An interval-parameter fuzzy nonlinear optimization model for stream water quality management under uncertainty

Planning for water quality management systems is complicated by a variety of uncertainties and nonlinearities, where difficulties in formulating and solving the resulting inexact nonlinear optimization problems exist. With the purpose of tackling such difficulties, this paper presents the development of an interval-fuzzy nonlinear programming (IFNP) model for water quality management under uncertainty. Methods of interval and fuzzy programming were integrated within a general framework to address uncertainties in the left- and right-hand sides of the nonlinear constraints. Uncertainties in water quality, pollutant loading, and the system objective were reflected through the developed IFNP model. The method of piecewise linearization was developed for dealing with the nonlinearity of the objective function. A case study for water quality management planning in the Changsha section of the Xiangjiang River was then conducted for demonstrating applicability of the developed IFNP model. The results demonstrated that the accuracy of solutions through linearized method normally rises positively with the increase of linearization levels. It was also indicated that the proposed linearization method was effective in dealing with IFNP problems; uncertainties can be communicated into optimization process and generate reliable solutions for decision variables and objectives; the decision alternatives can be obtained by adjusting different combinations of the decision variables within their solution intervals. It also suggested that the linearized method should be used under detailed error analysis in tackling IFNP problems.     

A multi-objective mathematical optimization model for process targeting using 100% inspection policy

The selection of the optimal process target is an important problem in production planning and quality control. Such process targeting problems are usually modeled in the literature using a single objective optimization model. In this paper multi-objective optimization is introduced in the process targeting area. The quality characteristic under consideration is normally distributed with unknown mean and known standard deviation, and has two market specification limits. 100% inspection is used as the mean of product quality control. Product satisfies the first specification limit is sold in a primary market at a regular price and products fails the first specification limit and satisfies the second one is sold in a secondary market at a reduced price. The product is reworked if it does not satisfy both specification limits. The developed multi-objective optimization model consists of three objective functions, which are to maximize profit, income and product uniformity using Taguchi quadratic function as a surrogate for product uniformity. An algorithm is proposed to obtain and rank the set of Pareto optimal points. The utility of the model has been demonstrated using a numerical example from the literature with some additional data the new model requires. Sensitivity analysis was conducted and showed that the results of the model are sensitive to changes in process variance. In addition the optimal objectives of the profit function and product uniformity are more sensitive to changes in model parameters than the income function.     

A dual-uncertainty-based chance-constrained model for municipal solid waste management

A double-sided dual-uncertainty-based chance-constrained programming (DDCCP) model was developed for supporting municipal solid waste management under uncertainty. The model was capable of tackling left-hand- and right-hand-side variables in constraints where those variables were affected by dual uncertainties (i.e. e.g. both fuzziness and randomness); and they were expressed as fuzzy random variables (FRVs). In this study, DDCCP model were formulated and solved based on stochastic and fuzzy chance-constrained programming techniques, leading to optimal solutions under different levels of constraints violation and satisfaction reliabilities. A long-term solid waste management problem was used to demonstrate the feasibility and applicability of DDCCP model. The obtained results indicated that DDCCP was effective in handling constraints with FRVs through satisfying them at a series of allowable levels, generating various solutions that facilitated evaluation of trade-offs between system economy and reliability. The proposed model could help decision makers establish cost-effective waste-flow allocation patterns under complex uncertainties, and gain in-depth insights into the municipal solid waste management system.     

Flexible waste management under uncertainty

In this paper, we use stochastic dynamic programming to model the choice of a municipality which has to design an optimal waste management program under uncertainty about the price of recyclables in the secondary market. The municipality can, by undertaking an irreversible investment, adopt a flexible program which integrates the existing landfill strategy with recycling, keeping the option to switch back to landfilling, if profitable. We determine the optimal share of waste to be recycled and the optimal timing for the investment in such a flexible program. We find that adopting a flexible program rather than a non-flexible one, the municipality: (i) invests in recycling capacity under circumstances where it would not do so otherwise; (ii) invests earlier; and (iii) benefits from a higher expected net present value.     

