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Computational Management Science - Queuing networks are a well-established approach to modeling and analysis of complex systems. This paper develops an approach to risk-analysis of queuing network...  相似文献   

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This paper presents some alternatives for the improvement of the conditions of life for poor communities based on self-management and sustainability in food production. A complex decision process is necessarily involved, and a soft OR approach, more specifically, robustness analysis, is used in its analysis. Some new features of the approach arise, not least from its community operational research context. A software called Robus has been developed which helps in the application of the methodology.  相似文献   

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研究Bayes统计分析中利用验前信息的稳健性.首先,用一般方法研究了指数寿命型分布中失效率的验前分布的稳健性.然后利用Gamma分布函数的典型性质,并以平方损失下的后验期望损失为判别准则,讨论了失效率的最优Bayes稳健区间.给出了失效率的最优Bayes稳健点估计.  相似文献   

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Estimates are made of the robustness of difference schemes which approximate, to a high order, abstract linear differential equations with a constant operator and which are obtained by using the Runge-Kutta method.Translated from Ukrainskii Matematicheskii Zhurnal, Vol. 42, No. 5, pp. 689–694, May, 1990.  相似文献   

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Fuzzy reasoning includes a number of important inference methods for addressing uncertainty. This line of fuzzy reasoning forms a common logical foundation in various fields, such as fuzzy logic control and artificial intelligence. The full implication triple I method (a method only based on implication, TI method for short) for fuzzy reasoning is proposed in 1999 to improve the popular CRI method (a hybrid method based on implication and composition). The current paper delves further into the TI method, and a sound logical foundation is set for the TI method based on the monoidal t-norm based logical system MTL.  相似文献   

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We consider the problems of semi-graphoid inference and of independence implication from a set of conditional-independence statements. Based on ideas from R. Hemmecke et al. [Combin. Probab. Comput., 2008, 17: 239–257], we present algebraic-geometry characterizations of these two problems, and propose two corresponding algorithms. These algorithms can be realized with any computer algebra system when the number of variables is small.  相似文献   

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We propose a novel Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) method for reverse engineering the topological structure of stochastic reaction networks, a notoriously challenging problem that is relevant in many modern areas of research, like discovering gene regulatory networks or analyzing epidemic spread. The method relies on projecting the original time series trajectories, from the stochastic data generating process, onto information rich summary statistics and constructing the appropriate synthetic likelihood function to estimate reaction rates. The resulting estimates are consistent in the large volume limit and are obtained without employing complicated tuning strategies and expensive resampling as typically used by likelihood-free MCMC and approximate Bayesian methods. To illustrate the method, we apply it in two real data examples: the molecular pathway analysis with RNA-seq and the famous incidence data from 1665 plague outbreak at Eyam, England.  相似文献   

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Robustness of the efficient DMUs in data envelopment analysis   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
By means of modified versions of CCR model based on evaluation of a decision making unit (DMU) relative to a reference set grouped by all other DMUs, sensitivity analysis of the CCR model in data envelopment analysis (DEA) is studied in this paper. The methods for sensitivity analysis are linear programming problems whose optimal values yield particular regions of stability. Sufficient and necessary conditions for upward variations of inputs and for downward variations of outputs of an (extremely) efficient DMU which remains efficient are provided. The approach does not require calculation of the basic solutions and of the inverse of the corresponding optimal basis matrix. The approach is illustrated by two numerical examples.  相似文献   

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The literature suggests that the commonly used augmentation method of reject inference achieves no appreciable benefit in the context of logistic and probit regression models. Ranking is not improved and the ability to discern a correct cut-off is undermined. This paper considers the application of augmentation to profit scoring applicants by means of survival analysis and by the Cox proportional hazard model, in particular. This new context involves more elaborate models answering more specific questions such as when will default occur and what will be its precise financial implication. Also considered in this paper is the extent to which the rejection rate is critical in the potential usefulness of reject inference and how augmentation meets that potential. The conclusion is essentially that augmentation achieves negative benefits only and that the scope for reject inference in this context pertains mainly to circumstances where a high proportion of applicants have been rejected.  相似文献   

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This article proposes a structure-preserving quaternion full orthogonalization method (QFOM) for solving quaternion linear systems arising from color image restoration. The method is based on the quaternion Arnoldi procedure preserving the quaternion Hessenberg form. Combining with the preconditioning techniques, we further derive a variant of the QFOM for solving the linear systems, which can greatly improve the rate of convergence of QFOM. Numerical experiments on randomly generated data and color image restoration problems illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms in comparison with some existing methods.  相似文献   

