Faustmann cutting age from below if variabilities of the stochastic processes diminish to zero, but not necessarily by the MSY rotation from above.     

A note on the paper ‘On dynamical multi-team Cournot game in exploitation of a renewable resource’

In a recent paper (Asker, 2007) [1] a dynamic Cournot oligopoly game is proposed and it is claimed that this model represents competition among firms that exploit a common access natural resource. According to the author’s claim, the feature that relates the model with renewable natural resource harvesting is given by the presence of a particular cost function where the total cost of each fisherman is proportional to the square of the own quantity of harvesting and inversely proportional to the total harvesting quantity. In contrast, the usual function used in the literature on the exploitation of natural resources (such as fisheries) is inversely proportional to the available resource stock, and not to the total harvesting. This, in some sense, assumes exactly the opposite (as the available resource is inversely proportional to the total harvesting). So, we believe that the paper (Asker, 2007) [1] contains an error which is probably due to a misunderstanding or a misreading and misinterpretation of the (well-established) literature on bioeconomic modelling, but nevertheless misleading to researchers interested in bioeconomic modelling. The aim of this short note is to explain the mistake and to summarize the correct derivation and interpretation of the cost function. Our goal is to avoid the propagation of a subtle (but nevertheless misleading) error.     

Nonlinear optimal control problems of degenerate parabolic equations with logistic time-varying delays of convolution type

In this article, we consider a bioeconomic model for optimal control problems which are governed by degenerate parabolic equations governing diffusive biological species with logistic growth terms and multiple time-varying delays. The time-varying delays are given in a convolution form. The existence, uniqueness and regularity results to the state equations with homogeneous Dirichlet and Neumann boundary conditions are established. The vanishing viscosity method is used to obtain the existence result. Afterwards, we formulate the optimal control problem in two cases. Firstly, we suppose that this biological species causes damage to environment (e.g. forest, agriculture): the optimal control is the trapping rate and the cost functional is a combination of damage and trapping costs. Secondly, an optimal harvesting control of a biological species is considered: the optimal control is a distribution of harvesting effort on the biological species and the cost functional measure the difference between economic revenue and cost. The existence and the condition of uniqueness of the optimal solution are obtained. A nonlinear optimality system is derived, characterizing the optimal control.     

Optimal exploitation for hybrid systems of renewable resources under partial observation

This work focuses on optimal controls for hybrid systems of renewable resources in random environments. We propose a new formulation to treat the optimal exploitation with harvesting and renewing. The random environments are modeled by a Markov chain, which is hidden and can be observed only in a Gaussian white noise. We use the Wonham filter to estimate the state of the Markov chain from the observable process. Then we formulate a harvesting–renewing model under partial observation. The Markov chain approximation method is used to find a numerical approximation of the value function and optimal policies. Our work takes into account natural aspects of the resource exploitation in practice: interacting resources, switching environment, renewing and partial observation. Numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the results and explore new phenomena arising from new features in the proposed model.     

Food chain model with optimal harvesting in fuzzy environment

A multispecies harvesting model with mutual interactions is formulated based on Lotka–Voltera model with three competing species which are affected not only by harvesting but also by the presence of prey, predator and the third species, which is super predator. In order to understand the dynamics of the system, it is assumed that the super predator follows the logistic growth. Further, there is demand for all the above three species in the market and hence harvesting of all species is performed. We derive the condition for global stability of the system using a suitable Lyapunov function. The possibility of existence of bioeconomic equilibrium is discussed. The optimal harvest policy is studied and the solution is derived under imprecise inflation in fuzzy environment using Pontryagin’s maximal principle. Finally some numerical examples are discussed to illustrate the model.     

