变系数模型中的逐元估计法

提出了一种叫做逐元估计法的方法用来估计变系数模型中的未知函数和它们的导数,构造了一种快速选择估计量窗宽和快速计算大量估计点的方法,推导了估计量的渐近正态性.通过Monte Carlo模拟研究了估计量的有限样本性质.     

One-step estimation for varying coefficient models

A one-step method is proposed to estimate the unknown functions in the varying coefficient models, in which the unknown functions admit different degrees of smoothness. In this method polynomials of different orders are used to approximate unknown functions with different degrees of smoothness. As only one minimization operation is employed, the required computation burden is much less than that required by the existing two-step estimation method. It is shown that the one-step estimators also achieve the optimal convergence rate. Moreover this property is obtained under conditions milder than that imposed in the two-step estimation method. More importantly, as only one minimization operation is employed, the full asymptotic properties, not only the asymptotic bias and variance, but also the asymptotic distributions of the estimators can be derived. The asymptotic distribution results will play a key role for making statistical inference.     

Reducing component estimation for varying coefficient models with longitudinal data

Varying-coefficient models with longitudinal observations are very useful in epidemiology and some other practical fields.In this paper,a reducing component procedure is proposed for es- timating the unknown functions and their derivatives in very general models,in which the unknown coefficient functions admit different or the same degrees of smoothness and the covariates can be time- dependent.The asymptotic properties of the estimators,such as consistency,rate of convergence and asymptotic distribution,are derived.The asymptotic results show that the asymptotic variance of the reducing component estimators is smaller than that of the existing estimators when the coefficient functions admit different degrees of smoothness.Finite sample properties of our procedures are studied through Monte Carlo simulations.     

Efficient estimation of longitudinal data additive varying coefficient regression models

Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica, English Series - We consider a longitudinal data additive varying coefficient regression model, in which the coefficients of some factors (covariates) are...     

Concave group methods for variable selection and estimation in high-dimensional varying coefficient models

The varying-coefficient model is flexible and powerful for modeling the dynamic changes of regression coefficients. We study the problem of variable selection and estimation in this model in the sparse, high-dimensional case. We develop a concave group selection approach for this problem using basis function expansion and study its theoretical and empirical properties. We also apply the group Lasso for variable selection and estimation in this model and study its properties. Under appropriate conditions, we show that the group least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) selects a model whose dimension is comparable to the underlying model, regardless of the large number of unimportant variables. In order to improve the selection results, we show that the group minimax concave penalty (MCP) has the oracle selection property in the sense that it correctly selects important variables with probability converging to one under suitable conditions. By comparison, the group Lasso does not have the oracle selection property. In the simulation parts, we apply the group Lasso and the group MCP. At the same time, the two approaches are evaluated using simulation and demonstrated on a data example.     

Statistical estimation in varying coefficient models with surrogate data and validation sampling

Varying coefficient error-in-covariables models are considered with surrogate data and validation sampling. Without specifying any error structure equation, two estimators for the coefficient function vector are suggested by using the local linear kernel smoothing technique. The proposed estimators are proved to be asymptotically normal. A bootstrap procedure is suggested to estimate the asymptotic variances. The data-driven bandwidth selection method is discussed. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the proposed estimating methods.     

Variable selection for fixed effects varying coefficient models

We consider the problem of variable selection for the fixed effects varying coefficient models.A variable selection procedure is developed using basis function approximations and group nonconcave penalized functions, and the fixed effects are removed using the proper weight matrices. The proposed procedure simultaneously removes the fixed individual effects, selects the significant variables and estimates the nonzero coefficient functions. With appropriate selection of the tuning parameters, an asymptotic theory for the resulting estimates is established under suitable conditions. Simulation studies are carried out to assess the performance of our proposed method, and a real data set is analyzed for further illustration.     

B-spline estimation for varying coefficient regression with spatial data

This paper considers a nonparametric varying coefficient regression with spatial data. A global smoothing procedure is developed by using B-spline function approximations for estimating the coefficient functions. Under mild regularity assumptions,the global convergence rates of the B-spline estimators of the unknown coefficient functions are established. Asymptotic results show that our B-spline estimators achieve the optimal convergence rate. The asymptotic distributions of the B-spline estimators of the u...     

半参数变系数部分线性模型的统计推断

本文在多种复杂数据下, 研究一类半参数变系数部分线性模型的统计推断理论和方法. 首先在纵向数据和测量误差数据等复杂数据下, 研究半参数变系数部分线性模型的经验似然推断问题, 分别提出分组的和纠偏的经验似然方法. 该方法可以有效地处理纵向数据的组内相关性给构造经验似然比函数所带来的困难. 其次在测量误差数据和缺失数据等复杂数据下, 研究模型的变量选择问题, 分别提出一个“纠偏” 的和基于借补值的变量选择方法. 该变量选择方法可以同时选择参数分量及非参数分量中的重要变量, 并且变量选择与回归系数的估计同时进行. 通过选择适当的惩罚参数, 证明该变量选择方法可以相合地识别出真实模型, 并且所得的正则估计具有oracle 性质.     

