线性约束下异方差回归模型参数的极大似然估计

运用参数的极大似然估计法,给出在线性约束条件Hβ=C下异方差回归模型参数β和λ的极大似然估计,并讨论了估计参数的性质和模型的残差.利用得到的结论对线性约束下异方差回归模型的进一步研究和应用具有一定的理论和实际价值.     

半参数变系数异方差部分线性模型下的经验似然

Consider the semiparametric varying-coefficient heteroscedastic partially linear model Y i = Xτiβ + Zτiα(Ti) + σiei,1 ≤ i ≤ n,where σ 2 i = f(Ui),β is a p × 1 column vector of unknown parameter,(Xi,Zi,Ti,Ui) are random design points,Y i are the response variables,α(·) is a q-dimensional vector of unknown functions,e i are random errors.For both cases that f(·) is known and unknown,we propose the empirical log-likelihood ratio statistics for the parameter β.For each case,a nonparametric version of Wilks’ theorem is derived.The results are then used to construct confidence regions of the parameter.Simulation studies are carried out to assess the performance of the empirical likelihood method.     

Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic Model

1 IlltroductionThe concept of ARCH, which stands for autoregressit,e conditional heteroscedasticity wasfrist introduced by EngelI1J to handIe time series with a changing conditional tariance.Bollersle.I2] extended the ARCH model into the sChcalled generalized autoregressive con-ditional heteroscedastic model(GARCH). This class of models has important applitalions,particularly in finance and economics(see, e.g., [3], [4]). Lingl5] found some simple sufficientconditions fOr the strict st…     

Truncated Estimator of Asymptotic Covariance Matrix in Partially Linear Models with Heteroscedastic Errors

A partially linear regression model with heteroscedastic and/or serially correlated errors is studied here. It is well known that in order to apply the semiparametric least squares estimation （SLSE） to make statistical inference a consistent estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix is needed. The traditional residual-based estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix is not consistent when the errors are heteroscedastic and/or serially correlated. In this paper we propose a new estimator by truncating, which is an extension of the procedure in White. This estimator is shown to be consistent when the truncating parameter converges to infinity with some rate.     

Iterative Weighted Semiparametric Least Squares Estimation in Repeated Measurement Partially Linear Regression Models

Consider a repeated measurement partially linear regression model with an unknown vector parameter β, an unknown function g(.), and unknown heteroscedastic error variances. In order to improve the semiparametric generalized least squares estimator (SGLSE) of β, we propose an iterative weighted semiparametric least squares estimator (IWSLSE) and show that it improves upon the SGLSE in terms of asymptotic covariance matrix. An adaptive procedure is given to determine the number of iterations. We also show that when the number of replicates is less than or equal to two, the IWSLSE can not improve upon the SGLSE. These results are generalizations of those in [2] to the case of semiparametric regressions.     

缺失数据下线性模型中回归参数的经验似然置信区域

在缺失样本下,构造了线性模型中参数的调整的经验似然置信域,数值模拟表明调整的经验似然置信域有较好的覆盖率和精度.     

具有重尾或异方差误差的双变量预测回归模型的中位无偏估计

In this paper, we consider median unbiased estimation of bivariate predictive regression models with non-normal, heavy-tailed or heterescedastic errors. We construct confidence intervals and median unbiased estimator for the parameter of interest. We show that the proposed estimator has better predictive potential than the usual least squares estimator via simulation. An empirical application to finance is given. And a possible extension of the estimation procedure to cointegration models is also described.     

Median Unbiased Estimation of Bivariate Predictive Regression Models with Heavy-tailed or Heteroscedastic Errors

In this paper, we consider median unbiased estimation of bivariate predictive regression models with non-normal, heavy-tailed or heteroscedastic errors. We construct confidence intervals and median unbiased estimator for the parameter of interest. We show that the proposed estimator has better predictive potential than the usual least squares estimator via simulation. An empirical application to finance is given. And a possible extension of the estimation procedure to cointegration models is also described.     

异方差模型中多种误差分布下的D-最优设计

对于混合效应模型,本文在异方差模型中,以误差分布exp{-cx2}为例,对于多种误差分布,构造出一种新的D-最优设计过程,并用广义化一般等价定理(GKWT)验证这种设计的最优性.     

Double Shrinkage Estimation of Common Coefficients in Two Regression Equations with Heteroscedasticity

The problem of estimating the common regression coefficients is addressed in this paper for two regression equations with possibly different error variances. The feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) estimators have been believed to be admissible within the class of unbiased estimators. It is, nevertheless, established that the FGLS estimators are inadmissible in light of minimizing the covariance matrices if the dimension of the common regression coefficients is greater than or equal to three. Double shrinkage unbiased estimators are proposed as possible candidates of improved procedures.     

纵向部分线性模型的分块经验似然的有效推断(英文)

本文考虑了纵向数据的部分线性模型.在考虑个体内部相关性的情况下,研究了回归系数的经验似然推断.对于任意的工作协方差矩阵,所给的经验似然比统计量服从渐近卡方分布,由此可以构造回归参数的置信域.模拟结果表明,在正确指定个体相关结构的情况下,推断的效率会显著的提高.最后,给出了案例分析.     