Period doubling cascades of prey–predator model with nonlinear harvesting and control of over exploitation through taxation

The present study investigates a prey predator type model for conservation of ecological resources through taxation with nonlinear harvesting. The model uses the harvesting function as proposed by Agnew (1979) [1] which accounts for the handling time of the catch and also the competition between standard vessels being utilized for harvesting of resources. In this paper we consider a three dimensional dynamic effort prey–predator model with Holling type-II functional response. The conditions for uniform persistence of the model have been derived. The existence and stability of bifurcating periodic solution through Hopf bifurcation have been examined for a particular set of parameter value. Using numerical examples it is shown that the system admits periodic, quasi-periodic and chaotic solutions. It is observed that the system exhibits periodic doubling route to chaos with respect to tax. Many forms of complexities such as chaotic bands (including periodic windows, period-doubling bifurcations, period-halving bifurcations and attractor crisis) and chaotic attractors have been observed. Sensitivity analysis is carried out and it is observed that the solutions are highly dependent to the initial conditions. Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle has been used to obtain optimal tax policy to maximize the monetary social benefit as well as conservation of the ecosystem.     

On selective harvesting of an inshore–offshore fishery: a bioeconomic model

A bioeconomic model is developed for the selective harvesting of a single species, inshore–offshore fishery, assuming that the growth of the species is governed by the Gompertz law. The dynamical system governing the fishery is studied in depth; the local and global stability of its non-trivial steady state are examined. Existence of a bionomic equilibrium is established under different parametric considerations. The optimal harvest policy is discussed by invoking Pontryagin's Maximum Principle. Lastly, the results are illustrated with the help of a numerical example.     

Bifurcation and control of a bioeconomic model of a prey–predator system with a time delay

In this paper, we analyze the dynamical behaviour of a bioeconomic model system using differential algebraic equations. The system describes a prey–predator fishery with prey dispersal in a two-patch environment, one of which is a free fishing zone and other is a protected zone. It is observed that a singularity-induced bifurcation phenomenon appears when a variation of the economic interest of harvesting is taken into account. We have incorporated a state feedback controller to stabilize the model system in the case of positive economic interest. A discrete-type gestational delay of predators is incorporated, and its effect on the dynamical behaviour of the model is analyzed. The occurrence of Hopf bifurcation of the proposed model with positive economic profit is shown in the neighbourhood of the coexisting equilibrium point through considering the delay as a bifurcation parameter. Finally, some numerical simulations are given to verify the analytical results, and the system is analyzed through graphical illustrations.     

A multi-objective optimal allocation model for irrigation water resources under multiple uncertainties

This paper proposed a multi-objective optimal water resources allocation model under multiple uncertainties. The proposed model integrated the chance-constrained programming, semi-infinite programming and integer programming into an interval linear programming. Then, the developed model is applied to irrigation water resources optimal allocation system in Minqin’s irrigation areas, Gansu Province, China. In this study, the irrigation areas’ economic benefits, social benefits and ecological benefits are regarded as the optimal objective functions. As a result, the optimal irrigation water resources allocation plans of different water types (surface water and groundwater) under different hydrological years (wet year, normal year and dry year) and probabilities are obtained. The proposed multi-objective model is unique by considering water-saving measures, irrigation water quality impact factors and the dynamic changes of groundwater exploitable quantity in the irrigation water resources optimal allocation system under uncertain environment. The obtained results are valuable for supporting the adjustment of the existing irrigation patterns and identify a desired water-allocation plan for irrigation under multiple uncertainties.     

CLIMATE CHANGE AND OPTIMAL ROTATION IN A FLAMMABLE FOREST

ABSTRACT. This paper builds a Faustmann‐based model to study the effects of increased climate‐induced fire risk on the optimal forest rotation period. Simulations using species prevalent in North American forests indicate that both the commercial and socially optimal rotation ages decline as the risk increases. The reduced carbon absorbed by the standing timber can then create a positive feedback effect. This has potentially important policy implications. The Kyoto ratification agreement reached in the autumn of 2001 was dependent on allowing the ‘Umbrella Group’ of countries to use their forests' carbon‐absorbing ability to offset their need for fossil fuel emission reductions. This carbon‐absorbing ability will decline if rotation ages decrease with increased fire risk, weakening the force of the argument for allowing these countries to use their carbon ‘sinks’ to avoid reducing anthropomorphic emissions.     

