A procurement model using capacity reservation

In this paper we model a scenario where a buyer reserves capacity from one or more suppliers in the presence of demand uncertainty. We explicitly derive suppliers’ capacity reservation price, which is a function of their capacity, amount of capacity reserved by the buyer and other parameters. The buyer operates in a “built-to-order” environment and needs to decide how much capacity to reserve and from how many suppliers. For a strategy of equal allocation of capacity among the selected suppliers we develop closed form solutions and show that the model is robust to the number of suppliers from whom capacity is procured through reservation. When the parameters of demand distribution changes the supply base is likely to remain more or less the same. Our analysis further shows that increasing the number of pre-qualified suppliers does not provide significant advantages to the buyer. On the other hand, a pre-qualified supply base with greater capacity heterogeneity will benefit the buyer.     

Economic lot sizing: The capacity reservation model

Capacity reservation contracts allow a consumer to purchase up to a certain capacity at a unit price lower than that of the spot market, while the consumer’s excess orders are realized at the spot price. In this paper, we consider a lot sizing problem where the consumer places orders following a capacity reservation contract. In particular, we study the general problem and the polynomial time solvable special cases of the problem and propose corresponding algorithms for them.     

A capacity reservation game for suppliers with multiple blocks of capacity

This paper studies a supplier competition model in which a buyer reserves capacity from a number of suppliers that each have multiple blocks of capacity (e.g., production or power plants). The suppliers each submit a bid that specifies a reservation price and an execution price for every block, and the buyer determines what blocks to reserve. This game involves both external competition between suppliers and internal competition between blocks from each supplier. We characterize the properties of pure-strategy Nash equilibria for the game. Such equilibria may not always exist, and we provide the conditions under which they do.     

Coordination mechanism for capacity reservation by considering production time,production rate and order quantity

In this paper we study the coordination of a dyadic supply chain producing a high-tech product by contracts. The product has a short life cycle and the buyer faces stochastic demands during the selling period. We consider the production time, which causes the inventory costs on supplier’s side. As the supplier builds production capacity in advance, the production rate is limited to the capacity created during the production time. In addition, we take into account the inventory cost and operational cost for the buyer. We examine the model under both full information and partial information updating situations, and propose a coordinating contract for each case. Our analysis includes the study of members’ decisions under both forced and voluntary compliance regimes. Numerical results are presented to provide more insights into the models developed and the mechanisms proposed.     

Speculative production and anticipative reservation of reactive capacity by a multi-product newsvendor

In this paper the optimal sourcing decisions of a multi-product newsvendor prior to the selling season of the products are studied. To satisfy the uncertain demands, the newsvendor can either utilize speculative production, or anticipatively reserve capacity. During the selling season when demand has become known, the newsvendor can utilize its reserved capacity and reactively satisfy demand uncovered by its speculative production. For the case where capacity for speculative production may be limited, but potential reservation of reactive capacity is unlimited two capacity reservation settings are analyzed and compared. In the first one capacity for each product has to be reserved separately, while in the second setting one joint capacity reservation for all products is permitted which can then be allocated to the different products optimally during the selling season. For the case of separate individual reservations the optimal strategies are analytically derived and structural insights concerning their existence are presented. As the model allowing for joint reservation can not be tackled analytically in general an approximation based on an LP formulation is used. Through a numerical example insights on the value of the increased flexibility induced by joint reservation, the cost-premium acceptable for joint reservation and the relative levels of capacity reservation in the two settings are given.     

Implementation strategies of a contract-based MRI examination reservation process for stroke patients

Timely imaging examinations are critical for stroke patients due to the potential life threat. We have proposed a contract-based Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) reservation process [1] in order to reduce their waiting time for MRI examinations. Contracted time slots (CTS) are especially reserved for Neural Vascular Department (NVD) treating stroke patients. Patients either wait in a CTS queue for such time slots or are directed to Regular Time Slot (RTS) reservation. This strategy creates “unlucky” patients having to wait for lengthy RTS reservation. This paper proposes and analyzes other contract implementation strategies called RTS reservation strategies. These strategies reserve RTS for NVD but do not direct patients to regular reservations. Patients all wait in the same queue and are served by either CTS or RTS on a FIFO (First In First Out) basis. We prove that RTS reservation strategies are able to reduce the unused time slots and patient waiting time. Extensive numerical results are presented to show the benefits of RTS reservation and to compare various RTS reservation strategies.     

