Component and system active redundancies for coherent systems with dependent components

The prevailing engineering principle that redundancy at the component level is superior to redundancy at the system level is generalized to coherent systems with dependent components. Sufficient (and necessary) conditions are presented to compare component and system redundancies by means of the usual stochastic, hazard rate, reversed hazard rate, and likelihood ratio orderings. Explicit numerical examples are provided to illustrate the theoretical findings. Some related results in the literature are generalized and extended. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On reversed hazard rate in general mixture models

This paper deals with the reversed hazard rate of general mixture models. Dependence and monotone properties of the reversed hazard rate are studied. Some lower bounds of the expected inactivity time of the overall population are presented with an application. Finally, preservation of DRHR under general mixture is discussed as well.     

The Hazard Rate and the Reversed Hazard Rate Orders, with Applications to Order Statistics

In this paper we first point out a simple observation that can be used successfully in order to translate results about the hazard rate order into results about the reversed hazard rate order. Using it, we derive some interesting new results which compare order statistics in the hazard and in the reversed hazard rate orders; as well as in the usual stochastic order. We also simplify proofs of some known results involving the reversed hazard rate order. Finally, a few further applications of the observation are given.     

Multivariate dependence of spacings of generalized order statistics

Multivariate dependence of spacings of generalized order statistics is studied. It is shown that spacings of generalized order statistics from DFR (IFR) distributions have the CIS (CDS) property. By restricting the choice of the model parameters and strengthening the assumptions on the underlying distribution, stronger dependence relations are established. For instance, if the model parameters are decreasingly ordered and the underlying distribution has a log-convex decreasing (log-concave) hazard rate, then the spacings satisfy the MTP₂ (S- MRR₂) property. Some consequences of the results are given. In particular, conditions for non-negativity of the best linear unbiased estimator of the scale parameter in a location-scale family are obtained. By applying a result for dual generalized order statistics, we show that in the particular situation of usual order statistics the assumptions can be weakened.     

更新过程中的几个随机比较结果

本文研究了更新过程中的几个随机比较结果.通过对不同时刻之前的最后一次更新发生时刻变量在失效率序、反向失效率序和似然比序意义下的随机比较,获得了若底分布F是IFR,则t之前最后一次更新的发生时刻变量SN(t)在失效率序和反向失效率序意义下关于t单调递增;若底分布F是IFR且绝对连续,则SN(t)在似然比序意义下关于t单调递增.     

Martingale representation for Poisson processes with applications to minimal variance hedging

We consider a Poisson process η on a measurable space equipped with a strict partial ordering, assumed to be total almost everywhere with respect to the intensity measure λ of η. We give a Clark-Ocone type formula providing an explicit representation of square integrable martingales (defined with respect to the natural filtration associated with η), which was previously known only in the special case, when λ is the product of Lebesgue measure on R₊ and a σ-finite measure on another space X. Our proof is new and based on only a few basic properties of Poisson processes and stochastic integrals. We also consider the more general case of an independent random measure in the sense of Itô of pure jump type and show that the Clark-Ocone type representation leads to an explicit version of the Kunita-Watanabe decomposition of square integrable martingales. We also find the explicit minimal variance hedge in a quite general financial market driven by an independent random measure.     

Conditional orderings and positive dependence

Every univariate random variable is smaller, with respect to the ordinary stochastic order and with respect to the hazard rate order, than a right censored version of it. In this paper we attempt to generalize these facts to the multivariate setting. It turns out that in general such comparisons do not hold in the multivariate case, but they do under some assumptions of positive dependence. First we obtain results that compare the underlying random vectors with respect to the usual multivariate stochastic order. A larger slew of results, that yield comparisons of the underlying random vectors with respect to various multivariate hazard rate orders, is given next. Some comparisons with respect to the orthant orders are also discussed.     

Multivariate fractionally integrated CARMA processes

A multivariate analogue of the fractionally integrated continuous time autoregressive moving average (FICARMA) process defined by Brockwell [Representations of continuous-time ARMA processes, J. Appl. Probab. 41 (A) (2004) 375-382] is introduced. We show that the multivariate FICARMA process has two kernel representations: as an integral over the fractionally integrated CARMA kernel with respect to a Lévy process and as an integral over the original (not fractionally integrated) CARMA kernel with respect to the corresponding fractional Lévy process (FLP). In order to obtain the latter representation we extend FLPs to the multivariate setting. In particular we give a spectral representation of FLPs and consequently, derive a spectral representation for FICARMA processes. Moreover, various probabilistic properties of the multivariate FICARMA process are discussed. As an example we consider multivariate fractionally integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes.     