ENVIRONMENTAL AND FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY OF FOREST MANAGEMENT PRACTICES

One of the guiding themes for forest management policy throughout much of North America is sustained yield. The basic premise behind this theme is that a constant or nondeclining flow of services from the forest is socially desirable. Unfortunately, the act of capturing the benefits of this service (timber harvesting) often has detrimental effects on the timber-productive capacity of a forest site. This paper presents a dynamic program that is used to determine the optimal harvest system choice for a timber stand described by average piece size, stand density, a measure of site quality, and stumpage value. The harvest systems are defined by logging costs, reforestation and rehabilitation costs, and the impact of the system on the productivity of the site. An application of the model is presented for lodgepole pine in Alberta. We conclude that, at high discount rates, soil conservation is not economically rational. At lower discount rates, some degree of soil conservation is desirable on the more productive sites. At lower discount rates, there also appears to be an incentive for more intensive forest management. Limitations on acceptable harvest practices can have a large impact on optimal rotation age and the volume harvested. There is a large opportunity cost resulting from a requirement for sustainable volume production because of the impact of harvesting on soil productivity.     

MODELING CATASTROPHIC RISK IN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF FOREST CARBON SEQUESTRATION

ABSTRACT. The effect of risk from catastrophic tree mortality, such as fire, insect outbreaks and hurricanes, on selling credits for carbon sequestration from a slash pine plantation is modeled. We achieve this task by developing a modified Hartman model and applying it to a slash pine plantation. It is found that risk decreases the land expectation value and the optimal rotation age on a forest stand producing timber and carbon sequestration benefits. This decrease is greater with higher prices of carbon. Furthermore, risk increases the amount of pulpwood produced from the stand and decreases the amount of sawtimber produced. Since pulpwood has a shorter life span than sawtimber this reduces the amount of carbon sequestered. This effect is greater for higher prices of carbon suggesting that risk dampens the effect that a carbon market would have in inducing landowners to sequester more carbon.     

Bioeconomic modelling of a three-species fishery with switching effect

This paper aims to study the problem of combined harvesting of a system involving one predator and two prey species fishery in which the predator feeds more intensively on the more abundant species. Mathematical formulation of the optimal harvest policy is given and its solution is derived in the equiblibrium case by using Pontryagin's Maximum principle. Dynamic optimization of the harvest policy is also discussed by takingE(t), the combined harvest effort, as a dynamic variable. Biological and bioeconomic interpretations of the results associated with the optimal equilibirum solution are explained. The significance of the constraints required for the existence of an optimal singular control are also given.     

Optimal harvesting policy of a stochastic predator–prey model with time delay

This paper concerns the optimal harvesting of a stochastic delay predator–prey model. Sufficient and necessary conditions for the existence of an optimal control are established. The optimal harvesting effort and the maximum value of the cost function are obtained as well. Some numerical tests are given to illustrate the main results.     

DYNAMICS OF SPATIAL EXPLOITATION: A METAPOPULATION APPROACH

ABSTRACT. In this paper we present a bioeconomic model of a harvesting industry operating over a heterogeneous environment comprised of discrete biological populations interconnected by dispersal processes. The model generalizes the Gordon [1954]/Smith [1968] model of open-access rent dissipation by accounting for intertemporal and spatial “Ricardian” patterns of exploitation. This model yields a simple, but insightful, framework from which one can investigate factors that contribute to the evolution of resource exploitation patterns over space and time. For example, we find that exploitation patterns are driven by biological and fleet dispersal and biological and economic heterogeneity. We conclude that one cannot really understand the biological processes operating in an exploited system without knowing as much about the harvesting system as about the biological system.     

OPTIMAL HARVESTING TIME OF FARMED AQUATIC POPULATIONS WITH NONLINEAR SIZE‐HETEROGENEOUS GROWTH

Abstract This paper examines the question of optimal harvesting time in a size‐heterogeneous farmed aquatic population, using a model reflecting the effect of population density on both overall mortality rate and individual growth. This analysis enables an optimal harvesting rule to be deduced. The results obtained are applied to shrimp culture in recirculation systems in Mexico. Numerical solutions are derived for different production scenarios. Assuming identical culture conditions, results are also obtained under the hypothesis of homogeneous population growth, the view traditionally taken in the relevant economic literature. The optimal harvesting times calculated tend to decrease with higher densities, although this rule fails under the size‐heterogeneous population model. In general, optimal harvesting times are overestimated when size‐homogeneity in the culture is assumed. Our analysis reveals that management predictions are significantly mistaken if the size‐heterogeneity phenomenon is not taken into account.