Dual sourcing using capacity reservation and spot market: Optimal procurement policy and heuristic parameter determination

This contribution focuses on the cost-effective management of the combined use of two procurement options: the short-term option is given by a spot market with random price, whereas the long-term alternative is characterized by a multi period capacity reservation contract with fixed purchase price and reservation level. A reservation cost, proportional with the reservation level, has to be paid for the option of receiving any amount per period up to the reservation level. A long-term decision has to be made regarding the reserved capacity level, and then it has to be decided – period by period – which quantities to procure from the two sources. Considering the multi-period problem with stochastic demand and spot price, the structure of the optimal combined purchasing policy is derived using stochastic dynamic programming. Exploiting these structural properties, an advanced heuristic is developed to determine the respective policy parameters. This heuristic is compared with two rolling-horizon approaches which use the one-period and two-period optimal solution. A comprehensive numerical study reveals that the approaches based on one-period and two-period solutions have considerable drawbacks, while the advanced heuristic performs very well compared to the optimal solution. Finally, by exploiting our numerical results we give some insights into the system’s behavior under problem parameter variations.     

A two-period supply contract model for a decentralized assembly system

Supply contract helps in coordinating the supply of quantities from different suppliers in order to meet the demand for a product. In this paper, supply contract models are developed by considering an assembly system operated under a centralized and a decentralized control modes. The centralized control mode considers a single decision maker and offers a global optimal solution. However, the decentralized control mode considers each player in the contract as a decision maker and offers local optimal solutions based on the production and cost characteristics of each player. Such local optimal solutions are adjusted through coordinating parameters to obtain global optimal solutions. If a contract developed for a decentralized control mode achieves the global optimal solution, then the supply chain (or channel) is said to be coordinated.     

A mathematical model of infectious diseases

In the formulation of models for the spread of communicable diseases which include removal and population dynamics, it is necessary to distinguish between removal through recovery with immunity and removal by death due to disease. This distinction must be made because of the difference in the effect on the population dynamics of the different kinds of removal and because there are significant differences in the behavior of the models. We have formulated a class of models which allow recovery with immunity for a fraction of the infective and permanent removal by death from disease for the remainder. Earlier models of this type have postulated an increased death rate for infective, but such models are restricted to exponentially distributed-infective periods. Because of the differences in behavior between models with recovery and models with permanent removal do not arise when the infective period is exponentially distributed, we have chosen to formulate a different type of model which is sufficiently general to admit qualitative differences.     

Optimal policy for a dynamic,non-stationary,stochastic inventory problem with capacity commitment

This paper studies a single-product, dynamic, non-stationary, stochastic inventory problem with capacity commitment, in which a buyer purchases a fixed capacity from a supplier at the beginning of a planning horizon and the buyer’s total cumulative order quantity over the planning horizon is constrained with the capacity. The objective of the buyer is to choose the capacity at the beginning of the planning horizon and the order quantity in each period to minimize the expected total cost over the planning horizon. We characterize the structure of the minimum sum of the expected ordering, storage and shortage costs in a period and thereafter and the optimal ordering policy for a given capacity. Based on the structure, we identify conditions under which a myopic ordering policy is optimal and derive an equation for the optimal capacity commitment. We then use the optimal capacity and the myopic ordering policy to evaluate the effect of the various parameters on the minimum expected total cost over the planning horizon.     

Integrated capacity and inventory management with capacity acquisition lead times

We model a make-to-stock production system that utilizes permanent and contingent capacity to meet non-stationary stochastic demand, where a constant lead time is associated with the acquisition of contingent capacity. We determine the structure of the optimal solution concerning both the operational decisions of integrated inventory and flexible capacity management, and the tactical decision of determining the optimal permanent capacity level. Furthermore, we show that the inventory (either before or after production), the pipeline contingent capacity, the contingent capacity to be ordered, and the permanent capacity are economic substitutes. We also show that the stochastic demand variable and the optimal contingent capacity acquisition decisions are economic complements. Finally, we perform numerical experiments to evaluate the value of utilizing contingent capacity and to study the effects of capacity acquisition lead time, providing useful managerial insights.     