A fuzzy-robust stochastic multiobjective programming approach for petroleum waste management planning

This paper proposes a fuzzy-robust stochastic multiobjective programming (FRSMOP) approach, which integrates fuzzy-robust linear programming and stochastic linear programming into a general multiobjective programming framework. A chosen number of noninferior solutions can be generated for reflecting the decision-makers’ preferences and subjectivity. The FRSMOP method can effectively deal with the uncertainties in the parameters expressed as fuzzy membership functions and probability distribution. The robustness of the optimization processes and solutions can be significantly enhanced through dimensional enlargement of the fuzzy constraints. The developed FRSMOP was then applied to a case study of planning petroleum waste-flow-allocation options and managing the related activities in an integrated petroleum waste management system under uncertainty. Two objectives are considered: minimization of system cost and minimization of waste flows directly to landfill. Lower waste flows directly to landfill would lead to higher system costs due to high transportation and operational costs for recycling and incinerating facilities, while higher waste flows directly to landfill corresponding to lower system costs could not meet waste diversion objective environmentally. The results indicate that uncertainties and complexities can be effectively reflected, and useful information can be generated for providing decision support.     

A dual-interval vertex analysis method and its application to environmental decision making under uncertainty

In this study, a dual-interval vertex analysis (DIVA) method is developed, through incorporating the vertex method within an interval-parameter programming framework. The developed DIVA method can tackle uncertainties presented as dual intervals that exist in the objective function and the left- and right-hand sides of the modeling constraints. An interactive algorithm and a vertex analysis approach are proposed for solving the DIVA model. Solutions under an associated α-cut level can be generated by solving a series of deterministic submodels. They can help quantify relationships between the objective function value and the membership grade, which is meaningful for supporting in-depth analyses of tradeoffs between environmental and economic objectives as well as those between system optimality and reliability. A management problem in terms of regional air pollution control is studied to illustrate applicability of the proposed approach. The results indicate that useful solutions for planning the air quality management practices have been generated. They can help decision makers to identify desired pollution-abatement strategies with minimized costs and maximized environmental efficiencies.     

A multi-objective mathematical model for the industrial hazardous waste location-routing problem

Industrial hazardous waste management involves the collection, transportation, treatment, recycling and disposal of industrial hazardous materials that pose risk to their surroundings. In this paper, a new multi-objective location-routing model is developed, and implemented in the Marmara region of Turkey. The aim of the model is to help decision makers decide on locations of treatment centers utilizing different technologies, routing different types of industrial hazardous wastes to compatible treatment centers, locations of recycling centers and routing hazardous waste and waste residues to those centers, and locations of disposal centers and routing waste residues there. In the mathematical model, three criteria are considered: minimizing total cost, which includes total transportation cost of hazardous materials and waste residues and fixed cost of establishing treatment, disposal and recycling centers; minimizing total transportation risk related to the population exposure along transportation routes of hazardous materials and waste residues; and minimizing total risk for the population around treatment and disposal centers, also called site risk. A lexicographic weighted Tchebycheff formulation is developed and computed with CPLEX software to find representative efficient solutions to the problem. Data related to the Marmara region is obtained by utilizing Arcview 9.3 GIS software and Marmara region geographical database.     

A multicriteria facility location model for municipal solid waste management in North Greece

Up to 2002, Hellenic Solid Waste Management (SWM) policy specified that each of the country’s 54 prefectural governments plan its own SWM system. After 2002, this authority was shifted to the country’s 13 regions entirely. In this paper, we compare and contrast regional and prefectural SWM planning in Central Macedonia. To design the prefectural plan, we assume that each prefecture must be self-sufficient, and we locate waste facilities in each prefecture. In contrast, in the regional plan, we assume cooperation between prefectures and locate waste facilities to serve the entire region. We present a new multicriteria mixed-integer linear programming model to solve the location–allocation problem for municipal SWM at the regional level. We apply the lexicographic minimax approach to obtain a “fair” nondominated solution, a solution with all normalized objectives as equal to one another as possible. A solution to the model consists of locations and technologies for transfer stations, material recovery facilities, incinerators and sanitary landfills, as well as the waste flow between these locations.     