空间半参数变系数部分线性回归中的分位数估计

本文研究了空间数据变系数部分线性回归中的分位数估计. 模型中的参数估计量通过未知系数函数的分段多项式逼近得到, 而未知系数函数的估计量通过将参数估计量代入模型中并通过局部线性逼近得到. 文中推导了未知参数向量估计量的渐近分布, 并建立了未知系数函数估计量在内点及边界点的渐近分布. 通过Monte Carlo 模拟研究了估计量的有限样本性质.     

Partially varying coefficient single-index additive hazard models

The partially linear additive hazards model has been proposed to study the interaction between some covariates and an exposure variable. In this paper, we extend it to the partially varying coefficient single-index additive hazard model where the high dimension covariates are collapsed to a single index, due to practical needs. Two sets of estimating equations were proposed to estimate the varying coefficient functions in the linear components: the link function for the single index and the single-index parameter vector separately. It was shown that the proposed local and global estimators are asymptotically normal. Simulation studies were conducted to examine the finite-sample performance of our method to compare the relative performance of our method with existing ones. A real data analysis was used to illustrate the proposed methods.     

变系数联立模型的局部线性广义矩变窗宽估计

在随机设计条件下,提出了一类变系数联立模型,运用局部线性广义矩变窗宽估计,对模型的变系数进行了估计,研究了估计量的大样本性质.利用概率论中大数定律和中心极限定理,证明了估计量的大样本性质,局部线性广义矩变窗宽估计具有相合性和渐进正态性.     

On Robust estimation of a correlation coefficient

Robust estimation of the correlation coefficient of a bivariate normal distribution is considered in the case of a contamination scheme. A number of conventional robust estimates are studied, and some new estimates are proposed. Their properties are examined on finite samples and in asymptotics with the use of Monte-Carlo and the influence functions techniques correspondingly. It is shown that one of the proposed estimates called a median correlation coefficient has high robustness properties. Proceedings of the XVII Seminar on Stability Problems for Stochastic Models. Kazan, Russian, 1995, Part II.     

Variable selection for semiparametric varying coefficient partially linear errors-in-variables models

This paper focuses on the variable selections for semiparametric varying coefficient partially linear models when the covariates in the parametric and nonparametric components are all measured with errors. A bias-corrected variable selection procedure is proposed by combining basis function approximations with shrinkage estimations. With appropriate selection of the tuning parameters, the consistency of the variable selection procedure and the oracle property of the regularized estimators are established. A simulation study and a real data application are undertaken to evaluate the finite sample performance of the proposed method.     

Asymptotic theory for varying coefficient regression models with dependent data

The varying coefficient models (VCMs) are extremely important tools in the statistical literature and are widely used in many subject areas for data modeling and exploration. In linear VCMs, typically the errors are assumed to be independent. However, in many situations, especially in spatial or spatiotemporal settings, this is not a viable assumption. In this article, we consider nonparametric VCMs with a general dependent error structure which allows for both spatially autoregressive and spatial moving average models as special cases. We investigate asymptotic properties of local polynomial estimators of the model components. Specifically, we show that the estimates of the unknown functions and their derivatives are consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We show that the rate of convergence and the asymptotic covariance matrix depend on the error dependence structure and we derive the explicit formula for the convergence results.     

Marginal quantile regression for varying coefficient models with longitudinal data

In this paper, we investigate the quantile varying coefficient model for longitudinal data, where the unknown nonparametric functions are approximated by polynomial splines and the estimators are obtained by minimizing the quadratic inference function. The theoretical properties of the resulting estimators are established, and they achieve the optimal convergence rate for the nonparametric functions. Since the objective function is non-smooth, an estimation procedure is proposed that uses induced smoothing and we prove that the smoothed estimator is asymptotically equivalent to the original estimator. Moreover, we propose a variable selection procedure based on the regularization method, which can simultaneously estimate and select important nonparametric components and has the asymptotic oracle property. Extensive simulations and a real data analysis show the usefulness of the proposed method.

     

Comparisons between simultaneous and componentwise splines for varying coefficient models

In this paper, we study the properties of the simultaneous and componentwise splines for the varying coefficient model with repeatedly measured (longitudinal) dependent variable and time invariant covariates. The proposed simultaneous smoothing spline estimators are mainly obtained from the penalized least squares with adjustment for the variations of covariates in the penalized terms. We do this mainly to avoid the penalized terms being influenced by the scales of the covariates and the random smoothing parameters appearing in the estimators, which complicates the derivation of the asymptotic properties of the estimators. It is shown in this study that our estimators have smaller variances than the componentwise ones. Through a Monte Carlo simulation and two empirical examples, the simultaneous smoothing splines are all found to be more accurate in the variances.     

Spline estimator for ultra-high dimensional partially linear varying coefficient models

Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics - In this paper, we simultaneously study variable selection and estimation problems for sparse ultra-high dimensional partially linear varying...     

Influence diagnostics and outlier tests for varying coefficient mixed models

In this paper, we consider subset deletion diagnostics for fixed effects (coefficient functions), random effects and one variance component in varying coefficient mixed models (VCMMs). Some simple updated formulas are obtained, and based on which, Cook’s distance, joint influence and conditional influence are also investigated. Besides, since mean shift outlier models (MSOMs) are also efficient to detect outliers, we establish an equivalence between deletion models and MSOMs, which is not only suitable for fixed effects but also for random effects, and test statistics for outliers are then constructed. As a byproduct, we obtain the nonparametric “delete = replace” identity. Our influence diagnostics methods are illustrated through a simulated example and a real data set.