Testing for Constant Nonparametric Effects in General Semiparametric Regression Models with Interactions

We consider the problem of testing for a constant nonparametric effect in a general semiparametric regression model when there is a potential for interaction between the parametrically and nonparametrically modeled variables. The work was originally motivated by a unique testing problem in genetic epidemiology (Chatterjee et al., 2006) that involved a typical generalized linear model but with an additional term reminiscent of the Tukey 1-degree-of-freedom formulation, and their interest was in testing for main effects of the genetic variables, while gaining statistical power by allowing for a possible interaction between genes and the environment. Later work (Maity et al., 2009) involved the possibility of modeling the environmental variable nonparametrically, but they focused on whether there was a parametric main effect for the genetic variables. In this paper, we consider the complementary problem, where the interest is in testing for the main effect of the nonparametrically modeled environmental variable. We derive a generalized likelihood ratio test for this hypothesis, show how to implement it, and provide evidence that our method can improve statistical power when compared to standard partially linear models with main effects only. We use the method for the primary purpose of analyzing data from a case-control study of colorectal adenoma.     

Delete-group Jackknife Estimate in Partially Linear Regression Models with Heteroscedasticity

Abstract Consider a partially linear regression model with an unknown vector parameter β,an unknownfunction g(.),and unknown heteroscedastic error variances.Chen,You proposed a semiparametric generalizedleast squares estimator(SGLSE)for β,which takes the heteroscedasticity into account to increase efficiency.Forinference based on this SGLSE,it is necessary to construct a consistent estimator for its asymptotic covariancematrix.However,when there exists within-group correlation, the traditional delta method and the delete-1jackknife estimation fail to offer such a consistent estimator.In this paper, by deleting grouped partial residualsa delete-group jackknife method is examined.It is shown that the delete-group jackknife method indeed canprovide a consistent estimator for the asymptotic covariance matrix in the presence of within-group correlations.This result is an extension of that in[21].     

Statistical Inference for Partially Linear Regression Models with Measurement Errors

In this paper,the authors investigate three aspects of statistical inference for the partially linear regression models where some covariates are measured with errors.Firstly, a bandwidth selection procedure is proposed,which is a combination of the differencebased technique and GCV method.Secondly,a goodness-of-fit test procedure is proposed, which is an extension of the generalized likelihood technique.Thirdly,a variable selection procedure for the parametric part is provided based on the nonconcave penalization and corrected profile least squares.Same as＂Variable selection via nonconcave penalized likelihood and its oracle properties＂（J.Amer.Statist.Assoc.,96,2001,1348-1360）,it is shown that the resulting estimator has an oracle property with a proper choice of regularization parameters and penalty function.Simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performances of the proposed procedures.     

Testing for Varying Dispersion in Exponential Family Nonlinear Models

A diagnostic model and several new diagnostic statistics are proposed for testing for varying dispersion in exponential family nonlinear models. A score statistic and an adjusted score statistic based on Cox and Reid (1987, J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B, 55, 467-471) are derived in normal, inverse Gaussian, and gamma nonlinear models. An adjusted likelihood ratio statistic is also given for normal and inverse Gaussian nonlinear models. The results of simulation studies are presented, which show that the adjusted tests keep their sizes better and are more powerful than the ordinary tests.     

Normal Linear Regression Models With Recursive Graphical Markov Structure

A multivariate normal statistical model defined by the Markov properties determined by an acyclic digraph admits a recursive factorization of its likelihood function (LF) into the product of conditional LFs, each factor having the form of a classical multivariate linear regression model (≡WMANOVA model). Here these models are extended in a natural way to normal linear regression models whose LFs continue to admit such recursive factorizations, from which maximum likelihood estimators and likelihood ratio (LR) test statistics can be derived by classical linear methods. The central distribution of the LR test statistic for testing one such multivariate normal linear regression model against another is derived, and the relation of these regression models to block-recursive normal linear systems is established. It is shown how a collection of nonnested dependent normal linear regression models (≡Wseemingly unrelated regressions) can be combined into a single multivariate normal linear regression model by imposing a parsimonious set of graphical Markov (≡Wconditional independence) restrictions.     

Wavelet Estimation in Heteroscedastic Model Under Censored Samples

Consider the heteroscedastic regression model Yi = g（xi） ＋ σiei, 1 ≤ i ≤ n, where σi^2 = f（ui）, here （xi, ui） being fixed design points, g and f being unknown functions defined on [0, 1], ei being independent random errors with mean zero. Assuming that Yi are censored randomly and the censored distribution function is known or unknown, we discuss the rates of strong uniformly convergence for wavelet estimators of g and f, respectively. Also, the asymptotic normality for the wavelet estimators of g is investigated.     

非线性模型中的拟似然估计和约束拟似然估计

该文证明了,在非线性回归模型中,若以均方误差或均方误差矩阵为标准,拟似然估计是正则广义拟似然估计类中的最优估计,并讨论了拟得分函数最优性与拟似然估计最优性的关系.为改进拟似然估计,该文提出了一种约束拟似然估计,并证明了约束拟似然估计比拟似然估计有较小的均方误差.     

Asymptotic Behavior of Global Classical Solutions of Quasilinear Non-strictly Hyperbolic Systems with Weakly Linear Degeneracy

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of global classical solutions of the Cauchy problem for general quasilinear hyperbolic systems with constant multiple and weakly linearly degenerate characteristic fields. Based on the existence of global classical solution proved by Zhou Yi et al., we show that, when t tends to infinity, the solution approaches a combination of C1 travelling wave solutions, provided that the total variation and the L1 norm of initial data are sufficiently small.