Prediction of retinopathy in diabetic patients using type-2 fuzzy regression model

Due to the small sample size of data available in medical research and the levels of uncertainty and ambiguity associated with medical data, some researchers have employed fuzzy regression models to find the relationship between outcomes and explanatory variables in medical decision-making. The advantages of regression models are their ability to handle small sample sizes while fuzzy logic can model vagueness, thus making fuzzy regression a popular model among researchers. In addition, the high levels of uncertainty in medical data encourage the use of type-2 fuzzy which is capable of handling such uncertainty. The current paper proposes an interval type-2 fuzzy regression model for predicting retinopathy in diabetic patients. The results of the present work shall prevent unnecessary testing of diabetic patient. This study also aims to assist patients and the healthcare community to reduce the cost of diabetes control and treatment by optimizing the number of check-ups.     

A multiobjective optimization model for the waste management of the petrochemical industry

A multiobjective optimization model based on the goal programming approach is proposed in this paper to assist in the proper management of hazardous waste generated by the petrochemical industry. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP), a decision-making approach, incorporating qualitative and quantitative aspects of a problem, is incorporated in the model to prioritize the conflicting goals usually encountered when addressing the waste management problems of the petrochemical industry. The application of the model has been illustrated through a numerical example, using hypothetical but representative data.     

Multiple goal non-cooperative conflicts under uncertainty: A fuzzy set approach

This paper investigates strategy selection for a participant in a two-party non-cooperative conflict which involves both uncertainty and multiple goals. Uncertainty arises from the players not knowing the utility functions. Multiple objectives appear as the result of the payoff being a vector of prizes and the players attempt to attain various goals for each prize separately. The main objective is to present a fuzzy set/fuzzy programming solution concept to the conflict situation. In doing so, we compare a Bayesian player to one that employs fuzzy set techniques. We point out some of the advantages of the fuzzy set method. The necessary computations in the fuzzy set method are explained in detail through an example.     

Fuzzy linear programming under interval uncertainty based on IFS representation

The equivalence between the interval-valued fuzzy set (IVFS) and the intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) is exploited to study linear programming problems involving interval uncertainty modeled using IFS. The non-membership of IFS is constructed with three different viewpoints viz., optimistic, pessimistic, and mixed. These constructions along with their indeterminacy factors result in S-shaped membership functions in the fuzzy counterparts of the intuitionistic fuzzy linear programming models. The solution methodology of Yang et al. [45], and its subsequent generalization by Lin and Chen [33] are used to compute the optimal solutions of the three fuzzy linear programming models.     

Some mathematical tools for linguistic probabilities

We propose and develop, in this paper, some concepts and techniques useful for the theory of linguistic probabilisies introduced by L.A. Zadeh. These probabilities are expressed in linguistic rather than numerical terms. The mathematical framework for this study is based upon the possibility theory.We formulate first the problem of optimization under elastic constraints which is not only important for mathematical programming but will be served to justify the extension of possibility measure to linguistic variables. Next, in connection with translation rules in natural languages we study some transformations of fuzzy sets using a relation between random sets and fuzzy sets. Finally, we point out some differences between random variables and fuzzy variables, and present the mathematical notion of possibility, in the setting of set-functions, as a special case of Choquet capacities.     

Reliable design of a logistics network under uncertainty: A fuzzy possibilistic-queuing model

This paper proposes a bi-objective model for designing a reliable network of bi-directional facilities in logistics network under uncertainties. For this purpose, the model utilizes an effective reliability approach to find a robust logistics network design. The objectives of the model are to minimize the total costs and the expected transportation costs after failures of bi-directional facilities of the logistics network. To solve the model, a new solution approach is proposed by combining queuing theory, fuzzy possibilistic programming and fuzzy multi-objective programming. Finally, the computational experiments are provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed model and solution approach.     

Collaborative production planning of supply chain under price and demand uncertainty

This research is motivated by an automobile manufacturing supply chain network. It involves a multi-echelon production system with material supply, component fabrication, manufacturing, and final product distribution activities. We address the production planning issue by considering bill of materials and the trade-offs between inventories, production costs and customer service level. Due to its complexity, an integrated solution framework which combines scatter evolutionary algorithm, fuzzy programming and stochastic chance-constrained programming are combined to jointly take up the issue. We conduct a computational study to evaluate the model. Numerical results using the proposed algorithm confirm the advantage of the integrated planning approach. Compared with other solution methodologies, the supply chain profits from the proposed approach consistently outperform, in some cases up to 13% better. The impacts of uncertainty in demand, material price, and other parameters on the performance of the supply chain are studied through sensitivity analysis. We found the proposed model is effective in developing robust production plans under various market conditions.     