A semi-Markov model with holdout transshipment policy and phase-type exponential lead time

In this paper, a semi-Markov decision model of a two-location inventory system with holdout transshipment policy is reviewed under the assumption of phase-type exponential replenishment lead time rather than exponential lead time. The phase-type exponential lead time more closely approximates fixed lead time as the number of phases increases. Unlike past research in this area which has concentrated on the simple transshipment policies of complete pooling or no pooling, the research presented in this paper endeavors to develop an understanding of a more general class of transshipment policy. In addition, we propose an effective method to approximate the dynamic holdout transshipment policy.     

A travel demand management strategy: The downtown space reservation system

In this paper, a Travel Demand Management strategy known as the Downtown Space Reservation System (DSRS) is introduced. The purpose of this system is to facilitate the mitigation of traffic congestion in a cordon-based downtown area by requiring people who want to drive into this area to make reservations in advance. An integer programming formulation is provided to obtain the optimal mix of vehicles and trips that are characterized by a series of factors such as vehicle occupancy, departure time, and trip length with an objective of maximizing total system throughput and revenue. Based upon the optimal solution, an “intelligent” module is built using artificial neural networks that enables the transportation authority to make decisions in real time on whether to accept an incoming request. An example is provided that demonstrates that the solution of the “intelligent” module resembles the optimal solution with an acceptable error rate. Finally, implementation issues of the DSRS are addressed.     

Deterministic inventory model for deteriorating items with capacity constraint and time-proportional backlogging rate

In this paper, a deterministic inventory model for deteriorating items with two warehouses is developed. A rented warehouse is used when the ordering quantity exceeds the limited capacity of the owned warehouse, and it is assumed that deterioration rates of items in the two warehouses may be different. In addition, we allow for shortages in the owned warehouse and assume that the backlogging demand rate is dependent on the duration of the stockout. We obtain the condition when to rent the warehouse and provide simple solution procedures for finding the maximum total profit per unit time. Further, we use a numerical example to illustrate the model and conclude the paper with suggestions for possible future research.     

Flexible supply policy with options and capacity constraints

This paper considers a class of multi-period flexible supply policies with options and capacity constraints. The main results are to characterize the optimal ordering and purchasing options policy and the minimum expected cost in a period and thereafter under the assumptions about the options and ordering quantities.     

Finding and identifying optimal inventory levels for systems with common components

In this article, we consider the problem of finding the optimal inventory level for components in an assembly system where multiple products share common components in the presence of random demand. Previously, solution procedures that identify the optimal inventory levels for components in a component commonality problem have been considered for two product or one common component systems. We will here extend this to a three products system considering any number of common components. The inventory problem considered is modeled as a two stage stochastic recourse problem where the first stage is to set the inventory levels to maximize expected profit while the second stage is to allocate components to products after observing demand. Our main contribution, and the main focus of this paper, is the outline of a procedure that finds the gradient for the stochastic problem, such that an optimal solution can be identified and a gradient based search method can be used to find the optimal solution.     

A deterministic,multi-item inventory model with supplier selection and imperfect quality

This paper considers the scenario of supply chain with multiple products and multiple suppliers, all of which have limited capacity. We assume that received items from suppliers are not of perfect quality. Items of imperfect quality, not necessarily defective, could be used in another inventory situation. Imperfect items are sold as a single batch, prior to receiving the next shipment, at a discounted price. The demand over a finite planning horizon is known, and an optimal procurement strategy for this multi-period horizon is to be determined. Each of products can be sourced from a set of approved suppliers, a supplier-dependent transaction cost applies for each period in which an order is placed on a supplier. A product-dependent holding cost per period applies for each product in the inventory that is carried across a period in the planning horizon. Also a maximum storage space for the buyer in each period is considered. The decision maker, the buyer, needs to decide what products to order, in what quantities, with which suppliers, and in which periods. Finally, a genetic algorithm (GA) is used to solve the model.     

Optimal policy for inventory systems with capacity commitment and fixed ordering costs

This paper investigates a single-product, periodic-review, non-stationary inventory system with total maximum capacity commitment and fixed ordering costs over a finite planning horizon. We characterize the optimal ordering policy as a state-dependent ($s,S$) policy whose parameters only depend on the sum of the net inventory and the remaining capacity. We show that such policy can degenerate into two simple policies in two special cases respectively. We also derive bounds on parameters of the optimal ordering policy.