Splitting trees with neutral Poissonian mutations I: Small families

We consider a neutral dynamical model of biological diversity, where individuals live and reproduce independently. They have i.i.d. lifetime durations (which are not necessarily exponentially distributed) and give birth (singly) at constant rate b. Such a genealogical tree is usually called a splitting tree [9], and the population counting process (N_t;t≥0) is a homogeneous, binary Crump-Mode-Jagers process.We assume that individuals independently experience mutations at constant rate θ during their lifetimes, under the infinite-alleles assumption: each mutation instantaneously confers a brand new type, called an allele, to its carrier. We are interested in the allele frequency spectrum at time t, i.e., the number A(t) of distinct alleles represented in the population at time t, and more specifically, the numbers A(k,t) of alleles represented by k individuals at time t, k=1,2,…,N_t.We mainly use two classes of tools: coalescent point processes, as defined in [15], and branching processes counted by random characteristics, as defined in [11] and [13]. We provide explicit formulae for the expectation of A(k,t) conditional on population size in a coalescent point process, which apply to the special case of splitting trees. We separately derive the a.s. limits of A(k,t)/N_t and of A(t)/N_t thanks to random characteristics, in the same vein as in [19].Last, we separately compute the expected homozygosity by applying a method introduced in [14], characterizing the dynamics of the tree distribution as the origination time of the tree moves back in time, in the spirit of backward Kolmogorov equations.     

Some stochastic properties of “semi-magic” and “magic” Markov chains

Gustafson and Styan (Gustafson and Styan, Superstochastic matrices and Magic Markov chains, Linear Algebra Appl. 430 (2009) 2705-2715) examined the mathematical properties of superstochastic matrices, the transition matrices of “magic” Markov chains formed from scaled “magic squares”. This paper explores the main stochastic properties of such chains as well as “semi-magic” chains (with doubly-stochastic transition matrices). Stationary distribution, generalized inverses of Markovian kernels, mean first passage times, variances of the first passage times and expected times to mixing are considered. Some general results are developed, some observations from the chains generated by MATLAB are discussed, some conjectures are presented and some special cases, involving three and four states, are explored in detail.     

Long time asymptotics for constrained diffusions in polyhedral domains

We study long time asymptotic properties of constrained diffusions that arise in the heavy traffic analysis of multiclass queueing networks. We first consider the classical diffusion model with constant coefficients, namely a semimartingale reflecting Brownian motion (SRBM) in a d$d$-dimensional positive orthant. Under a natural stability condition on a related deterministic dynamical system [P. Dupuis, R.J. Williams, Lyapunov functions for semimartingale reflecting brownian motions, Annals of Probability 22 (2) (1994) 680–702] showed that an SRBM is ergodic. We strengthen this result by establishing geometric ergodicity for the process. As consequences of geometric ergodicity we obtain finiteness of the moment generating function of the invariant measure in a neighborhood of zero, uniform time estimates for polynomial moments of all orders, and functional central limit results. Similar long time properties are obtained for a broad family of constrained diffusion models with state dependent coefficients under a natural condition on the drift vector field. Such models arise from heavy traffic analysis of queueing networks with state dependent arrival and service rates.     

Functional central limit theorems for self-normalized least squares processes in regression with possibly infinite variance data

Based on an R²-valued random sample {(y_i,x_i),1≤i≤n} on the simple linear regression model y_i=x_iβ+α+ε_i with unknown error variables ε_i, least squares processes (LSPs) are introduced in D[0,1] for the unknown slope β and intercept α, as well as for the unknown β when α=0. These LSPs contain, in both cases, the classical least squares estimators (LSEs) for these parameters. It is assumed throughout that {(x,ε),(x_i,ε_i),i≥1} are i.i.d. random vectors with independent components x and ε that both belong to the domain of attraction of the normal law, possibly both with infinite variances. Functional central limit theorems (FCLTs) are established for self-normalized type versions of the vector of the introduced LSPs for (β,α), as well as for their various marginal counterparts for each of the LSPs alone, respectively via uniform Euclidean norm and sup–norm approximations in probability. As consequences of the obtained FCLTs, joint and marginal central limit theorems (CLTs) are also discussed for Studentized and self-normalized type LSEs for the slope and intercept. Our FCLTs and CLTs provide a source for completely data-based asymptotic confidence intervals for β and α.     