A fuzzy linear programming based approach for tactical supply chain planning in an uncertainty environment

This paper models supply chain (SC) uncertainties by fuzzy sets and develops a fuzzy linear programming model for tactical supply chain planning in a multi-echelon, multi-product, multi-level, multi-period supply chain network. In this approach, the demand, process and supply uncertainties are jointly considered. The aim is to centralize multi-node decisions simultaneously to achieve the best use of the available resources along the time horizon so that customer demands are met at a minimum cost. This proposal is tested by using data from a real automobile SC. The fuzzy model provides the decision maker (DM) with alternative decision plans with different degrees of satisfaction.     

A bi-objective model for the location of landfills for municipal solid waste

This paper models the locations of landfills and transfer stations and simultaneously determines the sizes of the landfills that are to be established. The model is formulated as a bi-objective mixed integer optimization problem, in which one objective is the usual cost-minimization, while the other minimizes pollution. As a matter of fact, pollution is dealt with a two-pronged approach: on the one hand, the model includes constraints that enforce legislated limits on pollution, while one of the objective functions attempts to minimize pollution effects, even though solutions may formally satisfy the letter of the law. The model is formulated and solved for the data of a region in Chile. Computational results for a variety of parameter choices are provided. These results are expected to aid decision makers in the choice of excluding and choosing sites for solid waste facilities.     

A robust optimization model for multi-product two-stage capacitated production planning under uncertainty

Production planning (PP) is one of the most important issues carried out in manufacturing environments which seeks efficient planning, scheduling and coordination of all production activities that optimizes the company’s objectives. In this paper, we studied a two-stage real world capacitated production system with lead time and setup decisions in which some parameters such as production costs and customer demand are uncertain. A robust optimization model is developed to formulate the problem in which minimization of the total costs including the setup costs, production costs, labor costs, inventory costs, and workforce changing costs is considered as performance measure. The robust approach is used to reduce the effects of fluctuations of the uncertain parameters with regards to all the possible future scenarios. A mixed-integer programming (MIP) model is developed to formulate the related robust production planning problem. In fact the robust proposed model is presented to generate an initial robust schedule. The performance of this schedule could be improved against of any possible occurrences of uncertain parameters. A case from an Iran refrigerator factory is studied and the characteristics of factory and its products are discussed. The computational results display the robustness and effectiveness of the model and highlight the importance of using robust optimization approach in generating more robust production plans in the uncertain environments. The tradeoff between solution robustness and model robustness is also analyzed.     

A bulk arrival queueing model with fuzzy parameters and varying batch sizes

This paper develops a nonlinear programming approach to derive the membership functions of the steady-state performance measures in bulk arrival queueing systems with varying batch sizes, in that the arrival rate and service rate are fuzzy numbers. The basic idea is based on Zadeh’s extension principle. Two pairs of mixed integer nonlinear programs (MINLP) with binary variables are formulated to calculate the upper and lower bounds of the system performance measure at possibility level α. From different values of α, the membership function of the system performance measure is constructed. For practice use, the defuzzification of performance measures is also provided via Yager ranking index. To demonstrate the validity of the proposed method, a numerical example is solved successfully.     

A multistage linear stochastic programming model for optimal corporate debt management

Large corporations fund their capital and operational expenses by issuing bonds with a variety of indexations, denominations, maturities and amortization schedules. We propose a multistage linear stochastic programming model that optimizes bond issuance by minimizing the mean funding cost while keeping leverage under control and insolvency risk at an acceptable level. The funding requirements are determined by a fixed investment schedule with uncertain cash flows. Candidate bonds are described in a detailed and realistic manner. A specific scenario tree structure guarantees computational tractability even for long horizon problems. Based on a simplified example, we present a sensitivity analysis of the first stage solution and the stochastic efficient frontier of the mean-risk trade-off. A realistic exercise stresses the importance of controlling leverage. Based on the proposed model, a financial planning tool has been implemented and deployed for Brazilian oil company Petrobras.