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A full multigrid finite element method is proposed for semilinear elliptic equations. The main idea is to transform the solution of the semilinear problem into a series of solutions of the corresponding linear boundary value problems on the sequence of finite element spaces and semilinear problems on a very low dimensional space. The linearized boundary value problems are solved by some multigrid iterations. Besides the multigrid iteration, all other efficient numerical methods can also serve as the linear solver for solving boundary value problems. The optimality of the computational work is also proved. Compared with the existing multigrid methods which need the bounded second order derivatives of the nonlinear term, the proposed method only needs the Lipschitz continuation in some sense of the nonlinear term.  相似文献   

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We introduce a type of full multigrid method for the nonlinear eigenvalue problem. The main idea is to transform the solution of the nonlinear eigenvalue problem into a series of solutions of the corresponding linear boundary value problems on the sequence of finite element spaces and nonlinear eigenvalue problems on the coarsest finite element space. The linearized boundary value problems are solved by some multigrid iterations. Besides the multigrid iteration, all other efficient iteration methods for solving boundary value problems can serve as the linear problem solver. We prove that the computational work of this new scheme is truly optimal, the same as solving the linear corresponding boundary value problem. In this case, this type of iteration scheme certainly improves the overfull efficiency of solving nonlinear eigenvalue problems. Some numerical experiments are presented to validate the efficiency of the new method.  相似文献   

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Recent generalizations of the classical single state life table procedures to the multistate case provide the means to analyze simultaneously the mobility and mortality experience of one or more cohorts. Within this multidimensional demographic literature, however, little attention has been paid thus far to problems of statistical inference. In this paper, an inferential and hypothesis testing strategy is proposed based on fairly general nonpara‐metric matrix permutation procedures. Several examples are presented to illustrate this matrix combinatorial approach to hypothesis testing.  相似文献   

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In most multi-objective optimization problems we aim at selecting the most preferred among the generated Pareto optimal solutions (a subjective selection among objectively determined solutions). In this paper we consider the robustness of the selected Pareto optimal solution in relation to perturbations within weights of the objective functions. For this task we design an integrated approach that can be used in multi-objective discrete and continuous problems using a combination of Monte Carlo simulation and optimization. In the proposed method we introduce measures of robustness for Pareto optimal solutions. In this way we can compare them according to their robustness, introducing one more characteristic for the Pareto optimal solution quality. In addition, especially in multi-objective discrete problems, we can detect the most robust Pareto optimal solution among neighboring ones. A computational experiment is designed in order to illustrate the method and its advantages. It is noteworthy that the Augmented Weighted Tchebycheff proved to be much more reliable than the conventional weighted sum method in discrete problems, due to the existence of unsupported Pareto optimal solutions.  相似文献   

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Summary. We derive a residual-based a posteriori error estimator for a stabilized finite element discretization of certain incompressible Oseen-like equations. We focus our attention on the behaviour of the effectivity index and we carry on a numerical study of its sensitiveness to the problem and mesh parameters. We also consider a scalar reaction-convection-diffusion problem and a divergence-free projection problem in order to investigate the effects on the robustness of our a posteriori error estimator of the reaction-convection-diffusion phenomena and, separately, of the incompressibility constraint. Received March 21, 2001 / Revised version received July 30, 2001 / Published online October 17, 2001  相似文献   

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Sample-path-based stochastic gradient estimators for performance measures of queueing systems rely on the assumption that a probability distribution of the random vector of interest (e.g., a service or interarrival time sequence) is given. In this paper, we address the issue of dealing with unknown probability distributions and investigate the robustness of such estimators with respect to possibly erroneous distribution choices. We show that infinitesimal perturbation analysis (IPA) can be robust in this sense and, in some cases, provides distribution-independent estimates. Comparisons with other gradient estimators are provided, including experimental results. We also show that finite perturbation analysis (FPA), though only providing gradient approximations, possesses some attractive robustness properties with respect to unknown distribution parameters. An application of FPA estimation is included for a queueing system performance optimization problem involving customers with real-time constraints.This work was supported in part by the National Science Foundation Grant ECS-88-01912 and by the Office of Naval Research Contract N00014-87-K-0304.The authors wish to thank Dr. Jack Holtzman for several useful comments and suggestions.  相似文献   

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