Fluctuations of the empirical quantiles of independent Brownian motions

We consider iid Brownian motions, B_j(t), where B_j(0) has a rapidly decreasing, smooth density function f. The empirical quantiles, or pointwise order statistics, are denoted by B_j:n(t), and we consider a sequence Q_n(t)=B_j(n):n(t), where j(n)/n→α∈(0,1). This sequence converges in probability to q(t), the α-quantile of the law of B_j(t). We first show convergence in law in C[0,∞) of F_n=n^1/2(Q_n−q). We then investigate properties of the limit process F, including its local covariance structure, and Hölder-continuity and variations of its sample paths. In particular, we find that F has the same local properties as fBm with Hurst parameter H=1/4.     

Blackwell's renewal theorem for certain linear submartingales and coupling

The present work surveys some extensions of Blackwell's renewal theorem for a certain class of linear submartingalesS which have been recently obtained by the author. The basic assumption onS is that their conditional increment distribution functions with respect to some filtration are bounded from above and below by integrable distribution functions. Under a further mean stability condition these random walks turn out to be natural candidates for satisfying Blackwell-type renewal theorems. The latter are derived by employing a coupling argument similar to that which has been used in the i.i.d. case by Lindvallet al. A number of applications are also presented.     

On asymptotics for Vaserstein coupling of Markov chains

We prove that strong ergodicity of a Markov process is linked with a spectral radius of a certain “associated” semigroup operator, although, not a “natural” one. We also give sufficient conditions for weak ergodicity and provide explicit estimates of the convergence rate. To establish these results we construct a modification of the Vaserstein coupling. Some applications including mixing properties are also discussed.     

Multivariate hazard rate orders

Two multivariate hazard rate stochastic orders are introduced and studied. Their meaning, properties, and relationship to other common stochastic orders are examined and investigated. Some examples that illustrate the theory are detailed. Finally, some applications of the new orders in reliability theory and in actuarial science are described.     

Certain properties related to well posedness of switching diffusions

This work is devoted to switching diffusions that have two components (a continuous component and a discrete component). Different from the so-called Markovian switching diffusions, in the setup, the discrete component (the switching) depends on the continuous component (the diffusion process). The objective of this paper is to provide a number of properties related to the well posedness. First, the differentiability with respect to initial data of the continuous component is established. Then, further properties including uniform continuity with respect to initial data, and smoothness of certain functionals are obtained. Moreover, Feller property is obtained under only local Lipschitz continuity. Finally, an example of Lotka–Volterra model under regime switching is provided as an illustration.     

Multiplicity results for interfaces of Ginzburg-Landau-Allen-Cahn equations in periodic media

The Ginzburg-Landau-Allen-Cahn equation is a variational model for phase coexistence and for other physical problems. It contains a term given by a kinetic part of elliptic type plus a double-well potential. We assume that the functional depends on the space variables in a periodic way.We show that given a plane with rational normal, there are minimal solutions, satisfying the following properties. These solutions are asymptotic to the pure phases and are separated by an interface. The convergence to the pure phases is exponentially fast. The interface lies at a finite distance M from the chosen plane, where M is a universal constant. Furthermore, these solutions satisfy some monotonicity properties with respect to integer translations (namely, integer translations are always comparable to the function).We then show that all the interfaces of the global periodic minimizers satisfy similar monotonicity and plane-like properties.We also consider the case of possibly irrationally oriented planes. We show that either there is a one parameter family of minimizers whose graphs provide a field of extremals or there are at least two solutions, one which is a minimizer and another one which is not. These solutions also have interfaces bounded by a universal constant, they enjoy monotonicity properties with respect to integer translations and the nonminimal solutions are trapped inside a gap of the lamination induced by the minimizers.     

Mixing normal approximations of vectors of sums and maximum sums

Summary The conditioned central limit theorem for the vector of maximum partial sums based on independent identically distributed random vectors is investigated and the rate of convergence is discussed. The conditioning is that of Rényi (1958,Acta Math. Acad. Sci. Hungar.,9, 215–228). Analogous results for the vector of partial sums are obtained. University of Petroleum and Minerals